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Detroit wants to be the first big American city to tax land value (economist.com)
474 points by lxm on Oct 16, 2023 | hide | past | favorite | 887 comments




Perhaps someone who has thought about this more can explain how a 'land value tax' differs from existing property tax regimes that explicitly examine the value of improvements and the value of land...

This Detroit case is interesting because there are different rates of taxation on the land, but the difference in rate could also be obtained by increasing the land component of a parcel's value.


Land value tax is an idea by Henry George - the guy who coined the phrase "the rent is too damn high". His idea is among other things that a property tax discourages investment - one way to make money as an investor is to hold a plot of empty land in a desirable city centre location, watch it go up in value, and neither pay tax on any development on it nor bother with messy things such as tenants. Taxing the land value, according to George, removes that perverse incentive.

For a more detailed overview, I recommend Lars Doucet's review of George's Progress and Poverty, which won the Astral Codex Ten book review contest a year ago: https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/your-book-review-progress-a...

I really like the style, but you need to put an hour or so aside to read the whole thing. For me, it was definitely worth the time!


If you want to tax properties, why not taxing both the land and what is build upon it?

And wardrobes, tables, books or computers (every year) but that's another story.


Because people choose to build upon it, but the land itself was always there regardless of human action.

The arguments for an LVT fall into both economic & moral categories. The economic argument is that the elasticity for land is zero. It's always there, always will be there, and no human action is going to change that (barring things like landfill, which are a literal edge case that doesn't matter much in the grand scheme of land area). The only economic questions are "Who owns the land?", "What kind of returns can be generated from it?" and "How is it distributed?" As a result, a tax on land has zero deadweight loss. Most taxes reduce economic activity by disincentivizing the transaction they're taxing; as a result, productive activity that would've occurred without the tax never occurs. Land is different. The land will still be owned, just by different people, regardless of how high it is taxed. That means that the government can raise revenue without curtailing economic activity.

The moral argument is that nobody built the land out of their own labor, they only conquered it. And so what right do they have to monopoly returns from its ownership? Land was commons that existed before humanity, and so returns from ownership of it should go back to the commons, in the form of funding (presumably democratically elected) government and public-sector improvements that raise the value of the land for all.

Property on the land is different, in that it is built through human labor & ingenuity, and the returns to doing that should accrue to the people who actually do it (or compensate them for creating the built infrastructure).


> The land will still be owned, just by different people, regardless of how high it is taxed. That means that the government can raise revenue without curtailing economic activity.

And this is a fantasy. Some land is marginal: Taxing it more would reduce the profit anyone could make from it to nothing, leading to empty lots that aren't owned by anyone because the last owners were delinquent on taxes to the point the local government took the land from them and is now trying to auction it off. Look at houses in Detroit being sold for a dollar for an example of this. The city makes no money from those.

https://99wfmk.com/detroits-one-dollar-houses/

> It sounds like a good deal...a dollar for an old decrepit house – but then what? Then you have to pay for all the repairs, renovations, excavation (if needed), property taxes, lawn work.....so you fork out just one whole dollar but you wind up spending no less than six figures getting it in shape. Whether you plan to keep it or sell it is a moot point. You're still out that money.

Plus:

> The moral argument is that nobody built the land out of their own labor, they only conquered it.

Turn a piece of land into a farm and say that.


That's why the tax is in proportion to the unimproved value of the land. Marginal land has almost zero value; therefore it will have almost zero tax. The landowner gets to keep rent due from any improvements (like structures) on the land.


> That's why the tax is in proportion to the unimproved value of the land.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=37913341

> The idea is that you tax the land only as if it was being used for best use - so that every property is encouraged to develop to maximum density.


In practice a LVT is usually applied statistically. You run a regression on the features of the buildings across all parcels, determine a coefficient of value for various structures and usages (eg. multifamily is worth $X in cash flow for a certain size apartment, extra bedroom in a SFH is worth $Y, pool is worth $Z), subtract out the computed value of the structure, and then smooth across all properties in a given local area to compute the value of the land alone. That's what you're taxed on.

"Tax the land as if was being used for best use" is an oversimplification. The government can't realistically know what the best use of land is, or what value that would command. That's for the market to decide. But the point of an LVT is that you're taxed on the base value of the land (as measured by how much profit your neighbors are making off it), and so only usages of the land that are better than average remain profitable. If none of your neighbors can turn a profit on it either, tax will be negligible.


>Marginal land is land that has little or no agricultural or industrial value.

So by definition, the "best use" isn't very valuable. I suppose the definition doesn't strictly include residential usage, but it's not hard to see that some land is inherently less valuable for residential as well, because location matters.


We already tax revenue and/or profits in various ways anyway.

If land is in a city, that gives it a high value and revenue earning potential due to no work or expenditure from the land owner, but ongoing costs to the taxpayer to provide the infrastructure and services that give it this value and potential. Roads, schools, hospitals, etc. these are very costly to the public but increase the value of nearby land.

The land value tax gives the owner an incentive to invest in improvements and get the maximum economic return on the land, and dissincentivising sitting on land in order to benefit 'for free' from it's improving value. So it's about making sure the public gets the maximum benefit from it's investments that improve the value of the land. Taxing improvements directly would have the opposite effect.


Always wondered how this works on modern times, where income per square foot varies wildly per industry.

Let's say because of rising taxes, a bakery or a shop has closed and a lawyers office has opened in that spot. Who exactly us "the public" in this case and what are the "maximum benefits" that they are getting from that change? Because if I actually lived nearby, I sure wouldn't be happy about my favorite vakery/shop being closed.

And don't say "increased tax base" - for that, you can tweak existing system and increase income taxes so you collect more from the lawyers while still keeping bakeries alive.


Income per square foot in _rent_.

The important thing isn't that the lawyer's office makes more money. That's just correlated with the important thing, which is that the lawyer's office is willing to pay more rent. Note the lawyer isn't operating a charity for property owners here; they're only going to pay as much for rent as required for the market.

If prevailing rent is high enough such that only lawyers get retail square footage, then clearly property should be taxed as such. That's the value of the land. But then more development will happen, eventually reaching an equilibrium.


Saying rent isn't quite right. These land value taxes are usually taxed on potential as zoned. Empty land isn't bringing in rent. The whole point of these land value tax schemes is to tax it based on its highest zoned value so you force (re)development of the highest use case.


Density.

The current property tax system makes it more likely that (in your example) the law firm will push out the bakery. Because improvements are taxed adding more commercial space means paying more taxes, which makes it less likely to happen.

With an LVT, expanding the building (up or out) to add a second store/office is cheaper so you’re more incentivized to provide space for both


In your example, bakeries usually don't own land in highly desirable cities, they lease it from the owner. I think that's fine. The incentives here are against huge capital behemoths that can buy land and afford not to develop it, costing the cities in potential consumer revenue, population growth, broken windows theory, etc. Lawyers might own the building and be able to afford the tax. I think it's fine to expect bakers cannot afford buildings in very expensive cities (unless you're some luxury brand). If owners are incentivized to develop and lease their properties, there should be more supply for a cheaper rental market.


> Let's say because of rising taxes, a bakery or a shop has closed and a lawyers office has opened in that spot.

Taxes will rise in neighborhoods where improvements have happened. To determine the neighborhood is improving, we need a metric, for instance traffic. We expect the donut shop in an improved neighborhood to see increased traffic and more sales. If traffic doesn't increase then land value hasn't actually increased and the taxes have been applied inappropriately. Maybe we can come up with a better indicating mechanism for land value, I admit I have not read Henry George's work.


"but ongoing costs to the taxpayer to provide the infrastructure and services that give it this value and potential"

Empty land isn't using any of those things. Any future improvement would use those things and be taxed accordingly. If you're concerned about infrastructure costs, the. You want to use a per capita tax or the current property tax that taxes the improvements (where people work or live) since they are using the infrastructure.


So we're paying for all those facilities, infrastructure and so on, and it's going to waste. That's inefficient. We want that land being used productively, contributing to the economy, making profits which pay taxes, to pay for these services.


You're leaving out the usage/ capacity side. If you actually fill all the empty spaces, you'll need to add additional facilities. Current facility usage is usually near capacity already.


That's not universally true. The sewer system in my town was overbuilt in anticipation of a development that fell through. That's why sewer / water bonds are typically up for vote separately from property taxes because there's such an interplay with development.


That's still cheap when you're looking at the whole picture. Sewer is much cheaper than police, EMS, road construction/maintenance, schools, etc.


Sure, to some extent, but overall it's clearly in our interests to have that land be used productively. If we want some land to be fallow, as policy, again there are better options than it just being underdeveloped, such as park land or gardens.


"but overall it's clearly in our interests to have that land be used productively."

Sure, but the real question is what does one consider productive enough? Should we tax a single family home at the rate of an apartment building just because the zoning changed? My opinion is that this type of scheme will be abused to force some people out of their homes in the name of benefiting society. My guess is developers and apartment companies can "persuade" politicians in many areas to change zoning to force people out, possibly the "wrong" kinds of people.

If you want productive uses, then you'd be better off charging a vacancy tax to already developed property. You wouldn't be able to fill all those spaces because the physical economy has shrunk, or people don't want to live/work in a rundown area, etc. There's plenty of open commercial real estate around me. The problem is you don't have customers to support the businesses that already exist.


If you really want to micromanage property types you could always adjust the land value tax based on actual usage.


We already tax utility users based on “usage”, but the cost to provide service is more like y=mx+b with a very large b and small m. Charging based on usage is just a way to allocate the large fixed costs amongst your users. (Electricity may be the exception with higher variable costs, but still significant fixed costs.)

But even if you’re not using them, the utility services (water, power, sewer) still have to pass by the property. Power lines and poles are there, they have to be maintained, your water main can’t be leaking, etc. There are real costs to do all that.


> Empty land isn't using any of those things

It doesn't have to use them to benefit from their proximity. Land in the middle of a barren desert is usually worth far less than a similar piece of land near a populous city.


Sure, your point? The government benefits on the higher sale tax revenue too. It's only a true benefit when something is realized. The densest areas of many cities are seeing decreases in population, so maybe that infrastructure isn't the main driver of value.


The point of a land value tax is to incentivise that realisation. In prosperous cities the reduction is inner city population is due to land being used commercially, and maybe up to a point that's fine. You can always adjust the value tax based on type of actual usage. The important thing is that it's used efficiently in a way that benefits the community.


"In prosperous cities"

Yeah, but we are seeing that many cities are not prosperous and are seeing population reductions. You can't will the creation of value. Just because it gets taxed like the land will create value doesn't mean it actually will.

"in a way that benefits the community."

These taxes don't guarantee this at all. There could be any number of uses, many of which could be detrimental or wasteful (and this will vary based on perspective as not everyone wants the same thing).


The idea is that you tax the land only as if it was being used for best use - so that every property is encouraged to develop to maximum density.

I suspect that in actual use it would end up having a small to no effect.


In actual use it would, in most cases, ensure that people would not, could not have long-term ownership of land passed down from generation to generation. There would be significant social downstream effects & likely upheaval caused by this, & that would be compounded by the deleterious results of forcing more & more people to live shoulder to shoulder in the name of that maximum density you mention. No system of taxation is going to be perfect, or even nearly so, but some significantly increase the likelihood of abuse & unintended consequences of bad ideas allowed to run wild. All this without the need for malicious or corrupt action on the part of those in charge of the system, though it strikes me that a system such as the one proposed here would treble the power of officials to strike at groups & ways of life with which they disagree.


Someone once remarked that American society is anti-Georgist, in that land speculation is actually seen as the only honorable engagement with real estate.

Having un-utilized land in your family generation after generation codes as noble, but economically this is much worse than owning an AirBnb or a vacation home or being a Chinese investor who collects vacant luxury condos, or any of the other boogeymen of housing discourse. These people hold one unit off the market, and in the meantime they maintain it or finance its construction. The landowner builds and holds wealth for nothing but parasitism.


So you're against someone who gets 100 acres, plants a house in the middle of it, & lives there simply because they want to, & they don't want to have to put up with the existence of neighbors? That's not parasitism — that's doing with one's property what one wishes to do. The economy is not the universe.


They are welcome to do so, but it would probably be cost prohibitive to do that in a highly desirable area. I’m not sure what the hangup is.


You are amazingly blasé about that fact that this would be using taxation to prevent people from using their own property as they see fit. This is utilitarianism run amok.


We prevent people from using their property as they see fit all the time via zoning. It is in fact mostly those with generational wealth that use this power.


Most people don't care about zoning, but they really do care about zoning changes that affect them.

Being told you can't live in your house anymore because it is now zoned commercial gets people riled up, and being told the same because it's now too expensive does the same.

It's a hot-button issue but you can defuse it by putting safeguards in, though they're not always successful - see eminent domain scandals.


Actually this entire construction is wrong: currently people who improve their land get penalized by higher taxes. If there are only land value and not property taxes, we are in fact increasing your freedom to make changes to your land without penalty.


Your argument ignores that changes to neighbors' property would then cause an increased burden to a land owner. This would not seem to be an improvement for freedom


It’s a finite resource. 100 acres of land being barely used should certainly come with a cost. Of all of the things that could be taxed, this one actually makes the most sense.


People aren't objecting to taxing 100 acres of Manhattan at rates that are associated with the value of the land there, people are upset about the idea that they could buy something, and then through no fault of their own, it becomes worth more and they have to sell because they can't afford to pay. Sure you get a ball of money as a consolation price, but you still had to move on.

But this is more of a straw man than a real objection; as there are various and sundry ways to resolve this (for fixed income, you can have property tax deferral until sale-after-death, you can have homestead exemptions, etc etc).


> buy something, and then through no fault of their own, it becomes worth more and they have to sell because they can't afford to pay

I fail to see why that’s a problem. Those taxes go to fund local services (like schools, police, fire, etc.) whose costs likely scale when the local cost of living and land values scale. Buying land doesn’t mean you should get to lock in the price you pay for these services for perpetuity.


Detroit is a city. They already try to encourage high-density living through the types of zoning they have. I don't see a fundamental issue with aligning their taxes to better facilitate their development goals.

Similar arguments would go for rural municipalities that might want to encourage multi-generational agricultural living, for example, if that's what you're getting at.


Huh? You have to pay property taxes now and those could end up being too high for subsequent generations to afford. That happens all the time and is a common reason why property gets subdivided. This is simply a question of whether the value of structures on that land should be included.

If anything a pure land value tax should be more predictable than a property tax, I got hit with a major property tax increase and looked into it, the town had calculated the new property tax based on an incorrect square footage and number of bedrooms for my house. After filing an appeal and going to court I got it fixed, but that was a more capricious process than if it was simply based on the value of the land under the house.


The problem with that is that would displace virtually everyone from many cities in the US. There are plenty of cities with single family housing near the metro area. It was built before the city expanded. Nowadays the city engulfs it. Obviously the best use for most of that is medium density housing or some commercial use. The idea of taxing a house with a backyard like it's a $3 million quad-plex of town homes isn't very appealing.


That claim isn’t true. The book goes into details like this and taxes would go down for ~97% of parcels. It would go up a lot for parking lots in city centers and certain segments of commercial real estate.


So limiting Georgism LVT to only commercial real estate would get you all of the benefit without affecting residential properties?

Then simply enact that, and the voters won't care because their taxes will stay the same (they probably will never actually decrease).


That isn't quite what I said, but I really suggest Lars's book, if you have a genuine interest in this!

You won't get an absolutely black and white one sentence solution from it, but it is thought-provoking and contains some really useful ideas, IMO.


Taxes never really go down. That's always the ploy - say the tax is a limited time, or only a specific low rate, then extend it. In this case, the people in power can play with the tax rates, but even more so in the zoning. An added avenue of getting screwed is not very appealing when taxes are already high. Let's not forget rhat if the goal is to utilize more space, that means more infrastructure and services costs. If we actually make a big impact on the space front, those infrastructure costs will go up and require substantially more revenue. I'm skeptical of the claim that most taxes will go down.


On the contrary, that's exactly what most cities need in order for property prices to drop from insane to less insane.

LVT would exclusively take from people and corporations who own land. This in turn will allow more people to own their home.


> The idea is that you tax the land only as if it was being used for best use - so that every property is encouraged to develop to maximum density.

Maximum value, not maximum density.

They may tend to be the same thing, but that's not necessarily the case.


So people will be paying a higher tax than they ought to be if they aren't trend-chasing the economy to always be engaging in that "best use" from year to year?

That sounds perverse in itself, especially since an economy needs diversity to function, and if everyone is incentivized to chase a single thing per region you end up with overproduction of that and underproduction of everything else.


Land that’s already been improved would pay less in taxes. Empty lots, parking lots, and other unimproved land would pay more tax. Calling an economic incentive to do something with your empty lot in an urban area “perverse” seems.. extreme.


But the post I responded to implied that if you weren't in the most-profitable economic sector, you'd be taxed as if you were, causing excessive loss, leading to people switching businesses to be in that one Golden Sector regardless of what the economy needs and can support.

Besides:

> Empty lots, parking lots, and other unimproved land would pay more tax.

Believe it or not, we need ranches and farms. Taxing them out of existence would be bad.


Is a city full of pet stores valuable?

I don't see why this would encourage economic homogenization.


It would because anyone who isn't in the best-paying part of the economy would be taxed higher than their actual income could support, leading them to either switch businesses or go broke.


Go look at the most valuable real-estate in the USA that is still commercial, it's almost always banks and Starbucks.


According to the article, taxing the land at one rate and the property built on it at another rate is exactly what Detroit is proposing.


Wouldn't that effectively punish the owner for improving the property?

A tax purely on the land has the same justification as a windfall tax. The value goes up or down independently of any action of the owner. i.e. They didn't do anything to deserve the increase in their wealth. The value comes from what the land is surrounded by.


The current situation can punish the owner for improving the property, because you pay based on the overall value of your house. A new roof and siding could make your home more valuable, increasing your tax. Land value tax would make your individual changes a non-factor.

It could instead leave you on the hook for increases in the desirability of the neighborhood which you have no say in. So it would mean that homeowners get screwed even harder if their neighborhood gets gentrified.

