To whom? I'm just a regular guy and I'm not impressed at all by raising money, I've seen utterly incompetent people do it. I am supremely impressed by someone getting 10k paying customers.
"Getting to profitability isn't as noteworthy (from a startup POV) as raising an A-round from working 4 days a week."
What we have found here in the UK, is without profitability, raising an A-round is near enough impossible. The UK Start-up/Inventment scene is still very much in it's infancy and investors are reluctant to give sums anywhere near the figure Ryan has quoted without a 'profitable' business. Well done to the team for creating a fantastic service all whilst spending time with family, highly commendable!
Then I have a great business proposition for you! It's easy... for the past month we hung around a street corner and for everybody who paid us $1 we gave them $1 back with a SMILE! We've done this with 10K paying customers so far! We also sold a packet of sweets worth $1 to my aunt for $2; she's always had a soft spot for me. We're profitable! :D I believe in my product so much I haven't even taken a salary, amazing huh?! And I believe with a $10 million investment we can scale this to 10 million paying customers within 1 year! Wanna invest?! [Oh and in year 2 I'm taking a $10 million salary.]
I'm obviously being facetious and while I don't want to be "that guy" dismissing what appears to be a very respectable business, mentioning revenue & customer numbers without mentioning profit values or percentages irks me.
This is probably because of 8 seasons of Dragon's Den and 3 seasons of Shark Tank that have impressed upon me just how few people understand that a large turnover means nothing; "turnover is vanity; profit is sanity". It's not easy to achieve a large turnover, sure, but it's also meaningless unless it is associated with a reasonable net profit.
Having read through a few more comments I suspect the author's business is probably turning a decent net profit, but, nevertheless, the post seems incomplete without this data or at least some form of confirmation (e.g. "our net profit is between 10-20%").
Yes, profit is the thing that impresses me even more than paying users. We're talking about investment vs users as a metric, not investment vs anything else.
I don't follow? What is the meaning of "investment vs users"? Surely "# users" as a metric only makes sense within a specific business model that ultimately resolves down to a figure of "profit/user", which reinforces my point that discussing revenue, users and investment without the final part of the equation - expenses & profit - is an incomplete discussion. With any equation you can come up with huge numbers for any of the terms but if you don't reveal all the terms you cannot determine the profit - what is the value of the discussion in that case?
EDIT: On HackerNews, a place for entrepreneurs and consequently the presumably financially literate, I'm being downvoted for pointing out that terms are missing from the profit & loss equation being presented, with nobody stepping up to explain why there's something wrong with my criticism?
I didn't downvote, but I'm guessing your lengthy and sarcastic analogy was the culprit. It comes off as needlessly combative. Tone can overwhelm the message.
EDIT: it only takes one or two people out of all HN users to make it look like everyone's against you, so I try not to take DVs to heart.
I appreciate your reply and your point, but my tone was intentional and I believe in this context it is well warranted.
I think it's great to be excited at the potential for success, and the reason I come to HN is because it is invigorating and motivating to see the success of others, and to learn from their experiences.
However we must not forget that the vast majority of small businesses fail. In the best case, that's the entrepreneur's money and time expended; hopefully on the upside some lessons were learned and the financial hit is not too bad. In the worst case, it can be the life savings of investors that may be family and friends, as well as relationships, that are lost; furthermore, bankruptcy is a distinct possibility. So, my feeling is this is extremely serious stuff that requires direct, hard-hitting commentary - not a softened message that's potentially easily dismissed.
Business is combative - it's always competitive. If people are quick to ignore the realities of the most basic details of business (the profit & loss equation), and take offence when that criticism is presented, does that not seem a bit of a concern? Would you invest in somebody like that?
There are examples to the contrary (Tumblr, Pinterest, Instagram, etc) but if you're profitable this means you are providing a worthy service (unless you're in the 'Nigerian Prince' business), and people are willing to pay you!
Never underestimate the power of people actually paying you.
Well, for one, he isn't saying that fundraising is more important. Just that in Startup Land, the culture seems to find it more "noteworthy". For better or for worse, that seems to be the case.
As for the age-old debate of profitability vs fundraising, it's not a black and white issue. And I don't know why people so often feel the need to try and turn it into one.
Profitability is great. You're right -- it's a signal that you're providing a valuable service. But as you pointed out, there are many examples to the contrary, and rightly-so: because achieving profitability is not the only way to build a valuable business. And even for companies who do focus on charging customers rather than, say, getting tons of users, raising money is often an important step on the path to eventual success.
It is not possible to build a valuable business without achieving profitability. Over a long-enough time period, the value of a non-profitable business will revert to zero.
If a business is valuable, it is because the market (or investors) believe either
a.) It is going to make profits at some point in the future. b.) It is going to be an attractive acquisition for another company (who are presumably only going to buy it if they believe it will enhance their long term profitability).
