China is rapidly decarbonizing, India is right behind, it is the US you have to convince to move faster (coal plants are rapidly on their way out, but US consumers prefer ICE pickups over EVs, and LNG exports must be prevented and substitutes found [carbon footprint determined to be substantially higher than coal]). Europeans have, for the most part, done very well considering the carbon profile of everything west of Poland. But they also need to speed up the EV uptake, with domestic EU automakers pleading "it's too hard" while China eats their lunch. Norway shows they way here imho, as they have reached their 2025 deadline of only new EVs being sold. Battery manufacturing is needed, as much as possible, batteries are the future of anything not seasonal storage.
We did not leave the stone age because we ran out of stone, but because we found something better. This applies to renewables, EVs, batteries, etc as well, the problem is mostly solved, it is a matter of making the machine go faster is all. We need enough low carbon energy to replace everything fossil today (account for the orders of magnitude efficiency gains versus thermal generation, so not a 1:1 replacement needed), future energy growth, and energy needed to sequester 100+ years of emitted carbon.
> China is rapidly decarbonizing, India is right behind, it is the US you have to convince to move faster (coal plants are rapidly on their way out, but US consumers prefer ICE pickups over EVs, and LNG exports must be prevented and substitutes found [carbon footprint determined to be substantially higher than coal]).
I argue this ignores rate of change of manufacturing capacity and deployment trajectories, but concede all we can do is speculate based on data available today.
I am aware. Relying on gas imports of any sort is unsustainable long term (both from a geopolitical and environmental perspective), although they are a necessary bridge until EU energy security is reached.
Not sure if true, bit if so... You think it's less environment invasive to import gas from far away USA on tankers than bring it by pipes from country near by?
We did not leave the stone age because we ran out of stone, but because we found something better. This applies to renewables, EVs, batteries, etc as well, the problem is mostly solved, it is a matter of making the machine go faster is all. We need enough low carbon energy to replace everything fossil today (account for the orders of magnitude efficiency gains versus thermal generation, so not a 1:1 replacement needed), future energy growth, and energy needed to sequester 100+ years of emitted carbon.
The exponential growth of solar power will change the world - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40746617 - June 2024
(the Earth collects enough solar radiation in less than an hour to power humanity for a year)