The steelman for it is that society should incentivize denser development of more desirable land, by disincentivizing maintaining sparse development of it.


> society should incentivize denser development of more desirable land, by disincentivizing maintaining sparse development of it.

That is exactly what a land value tax does, in a negative way. It disincentivizes buying land in a desirable neighborhood and then doing nothing with it, waiting for prices to rise.

With capital value taxation (the other alternative), a person doing that pays less tax than someone providing buildings for people to live in or businesses to operate in. So they can do it for longer.

Because any buildings on the land are not taxed, construction is not disincentivized. Well, it wouldn't be, if permitting were not insane...


> screwed even harder if their neighborhood gets gentrified.

Meaning, their land value and therefore wealth has gone up. Many people would love to be "screwed" like this, and in fact very hard at getting into the position amenable to "screwing."


Their wealth goes up but they can only access that wealth by selling. And in the meantime, if they don’t sell, simply living on the property becomes increasingly expensive. So yes, they won’t be walking away with nothing, but no, I can’t imagine the too many people enthused about the idea that a home that was affordable when they bought it is no longer affordable because the neighborhood is nicer.


If the property has gone up in value, the area has clearly changed. Either they don't like the changes and can cash out their unearned windfall, or they do like the changes and can spend it.

As a class, real property owners are wealthier and have means relative to people who don't own real property. The idea that they're some oppressed underclass is ridiculous.


Don't threaten me with a good time :)

Cheekiness aside, you'll find the overlap of people who support both a land value tax and a wealth tax to almost be a circle.


I do not support Wealth taxes. I would heartily support a land value tax.

Though popularised by George it was first rigourously analysed by Adam Smith in the Wealth of Nations.

We are, ultimately, all tenants of our sovereign. Our sovereign protects us from enemies both foreign and domestic. They do not protect our incomes, or our assets but by and large most societies do agree that it is a matter of fact that can be arbitrated in a dispute as to who owns which piece of land.


I don't think that's true. There's a reason many LVT'ers are called (and consider themselves) "single-taxers."


This isn't true. Land Value Tax is more regressive than wealth tax. There is a large contingent of Georgists who call themselves geolibertarians who basically support land value tax as the only tax that has a moral basis. They are fine with the inequality that comes from such a class (Middle class people often have 400% of their net worth in land/real estate at certain points in their lives, but high wealth people have portfolio's that are roughly 13% real estate). If you're taxing one person on 400% of their net worth and one person on 13% of their net worth that functions very differently to a wealth tax.


But property tax already exists, so apparently that regressive nature is fine. And middle class people mostly own land that’s been improved. It’s unimproved land that would be taxed much more with a land value tax. I don’t think it’s obvious which land owners would pay more or less - it depends on the structure of the tax and the relative value of their land vs the improvements on it.


The overlap vd of people with no wealth and those that want to be taxed on it would be more of a circle.


> If you want to tax properties, why not taxing both the land and what is build upon it?

That's Detroit's plan.


What a nightmare that would be! (unironically)

Thank God we are far from reaching that point.


So basically own nothing and be happy? What then drives people to create any meaningful value to the economy?


Own nothing and be happy, but pay taxes on all the things you don’t own, or else.


Is that the problem though? Empty land held by speculators?


Georgist thinking, as far as I understand, is that taxing total property value disincentivises investment in a way that is worse for society overall. Empty land is just a subcase of that.

That said, "everybody works but the vacant lot" is a Georgist slogan that has been seen on billboards before now: https://digitalcollections.nypl.org/items/510d47de-036a-a3d9...


I look forward to starving to death as I try to eat a luxury apartment complex


If you were hungry I’d show you compassion and feed you an empty parking lot.


Thank you sir


Huge problem over in the UK, its called land banking. The scarcity of affordable property combined with some silly planning laws mean that you can double your money if you buy land and simply sit on it for a decade.


Not just empty land. The 'little old Lady' who lived happily in her small house for decades, while everything else developed bigger. At one time her house fit in, but now the rest of the block is bigger buildings worth a lot more.

You decide if the above is good or bad.


The taxes can be delayed until the property is sold. This still disincentivises using land as investment but works fine for people who just don't want to move.


Does little old lady own her house? If yes, what's the problem with taxing the increase in value of her property caused by the environment becoming more desirable? All in all she's neither losing nor gaining anything.


She probably doesn't have much money. She might, but she might only have social security which wouldn't provide enough to pay those taxes.

Edit: by money I mean income. She owns her house because years ago she (with her now dead husband) at one time had enough income to buy and pay off the house. Now that she is retired she has much less income despite having assets like a house that are in theory worth a lot of money that cannot be accessed.


As others have mentioned, it’s quite easy to structure a land value tax to avoid kicking little old ladies out of their homes. You are arguing against a strawman.


I'm sure your intent was to express a hypothetical that this might not be a net good, but...

Something like 90% of boomers want to age in place (as opposed to moving in with family, or moving into some assisted living arrangement). This is a problem when that effectively locks up 40% of the housing stock.

Does this "little old lady" need a 1-acre lot for her gardening when she can barely walk to the end of it and back? Or could that lot be parceled up into 4 single-family homes, or dozens of apartment units?

Also: that small house will grow in value (along with the property taxes) until the value of the land almost entirely dominates. My parents are in one such situation -- anyone who would buy their house would assuredly tear it down to build something bigger.


I get that you’re basically right in technical terms. A nice condo development could meet all their physical needs in far less space. And we would all be better off as a society if that is what happened, if it could just spontaneously, voluntarily happen.

However it’s just not compatible with any concept of freedom, as understood by those people themselves. A lot of people have an expectation of fairness that they ought to be able to own a home of their choosing and stay in it until they’re ready to move (or dead). And they are sentimentally attached to their homes where they raised their children.

We in the West have a society whose framework is roughly aligned with that idea. We could change it, but it would require lots of other “the government knows best” policies, and ultimately the massive empowerment of police to enforce those “best practices” when people object. Even one would agree with the outcomes in housing policy, it would be pretty risky to create that kind of totalitarian situation in general, because we might not like the other “most efficient best practices.”


The little old ladies I know keep healthy in their garden. It is a gym program for them. Yes, they are slower than younger adults, but they are still active in that garden.


How dare she live in a house she's been in her whole life when the government knows what's best!


Think of that closed-down K-Mart that's been empty for 25 years on the main shopping drag in a medium-sized town. There's probably 25,000 of those across the USA.


In Oakland at 51st and Broadway there was 1/2 a city block that was empty. For almost 40 years (probably more, it was derelict when I got there in in 1980). A few years ago someone built a 5 story apt building on the land.

It always seemed crazy to me that nothing was done on that very valuable corner for so long.

There are other examples.


And if I know the Bay Area, 47 people with pitchforks came to the community meeting where that development was being considered for approval, screaming about how “their neighborhood” was now being “overrun by gentrifiers,” right?


Anecdotally, I live in corktown (a neighborhood right next to downtown), and while it’s overall a nice place to live and somewhat walkable. There are vacant lots everywhere. Some are totally fenced off and some used as free parking.

I’m new to town but everyone else tells me that the area has massively improved in the last 5 years. Those lots are wasted potential.


Yes, downtown Detroit is a wasteland of parking lots. Some incredibly beautiful old buildings have been demolished and turned into vacant lots, it's a real shame. Downtown really needs more development and I think this is a great way to force the issue. When I lived downtown, I had to drive 20 minutes to the suburbs for groceries. And now I have a house in the suburbs instead of Detroit because of that.


What’s currently stopping people from developing them though? Detroit is a huge city and its population has largely vacated to the suburbs. Maybe they havent been developed because the current demand is already being met.


Sure, that's possible. Or maybe Mr. Parking Lot Owner just likes the look of parking lots. But the key point is that today, improving the land is disincentivized because it would increase the owner's tax burden. So we don't know exactly what people would do with all those empty lots if improving them wasn't disincentivized.


it is specifically in Detroit, they have lots of empty lots as businesses fled the city proper for the suburbs, now as the city is bouncing back there is an incentive to just hold onto empty lots so that new buildings around you increase the value of your land.


Even if a plot of land isn't literally empty, the ideal behind a land value tax is that it incentivizes maximal utilization of land.


I don't understand how that needs a special tax though. Wouldn't the more obvious choice be to just tax all wealth/assets?

E.g. where I live it's just assumed that all your assets produce a yield of 4% yearly, and that is taxed as regular income. Makes the tax declaration also a lot easier, since people don't have to list all exact dividends and profits they might have gotten from investments.


The idea is to change incentive structures around specific types of assets, not to raise money. The idea of rent-collecting landed gentry is economically devastating. Adam Smith wrote extensively about the outcomes, and that is a natural path for economies to take. Wealth consolidates, buys landed, and becomes an informal nobility who collects land and does no work. At some point, it spirals, as rents lets real estate investors buy more land.

Put another way:

If I have $1B, and I buy $1B of land, that creates no value, and raises prices for everyone.

If I have $1B and I start or fund a company which produces a new medical device, computer, or car, I've created massive economic value, both in the inputs (hiring people) and outputs (new technology).

Land is also a scarce resource we all need to share fairly (for whatever 'fairly' means). If you have more, everyone else has less. On the other hand, if you're investing in making movies, I can make my own movies too. There is no fundamental limit to that sort of economic growth.


Land specifically has uses (people live there, grow stuff, build a business on top of, have community things like a park etc).

Most people won't care about some Rolex that someone around the world is willing to pay $100K for.

Land has purposeful value rather than just 'worth'


As far as I understand, the idea is to incentivise the kind of wealth-creation that is good for society by taxing it less than other kinds. The idea is definitely not to introduce a land tax on top of all the existing taxes.

Historical Georgists were also called "single taxers" because of the idea to abolish all other taxes, but make up for this by a tax on land ownership that leaves the state with the same income stream as before. Apart from being (in their view) socially good, this would also have the advantage that landowners couldn't just move their land to the Cayman Islands to evade the tax.

I don't think modern Georgists are quite that single-minded, but I do get the argument that, for example, VAT is a tax on the poor in the sense that even people whose income is low enough that they're not paying income tax in the usual sense have to pay it every time they buy something (unless it's exempt), but taxing land would truly be a tax on the more affluent only, at least in a country where most poor people rent their accommodation.


Land is unique because it's a productive asset with fixed supply. The problem with most taxes on assets is that they decrease the amount of productive assets in service by making the economics less favorable. A tax levied against land however, will (obviously) not change the total amount available and therefore have no negative effect on total wealth created.


It might at some level, but taxing all assets would disincentivize the creation of new assets. For most assets we probably don't want that - we probably want more home construction for instance.

Taxing land only disincentivizes land from being hoarded and being used inefficiently. It's not going to prevent the creation of new land.

Theres also the issue of fairness. Land owners didn't create the land or make it valuable. They just use it to extract rents. Asset creators did make their assets valuable and if they do rent them the value of the rents will be in proportion to the value of the work they put into them.


To tax is to discourage. We don't want to discourage work. We don't want to discourage housing. But land (by definition) can not be produced. Taxing land does not discourage anything except hoarding.


The problem is, what if it doesn't produce that much? What if it doesn't produce anything?

Imagine someone buying a house somewhere cheap. Then some gentrification, a new microsoft campus built nearby, etc., and the price of the house jumps 10x+. You're on a fixed income, and your taxes are now higher then you can afford.

If you have multiple houses, sure, tax the second, third, etc. one (evn though the taxes are then charged as higher rents if you lease those properties), but the first, primary residence should not be taxed as a "profit maker".

Maybe it's a cultural difference, but here in the balkans, people rarely move, and telling a 75yo grandma that she'll have to move, since her socialist built apartment is now worth 500k eur+, because "investors" want it for airbnb, and she cannot afford taxes on it, is just evil.


One way you could look at it is that this person's inability to afford the land value tax signals that they are not making effective use of the land and that it would be in society's best interest if the land were to change hands to someone who could use it in a way that lets them afford the taxes on it.


You're looking at a persons home as an economic investment and not as a social thing. It's a home. Someone will live in that house. You just want to replace a poor grandma with someone who can pay more taxes, while the use of the land/house/apartment will stay the same, even with airbnb, someone will just use that apartment to sleep in.

It's the society's best interest that people can afford places to live and not live under threat that some new fad will make something they already own (and need to survive) unaffordable.


Land value tax often goes hand in hand with lax zoning.

In your example, if the grandma's house went from 200k to a 1million, then she isn't poor anymore. She is very rich.

She doesn't have to leave the neighborhood. She can give her house away for redevelopment into a condo. Get the nice penthouse flat and a pretty penny on the same land. Now, she has enough liquidity to pay the land value tax, which is also lower per person because it's distributed over the whole condo.

This is happening in India right now. Apartments are redeveloped into towers. Old residents get 2x the floor space and decent relocation $$ for the construction period. No one is being kicked out of their house. Most people move to another spot within a 10 minutes walk from their home for 3 years and then come back when the building is done.


In my country, a previously ~100k condo apartment now costs 500k+... sometimes even less than that before (city center, no easy parking, lots of noise) and more now (airbnb).


If grandma owns a house in a place where people want to build an apartment block, she's not poor. By definition.


In my country, the apartment block is already there, but the previously shitty apartment (noise, no easy parking) just became expensive because of stuff like airbnb and speculative investmnts.


What? I must be misunderstanding your comment.

Are we seriously saying that if someone can no longer afford tax on a land they already own because the rich need to get richer, you should sell?

Basically you're asking for normal people to work, get raises forever and hope nothing crazy happens that can raise land value in their neighborhood in order to keep the land they already own.

No, this is not in "society's best interest". This is in the capitalist's best interests. Those are very different.

Comments like these make me not want to live in this world anymore. I really hope I misunderstood the comment.

Edit: removed some unnecessary harsh words.


It isn't an extra tax. It is a rebalancing tax. The rich have nothing to do with this.

It is purely about how much land you sit on and where. That's it.

> Basically you're asking for normal people to work, get raises forever

Nope, it mostly incentivizes real estate hoarders to start making productive use of there land. It allows normal people to buy houses because this system inventivizes the increase of supply.

> land they already own because the rich need to get richer, you should sell?

If your lad value tax increases enough to be unpayable, then your house has likely appreciated 3x+. This makes you one of the rich.

There are no new houses in the neighborhood so the normal person can't afford a house. With land value tax, you can sell the land, make bank, and allow access to greater housing through upzoning. The normal person benefits greatly.

Either housing is an investment or an essential commodity. It can't be both.


> It isn't an extra tax. It is a rebalancing tax. The rich have nothing to do with this.

So effectively normal people that don't own empty land will not pay this or pay an equivalent of the previous taxes?

> If your lad value tax increases enough to be unpayable, then your house has likely appreciated 3x+.

I guess you could try to argue that but I still feel like that's going to hurt folks. Imagine a scenario where I live somewhere for decades. Suddenly there's a new subway or some other factor that increases the value of the land enough that I can't pay for it.

Now I'm forced to leave this place when it finally becomes better to live in. In theory if I sold it, it would make me some money, but that's not the same as saying I'm a rich person now.

It's also not free in the sense that I still have to move somewhere else, which will probably be worse than the current place I live, since I will be required to buy a house with a lower tax (less valuable).

I can see the benefits if this was part of a bigger set of changes that would overall benefit everyone. But in isolation it seems like it will hurt normal folks and companies will just turn their empty plots into useless parking lots (or some other loophole they will find) to say it's "valuable".


> I guess you could try to argue that but I still feel like that's going to hurt folks. Imagine a scenario where I live somewhere for decades. Suddenly there's a new subway or some other factor that increases the value of the land enough that I can't pay for it.

I can imagine it.

That is exactly what happened to my neighborhood in India. Small residential condo community where Dad and I grew up. Everyone knows everyone sort of place. Our neighborhood suddenly turned into the hipster capital of India and began gentrifying and taxes started becoming unaffordable.

You know what people did ?

Took a deal to have their 5-storey condo redeveloped into a 30 storey one over 3 years. Everyone gets decent upfront cash, a huge rental allowance for the duration of the construction, 2x larger houses and more luxurious amenities.

Everyone is falling over themselves to have these deals signed. Yes, people waited till the last generation passed away, since they didn't want huge changes for those in their 80s. But, as those in their 50s-60s are heading into retirement, they are delighted to be able to retire wealthier, in a bigger house for 'free'.

The community has not been displaced, since everyone who lives here will still live here. Young families can buy apartments in one of the most accessible parts of town. Quality of life is better for everyone.


That's very interesting. Never heard of this!

Who offers these deals? Is it the government or private corporations? I'm struggling to see how one profits from this (which is normally the only reason companies do anything) so I'm very curious.

This really does sound like a win/win situation if it's like you described it! Here I only hear/read stories about people losing their homes without any other option other than selling.


Private builders.

The 5 floor condo gets converted into a 30 floor tower. The residents gets 2x space and the first 10-ish floors. The rest goes to the private builder to sell to whoever they want as profits. It often involves demolition of 3-4 buildings into 1 large building. So a lot of wasted space also gets brought into building floorspace.


> companies will just turn their empty plots into useless parking lots (or some other loophole they will find) to say it's "valuable"

Skipping past your other points, I just wanted to reply to this sentence, since it seems to show a deep confusion/misunderstanding (perhaps on my behalf!).

- Land owners won't get to "say" how valuable their land is; that's determined by the market, assessors, etc.

- Given the chance, land owners would try to say their land's less valuable; since higher value means a higher tax bill.

- Land value tax is (as the name suggests) based on the value of the land; not what's on it. The tax for an empty lot is the same as a parking lot (or a skyscraper, for that matter).

- If anything, turning an empty lot into a car park may increase the company's tax bill. For example, if a lack of parking bottlenecked the area's economic growth, the new lot would allow more development nearby, increasing the area's land value, and hence increasing the company's tax bill.

- Turning an empty lot into a parking lot has construction costs (I'm assuming our company doesn't care about ongoing maintenance). Since the land value tax is unaffected (or even increased!), the only reason to construct a car park is when its predicted revenue is higher than its construction cost. The predicted revenue of a purposefully-useless parking lot is low, so there's no incentive to pay its construction cost: better to leave the plot empty!