Of course there is c.) , which is when investors buy into something because they believe someone else will come and buy it off them in the future for a greater amount of money. If we've reached this point, it is a sure sign of a bubble (cf Tulip fever in the Netherlands).
I agree with (A). In situation (B), the company being acquired was not profitable and may not have been on a path toward profitability, and yet was of value to another company, which seems to go against your thesis. And situation (C) is literally the prime motivation of every investment ever made for reasons other than charity.
And situation (C) is literally the prime motivation of every investment ever made for reasons other than charity.
It really isn't.
Some of us invest in things because we expect that in the long run the pay-off will be greater than the investment. In business terms, that means that the cost of buying into a company is less than the profit you are expecting to realise through dividends over the long run.
The idea (modern trend?) of having companies that pay no dividends, whose shares are valuable only because someone else might buy them for more money later, seems to me to be exactly what tomgallard said: a sure sign of a bubble.
I've often wondered why we allow companies, particularly publicly traded ones, to sit on an ever-growing war chest rather than paying out their profits to investors as dividends. I don't know enough grown-up economics to appreciate the realistic consequences of regulating that kind of behaviour, but the zero-dividend, war-chest approach seems to promote all the wrong behaviours in terms of markets and investors, assuming your goal is to have a healthy economy that promotes making useful products and providing useful services.
> I've often wondered why we allow companies, particularly publicly traded ones, to sit on an ever-growing war chest rather than paying out their profits to investors as dividends.
Because we believe that a large, successful company has investment options available to it that are not available to Joe Average, and can achieve a better return on that capital for its investors than they would be able to achieve themselves if it were returned immediately as a dividend. If you disagree with that analysis, you can easily vote with your investment dollars.
I appreciate that large companies do have other options today, for better or worse.
What I'm asking is whether we should allow them to exercise those options. Doing so, as you hinted in your own comment, means that large companies have to become skilled investors, and this will inevitably become a significant or even the dominant part of their existence instead of actually making useful things or providing useful services.
As we've observed all too recently, not all of those extra investment options are quite as effective as they were supposed to be. Moreover, any investment option that is legitimate could probably offered to (now richer) individual investors if large companies were not allowed to use it. So I'm not sure where the big downside is of restoring the natural links between companies that do socially useful things like make good products, companies that make profits, and companies that are attractive to outside investors when they need extra funding to grow faster.
Alternatively, if these companies are going to be allowed to invest their profits on behalf of their own shareholders, perhaps it's about time they were regulated as financial institutions. If nothing else, shareholders should be protected from senior management who are erroneously convinced that they can do a better job gambling^Winvesting their shareholders' profits than the shareholders themselves can do of choosing where to spend a legitimate return on their investment.
I was thinking more in terms of investments related to the company's business (e.g.: Apple pre-paying billions of dollars to lock up massive amounts of flash storage or to fund new factories for suppliers) that often have a much higher ROI than any investment you or I might reasonably make in any investment available to us.
Large companies carrying trading/gambling departments not related to the rest of their business is, as you say, probably not a good thing.
Sure, if the money is being spent on things like stock and operating expenses that are a normal part of the business, I have no problem with that. If it's being done on an industrial scale and there are economies that go with that, it makes perfect sense. I'm just not convinced that (for example) certain large tech companies -- particularly those that are in the software or services businesses rather than in manufacturing -- need reserves on the scale they are holding for the kinds of purposes we're talking about here, which leads me to ask why the rest isn't being paid out in dividends to shareholders.
It's not about whether we force companies to pay out all their profits as dividends. It's about whether a publicly-traded stock should carry any dividend, or no dividend.
If it's no dividend, then the stock is only valuable as a flip-asset. If it's got any dividend at all, then the stock has real value as an income stream.
Why does every Hacker News post involving venture financing have to have a discussion about how "companies should focus on making revenue"? this never used to happen as frequently.
I think the point is that working 4 days a week didn't preclude them from raising money from investors. Not that funding is the key metric, but to show working extremely long hours isn't a pre requisite to raising money.
I think that the two items are related, though. Could they have raised an A-round working just four days a week on a startup that was not profitable? I doubt it. If anyone knows of any cases where that happened, though, I'd be interested in seeing them.
That's true -- entrepreneurs are faster to adapt than VCs. I guess because VCs don't have good metrics for intermediate stages toward success, and "how long are you in the office each week" is something they use.
As the only CDN / video delivery network to bootstrap and stick around for a decade without funding, I'd say it's usually not considered noteworthy.
Tech press looks at funding and the stable of investors as validation that a company is worth covering. "How much money have you taken?" and "Who are your investors?" seem to rank above covering how the tech works or if it's unique, both for journalists and for prospective acquirers.