- If the company can't use the land to bring in revenue that (a) pays off any initial capital/construction costs, and (b) exceeds the ongoing costs (including the constant land value tax!), then it should sell the land to avoid having to pay the tax.

- The only ones willing to buy the land off them (and hence take on its tax burden) are those who can make use of that land (either a company able to make a profit despite the tax liability; or people wanting to live there who are fine with paying the tax). In which case, the sale is incentivised and the land is put to better use.

PS: "From the outside" I'm sure there will be loopholes in theory, and in practice in Detroit. However, your example is pointing in the complete opposite direction of all the incentives, which looks "from the inside" like a lack of understanding.


Oh there's definitely lack of understanding from my part. Thanks for the thorough explanation.

They do need to make sure the tax is higher than the land value growth otherwise it wouldn't really work. Maybe it's not that hard, but with some of the price hikes I've seen, it could happen.

Honestly, I am very curious to see how this will pan out. Hopefully there isn't a giant loophole that will backfire as it happens with so many bills.


The entire Georgist argument is that you can’t own land, you simply rent it from society via a land tax. It’s also worth noting that George’s land value tax was devised as a way to pay a citizens dividend (the profit gets distributed evenly among all citizens) not to fund a bureaucracy as will happen here.


> Are we seriously saying that if someone can no longer afford tax on a land they already own because the rich need to get richer, you should sell?

devil's advocate: No, not because of the rich but because of the poor. Buying a house decades ago was very possible on an average single person's salary. Nowadays, even upper income range couples have large troubles financing a house. So the situation is that you have lots of old people living in houses that they could never, ever afford at today's prices. The claim (no comment on whether it is correct or not) is that this causes massive distortion and that this proposal would fix it (doubt it, but that is the discussion).

> What the f*.

That is not helpful for a discussion. There is a problem stated and a (probably bad) proposal to address it. Instead of just saying "f*", address the problem and make a different proposal.


> That is not helpful for a discussion.

Fair enough. Edited that part off. I was simply extremely shocked at the implications, if I understood it correctly.

> So the situation is that you have lots of old people living in houses that they could never, ever afford at today's prices.

I don't think punishing people for what companies have done to inflate house prices is a good move though.

Screwing over people that bought houses that they live in instead of fixing the root causes for all these insane price hikes seems completely backwards to me.

Remember that companies or rich folks might have to pay some extra taxes but, in general, they can freaking afford it. Normal folks more often than not, can't.


> I don't think punishing people for what companies have done to inflate house prices is a good move though.

The first is that if someone suddenly became wealthy because their house went up 3x in value and they want to continue living there then they can get a reverse mortgage. Assign that new found wealth in the equity to the bank in exchange for getting a monthly payment to pay the tax. If you're arguing they both should be able to stay, and keep the increase in equity that they contributed to them you're arguing housing should be a speculative investment (which leads to bad incentives).

> Screwing over people that bought houses that they live in instead of fixing the root causes for all these insane price hikes seems completely backwards to me.

The whole point is it's not. It's incentivising someone to move so they stop screwing over the 10-20 families they would like to buy a house but can't afford to because the supply is so low. By replacing the single story home with multi floor condos, more people can now afford homes in the area.


> Screwing over people that bought houses that they live in instead of fixing the root causes

The point of the proposal is that it is not an either or. In order to fix things you will have to also "screw over" people that have bought houses or people that currently can't buy houses. Long running problems are not quick and easy to fix and a fix will have collateral damage, not just "companies or rich folk".

Again: I am not taking a position on either side, but you are currently attacking a straw man.


Homeownership rate has not changed much over the last 60 years. Housing is still affordable overall in the US. It's only some regions that have gone nuts.


That can already occur with regular property tax. Some regions have "homesteader" tax relief programs to counteract the problem and I see no reason we couldn't do the same on a land value tax scheme.


The 10x seems very unrealistic. But assuming that were the case, the taxes would be the least of your worries because things like supermarkets, electricity, phone, water, heating... would also go up heavily.

The more realistic picture is that grandma living alone in a rather large, old house, whose price, heating etc. went up quite drastically. That is already happening, in particular the heating part. Just have a look at Europe and the UK. The question then is, and I am not picking a side here, whether you spend public money so she can afford to stay in that large house or you make changes.


groceries may be a bit more expensive, but "phone, water, and heating" go up with a real estate boom? not in my experience. Price per kilowatt/water meter is the same if you're in the ghetto or "affluent" neighborhood.


Not unrealistic at all. After the fall of socialism, we had a law, where current tennats could buy apartments from the government for very very cheap.. we're talking about a mid-range new car prices back then (to avoid having to calculate inflation), and quite a few years after that the prices were very low. If we're talking the attractive parts of the city center, a one bedroom apartment can easily cost 500keur now. For comparison, even ~15-20 years ago, that would cost maybe 100keur (with some inflation until now), especially if it didn't have parking options nearby (but airbnb investors don't really care about that that much, they can rent a parking spot a few 100 meters away in a parking garage.

We had a law, that somehow got repelled by some lobbyist, where all the public money given to help was then taken out of inheritance (so the kids had to either pay it back, or property got sold at an auction, government took the money and the kids got the rest). This would solve the help-money issue.


Every tax jurisdiction I've lived in has some sort of homestead exemption to protect people from the situation where the taxes in the house they own and live in go up to where they can't afford it.


I see homestead as completely, 100% incompatible with a LVT. Not because there's any law of man or nature that says the 2 can't work together, but because as soon as an area becomes "hot", that land will spike in value and the government will want its revenue to increase, and at that point they'll fight tooth and nail to overturn any homestead protection that exists.


The outcome Detroit wants from this is for the land to be developed. Governments are likely to get directly involved with empty lots, not already developed land. This is also setting aside that kicking pensioners to the streets is generally political suicide, and one of the reasons these homestead exemptions exist in the first place.


Detroit and most places in the US already have property tax. Little old grandma already has to pay more every year when her property becomes more valuable. And homestead exemptions already exist to prevent kicking grandma to the street.

A LVT would just shift property tax burden more toward empty lots or less-developed parcels and away from more-developed parcels. It wouldn't result in killing little old ladies.


This is like looking at an algorithm, thinking of the worse case scenario, running a single step, and deciding that it's not worth it from that alone. This is not a one-and-done rule, and the same dynamics that might push an old lady to move in one situation, might make things much better for her in another, and more importantly, over time might lead to a better situation for her grandchildren when they grow up.

In practice, that grandma is stuck in a city where her children and grandchildren can no longer afford to buy real estate in. Friends and neighbors who rent are priced out and have to move regardless. The local goods and services rise in price and taxes go up, all under the current system. Her support network and community evaporate and soon she finds nothing left but to sell to a corporation, who is the only entity left that can afford the prices her house demands.

The first order effect of a Land Value Tax is that it shifts who pays the biggest burden of taxes. Grandma A who owns a big house in the center of a vibrant city where lots of young families are looking for homes near their jobs might see an increase in her taxes, but the Grandma B who owns a Condo in a larger complex will likely see her taxes drop. Grandma C who lives in a nice well-maintained house way out in the burbs will likely see a drop as well, most of her value is in the nice home she has been tenderly caring for her whole life.

A second order effect of LVT is it creates a suppressive effect on real estate prices. When prices in an area are going up across the board, this is entirely in the value of the land, which means LVT taxes are going to rise correspondingly. This additional tax liability significantly helps counteract a speculative rise in prices, leading to a lower and more stable pricing, and pushing out those who are just looking to speculate on trends. The value that a government creates for its citizens is recaptured and able to be reinvested, instead of going directly in the pockets of land speculators.

The third order effect is that this shifts the incentives around value creation vs value capturing. Perhaps the house next door to Grandma's is currently owned by a deadbeat landlord, Pennybags, who lets the house fall into disrepair, hoping to turn around and sell it as the market rises. Now all of a sudden Pennybag's plan is quickly becoming a bad investment. With LVT his property value is more heavily correlated with the actual quality of the house and less with value of the land. He is finding that despite an increasing demand in the area, his property is actually dropping in price. Meanwhile good ole Grandma has been diligently been taking care of her home, and adding value and the price of her home has actually gone up faster than the rise in taxes. She's able to use to use the increase in value to take out a loan to build an accessory unit she uses to now help her cover her increased taxes, which further increases her property value. Despite all of that, her taxes have not gone up at all!


Why is it evil? She's richer than she used to be, through no fault of her own. Just a little less richer because of the tax.


While moving is certainly not costless, keep in mind that this grandma moving and selling has just had a huge windfall.


In addition to the idea that this tax is designed to make better use of land, the best tax is one that will pass. I think most people who support a land value tax would also support a wealth tax. A land value tax is more politically viable.

Also, importantly, you can't "hide" land (from taxation) by moving it out of the country.


I'm not sure about this. I think soaking the rich is likely more viable (at least in popular vote terms) than a regressive tax like land value. Middle class people will at certain points in their life have over 100% of their net worth in land (perhaps even 1000% if they can barely afford a 5% down mortgage for a property that is half structure half land). Meanwhile profiles for the ultra-wealthy are typically 13% real estate. Taxing one person on 1000% of their wealth and one person on 13% of their wealth is nothing like a wealth tax.


Makes sense. I didn’t know taxing didn’t already work that way


They are loading the tax burden on the land rather than on structures. So, you can build the Taj Mahal or leave the lot a burned out wreck-- either way you pay the same tax. Many comments on the thread overstate what this is.

I happen to think it's interesting, but for reasons unrelated to the article-- it's kinda goofy for the state to tax personal property that happens to be fixed to a location, like a fireplace, stained glass window or chandelier. Tax a house on a foundation; no tax for a house on wheels? This "LVT" scheme does away with those issues so folks can fix whatever they want to the location, so it makes more sense logically even if the connection to Detroit's problems is very unclear.


Detroit has blight. LVT addresses property speculators that buy land to sit on it for 10 years and do nothing with it. With LVT they have to either pay up, develop it, or sell it. All options good for the city.


They should implement a blight tax or a vacant land tax instead.

I don't see how this helps Detroit's problems - unless they arbitrarily set high values on land where land is possibly already worthless. The areas with the most blight have the lowest land values already.

The city already owns 75k out of 380k lots (~20% of the city - most of it vacant) - and instead of trying to sell the lots - the Detroit Land Bank holds onto them to arbitrarily inflate land values.

This seems like another recipe for a negative feedback loop that makes bad areas even worse.

Just tax blight outright.

Give away the damn land to anyone that will build something on it and live there - or get someone else to live there, pay taxes, and be a valuable part of the community - rather than a vacant lot that's a breeding ground for crime.


> They should implement a blight tax or a vacant land tax instead.

A land value tax is a much more elegant solution. For one, it doesn't introduce the problem of needing to define 'vacant land'. Is a parking lot vacant land? etc


> For one, it doesn't introduce the problem of needing to define 'vacant land'.

But it introduces, unless I'm completely misunderstanding, the need to establish a theoretical value for a plot of land that's unrelated to any sale or use value we can objectively measure today.

At best, it seems the assesment will be very wrong often. At worst, it'll be a political tool for local government to drive out whoever they want by overvaluing plots on purpose.

A lot of the land around Detroit is nearly worthless given the blight. Will it be taxed at $0 or will they say that in an alternate universe someone could build a skyscraper there so it's worth millions? Even though nobody would actually fund that work.

Taxing based on sale price isn't perfect, but at least it is much harder to game since it's based on a concrete market-clearing price that isn't up for debate.


While it's not trivial, assessing un-improved land value does not seem too different from other complicated accounting tasks that both governments and private organisations have been performing for a long time. Cost segregation studies are already a thing.

A good starting point can be the relevant part of the Georgist primer published on ACX:

https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/does-georgism-work-part-3-c...


There are theoretical difficulties, yes. The elegant way out is to have the person owning the land self-assess its value, set the LVT at x% of that value, and be legally bound to sell it to anyone who comes up to them offering that price.

Now how do we determine that x%? That's a good question. I think there's no way out of some empiricism even if someone did try this approach. But you can always start it low and raise it incrementally to see how it affects the land economy of an area.


> The elegant way out is to have the person owning the land self-assess its value, set the LVT at x% of that value, and be legally bound to sell it to anyone who comes up to them offering that price.

That doesn't make any sense in the context of a land value tax.

The whole point of a land value tax is that a parcel of city center land is taxed at the same rate whether it's got a parking lot on it or an apartment block.

But the owner of an apartment block would self-assess their land as much more valuable than a parking lot, not wanting to be forced to sell their apartment block for the price of a parking lot. So you'd be back to having a property tax, not a land value tax.


The x% does not value with the use of the land. An apartment block owner would self assess their land as much more valuable, and then also pay back x% of that much higher land assessment in taxes each year, yes. And if someone came by and decided that e.g. that $5 million apartment land unit would be better as a $5 million parking lot, they could certainly pay them $5 million to do so.

But they may later find out that the parking lot isn't really worth $5 million, because it's harder to make the money to justify the x% of $5 million tax you're paying on it with a parking lot than with an apartment complex. They may then drop their valuation to $3 million, or $2 million, to reduce the total amount they pay in tax each year. But then of course they may run a greater risk of being forced to sell themselves -- perhaps even back to the original apartment runner they paid $5 million to before.


They’d argue that the price is for the land only, not improvements but now you’re back to non-forced sale.


> and be legally bound to sell it to anyone who comes up to them offering that price

Why? This just seems to create yet another perverse incentive structure that people have to invest time into understanding (and some into exploiting), rather than adding any actual value. Taxes mean nothing if everyone is too busy figuring out this sort of scheme to do anything valuable.


I'm glad you ask. There's a whole 100-or-so page paper on this form of taxation with enforced sale on the books which explains why this approach is in fact far less perverse than our current system (which might be degenerately modeled as a 0% system, where every good has a forced sale point of $∞.∞∞).

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2818494


I'm only a few pages in, and perhaps this paper redeems itself later, but here's my problem:

> To put this problem starkly: allocative efficiency and thus an efficient market economy is impossible in the presence of private ownership.

What the paper's early pages are saying is that study A found that things could be allocated more efficiently, and study B found that sometimes people hold out from selling things now to gain more later, therefore to increase the efficiency of global (literally) allocation of resources, people should be forced to sell things or pay more taxes to keep them.

This seems to have several problems on its face, that might be dealt with later, but still:

- This is all theory. There is no global optimum to observe, no matter how many papers might be written. Only to theorise about.

- This is relative, and time-sensitive. I might value a property at X because at that moment it's worth that much to me. It might change in the future, or depend on how markets are doing. Should I instantly sell because I have an ice cream shop and people are all eating gelato, and I can't afford the tax so I reduce the valuation to a point where some shark can grab the building?

- Perfect is the enemy of good, particularly when perfect is so poorly defined. This can get a lot worse much more easily than it can get a bit better.


> I might value a property at X because at that moment it's worth that much to me. It might change in the future, or depend on how markets are doing. Should I instantly sell because I have an ice cream shop and people are all eating gelato?

Think at the margin here. You're not saying you should instantly sell because the gelato/ice cream enthusiast ratio has increased slightly. You're saying everyone all at once decided en masse to start eating gelato instead of ice cream. Yes, as an entrepreneur you need to respond to that. That's an enormous and sudden change in not just the long- but even the short-term viability of your endeavor.

Indeed the forced price mechanic improves the short term responsivity of the local economy to such a change, because your scenario suggests a recent total upset in the established order of things. I would rather see you walk away today, from a venture that you realized yesterday was doomed to fail, with an extra $X in your pocket from the shark who bought you out than to see you driven to bankruptcy because you were the last ice cream boy in this mad, gelato crazed new world. Who knows -- maybe you'll start an ice cream stand in a cheaper, more sane part of the world with it.


I like this subthread; both of you seem respectful and clear and I'm doing my best to follow the arguments.

But I'm having trouble as a result of the choice of icecream/gelato words.

I interpreted @robertlagrant to be in the "gelato is icecream" camp (which seems reasonable to me in a "baguettes are bread" sense).

But @hiAndrewQuinn, you seem to be in the "gelato is not icecream" camp. I would call this is an arguably correct position similar to "chicken tikka masala is not Indian food," but I doubt most people holding either of these positions would consider these kinds of small differences likely to be the trigger for a business becoming unviable. So perhaps you didn't know what gelato was?

In either case, I think you two need to be using the same definitions for your illustrations to make sense. And I really want them to make sense because I want to understand :)


It's not a complicated scheme: there's a semi-fixed price you pay to the public for removing land from its use, and you can do whatever you want in order to overcome that fixed price and keep whatever profit you achieve.


How is an assessment which includes improvements (the status quo) less complicated than one which does not?

Distinguishing between lot value and property value is already a very common exercise in the real estate business.


In real estate property value is constantly being corrected by an actual market. Prices aren't set by bureaucrats; they're paid by people for whom that price is worth it.


And bureaucrats are unable to use the market itself to help value land because?


This measure will be harmful. Not just due to the person being a bureaucrat who can be bad at their job and/or influenced to achieve certain outcomes; not just because the info is instantly out of date on purchasing decisions; not just because the pricing info is specific to that purchaser. But because everything like this adds more drag into systems that have enough drag already. People can't do anything useful if they're constantly coping with bad systems voted for and put in place by people who don't understand unintended consequences.


Again, property taxes already exist. This is simpler.


As I understand it, property tax is simple when there's been a recent sale. The complexity comes from a similar issue to land value: no recent sale. In this case it's worse because valuing the land outside of what it's used for is a mess.


But this problem already exists. Many people live in homes for 30+ years and pay property tax on the land + improvement (physical home) value. Why would it be so much harder to hypothetically value the land without a recent sale (required for a LVT) than to hypothetically value the land + improvements without a recent sale (required for property taxes which currently exist in almost every city in America)?


Because their neighbours have sold their houses recently. So using similar sales as a baseline and then factoring in a few differences between those properties and the one that is being assessed is much easier than doing that and then subtracting the built-up value.

Basically all of your data points are the built-up prices. So it is going to be easier to estimate the built-up value than the raw property value. Maybe not much easier, but definitely not harder.


Then yes, I’ll agree with that. Both can be difficult but valuing just the underlying land is harder.


Do you think taxing by sub components of land would be simpler yet? Maybe we should tax by rock content.

Or maybe a tax based on more things has nothing to do with complexity. The largest market is for land and structures. That makes it the simplest to value.


There's not an argument from economic efficiency to tax by rock content.


> pricing info is specific to that purchaser

This is a nightmare. Can you elaborate?


Because the market price is only fixed at the moment of sale. Until then, setting the market value of a property is fairly speculative.


Often the market isn't for land, but for land + property. It might help, but overall there is more room for subjectivity/untethered valuations.


Is it common to sell the land without selling the improvements located on top of it? If that's common, it's straightforward to use that market to value the land.


At worst the assesment will be dysfunctional often and at best this can empower local governance (ideally, "the people") to decide, as you say, on what businesses they'd like to host.


That sounds ripe for abuse. “Yeah sorry we don’t really want a donut shop” but secretly they just hate the family because they’re gingers.


Or the city just says taxes are $x per square foot of land. Desired tax revenue / total parcel area.


I'm no economist, but it seems like such a flat tax would result in a lot of defaults on land the further you get from popular areas.


Maybe that's a sign that the "city" is too big? Much of what we call Dallas is not in Dallas, they are a different city. It makes sense to have a flat rate for all of Frisco and that tax rate will be different from that of Waxahachie.


Assessing the value of unimproved land is much easier than assessing built structures.


you can use equivalents in the are. burned out abandoned building on the lot? what could that lot be worth reasonably? oh, there are 9 houses down the street or 1 block over that are all worth 200k...


I agree simply on the fact my head filled with half a dozen loopholes within seconds of reading "blight" and "vacant" as measures for tax.


I don't think tax law fears complexity. You make a table and there is an entry for "parcel of land with grass taller than 6 inches and containing one or more 1980s automobile with 3 or more tires" right alongside "parking lot" or "hospital".


I don't think tax law fears complexity

Of course it does. Complexity in the tax law is regressive. It lets wealthier people and businesses take advantage of more deductions and writeoffs to lower their tax burden, due to the ability to hire accountants full time to work on it. Simple taxes that are difficult to avoid (such as LVT) are best if you want a progressive tax regime.

One of the best features of LVT is that it taxes unearned increases in the value of land. While you can do any improvements you want to the property without increasing the LVT, improvements made by the city or other private interests to the area around your land absolutely will increase its value, thus increasing your tax burden.


Simpler is not only less regressive, but also more efficient. Those lawyers and accountants freed up by simplicity can then go on to contribute to the economy in meaningful ways.


One implication of what you write seems to be that every property owner is incentevized to NIMBY any improvements to the area that they don't care about. For example, if I am "child free" I will now oppose the building of schools and playgrounds on the basis that they make my LVT go up with no benefit to me.

This looks more like a way to destroy society than prudent tax policy.


> For example, if I am "child free" I will now oppose the building of schools and playgrounds on the basis that they make my LVT go up with no benefit to me.

It would raise the value of your land.


I think the problem is, for many people, the value of their land is kind of irrelevant. If you are using land by living on it, and want to live on it because it's near your friends, family, community, place of work etc, then the value of that land to someone else doesn't really matter. Maybe when you die and pass it to your kids, it would be great if it was valuable. But in the mean time (which for most people is many decades), an increase in value only really means an increase in monthly outgoings with no financial benefit to you.

Perhaps that's the point - in order for cities to stay dynamic and fair, we need to make everyone pay something close to market value for their land - even those who bought it a long time ago. But doing so is unlikely to make those people very happy.


You can’t make everyone happy all the time. I’m a lot more okay with a situation in which a person is compelled to sell their very valuable property because they can’t afford the taxes than I am with people being unable to afford housing.

If LVT helps to loosen up some undeveloped/underdeveloped land and get it into the hands of a willing developer then that is a big win for the fight against the housing crisis.


That's the kind of fine print that would kill any popular support for LVT.

It's also a false dichotomy. We don't need LVT to solve housing. We don't even know if LVT would solve housing. On the other hand, we know exactly how to solve housing. People just don't want to.


We don't even know if LVT would solve housing.

We'll just have to wait and see then. Detroit is going to try it out and we'll see how it works for them.

we know exactly how to solve housing. People just don't want to.

It's a collective action problem. One of the ways we usually solve those is through government action. LVT is a candidate for exactly that!


> I think the problem is, for many people, the value of their land is kind of irrelevant.

Well that's a problem with those people if they think their most valuable capital asset is irrelevant.

It is relevant, because without LVT, the tax code is literally encouraging inefficient use of land. Housing prices consistently rising five times faster than salaries is a huge problem, and it is caused by inefficient land use.


>I think the problem is, for many people, the value of their land is kind of irrelevant.

If only that were so! Then the American real estate market wouldn't have been artificially stacked in favor of homeowners for the last eighty years.


> One implication of what you write seems to be that every property owner is incentevized to NIMBY any improvements to the area that they don't care about. For example, if I am "child free" I will now oppose the building of schools and playgrounds on the basis that they make my LVT go up with no benefit to me.

This already happens just with more economic inefficiency under a property-tax regime. People already vote against improvements that would cause their taxes to go up.


The benefit is the land you own is now more valuable.


This benefit is hypothetical as long as you are not selling your land.

So, up to the point where you would actually sell your land, LVT is simply a liability. Even if eventually you sell are not guranteed to actually make the amount implied by the LVT you have been paying.

Let's think about what structures and incentives and ways of thinking we would foster here. Everyone a property speculator! That worked out so well with housing.

Meanwhile the people who just want to raise a family in peace and stability can now be priced out of their homes because their neighborhood got too "good". And that's just the goldilocks analysis.

In grim reality, city councils can use this to soft-evict anyone, anywhere without giving a reason by simply raising the estimated land value. The corruption is going to be off the charts.


The point of LVT is to punish you if you could sell for less. That is if you own a small house next to sky scrapers, if you would sell someone would snatch up your house, tear it down, and build another sky scrapper.

Which is also why I don't think it helps Detroit today as they don't have the problem problem of land that someone else would build up on


> Simple taxes that are difficult to avoid (such as LVT)

Can you explain how is it simple? Who gets to set the theoretical value of a plot of land, disconnected from all current uses? Since it's theoretical, it's very subjective. Who do we give this power to make or destroy the owners based on purely subjective speculation on what it might be worth? How do we guarantee that this entity won't abuse the power to set arbitrary tax valuations?


> How do we guarantee that this entity won't abuse the power to set arbitrary tax valuations?

We don't. They already do that with "normal" property taxes. This wouldn't change that.

Soon-to-be gentrified neighborhoods are often ignored by property tax assessors and code enforcement for many years, then one day a developer reaches out to the tax assessors and says "hey the taxable assessment values in this neighborhood should really be higher". Then the people living there have taxes raised 10-20% every year until they are forced to sell for low prices because they can't afford to hold onto their property until the gentrification is actually well underway when they'd finally see their property value actually go up.

At least, that's how it goes in Texas.

I don't think this system would be worse in that sense, probably roughly equivalent. But it makes sense to at least attempt to tax undeveloped and under-developed land at high enough rates to encourage at least some healthy amount of development. It won't be perfect, but it shouldn't be worse either.


> I don't think this system would be worse in that sense, probably roughly equivalent. But it makes sense to at least attempt to tax undeveloped and under-developed land at high enough rates to encourage at least some healthy amount of development. It won't be perfect, but it shouldn't be worse either.

I don't see how it can't not be much worse.

If the tax is based on the actual value of the property, there are two important factors:

1- You can easily prove or disprove whether the valuation makes sense. Just look at comparable sales nearby. If in a neighborhood of similar houses, ten have been sold in the past year for 200K and your very similar house receives a tax bill saying it's worth 2M, you can easily protest and win since the sales records show it's only worth +/- 200K.

2- If it really is worth 2M based on comparable sales, in worst case you can then sell it for 2M. While it's terrible to kick people out of their homes via property taxes, at least the consolation is that it's actually worth that. So you don't go bankrupt, you can sell it for that price.

With LVT the tax is supposed to be based on some theoretical projection of what it might be worth if a non-existing structure were to be there. What prevents the county from telling you that if only you built a ten story highrise there, it would be worth 10M? So now you have to pay tax on 10M.

You can't easily disprove it because, well perhaps maybe it's true that if the highrise was there it might be worth 10M. But of course the building doesn't exist so it's all speculation. Also, since the building doesn't actually exist, you can't sell the property for 10M to pay the tax bill.


> You can easily prove or disprove whether the valuation makes sense. Just look at comparable sales nearby.

In the Houston area the appraisal board just doesn’t care. They raise taxes across the board for the whole neighborhood by the same amount every year and appealing has limited effect. You cant really argue comparables because the whole neighborhood raises in lockstep by a shocking amount every year (since well before the big housing bubble)


> You cant really argue comparables because the whole neighborhood raises in lockstep

Comparables refers to actual sales of similar homes nearby. If all sales in the neighborhood have been +/- $200K over the last year, they should not be able to claim the property is worth 500K. Or they could, but should be easy to disprove.


> Since it's theoretical, it's very subjective.

When you get a mortgage, it's based on a theoretical value of the property as determined by an assessment.

The bank will lend you up to, for example, 90% of the assessed value. Thats how you get a morthgage on a property that maybe you already own for 20 years.


Complexity introduces additional chances of creating loopholes and allowing people with enough resources to game the definitions to avoid the LVT. More basic implementations are also preferable because they're easier to administer, with your definition (or any that depends on the current year to year usage of the lot) you have to create a whole cadre of inspectors to check on the lots to ensure compliance and check people aren't just lying on their taxes.


BRB setting up dewheelr.io, which will help you, a landowner besieged by toxic regulations threatening your eyesore vacant landbank, sorry, useful and beautiful community recycling zone. For a small monthly fee, we'll connect you with local freelance tax compliance consultants who will happily remove tyres from the vehicles until they slip through the gaps in the table in your local jurisdiction. We'll keep on top of the regulatory complexity (in fact, we lobbied to ensure that only we are allowed to, so you can trust that we know the rules), deal with the grotty human workers (we've never actually met or talked to any of them person-to-person, so we don't feel bad paying them below a living wage and withholding payment when we can get away with it) leaving you to focus on what matters most: letting that dead possum stuck in the frayed chainlink fence grow a really interesting plant in an eyesocket.


Love it. Possum plants are the best improvement you can make to your neighborhood.


Land value taxes are generally set arbitrarily high. Localities are incentivized to set values as high as they can attempt to justify. They end up modeling what they think could be the most profitable or valuable development on the land then tax you as if that were already done.

Eventually the land ends up in the hands of the few willing and able to abuse the land to that level, prioritizing profit above all else.


If that were true it would not be the case that Detroit will be the first to do it. Land Value Taxation is a concept with a history going back to the Gilded Age when someone realized that NY's prosperity was in fact related to its higher levels of homelessness, and that that was due to the land rents that were free-riding on the economic production of the urban area, as they do to this day.


I didn't completely understand that, could you elaborate or rephrase maybe with an example? If you have time. Sounds interesting.


your first paragraph applies pretty much equally to taxing land+developments. Also, in the context of a city building to the maximum of the zoning is a good thing in nearly all instances because higher density means you need less land to provide shelter for the inhabitants and it's way, way easier to provide most services to higher density.


Property taxes that factor in existing improvements doesn't leave the owner as far behind chasing potential value that they are already being taxed for. When your tax burden is a factor of expected market value of the land plus permanent improvements they're taxing you on what you already have. When it's based on an expected optimal value of the lad they're taxing you on what *they* think your land *should* be worth if fully developed.

Assuming that higher density is always better ignores the externalities required to maintain such a system. Higher density cities require more outside inputs brought in from outside the city. Those inputs strip resources from other lands, require input to process the raw materials, and require fuel and vehicles to transport the goods into the city frequently. The city's waste must be transported and processed somewhere, again adding impacts to the environment even if those impacts aren't directly felt within city limits.

If the goal is to minimize impact, cities would only be as large and as dense as they can reasonably be self sufficient. That doesn't preclude trade between cities, states, and countries, but it does mean the city isn't entirely dependent on a constant churn of bringing in resources from elsewhere and shipping out waste.


Last two paragraphs first: You are making a logic error here. A human at a certain level of (whatever you want to call it, productivity, success, wealth, whatever) will want a certain lifestyle level and will use vastly more resources to achieve that lifestyle in a less dense city. You can see that comparing pretty much any set of cities in the world if you stratify by income and look at resource usage/co2 output/whatever. Environmental cost of importing resources is also pretty low as long as you have good transportation methods in use (i.e. shipping or train with trucks minimized). So, if you actually want minimize impact the correct thing to do is to expand and densify cities until the decrease in environmental damage per capita from increasing density equals the increase in environmental damage from importing resources. This means the best setup is a dense city with a decent resource feeder area around it, not a self sufficient area with a less dense/more suburban city.

Now for the first paragraph: This is kind of the point because maximizing use generally means more density, which means more opportunity to minimize use elsewhere. I did outline one situation that I thought was unfair and should be addressed, which is the situation where you buy land zoned one way with a much lower value only to have it zoned another way on you that makes it a lot more valuable. Other than that specific situation, I don't agree with you that your first paragraph is a problem, it's a positive feature.


I'm honestly not sure if the logical error is on me there. If a majority of people honestly believe that humans are causing serious harm to the planet and still set a high bar for a certain level of lifestyle, environmental impact be damned, I think that's the error.

As far as shipping goes, it can definitely be comparably affordable to ship in products. Though you still have to factor in costs of everything from making and maintaining those vehicles, the oil and gas that moves them, and the costs on the area that actually produced the products.

My point isn't that everything should be magically fixed with more rural living or a perfect balance of density in cities. I'm simply trying to raise the other side to point out that things aren't simple or clean enough to actually run the math on whether dense cities are better or worse at reducing impact on the environment. There are simply too many factors and hidden costs along the way to calculate accurately.


> Higher density cities require more outside inputs brought in from outside the city.

Surely, it can't possibly be that simple. Sometimes that's true, sometimes it is not. If I want fiber to my house in the country I might be paying $30k to get that line all the way to my one house whether I want 100MB/sec or 10GB/sec. In the city it might be shared with hundreds and only need to run a few yards. Same for sewage. Same for police and fire.


Oh it's definitely not simple, I don't mean to input that.

Your examples only really touch on one relevant example though, sewage. Sewage isn't really an issue in rural areas, off grid seltic systems process waste on site and more compelling systems can even compost human waste with very little effort. Modern central sewage system only exist because of dense cities, they weren't needed before that.

High speed internet is purely a convenience and really shouldn't be a concern if there's any meaningful environmental impact from it. Police and fire similarly are conveniences that may turn into necessities in highs density areas. I live in a rural area where police may show up tomorrow if I call them now and our fire is mostly volunteer.

I've never heard of anyone having real issues from either. Volunteer fire still respond quickly enough and it's amazing how much less import policing is when people are more spread out and the expectation of turning to police for every problem isn't the norm.


Your environmental footprint for transport is higher though right unless you're cycling everywhere, because you need to travel further? Which involves everything you need that you don't produce yourself. Or you're all entirely self sufficient and never leave your smallholdings? I don't mean to sound like a dick, just trying to engage :-)


Many “rural” people actually live in small towns where it is entirely possible to drive less or not at all. I certainly put less miles on our vehicles even though we have more of them and kids now vs living in “the big city”.

However if all you ever do is drive to the big city I can see how that would take more time and distance.


There is a lot of room between being entirely self sufficient and minimizing impact. Simply "needing" less goes a very long way to reducing impact.


Yes! And we can home school kids, hunt and fish and fix our own broken bones like they show in the movies. Just need alcohol for the pain (grow your own moonshine?).


Sure, more people should have the opportunity to gone school their children and hunting, fishing, and foraging is a great way to feed your family with less environmental impact. Knowing how to set a bone is great in an emergency, but I wouldn't recommend leaning only on that if you have other options. Alcohol does work for pain, though be careful with moonshine as poorly stilled liquor can have nasty side effects.


Resources are for a certain quality of life are the same regardless of location. Unless, you are willing to for a lower quality of lifestyle.

These resources can be transported to high density living, or spread out across 100x - 1000x area. Which do you think is more efficient?

Building roads, water, electricity costs millions/mile. All this must be built before you even think about shipping resources to support. Then services (schools, hospitals, dentist) -- all of these and services only make sense at scale.


Like some other comments, I am intrigued to hear other examples where LVTs have been set arbitrarily high.


Vacant lot tax? Oh no, as you can see I put a shed there.


I think the same tax should be on vacant rental properties. If you're still sitting on a rental property after 6 months to a year, you're charging too much for it since its apparently above market rate. At the very least you shouldn't be able to claim write off the loss on your taxes past a certain period. Maybe depreciation is another thing that should be fixed.


Pretty sure you can't write off missing rent as a business loss.

Depreciation definitely needs to be fixed. You shouldn't be able to claim 3% of a structures value as business loss every year, without some sort of evidence that you will actually tear down the structure in 33 years. And perhaps after it has been counted as depreciated once, future owners shouldn't be allowed to deduct the depreciation either.


Well most structures will need repairs and updates over 33 years. Materials degrade for instance one the most common roofing materials asphalt shingles depending on the style has a life time of about 20 to 30 years. You also have things like heating and cooling system and such (they don't last forever) Plus just generally wear and tear and things like carpet that eventually just become and nasty and needs replaced.

Let alone things just getting dated.

If you look at typical house most of the labor and expense for materials is in the finishing not the rough structure like the framing. Look at the price of 8 ft 1x4 trim piece compared to just 8' 2x4 despite the 2x4 having twice the amount of wood. Then look at what generally needs to be replaced its not the framing unless the building was neglected or poorly built.


Depreciation isn’t free money, and the IRS isn’t giving you anything over time.

It might appear they are, but if you properly account for everything it’s not tremendously advantageous.

And it reduces your cost basis also, which means you pay more tax when selling unless you have other ways of avoiding that.


I'm intrigued by this. In the UK depreciation is reversed out in tax calculations and replaced by capital allowances. I don't think there are capital allowances for residential buildings.


Im curious why depreciation has tax implications, what was the intention


Equalization of tax burden and transparency in reporting. To put it very simply: when you buy a thing you spend money and gain value. No change in books. Then after some time you sell said thing for generally less and experience sharp loss. Think of P&L report of a public company. Such maneuver will artificially increase profits during ownership and deflate, potentially up to incurring book loss, them in period of sale. Depreciation/amortization simply spreads this loss of value over the period of ownership. Tax implications are mostly incidental and come from reporting.


It's because the 'value' of something (eg a machine) is 'used up' over time until eg the machine eventually wears out and needs replacing.

Depreciation reflects that the asset's value is used up over time by allowing the owner to deduct part of its value each period to reflect the reduction in asset value in their financial statements.


Such a tax may result in the land having a negative value, meaning you cannot even give it away.


> LVT addresses property speculators that buy land to sit on it for 10 years and do nothing with it.

Didn’t Detroit raze the lots in the first place, since they considered an empty lot to be better than one with a decaying house? I really doubt many of these lots will ever actually be developed to any reasonable extent, since they aren’t exactly in nice areas. And likewise I bet there won’t be many people dying to buy these lots either. My guess is the city will be taking ownership of a decent amount of land in the not-so-distant future.


Some of the 'nicest' areas of UK cities are redevelopments of some of the worst areas. Just because they are not nice now does not stop them being nice later.


I think you might be underestimating just how bad parts of Detroit are.


Yeah... "not nice" doesn't really describe it. "Ruin" is the better word for the condition of a lot of the lots. Search for "Ruins of detroit" to get an idea of what we're talking about. (Although a lot of the image results will be focused on large buildings, there are plenty that show what the smaller lots look like.)


I think you are underestimating the difference being in range of German bombing has made to our respective countries attitude to urban resilience, and to the other commenter, our attitude to real ruins. Detroit has but a flesh wound.


Here's a good example of how empty those razed lots are

https://maps.app.goo.gl/3XA5JtEn9xmfk3g16


I wish they would do that here. Our nearest city has tons of derelict and decaying buildings that sit on the books of faceless organisations far away staffed by people who've never set eyes on them, and don't have to live in the resulting s** hole next to them.


A project I worked on a while back highlighted the problem of speculation in Detroit’s land market.

https://umdearborn.edu/news/mapping-detroit-new-tool-aims-id...


> With LVT they have to either pay up, develop it, or sell it

Not quite.

They have to pay up while they own the land.

They can develop it in ways that may generate revenue sufficient to cover the tax (e.g. a landlord-developer)

They can develop it in ways that won't generate revenue, but that satisfies their own goals, and pay the tax from some other source (e.g. a homeowner)

They can sell it to drop the tax liability.


You just agreed with the parent.

The carry cost has gone up, forcing action!


If the carry cost is too high, who would buy the land?

The thing missing from the above scenarios is:

Owner can't afford the tax, can't find renters, can't find a buyer, so just walks away. This is why so many properties are vacant now. The owners just walked away.


Imagine a scenario where land purchase prices hover very close to $0. This is the end result of an effective LVT.

It means that you only pay for the structures, or the cost to remove a blighted structure, etc. It makes real estate more liquid, and allows more people to try their hand at development without having a massive land bank worth millions of dollars.

It decentralizes these decisions and lets more local players get involved. It rewards those who are productive, and encourages those who are squatting on resources to let somebody else give it a shot.


$0 is too high. With high enough taxes it easily can be -$1000 per acre or lower!


The land is nearly free now. You can't build things in Detroit and make a profit, construction costs outweigh sale price or possible rents.


The point is, currently if you build things then you pay higher tax. The current tax structure disincentivizes building things. We don't know what people would build without that disincentive - maybe still nothing, as you are suggesting.


> The point is, currently if you build things then you pay higher tax.

You're missing THE point.

Your comment is too general.

1. You'll only pay higher taxes if your ratio of land/improvements is above a threshold (TBD).

2. The article says that the proposed change would lower taxes for 95+% of the population.


...the land value then drops. That drop is reflected in the cost of the LVT. A value is found that works for someone.


You're skipping a few steps. Tax lien/default sale would reset the land value.

> This is why so many properties are vacant now.

In Detroit...?

People don't walk away because they can't afford taxes. It's because any dollar spent is negative NPV!


Or default in it and burden the city further. I’ve got a small plot of land (not Detroit) that I can’t seem to give away.


This argument has often confused me when so many people are concerned with global warming. Why should a city incentive land owners to develop and commoditize their land?

If we want to reduce human impacts on the planet, why not incentive the opposite and incentive leaving the land natural?

Land value taxes prioritize GDP and profit above all else. Isn't that how we got into this mess in the first place?


Human beings have to live somewhere and gathering them together in a small urban footprint is better for the climate, not worse.


How do those small urban footprints survive though? They bring in outside resources, external zing the impact elsewhere and adding in the cost of transporting goods into and waste out of the urban centers.

There isn't a magic answer to it, but simply saying dense areas use less footprint for shelter ignores all the other necessities and conveniences consumed by the people living there.


5 single-family homes will consume the same amount of food and water as 5 units in a few duplexes or a five-over-one. The SFHs will consume more energy for heating and cooling (related to larger footprints) and use more resources to send power and water (larger distances to send power and water.) An SFH consumes more resources than a multifamily-housing unit holding the same number of people.


That really does entirely depend on the size and style of the SFH, location on the land, lifestyle, etc.

Single family homes are often easier to power off-grid with solar if that's on the table, though again with regards to externalities the solar power equipment likely sends those costs to multiple countries on the other side of the planet.


They would still use more energy in total, since flats insulate themselves to a certain extent due to having less outside walls & tend to be smaller requiring less energy to heat the space. You can also power flats with renewable energy. At this point less total energy is good regardless.


Suburbs also bring in outside resources. The difference is that distributing those resources and collecting waste within the city is less costly than distributing resources and collecting waste within the suburb.


Suburbs may very well be the worst of both worlds, being more spread out but still not spread out enough to be fairly self sufficient.


Almost nobody are or want to be "fairly self sufficient". The proportion of people even trying are a rounding error.


Spread-out suburbs require more heating, transportation infrastructure, and more physical land to exist than alternatives. You can argue for them based on other gactors, but they use more resources, full stop.


Spread out rural housing does not mean less transport to bring in outside resources, but vastly more because most goods are still "outside resources" even if you literally live on a farm, and most people don't.


Yes but the sewage from a block of flats takes less transportation for the equivalent amount of people living in suburbs with thousands of square m for a single house


LVT doesn't encourage infinite development on all land - it encourages the efficient use of land.

If you replaced property taxes with land value taxes and held revenue equal:

For rural areas, not much would change. Land is cheap and taxes would remain low.

For suburban areas, there would be a moderate shift in tax burden. People with homes on large plots of land would pay more; people with homes on smaller plots of land would pay less.

For urban areas, the changes would be drastic. Because land is limited in urban cores and appreciates in value every year, there's an absurd amount of speculation. An LVT would discourage this by making it costly to hold onto undeveloped or underdeveloped land just for future price gains. As a result, we could expect a surge in the development of vacant or underutilized plots, leading to a potential increase in housing availability and a decrease in rental prices. This would both alleviate housing shortages and reduce the speculative bubbles that can distort urban real estate markets.


With %100 LVT, city will be owner of most land in 1 year. With 10% LVT - in 10 years. Value based tax means that value is transferred from owner to a new owner no matter what. Owner is just working for a new owner.


From memory, the Georgist belief is that whoever collects the tax will spend it, and the spending will distribute the value in a way which is...not necessarily equal, but is closer to equality than the status quo was.

The wealth transfer is a feature rather than a bug, in this case. Speculators sitting on unimproved or underutilised land are seen as literal rent-seekers, and taxing them is seen as reclaiming a natural monopoly at the same time as removing the leeches who're sucking up big chunks of a city's growth.


Well, property taxes in my city are around 1% currently. Does that mean the city will own 100% of land in 100 years? Probably not. For lots of reasons.


That applies to any kind of work currently also..


From a climate perspective, cities should incentivize people to develop their land into dense/efficient usages because urban dwellers have the lowest per capita environmental impact. The alternative is suburban or rural dwelling which requires more resources and more duplication.


Duplication often leads to resilience in a system, and can lower the infrastructure required since the centralized resources aren't being shipped across the country.

Optimizing for profit in urban land use excludes the production of raw materials almost entirely. Meaning that raw materials have to be grown or raised elsewhere, transported into the city, and the waste has to be removed afterward.

Wouldn't it be more beneficial purely from an environmental angle to produce more food and resources in the urban areas to minimize external costs? And if so, wouldn't the current system disincentivize this in favor of higher profit per square foot businesses, regardless of the environmental impact?


> Why should a city incentive land owners to develop and commoditize their land?

Because otherwise newcomers are stuck paying high rents to people who got there first, causing misery and impoverishing young people to the benefit of the old. And when young people lack opportunity, violence happens.

> why not incentive the opposite and incentive leaving the land natural?

We do. All over the place. But for the cost of a square mile of Central London being natural, we could have a dozen square miles of natural land just 50 miles away. Because way more people want to live in Central London than a commuter town.


Generally, land is valuable (and therefore under this scheme highly taxed) because people want to live there. And if they can't live there, they'll live somewhere else, likely involving a longer commute that is worse for the environment.


Wanting to live somewhere and reducing climate impact are different though. If you build a city full of dense housing, where does all the food and water come from? Or the electricity, furniture, and clothing?

Costs can be externalized, but at the environment level they still exist even if outside the city of consumers. It's also often the case that externalizing those costs adds even more impact as the product has to be shipped in and the waste shipped back out.


> If you build a city full of dense housing, where does all the food and water come from? Or the electricity, furniture, and clothing?

I don't understand your argument. Are you saying that people that don't live in cities don't consume, or consume less of, food, water, electricity, furniture and clothing?

> It's also often the case that externalizing those costs adds even more impact as the product has to be shipped in and the waste shipped back out.

They have to be shipped to fewer places and thus save resources. The only way what you are saying makes any sense is either if shipping things to more places somehow save resources or if people that don't live in cities don't need anything shipped.


In general rural areas are poorer, and poorer people consume less.

It may be true from a theoretical viewpoint, but in general cities are richer and consume more.


It's still more efficient for a single factory to fell 20 trees and produce 20 chairs than it is for 20 people to fell their own tree and produce their own chair. Not to mention one person can't specialise enough to produce everything to the same standard as someone who does the same thing all day long, or an automated process which is optimised to do that exact thing at scale.


> I happen to think it's interesting, but for reasons unrelated to the article-- it's kinda goofy for the state to tax personal property that happens to be fixed to a location, like a fireplace, stained glass window or chandelier.

The 'goofiness' is on purpose: you tend to get less of what you tax. Most taxes are taxes on some kind of economic activity.

The supply of land is fixed, so you can tax it all you want without impacting economic activity, like working a job or investing capital or even just shopping.

> [...] even if the connection to Detroit's problems is very unclear.

Detroit suffers from a lack of economic activity.


I think that unyttigfjelltol was saying that taxing the value of improvements is goofy, not LVT. The comment was in favor of LVT.


Thanks, that makes sense!


>even if the connection to Detroit's problems is very unclear.

Child of lifelong Detroiter here. iirc a big problem in detroit is some ultra wealth like Matty Moroun owning a huge portion of the land and just sitting on it, doing nothing with it. If that's still true, the LVT makes plenty of sense.


Property taxes can apply to all types of property. The idea is the more valuable the property, the more expensive it is for the state to defend it for you (via police, etc.)

In practice, real estate is the 20x more valuable than any other personal property, so it doesn't make sense to tax anything else. Cars are subject to a registration fee.

If you own expensive business machinery, that may be subject to tax in some states. My county also taxes boats and airplanes.


You have to pay personal property tax on pretty much anything with a motor in Missouri. It's how they sell the population on low land property taxes.


My state levies taxes on businesses for the address they are leasing/renting, based on some estimation of the value of the "stuff" in it.


What's the tax used for, though?

In many places a large part of what property tax is for is things like roads, water, sewer, police, fire, and schools.

For most of those how much money is needed for them depends a lot more on what is on the land than on the land itself. E.g., the amount of sewer capacity needed for a lot is proportional to the number of people who live on the lot. It thus seems sensible to have a tax that includes as a factor what is built on the lot.


I think the idea is those roads and sewers have the same capacity downtown whether next to an apartment building or a surface-level parking lot. There will be the same number of lanes, street lamps, sidewalks, etc.

I would go further and actually argue that you need more road and sewer capacity because someone inserted a blank patch of land between dense areas.

The tax is an incentive to develop when the land's value is high. The city is basically saying that you have an obligation to build something useful or sell the land to someone who will.

I'm interested to see what happens. I'm hopeful that it will be good for urbanization.

Surrounding towns will probably not do LVT, which will also be interesting.


It’s system length that’s the bigger cost. If people are disincentivized from developing land, then the result is sprawl, with far greater infrastructure costs due to the enormous system lengths. Same goes for road costs, police, fire, schools, etc.


Of your list, only police and schools are (probably) driven by people rather than land area. Fire stations are decided by distances to stations, which is why any actual fire sees enormous overkill response (finally a chance to use the toys!)

Surface streets are obviously proportional to land area. So are water and sewage infrastructure, and they're massively more expensive than streets. As others have pointed out, water treatment and supply are handled by usage charges.


The rest are different, but in the several US localities I've lived in, water and sewer are paid as separate metered services. (Only the water is metered, the sewer is billed proportionally to the water usage.)


It's easy to charge a use fee for wastewater (my city bills based on water consumption). If the demand for a service increases dramatically, it's likely practical to make more of it available.


What happens to a lot with an old gas station with leaky tanks? The land is ruined. Land is not fungible.


The LVT was originally envisioned for exactly this scenario, but for agrarian settings.

What happens when there are different agricultural fields with different productivity? Where does economic rent come from in that situation? Ricardo saw LVT as a way to make agriculture fair when some land is fantastic, and other land has very few economic upsides.

Land with environmental problems is like land with a structure with negative value on it. People are still really good at valuing this. Check out home sales of the small 1000sqft cottages in Palo Alto that go for millions; the sale price is pretty much always exactly the cost of the land minus the cost to tear down the cottage.

Gas spills will function similarly.


> The land is ruined

And so the value of the land is less and the LVT drops along with it.

Of course for someone planning on putting another service station there maybe not...


The land can go negative in value; does the LVT start paying you at that point?

But that would make the land valuable again …

It’s quite possible to have a plot of land (especially in more rural areas) that is “worth” $10k but has state mandated cleanup required that costs $60k.


That sounds like a really, really good idea because it would shift tax burden from people that have done socially positive things in a city context like adding population density building multiresidential and shift it to people leaving dead zones of low density decrepit garbage. On the theory of making things you don't want cost more and incentivizing things you do want my making them cost less, that's a great idea. My only concern would be rezoning land into a higher tax bracket causing distress to the original owner, which they could do by grandfathering zoning for tax purposes until a property is sold.


> Tax a house on a foundation; no tax for a house on wheels?

Most states do tax mobile homes, they just classify them as vehicles. Whether that actually makes a difference in the tax rate depends on the state.


Is the tax just a function of area or does it account for location as well?


LVT doesn’t punish people for making improvements to their homes.


Land value taxes don't factor in improvements. Improving the land results in no property tax change, so they incentivize doing more useful things with the land.


I've gone back and forth on LVT, but don't currently support it.

The problem is determining what the land is worth. If you use a periodic market-based auction system (the only known way that could possibly yield accurate prices), then you give the government and the wealthy extraordinary power to kick people out of their residences, even ones in which the tenants built the house. Good for the collective perhaps, but terrible for individual autonomy. This could be mitigated by auctioning off longer length (~say 30 year) leases, but you can end up with huge value mismatches after 30 years of change, just like today, and I suspect there would be other unintended consequences. For example, things wouldn't be built to last, they'd be built to generate as much value as possible before the lease is auctioned off again.

And even then, you haven't really determined what the land is worth, since any rational auction participant is considering how much money can be made with the existing improvements on the property.

That being said, I hope they do try it in Detroit, since I have no stake in the city and it seems like it has more to gain than to lose from such an experiment.


You have the same problem with property taxes, no?

Usually that is solved by various measure to slow down the tax increases for existing homeowners - which can be good or bad, depending on whether you're a homeowner or somebody looking for a home.


No, there's a big difference. If someone bought a house and gets priced out of the house due to massive increases in value in the neighborhood and overall market, they reap the rewards of selling the house, because they owned the property. I don't believe tax increases should be slowed like they are in California -- that's a big part of the housing problem IMO.

Whereas in an LVT system, a person just gets priced out as the neighborhood increases in value with nothing to show for it, even if they spent money to build or improve the house.


No, you are wrong. The two cases are analogous. Under a LVT, if their tax goes up, it's because their land became more valuable. So when they sell they get more money. And under a LVT, if they spend money to build or improve a house, then they also get a benefit when they sell for a corresponding higher price. It's just that those improvements would not be reflected in a higher tax bill.


Sell what to who? Isn't everyone a lessor under Georgism?

I don't see how having regular auctions to determine what the land is actually worth is compatible with true land ownership. You auction the land to determine the tax, someone pays more than the current lessor, then that highest bidder gets to lease the land from the government and kick out the old lessor. Where does ownership of land and ability to sell it and profit from improvements come into play?

Unless you are in the Georgism-lite camp that says no auctions, just let government appraisers put value on the land as they do today and base the property tax on that exclusively instead of the current combined property tax. In this case you still have property ownership/buying/selling, which is far superior. I think the pros could outweigh the cons in limited situations, specifically downtown metro areas. But you have to accept a lot of bad pricing in this scenario, because these are the same assessors who allow all of those single story parking lots to profitably exist in downtown metros throughout the country.

These appraisers would all of a sudden wield huge influence, and one appraiser's opinion of the value of being near trendy shops or a park or a waterfront could vary significantly from another's. At least now they can use market data from similar properties to come to a tax assessment, since the tax is being assessed on the full value of the property.


> I don't see how having regular auctions to determine what the land is actually worth is compatible with true land ownership. You auction the land to determine the tax, someone pays more than the current lessor, then that highest bidder gets to lease the land from the government and kick out the old lessor. Where does ownership of land and ability to sell it and profit from improvements come into play?

Nobody's actually suggesting randomly auctioning off people's land at periodic time intervals.

You're arguing with ghosts.


> Nobody's actually suggesting randomly auctioning off people's land at periodic time intervals

You might be surprised if you visit r/georgism.

But the point is that if you don't do auctions, you don't know how to price the LVT, and you don't actually know if the resulting inefficiencies are more significant than the core problem with taxing productive land use that Georgism tries to address.

> You're arguing with ghosts.

You're selectively arguing with a fraction of a comment.


Implementation is also the only aspect that makes me question LVT, otherwise I'm pretty much sold (not an unimportant aspect it is).

Wrt "even ones in which the tenants built the house": For me the baseline of implementing LVT is that ppl don't have to pay it for their primary housing (or a much lowered version of it). Is that controversial?


That addresses one issue, but I think you end up with similar (or worse) problems we have now w.r.t. housing density, where someone keeps their dingy old single story house in a valuable up and coming downtown neighborhood because they gain nothing by leaving it. At least in our current system, they can sell the property for a big profit if they aren't stubborn. This might even slow down densification more, since the only way rational people will leave land of increasing value is dying.

Overall, I think there are so many impracticalities and second-order problems with implementing LVT that it seems like nothing more than a fantasy mental exercise.


I think that would be the way to start an implementation - have a generous enough homestead allowance that it really only affects investors and commercial interests.

Of course, remember that apartment buildings are commercial businesses…

Also excluding homesteads destroys the public schools, because they’re often in areas that really only have houses and a Walmart or two, and if the entire property tax burden is transferred to the Walmart it’ll just close.


> If you use a periodic market-based auction system (the only known way that could possibly yield accurate prices)

This system wouldn't work, because you would be measuring the property value not land value


Exactly, there's no way to separate the value of the land from the value of existing improvements.


Don’t improvements in nearby plots change the value of a plot of land?


Yes, by design. One major goal is to prevent a landowner from squatting on an empty lot while their neighbors build prosperity around it. The "squatter" then cashes in, having done nothing themselves. "Everyone works but the empty lot" is the commonly used phrase.

The goal of an LVT is to insulate a landowner's tax bill from being affected by their own improvements. Its anti-goal is to insulate a landowner from changes in land use around them.


Another benefit is that it encourages more efficient use of land. Existing taxes mean that if you demolish a high density retail strip and replace it with a McDonald’s or Walmart with large parking lot/drive thru, the tax income plummets while the cost to maintain the roads and plumbing remains the same.


Just to be clear: land value taxes by themselves don't encourage more efficient use of land. Removing taxes on improvements (and on capital and labour) encourages more efficient use of land, and a land value tax can help finance those other tax reductions.


It’s just strange phrasing that improvements increase the value of adjacent land but not the land they’re on.


It increases the value of both equally


Think of it as part of a communist plan and you'll see the why and who start to make sense.


True enough. It doesn't factor in land improvements directly into the calculations, but it could be affected indirectly by whatever the market seems something to be improving the neighborhood in general.


Land in Detroit is cheap already. This sounds like a way for investors to build big things and not increase their tax bill.


It's a very important question to ask: how big should the investor's bill be? For labor, for durable goods, for energy, etc., the investor pays in proportion to what they have taken from others.

But what has the investor taken from the public when they build? The best possible answer, in my opinion, is the value of the land they occupy. This exclusive use of a portion of land deprived all others from using it. That is the value of the land, and there are roughly two sources of that value: proximity to all the other things that others have built, or access to natural resources. And importantly, the investor is not the source of that land value, that comes from society as a whole or from nature.

So that's why the land value is an appropriate object of taxation: it's a payment to us all for what we have been deprived of. A person who builds a massive structure of great value on a piece of land has built that structure, but they didn't build the land or the bounty that the land provides.


Yes, that's exactly the idea. We have a problem in the US where many metro areas do not have enough housing, in part because building big things is penalized by the tax code. By changing the tax code to not penalize construction, we hope to get more construction.


Detroit still has more houses than people wanting to live there.


This is a great situation in which to use an LVT.

Shifting the tax burden from homeowners and productive businesses onto idle land holders means that those that drive the community will penalize investment less and use limited resources in more effective ways.

Efficiency helps the wealthy, but it can help those with less even more, as it matters more.


How many of those houses are on the fringes, and how many are in the CBD? If there's a vacant plot next to the town hall then it doesn't really matter how many vacant houses are a 1-hour drive out, that town-hall adjacent plot is being wasted.


> How many of those houses are on the fringes, and how many are in the CBD?

Take a look for yourself[0]. This is just outside of the downtown area. Loads of vacant lots. This is theoretically prime real estate, and would be ripe for development. The problem is, it's the fucking hood and no one wants to live there. Detroit emptied out over the decades and those empty lots _used_ to be decaying crack houses. So several years ago Detroit had them leveled to reduce blight. Now they're whining that people are just "speculating" by sitting on the empty land. If there was even the slightest hint that developing this land made sense economically, someone would have done it by now. It's just too convenient to the downtown area. And yet, no one has. Perhaps there's more at play than just people trying to sit on empty land.

0: https://www.google.com/maps/place/Detroit,+MI/@42.3370378,-8...


Maybe property tax should be inversely related to improvements, considering that improved land generates tax revenue in other ways, e.g. wage tax, sales tax, etc.


Then you have to come up with a way to evaluate the improvements, which might be tricky and subjective

It seems easier to just have a land value tax, so you don’t specifically disincentivize development. Then, you can spend that tax money to provide services that promote the other stuff: beautify downtown and add public transit, that sort of thing.


That's quite hard to measure.

Build a 200 unit apartment complex in an area with a housing problem and jobs currently unfilled ... yep.

Build a gigantic house to be occupied by a single very wealthy family .. not so much.

But how to measure the difference? The simple market value of the improvements is not going to be accurate.


A lot of property taxes go to funding schools, so...more housing = more kids = more money need to educate them. It is nice that they use property taxes from businesses as well, but to completely detach the education need formulas from tax formulas sounds really dangerous.


Surely more housing also means more working adults and more taxable income, so this could be handled with a local income tax.


Are any school districts outside of Prop 13 California funded by primarily income or sales tax? But ya, you would need to do something like that if you were to tax land rather than improvements given schools, police, and lots of infrastructure needs scale up with improvements.


Agreed. I’m only familiar with Texas and Texas schools are funded with property tax with some redistribution to poorer districts.

I think a local income tax is the correct way to handle it theoretically but I don’t know any specific examples.


A significant part of the educational budget of the US comes from federal funds and federal funds are almost entirely income taxes (some other sources exist).


Most schools receive very little funding from the federal government. Maybe the poorest school districts this makes up a significant part of their funding, but for most school districts it doesn't.


> In 2021, state and local governments in the United States collected about 630.21 billion U.S. dollars via property taxes.

> In FY 2023, the Department of Education (ED) had $271.01 Billion distributed among its 10 sub-components.

Maybe they just burn that quarter trillion, but I suspect it ends up in the districts eventually.


Here is a good breakdown of funding in CA:

https://peecs.net/2021/03/10/how-are-california-school-budge...

So federal is...7%?


The problem is that federal grants often go through the state, so some percentage of "state" may source from the feds.

Of course it's all academic in a way, because money is fungible.


The table implies funding origins via taxes (local vs. state taxes, for example). I don't think any ED money is going to CA first before going to the districts. CA is also a special case where more funding is state level (due to Prop 13).


Giving investors a greater incentive to build big things is the exact point


They factor in both your improvements and all the improvements around you.

If if someone in your neighborhood repaints their house, your land becomes more desirable. This is true for you and others!


They don't directly factor in improvements, but the improvements are generally why land value increases/decreases.


As the community grows in population, it behooves people to establish businesses to serve their various needs. This creates prosperity for all those business owners and employees who provide services to maintain and improve their homes, provide them with groceries and entertainment and restaurants and pharmacies. The provision of good transit increases the land value close to its stations; the provision of a highway to higher paying jobs increases the land value close to its exits.

The provision of good emergency services and hospitals and libraries and other amenities raises the land values within their service areas. (They don't raise the value of the buildings.)


Property tax: The more of your money you invest into your property, the more you pay for taxes (punishing investment)

Land value tax: Your tax is unchanged on how much you invest in your properties. A rundown parking lot pays the same amount of tax as the next door skyscraper (encouraging development of limited, high value land, and punishing lazy speculation).

Land value tax is a simple, elegant way to incentivize more (and more efficient) economic development.


> Property tax: The more of your money you invest into your property, the more you pay for taxes (punishing investment)

> Land value tax: Your tax is unchanged on how much you invest in your properties. A rundown parking lot pays the same amount of tax as the next door skyscraper (encouraging development of limited, high value land, and punishing lazy speculation).

The problem with this analysis of a land value tax is that the value of the lot next to the skyscraper depends on the improvements of the skyscraper lot. This is in addition to the 'inherent' value of being downtown.

If we assume the skyscraper is the highest and best use of the land, it would then appear that both the skyscraper land owner and the parking lot land owner are being charged based on the investments made on the skyscraper lot.

Now, how are market prices determined? Overall, investors and lenders wish to maximize a return on investment. Indeed, property appraisals explicitly consider the highest and best use of a property in determining its market value.

So I am unclear how the explicit taxation of land value and improvement value that exists currently causes differences in behavior from the land value tax system you outlined.


> So I am unclear how the explicit taxation of land value and improvement value that exists currently causes differences in behavior from the land value tax system you outlined.

Land with a skyscraper already on it and land next to a skyscraper have related but not equal market values. Switching from a tax on market value to a tax on land value rewards the the owner who developed their land and punishes the owner who didn't.


> Land with a skyscraper already on it and land next to a skyscraper have related but not equal market values.

I agree! But in appraisals that I have seen, there is an effort to assess the highest and best use of a parcel as well as a break-out of the value of the land associated with a parcel.

If the highest and best use of a parcel is a skyscraper, a sale of the parcel should occur near the valuation of skyscrapers in that area. If there is no skyscraper on the parcel, the sale should occur near the valuation of land that has the possibility to be turned into a skyscraper.

> Switching from a tax on market value to a tax on land value rewards the the owner who developed their land and punishes the owner who didn't.

I agree that the owner who built the skyscraper is being penalized (but also, the owner would not have created a sksyscraper if the underwriting did not show the endeavor would be profitable).

However, both land owners are being taxed on land value; one is also being taxed on the improvements on the land. It would seem that the land value of both parcels should be the same.


> It would seem that the land value of both parcels should be the same.

Yes, the land value is the same. lets say the Land value is $1 million each and the skyscraper is worth $1 million. Lets say property taxes are 1% under the current system:

0.01 * 2,000,000 = $20,000/year for skyscraper plot

0.01 * 1,000,000 = $10,000/year for vacant plot

There's a total of $30,000 per year in income so we have to equalize our LVT to match. a 1.5% LVT gives us:

0.015 * 1,000,000 = $15,000/year for skyscraper plot

0.015 * 1,000,000 = $15,000/year for vacant plot

The owner will evaluate building a skyscraper against investing in some other venture unrelated to the land. Under Property Tax, investing that $1 million into his property adds a -1% to his projected yearly returns that isn't present for other investments that $1 million is competing for. That discourages development even if the skyscraper would have been profitable.


Yes, we are on the same page the whole way.

My question is why we need to reframe our extant system as a 'land value tax.' This proposition suggests that we should give concessions to developers in areas where there is a need for more development. But this already happens!

I guess I don't know why we should avoid taxing the value of revenue-generating assets if they are fixed. Buying a truck for a landscaping business is an taxable purchase. Why should this be different when the asset is fixed?


Ahh, I think I get what you're saying now.

For "This proposition suggests that we should give concessions to developers in areas where there is a need for more development."

Development is a good thing. Maintaining your house or property, improving it, developing businesses are all good things. I'm not sure we should restrict these things to "areas where there is a need for more development". I don't want to live next to someone who has a rotting ruin of a house, who didn't maintain their place in order to pay less in taxes.

Someone maintaining their roof isn't a developer, and isn't going to be making money from their investment but they still pay more in taxes because they do it. They always won't get any government concessions or subsidies to do it (in general).

Similarly, a small business owner usually does not get concessions for starting their business. Usually they instead have to pay extra for permitting and such.

The parking lot owner next the skyscraper, however, gets FREE value from the skyscraper construction - essentially leaching off of another's productivity.

As for the argument how we SHOULD be taxing assets ... every tax takes money from the economy, and some ways of doing that are "better" than others, in that they result in more desired outcomes. LVT seems to provide better outcomes than other ways of taxation.


Land prices go up when poeple have more mooney and go down when people have less. The root cause is that land is unique in the economy because it both cannot be manufactured and cannot be moved. Each piece of land is therefore unique and no one can increase supply in response to demand. Renting or purchasing land is essentially an auction and the price is set by the highest bidder. Economists call this a "monopoly price" because it's the same effect you would get if someone has a monopoly and can raise prices at will. This is in contrast to competitive prices which sink lower and lower until they bump up against the actual cost of getting the work done to provide that product or service.

Land value is therefore a really weird part of the economy that allows people to charge money without doing any work or providing any value in return. If we confiscate all the money people charge to rent or buy land, nothing changes because no work was ever happening. The land is still there and still just as useful. Contrast that with anything where work is actually done - the industry would collapse if you confiscate the money. Taxing land value therefore allows the government to reclaim the money which those people should not be able to charge in the first place (if there was free market competition). When this happens, counter-intuitively, land prices do not rise (because the highest bid in the auction doesn't change) and there is no negative affect on production or jobs (because no one is employed to manufacture or maintain land). We know this because economic theory predicts it and various countries have already tried it. Instead, other taxes can be cut or eliminated due to the enourmous boost in government income, which has very positive effects on the rest of the economy. Understanding how this works is deeply counter-intuitive and so people usually think that a shortage of buildings is driving property/land values because it's easy to make sense of.

To directly answer your question: if you tax the land value as set by the current market, you don't have to worry about assessing other factors that SHOULD lead to higher taxes because the people trying to buy the land have already done that. That's why they are offering a higher price. It's simple and therefore cheap and easy to administer. Also essentially immune to tax dodging because you can't hide the asset.


> Land value is therefore a really weird part of the economy that allows people to charge money without doing any work or providing any value in return. If we confiscate all the money people charge to rent or buy land, nothing changes because no work was ever happening. The land is still there and still just as useful. Contrast that with anything where work is actually done - the industry would collapse if you confiscate the money. Taxing land value therefore allows the government to reclaim the money which those people should not be able to charge in the first place

You say they shouldn’t be able to charge for it, but instead of disallowing it you just change the beneficiary?


Given it's an auction mechanism, it's hard to stop people offering to pay for the land they want. The options seem to be either allowing that money to flow into private hands so someone gets a free lunch, or to capture it as tax, enabling all other taxes to be reduced or eliminated. The latter seems fairer to me as it eliminates the free lunch and keeps people's earnings in their own pockets via e.g. eliminating income tax.


Since other comments already mention Georgism, here's a related piece of trivia:

The game Monopoly was originally called The Landlord's Game and meant to demonstrated the issues of land monopolism.

It was created by Lizzie Magie, a designer and political activist: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lizzie_Magie

Another (somewhat more niche) piece of trivia: (80s-90s) Poland had its own version of Monopoly called Eurobiznes/Eurobusiness: https://pl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eurobusiness


I've heard tell of a parallel set of rules where the game is cooperative instead of competative, I would love to play that.


Existing tax policies focus on the current market value of the land. Compared to a land value tax, existing tax policies under assess poorly used land or vacant land and the owners pay much less in taxes. This encourages speculation and discourages productive use.

The assessor can't the change the share of land vs structure unfairly any more than they can increase the assessed value unfairly. A homeowner can protest the assessment and provide comparable sales and other estimates that show a more objective split of value.

Michigan property taxes are interesting in another way, they have had issues with "dark store" restrictive covenants for commercial and industrial real estate. Basically the owner of a large commercial building argues the land/building has very little value on the open market, it is a single use building with restrictive covenants that prevent an alternative use. These restrictive covenants prevent the land from being sold to their main competitors, and these restrictive covenants are self imposed.


Agreed - the many counties in the US already have a portion of the property tax bill coming from a land value tax/Georgianism.

California property tax bills have two components [1][2]:

- structure/improvement assessed value

- land value assessed value

The land value component is re-accessed frequently and changes based on comparables (presumably but its mostly black box).

The question is to what degree/portion of Georgianism to apply and what to do when the land value component starts going up infinitely that its starts hurting the electorate.

Do you introduce alternative tax sources (i.e. income)? Do you introduce caps on annual land value increases or add a bunch of waivers for specific use cases (i.e. primary homes, day cares)?

Or do you just stick with the unrelenting assessed value increases and go free market/no pain no gain/survival of the fittest on the electorate?

Basically Texas is basically the US experiment closest to pure Georgianism.

[1] https://www.propertytax.lacounty.gov/Home/AnnualSecuredPrope...


You're forgetting the critical 3rd component of California property tax bills: Prop 13.


Perhaps my response was a bit long but I did attempt to address it. Perhaps I can elaborate:

The question is to what degree/portion of Georgianism to apply and what to do when the land value component starts going up infinitely that its starts hurting the electorate.

- Do you introduce alternative tax sources (i.e. increase income taxes on billionaires instead as in California)?

- Do you introduce caps on annual land value increases (i.e. Prop 13 as in California) or add a bunch of waivers for specific use cases (i.e. primary homes also know as the homestead exception, day cares as they are starting to do in Texas)?


Exceptions are a bad idea, and as bad ideas tend to go, popular with voters.

Exempting by use, like primary homes or day cares, now means that the government is in the business of snooping on you to make sure that the primary home you declare is also your actual primary home. You also give well-off people with a bigger primary home (or owning a home at all instead of renting) a big tax break. Welfare for the well-off is not an efficient use of funds.

> - Do you introduce alternative tax sources (i.e. increase income taxes on billionaires instead as in California)?

If you do that, you lower your land value tax take. (Of course, if you already already sabotaged your land value tax base via exemption and limits, as per your second point, then bad decisions beget more bad decisions and special taxes on billionaires seem like a good idea..)


I generally agree with LVT/Georgianism in principal.

However in reality its a difficult ask to have all people purchasing single family homes to be able to build a 40 year financial model/projection of a regions growth prospects when the buy a home.

Or have them move away from their family and friends support network.

I think Georgianism works best:

- when there's expansive flat land and slow growth and no zoning/resource constraints (i.e. Texas pre-2010).

- you build higher density subsidized housing so people can stay in their neighborhood (i.e. Singapore)


> However in reality its a difficult ask to have all people purchasing single family homes to be able to build a 40 year financial model/projection of a regions growth prospects when the buy a home.

Georgism doesn't require that any more than the current system. In fact, for people who haven't already bought a home, the cost under a Georgist system are almost exactly the same as before:

The yearly outlay for owning a place is the same, because market forces will adjust land prices to make it so. The sum of cost of capital plus all taxes is roughly only dependent on demand / what recurring benefit you can derive from the land. Under LVT your mortgage will be smaller, but you have more taxes on the land.


Interesting - perhaps I don't understand quite clearly though?

Assume a long time single family home elderly owner on a fixed income (i.e. social security) that had modeled for only linear increases in accessed land value (and associated taxes) but experienced exponential accessed land value appreciation (and tax increases).

Would the proposed solution be for the original long time elderly owner to sell 50% rights to the property in exchange for another future owner to tear down the single home and replace it with a duplex for the original owner and new co-owner to live in together?

Or is the assumption that only well capitalized apartment owners are the only ones who own the land and have the capability to teardown and re-build as more units or renovate and raise rents?


LVT would remove the disincentive to develop housing, so cost of living would drop as more is built. Even if a homeowner couldn’t keep up with the land tax, they’d be much more likely to be able to find housing in the same area.

Compare to right now, where every generation can’t afford to live in their own hometown, because there’s only upwards pressure on housing costs, so families and support networks are constantly being torn apart.


Yes - I think pure Georgism works if you don't have zoning restrictions and abundant flat land and slow linear growth.

OR you have proper planning and build it into the city charter. The city needs to have planned for the locations of future additional schools/recreational infrastructure/transporation a priori and have sufficient resources (water, gas, electricity, sewage).

There also need to be proper addendums to any purchase agreements to highlight the potential for severe property tax increases.

Post facto switchovers to or continuation of pure LVT don't seem like they would work realistically.


Proper, non prop 13 land value tax limits this infinite value growth.


Agree - I think pure land value/pure Georgism works best when there are no limits on development (zoning/water availability/topography) and there's room for infinite sprawl into adjacent flat land.

As mentioned I think Texas will be interesting to watch as its pretty close pure Georgianism - the state's revenue is mostly/all LVT property taxes - but they are starting to see exponential growth - so it will be interesting to see if they stick to it or resort to California style Prop 13.


Prop 13 has the opposite effect of what was intended.

If you stay put and don't move, your property taxes won't go up much. So you can vote for all the govt spending you want: don't move and you won't have to pay for it.

I'm not saying people are "getting away with" low taxes. I'm saying that people are "getting away with" high spending.


Prop 13’s biggest issue is it doesn’t apply to ONLY residential homestead land.

There’s no reason why commercial land should get the same benefits.


Texas is not Georgist. Property tax is assessed on the full market value of property, not on land. And Texas’s land speculation and sprawling, inefficient land use reflects this.


Agreed - its not pure Georgism. It is however the closest experiment to Georgism in the US as far as I can tell having looked at their tax revenue sources (mostly property taxes with some petroleum production tax and no income tax) and the fact that they will attempt to increase the property taxes to market value on an empty lot. For now at least...

[1] https://www.dallasnews.com/news/watchdog/2022/04/20/property...

"What we're trying to do is value that land as if it were vacant — or that lot — and ready to be put to its highest and best use, which is to build a single-family home on, And we do that by looking at lot sales of what would be a competitive or a substitute product."


It’s good they’re trying to match market value. They come up with that assessment by assessing the land value, and the structure value, and adding them together. But they are still taxing improvements at the same rate as the land. Sure, land value can rise and become a greater portion of the total market value. But this is still conventional property taxation.

In a pure LVT system the structure should play no part. The landowner should be free to build whatever they want on their land without such building causing a change to their taxes. A partial step towards LVT would be a “split rate” system, where the value of the land is taxed at a higher rate, say 5%, than the value of the structures, which could be 0.5%.

Pennsylvania is the example case here in the US:

https://www.strongtowns.org/journal/2019/3/6/non-glamorous-g...


I thought Philadelphia was closer to a LVT?


The economy is not a zero sum game. If a land tax leads to increased economic activity it can actually result in a lower tax rate and generate more than enough tax to pay for the services the government provides.


Do you think this would actually happen in a place with as inefficient and corrupt local government as Detroit? Be honest.


My guess is that the Illitch and Gilbert tax bills are about to plummet as their highly improved and revenue generating properties get averaged out with 1950’s mid rises.

Bonus points if we can crank up the tax bill on families which inherited their home but never had the money to make improvements.


Detroit probably has more to gain from more efficient land use from a property tax perspective because of it's history of corruption and inefficiency


Could you provide some examples of where this has happened?


Yes, Japan, Korea and Signapore are examples where a more efficient property tax system led to a huge economic expansion. Japanese Land Tax Reform of 1873 is probably the most well known example. It also involved lowering property tax rates.


Why would the land value spiral upwards? At some point the land becomes not worth buying/developing, so there’s still downward pressure on price.

Or are you suggesting the tax rate will spiral upward infinitely? Again, at some point that just means it’s not worth buying the land unless the productivity possible on it is through the roof as well.


Here would be an example:

North Texas homeowners getting 'sticker shock' with new property tax appraisals

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nu5jAqB88tc


That's an increase, but is it a spiral?


Agree - for most people its an increase, but for a homeowner on a fixed income it can feel the equivalent to a spiral.


The “spiral” question is because I’m looking for a positive feedback loop. Just an increase (even a substantial one) is way less alarming.


As I understand it, what prompted Prop 13, aside from the desire to serve the owners of the best land, was that while land values were rising astronomically, municipalities and elected representatives were eager to serve their constituents, who naturally wanted all the amenities that their governments cared to offer.

And the municipalities -- their local elected representatives -- complied. They didn't reduce the millage rate each year to stay revenue neutral. No, they used those funds to supply those desired public goods.

And as land values rose, taxes rose. And eventually, people whose homes were appreciating by half (or 100% or more) of their annual incomes, increasing their home equity at an awesome rate, started objecting to the taxes that were paying for all those public goods.

Remember that in those days, California's colleges and universities were regarded as among the very best. And they changed a lot of lives, particularly of those in the school districts so well funded by those taxes that were ever-rising because the local officials didn't lower the tax rate to remain revenue neutral.

I don't see any sign that California, under Prop 13, has any resemblance to Georgism.

Take a look at a listing at realtor.com for a home in any California city or suburb, and focus on the "Property History" section, on (1) asking and selling prices; and, under that (2) assessment and tax history. (Choose the "see more" option in each section.) Then look at the assessments vs the current asking price. The land and "additions" figures rise by no more than 2% per year, while the asking and selling prices are far above the assessment on which taxes are based.

"The land value component is re-accessed frequently and changes based on comparables (presumably but its mostly black box)." No, they rise by 2% per year, until a sale takes place, at which point their sum is adjusted to the selling price.

But the house next door, of similar age and condition, but not sold in 20 or 40 years, is receiving a huge subsidy, paying a tiny fraction of what the newly sold neighboring buyers are paying.

Where is the equity in that?

The answer, for other states, is not assessment caps or capping taxes at a certain percentage of assessed value, but reducing the millage rate to remain revenue neutral, unless the local property owners approve a millage rate that is higher than revenue neutral because they actively desire more services, better schools, etc.


Agreed. I was primarily highlighting that California (and many states) tax code has components of LVT already and therefore have elements/influences of Georgism.

It's just not purist Georgism.

And even if LVT was the only source of tax income - it could be done at punitive level to prevent all land speculation or be more relaxed.

I think somethings that I haven't seen addressed by pure Georgists:

- Where to stick schools and playgrounds to support the newly built residential towers

- Water/sewage/gas improvements/transportation stresses

- Displaced people who get kicked out of the single family home if no private developer wants to build condos for them

From what I can tell - it'd require proper pre-planned zoning when the city is in its early stages and for the stuff to be written into the city charter.

Or some strong government intervention that could just plop new 3 story schools and 10 store public housing towers where it wants.


I think the general idea is that Georgism supports redevelopment instead of sprawl.

So the older residential suburb has become a denser urban city, and the new residential towers are supported by the schools having been rebuilt taller.

And for some value of “works” this does seem to be doable. Most land uses are stackable, though I’ve never personally seen a multi-story gas station.


California is weird. Around here, the town/city decides what it wants to do, calculates the cost, and then allocates this cost to the residents based proportionally on land value.

Our land underwent a reassessment and the value was calculated as “more realistic” (50% more!) but our property taxes went down in absolute dollars because the budget was the same this year, but new houses have been built in the town.

California seems to collect money and then decide where it should go.


Unlike property tax, land value tax punishes you for leaving valuable land (e.g surrounded by lively business buildings) intentionally undeveloped or underdeveloped.

The only problem that I can see with this approach is landscaping. It is valuable to have a nice park in the center of a city, if only for the cooling down that it provides, but parks don't make money and land value tax would incentivize people who own them to bulldoze the park and build something in its place.

Perhaps this could be solved with certain exemptions. But these are subject to the usual corruption, e.g. someone leaves a really bad parking lot in place and his friends in the town hall simply categorize it as a park.


Most things like that are owned by the city itself, and so they are exempt from the taxes (because it would just slosh the money in a circle).


Taxing the structure on the land is a negative incentive on developing the land



I think the Wikipedia entry, https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Land_value_tax, actually does a pretty good job explaining land value taxes, and specifically in explaining the benefits compared to property taxes.


The way I see it, taxes are disincentives on bad behavior. So if you tax high value property more then it hurts people who want to improve their properties.


I've been thinking about local taxes a lot recently (I've been a locally elected selectman for a tiny town in MA) and realized that the automobile ruined the way we value land, which ultimate ruined the way that municipalities are able to control costs and spend their taxes to add value.

I'd write more, but only if someone responds to this.


I'm a homeowner in MA interested to hear more.


I come from Western Massachusetts, which is characterized by smaller populations and lower budgetary allocations. The most significant budget item in most municipalities here is education, followed by road maintenance, which is often extremely costly. In Massachusetts, the basic cost estimate for repaving a standard road is approximately $1 million per mile, and this investment typically only lasts about a decade before it requires another round of expensive repairs.

Bridges are even more financially burdensome. Recently, we replaced a culvert that was so small I could easily jump over it, and yet it set us back $700,000. Keep in mind; we're talking about a town with a population of around 1,000 people, and we have over 30 of these culverts and bridges scattered across our approximately 80 miles of road within a 55-square-mile area. If you're familiar with the region, you might even be able to pinpoint which town I'm referring to.

To add to the challenge, not only do we have to repave our roads every 7-10 years to prevent them from falling into disrepair, but we also have to maintain them for safety, plow them, and salt them for safe travel. Over the past three decades, the expectations for maintaining these infrastructures have significantly increased.

The problem lies in the way taxes are structured, which is based on the combined value of land and improvements (buildings). Particularly in smaller towns and cities, most people are trying to get the most affordable option. This approach encourages sprawl, resulting in substantial infrastructure construction and maintenance costs. In larger cities (unlike mine), the upkeep of water and sewer lines are another considerable addition.

In more suburban communities, we're witnessing the aging of infrastructure that was originally constructed during the early days of the automobile era. The cost of replacing this aging infrastructure is substantial, but growth expectations, which used to help fund these projects, are dwindling. Many people who moved a few miles outside the city center still expect the same level of services without understanding the financial implications. This situation places a significant strain on tax funds, leaving us with limited resources to invest in valuable critical community needs and values.

We now live in a small city in multi-unit building that has ~60 ft of road frontage, and is right in downtown. The building has 6 apartments so has considerable value. But our _infrastructure_ costs are tiny compared to those that live in suburbia. Why are we paying more taxes for helping the city be efficient?

MA GL says you have to tax everyone on their property value - so someone in a 250K house out in suburbia that costs the town huge amounts to maintain their roads, sewers and water, actually costs the town money -- while a downtown 6-unit $1.5M building next to others that use the same services, is a boon.

And what made that possible? The proliferation of the automobile.

We need our tax system to promote density - which means you can spend more tax money on things that matter.

(this has been edited in places by ChatGPT)


The Strong Towns YouTube channel makes many similar points. Suburban construction in the US is terribly inefficient and wasteful in the long run by maximizing the convenience auto accessibility at the expense of everything else. If infrastructure had a technical debt equivalent, it would be suburban planning.


One thing I think Strong Towns would do better to emphasize is that their argument that suburbs are financially unsustainable applies more to those suburbs of struggling towns or small cities. I don't believe suburbs of large, economically healthy cities are running into unsustainable infrastructure costs nearly as much. They may run into funding difficulties if the suburb becomes an undesirable area, or if the pension fund bankrupts the city, but they don't seem to be running into the issue that their property taxes can't fund them.


Exactly. ST seems to want to conflate areas that would probably be considered 'rural' with actual suburbs of large metro areas. Look at some of the towns mentioned in their 'suburbs bad' articles and you'll note they are usually quite far from a city, and usually that city is 2nd or 3rd tier (and likely facing its own financial issues.)

If anything, many of these rural/exurb communities are already at the minimum population needed to support the industries that must exist outside of dense/expensive cities. These aren't the overpriced McMansions full of entitled upper class folks, those tend to be located near the city, and are quite healthy financially due to outsized local tax revenues.


> [1] The Lafayette metropolitan area was Louisiana's third largest metropolitan statistical area with a population of 478,384 at the 2020 census.

I haven't really looked at Lafayette so it might count as rural but if the 3rd largest metro area of a state is the size ST says is unsustainable [2] then that bodes pretty poorly for all but 2 of it's metro areas.

I bet a lot of say New Jersey is close enough to either Philly or NYC to avoid being "3rd tier" but there's a whole lot of the country that isn't near a top-10 metro area.

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lafayette,_Louisiana

[2]: https://www.strongtowns.org/journal/2020/4/27/this-is-the-en...


I haven't watched many of their YouTube, but I concur that Strong Towns knows what's up.

For anyone that doesn't know what a "stroad" is, I hope you look into it. You'll never see the world the same again.


Eastern Mass resident here. Thanks for sharing this. I wish our elected officials were so transparent with these basic facts when they discuss road improvement projects.

In my city we pay a negligible “excise tax” on our vehicles. It’s like $100 for 2 older cars. If it were doubled or even tripled in think most people could afford it. This would seem to be the logical way to pay for road improvements, or a municipal gas tax.

Yes, people would skirt it (there already is a problem with people’s registering their cars in New Hampshire to avoid the excise tax, or driving over state lines to buy gasoline). But if even 80% of residents paid the taxes, it would make a real difference to municipal budgets for fixing roads.


> Bridges are even more financially burdensome. Recently, we replaced a culvert that was so small I could easily jump over it, and yet it set us back $700,000.

Why? Why didn't you all agree to go down to Home Depot and load up on one big short metal pipe and some cement if that's the case? How was 700K spent?


Likely due to:

- Environmental regulations requiring NEPA analysis or categorical exclusion

- State laws on who can perform road construction

- Construction codes for roadways and bridges

- Miscellaneous overhead for other areas (e.g., Human Resources, accounting, etc)


Then it seems to be more of a problem with excessive regulation then suburbs themselves.

As a thought experiment, even the wealthiest city in the world couldn't afford a single bridge if regulations required bridges to be made out of stainless steel.


State-mandated design and build engineering requirements


Not having the bridge blow over or vibrate apart.


Yet there are wooden trestle bridges that have seen traffic for 100 years


That’s probably what inspired those building codes…


In case you're not joking, government entities in the US are not allowed to build road structures that will collapse the first time a farmer drives a loaded grain hauler over them.


I'm being a little facetious but I really would like to know how 700K actually gets spent line by the line, here.


In the ideal world we would be able to compare a privately built and insured road to a public road with tax payer liability for mishaps. I suspect the reality of a privately maintained road is still subject to regulatory overhead.


I built a new house on a newly built road in a semi-urban area. The parcel of land that I bought on the road came with an agreement to pay back the 30 year bond the city took out for the construction of the road and related infrastructure. This amounted to about ~$4MM (in addition to village & city property taxes), so it's a hefty fee even thought its divided among 50 other households.

After I moved here, the people in the village decided to drastically hike income taxes to pay for improvements of other village roads. People saw 50 nice new houses being built and decided those people are responsible for paying for everything the village needs.

This is what will happen all over the USA. People want their infrastructure, but they will find ways to make anyone else pay for it.


Does your village had a right to levy income tax? What state are you in?


I've been saying this in relation to all the paving that is done throughout my Eastern-European country with EU money, that is that at some point having that many paved roads around becomes economically unproductive, especially when it comes to communities that are getting older and smaller (in terms of numbers).

I've been answered something on the lines of "but all those paved roads will create economic activity and we will all become richer and we will be able to afford their maintenance going forward", which is reportedly not true anymore (also because of demographics and of the ageing population). It might have been true some decades ago, when the demographics were different and the age pyramid was more "normal", but not anymore.


Great explanation. Seems like the Cliff's Notes version is that values are based on supply and demand, ignoring costs, and car culture has distorted both. I've been a Georgist since forever, but I'd never looked at things from that angle before. Thank you.


I’d be interested to hear your thoughts, this jibes with mine on the subject to an extent.


Commented on other reply first... please see there.


Thanks!


I'm pretty sure that underfunded pensions are a bigger problem than anything else.

Especially for services (where the value is concentrated at the time of delivery).


Underfunded pensions are a problem only because tax revenue must be spent on maintaining unsustainable infrastructure that was originally built on an expectation of never-ending growth.

If that infrastructure costs were not so high, there would be sufficient money to pay people what they deserved.


pay people what they deserved.

Yeah, that's not the point. The point is that taxpayers receiving services should pay for what it costs to pay people what they deserve, not saddle the future with those costs.


I don't necessarily disagree.

But the issue has been that municipal taxes are a zero-sum game. People expect taxes to stay at a constant level unless they are getting additional services. So allocating more taxes in one place pulls taxes from another.

By not funding retirement immediately, you can keep taxes constant and not diminish current services.

But most importantly, the single-most-explanative reason why we services have gotten more expensive is because of this ignored tsunami of additional costs caused by the proliferation of the automobile.


Yes, it's very convenient to have someone else pay for stuff.


Infrastructure spending is dwarfed by expenditures on education, healthcare, or public safety.




This is well worth a read, as is the Progress and Poverty substack if you're curious about the subject.

https://progressandpoverty.substack.com/


I remember high-school economics class, every lesson the teacher would relate how georgism was a solution to the problem at hand. It sounded like a panacea for all society's economic woes.


Once you understand George's complaints about rent seeking you begin to see it everywhere. I don't think his proposals are a panacea but they would help with most problems in our society (e.g. housing affordability, income inequality). His theory is accepted by both heterodox and orthodox economists but unfortunately hasn't had enough mainstream political interest to prove its utility.


Fascinating. First I've heard of this. I can see the obvious advantages, though I'm sure there are disadvantages I'm missing.


Historically, whoever controls the land also tends to control political power. But also, assessment is a really tricky proposition.


Here's one idea. Effective land tax drives the sale price to 0, so it may be better to make taxes absolute, not relative to value. When someone wants to give up land because the taxes are too high, they just tell the city government. From that point, the tax goes down over time until someone decides to take the land at the current (absolute) tax rate. The old owner still pays the tax and can use the land in the meantime.


> But also, assessment is a really tricky proposition.

If anything it seems like it would be much easier than the current property tax assessment scheme.


> If anything it seems like it would be much easier than the current property tax assessment scheme.

Explain how it can be easier?

If valuation is based on sale price of the property or nearby comparable properties, those are objective numbers. A sale actually happened, at that price. So it was worth that much to someone. No room for argument.

A LVT gives power to the government to unilaterally declare that in some alternate universe, your plot of land might be worth a lot more, so they'll just go right ahead and tax you on that speculative amount in the absence of any evidence.

That sounds very open to abuse.


Are empty plots not bought and sold? Are properties not bought and sold for demolition and redevelopment? Can you not compare the sale price of similar properties with similar plots in different locations to get estimates for the land value?

What about using insurance estimates for rebuilding costs? If my house is insured for a rebuilding cost of $500,000 and I bought it for $1,500,000, isn't $1,000,000 a reasonable estimate of the land value?

> A LVT gives power to the government to unilaterally declare that in some alternate universe, your plot of land might be worth a lot more

Only if the law for some bizarre reason gives unilateral power to the government to declare the land value for plots arbitrarily

You could say exactly the same thing about property taxes currently. Why could the government not unilaterally declare your property is worth 10x? Because that's not how it works


> You could say exactly the same thing about property taxes currently. Why could the government not unilaterally declare your property is worth 10x? Because that's not how it works

Right, that's not how it works when the tax is based on the sale prices of the property itself and/or comparable nearby properties. Those are market clearing prices, so it demonstrates actual people were actually willing to pay that price, so it is realistic.

The county can't say your property is worth 10x overnight, because there is proof that it is not, in the form of the public records of comparable sales nearby in the last few months.

But with LVT the claim is that the tax should be based on a theoretical value of what it might be worth if someone build something else there, like a high rise apartment tower. It is speculative, since the building doesn't exist. That's completely unfair.


Well no, because people sell entire houses so you can use that to anchor valuations. LVT is only taxing part of the purchase, much harder to disentangle.


Not at all, and any property assessor will tell you this (e.g. property assessments usually already separate land vs improvements). Nearly all houses are insured, so it's easy to calculate land value as sales price - insured value, basically because insurance only covers the cost of the house.

Plus, nearly all locales either have empty lots that are sold, or if there is no more room have houses that are sold as teardowns, and in either case that gives you an unambiguous land value.


The thing about land is that there are a million reasons why one lot might be worth a different amount than one next door. A single lot selling in a neighborhood tells you little about the rest of the land prices in the area because of that. Maybe that lot is on a hill or next to a busy street or everyone knows the neighbor is a giant asshole. All these things change the price on a micro level and are impossible to disentangle.


Assessment definitely isn't easy, but some fairly simple solutions exist.

For example, people could self-assess their land's value. To stop people low-balling the assessment, the Government could have an option to purchase the land at some % above the assessed price and then on-sell it. This way all valuations are linked to a market price rather than a bureaucratic process.


The main disadvantage I see is that, despite being able to absorb all tax requirements, politicians and voters wouldn't be able to resist tacking on other types of taxes on top of it.


Voters ultimately have to pay those taxes and politicians want to get reelected, so there’s a definite check there.


Is that cat a meme from the 1890s?


See the first page of lvtfan.typepad.com for the story! It goes back to November, 1887, and a speech from a then-judge, later congressman, from California.


Yes! It's probably one of the most successful visual memes outside of religion.


How ironic that a campaign with "free land" in the slogan treated land as a public commodity and sought to make land the entire basis of the government's tax income.


Only ironic to those whose concept of "freedom" is "private and enclosed".


If your idea is that free means that it is something the government taxes, then I don't think I'd care for what the other two parts of the slogan (free speech and free men) might mean.

If you mean "free use" then land and speech are okay, but I still don't like the idea being applied to people.


I hope they do try it. If they do, one of two thing will happen. Either it will fail dramatically, in which case the LVT muppets can finally shut up about it... or it will succeed, all of our cities will migrate to this new utopian taxation scheme, and the LVT muppets can finally shut up about it.


>LVT muppets

You're attacking the person rather than the idea.

Experiments are good, even if they fail to confirm a hypothesis because we can learn more. Sounds like your mind is made up before the experiment though.


There are many ways of implementing it and many reasons it may fail or succeed, but you've made your extreme bias clear. What was the purpose of your comment? To feel superior despite not having the slightest actual argument to present? Let me guess, you feel the same way about congestion taxes.


Or a third way which would be the most reasonable, if it succeeds only those cities that are derelict and need to turn things around would implement this.


Folks already ventured the idea in Henry George’s own time and after then.

For some weird reason (laziness?) no one is going back to see why in these cases the idea was repealed.


Muppet here :D

It has been tried previously and had success.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=h59se33UCK4


Hey! Have you met Ted Gwartney? He's great. I have the pleasure of serving with him on the board of Common Ground California.


Indeed, I can't wait to shut up about this!


Whehter you property value or land value pales in comparison to other aspects of your taxation system. Basically, do the complete opposite of what California has done. A summary:

1. Prop 13 in the 1970s was the incumbent homeowners voting in a massive generational tax break. It capped annual property tax raises for really no reason. Worse, it allowed your children to inherit those tax rates (as well as inherit your property on a stepped up basis so you didn't pay any CGT either). Only in recent years did this get cut back slightly. If you own multiple properties, only one (the primary residence) gets to have its beneficial tax rate inherited. And that measure only passed by (IIRC) 51%;

2. Corporations get the same capped tax increases and don't have to worry about inheritance. Disney World had its tax rate set in the 1960s so it paying a pittance. The LLCs can get bought and sold without resetting the property tax rate to assessed value as would happen if the property was sold;

3. For old people who may be sitting on massive land value that you may not want to evict straight away, just do what Texas does: accrue property tax but defer it to their death with a lien on the property. This gives people a choice between staying and paying later or downsizing.

Prop 13 may seem great if you're a longstanding homeowner but the thing is, it's a trap. You can't move because if you sell your property you lose your beneficial tax status. People should have mobility and generational wealth isn't who we should be giving massive tax breaks to anyway.

If you get these things wrong property vs land value makes absolutely no difference.


(I lived in the Detroit area for nine months)

"Getting rid of the speculators" sounds good and might even BE good. But you know, Detroit's been in decline since the 1967 riots. No conceivable LVT is going to be a game changer. If the land isn't worth anything because no one wants to live there, that's the end of the story.


If you dramatically reduce taxes to labour and capital, it quickly becomes a very attractive place to move your business or earn an income. And that's the start of a development flywheel. Instead of taxing productivity, land taxes reabsorb the value generated by the community (positive externalities), which would otherwise flow into the pocket of the guy who owns a parcel of land in proximity to the public good. You then use these tax revenues to produce more public goods, which benefit everyone, and then suck up the value that accrues to the land. rinse and repeat.

I highly recommend grabbing a copy of land is a big deal. https://www.amazon.ca/Land-Big-Deal-wages-about-ebook/dp/B0B...


Doesn't it seem to you like ~50 years of decline are too much to erase with one tax law? Have you ever been to Detroit?


I think that certainly makes it harder. Never been to Detroit. Probably still more economic activity there than there was 200 years ago.


True of nearly every city on the planet.

Still less than 70 years ago, which is more relevant.


I take it the lack of response means No?


Pufff, Brazil does that since forever. By paying some tax over your land, basically your government is taking it from you every generation or two.

Roughly, 2% each year and in 50 years and it's gone.


You are already paying taxes, Land Value Taxes just seek to be a more efficient (since they try to target rent seeking rather than profitable labor) and more just (since they target land that the owner didn't create) form of taxation.

So arguing that it's effectively the government stealing your property is only a valid argument if you are arguing that all taxation is theft. If that's what you believe then that's fine, but it would be better to be upfront about what argument you are making.


Property taxes and wealth taxes undermine property rights in ways that normal income taxes don’t. If I earn $100 and pay tax on it, whatever’s left over is mine forever, and I never have to pay tax on that income again. If I buy $100 worth of property, I have to pay tax on it again every year forever, which basically means I’m only buying the right to rent it from the government in perpetuity.

Your use of the phrase “rent seeking” is also a bit weird. It sounds like any extraction of value from capital would meet your definition. It’s fine if you object to a persons right to extract value from their capital, but rent seeking typically describes attempting to extract value from capital _without_ reciprocating any productive value to the person who’s paying you. Which is certainly not the case with land use.


I used to agree with you, then I read Falkvinge's proposal of a taxless state and it changed my mind. I'm now convinced that property tax (or more accurately, land tax) is the only justified tax, or more generally, that all taxes paid must be tied explicitly and characteristic to a service rendered, and that the only services a state should be allowed to render must be administration of a commons.

You cannot defend your land property from even a marginally better equipped aggressor who seeks to take it from you. You need a court system, or for a larger aggressor, an army, to do it for you. This means that de facto, the state with the armed men owns the land. Land tax is tantamount to a fee you pay to lease it. Also it can be framed as just payment for a service rendered, that is, the service of defending your property for you. Furthermore, any entity that "owns" land property and gets protection of his claim by a court or army that does not pay a land tax is free riding.

Income taxes are unjust. By the logic of the premise, land tax that pays for anything but defense of claim to the land is unjust. Wealth taxes are unjust, as are capital gains. Tarrifs that fund a navy to protect shipments on the high seas would be just, as would registration fees to bay for highway infrastructure. The core rules are, the state must only solve a tragedy of the commons, the tax that funds such an endeavor must derive directly from benefitting from that endeavor and it must only ever be used for that endeavor. With these axioms it is easy to deduce which taxes are just and which are not, they're all payment for services rendered for a service for which a state is the optimal organization to provide.

https://falkvinge.net/2017/03/01/a-simplified-taxless-state-...


So much of commerce is predicated on contracts, and courts/the government help enforce them. So it'd seem to me that income/wealth taxes, much like land taxes, are a just tax for the service the government offers in providing enforcement mechanisms.


Interesting take. What are your thoughts on government healthcare? Just or unjust. To what extent?


Well, how would you design a tax scheme to pay for it? Remember, a tax that doesn't directly derive from healthcare would be unjust according to these axioms. So it can't be an income tax, just as it would be unjust to pay for roads using an income tax. You tax everyone using the healthcare system and to the degree that they use it and pay for it that way.

Further, healthcare isn't a commons, so it is arguable that a state has no business interfering. Emergency facilities specifically are a commons, if the hippocratic oath is followed and all in need are helped. So some scheme where people pay for the maintenance of these facilities and services rendered in them based on how much they stand to benefit from them would be just. I don't know how you'd do that beyond sending them a bill. Maybe yearly renew on an access card, like vehicle registration, that isn't based on income but maybe could be based on medical history, or just flat rate for everyone. Taxing income, or wealth, to pay for blanket coverage including person to person contracts with specialists would be unjust, socializing something that isn't a commons would be unjust, but managing emergency facilities as a commons and funding them with some type of tax directly derived from their existence would be, because they are a commons and do suffer from tragedy of the commons.


Land ownership must be enforced by court of law, and that's true of all property. Yet land ownership is the easiest to maintain. While my neighbor might take my lawnmower and claim it as his own and the courts would have difficulty proving otherwise. Land is difficult to walk off with. Maintaining ownership is simply a matter of maintaining accurate and secure records.


No it's not. The records only mean something if a system exists to enforce those records. This is what we pay for, in the form of courts and armies. The record means nothing if it is not practically enforceable, and being able to enforce them comes with an ongoing cost, which the beneficiary, the land owner, has to pay for one way or another.


> Property taxes and wealth taxes undermine property rights in ways that normal income taxes don’t. If I earn $100 and pay tax on it, whatever’s left over is mine forever, and I never have to pay tax on that income again. If I buy $100 worth of property, I have to pay tax on it again every year forever, which basically means I’m only buying the right to rent it from the government in perpetuity.

No man is an island; land should be seen as something rented from the people, especially in cities, where most of its value comes from the efforts of others. I'm sympathetic to the idea that one is entitled to the sweat of their brow and the work of their hands, but land is neither; property in general may not be theft, but private land ownership is, because land rightly belongs to everyone and no-one.

> Your use of the phrase “rent seeking” is also a bit weird. It sounds like any extraction of value from capital would meet your definition. It’s fine if you object to a persons right to extract value from their capital, but rent seeking typically describes attempting to extract value from capital _without_ reciprocating any productive value to the person who’s paying you. Which is certainly not the case with land use.

There's a reason "rents" are called "rents"; land rent is the most classic example of them. The "owner" of a piece of land does nothing to produce its value, they just take money for nothing because they hold a scarce resource.


> There's a reason "rents" are called "rents"; land rent is the most classic example of them. The "owner" of a piece of land does nothing to produce its value, they just take money for nothing because they hold a scarce resource.

Rent seeking is a clearly defined economic concept that is not related to the seperate concept of renting an asset to somebody.

> Rent seeking is an economic concept that occurs when an entity seeks to gain wealth without any reciprocal contribution of productivity. An example of rent seeking is when a company lobbies the government for grants, subsidies, or tariff protection.

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/rentseeking.asp

Renting an asset to somebody has a very obvious reciprocal consideration of value.


> Rent seeking is a clearly defined economic concept that is not related to the seperate concept of renting an asset to somebody.

It's called rent seeking because the thing you're seeking is rent ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_rent - your link claims a false definition of the term).

> Renting an asset to somebody has a very obvious reciprocal consideration of value.

You could make the same argument for any of the classic examples of economic rents. A doctor's license or a taxi medallion is obviously economically valuable; that doesn't make it not a rent. The thing that makes it a rent is when you're able to rent it out for more than it cost you to produce, or when you don't produce it at all.


You’ve linked to a Wikipedia page that describes dozens of different definitions for what rent is. The category of rent that this thread is broadly discussing is rent in the form of value extracted from capital and land. The much broader term “economic rent” includes things like wage increases negotiated by labor unions, which I presume you’re not objecting to, and certainly isn’t the topic of this thread.

Rent seeking describes a specific case of “economic rent” where the reciprocal value either doesn’t exist or is highly contrived. As I’ve said, it’s fine to be against a persons right to seek “economic rent” from their capital or land. But this isn’t an “anti-rent-seeking” position. That’s an economically Marxist anti-capitalist position, as that is the most fundamental component of Marx’s economic model.


There's a huge difference between saying that people shouldn't be able to rent out capital they've legitimately earned (by creating value through their own efforts), and saying people shouldn't be able to seek rent from things they didn't create but just squatted on - radio spectrum, land, IP addresses, fraudulent patents...


That's a big revision from your previous comment

>The "owner" of a piece of land does nothing to produce its value, they just take money for nothing because they hold a scarce resource

As soon as anybody owns any piece of land or capital, they are not doing anything to produce any value that is derived from it, they are simply collecting money for controlling a scarce resource. Those two factors of production can create ongoing value without any intervention from their owners, and you either support a persons right to own those resources, and collect some portion of the value they create, or you don't.

Your use of the phrase "legitimately earned" also means nothing in this context, and I presume this is just a weasel word you're using to avoid actually having to clarify any sort of concrete stance. For starters, legitimate according to who? I would further presume that you have some sort of view on who's accumulated their wealth legitimately, and who hasn't. What criteria have you invented for this? Is the use of capital and land something you would consider contributes to "illegitimate earnings"? Because all of that just circles back to "seizing the means of production" (as in land and capital).

Also, what's wrong with unearned capital? If I give somebody a hammer, do you have some sort of moral objection to them deriving income from the increased productivity that would create for them? Because I would suggest that the only thing that matters there is whether I had a legitimate ownership claim to the hammer in the first place.


> That's a big revision from your previous comment

It's not, but semantic arguments are pointless. If you want to use "rent seeking" to mean something different from what it normally means, fine, I don't mind using different words.

> As soon as anybody owns any piece of land or capital, they are not doing anything to produce any value that is derived from it, they are simply collecting money for controlling a scarce resource. Those two factors of production can create ongoing value without any intervention from their owners, and you either support a persons right to own those resources, and collect some portion of the value they create, or you don't.

> Also, what's wrong with unearned capital? If I give somebody a hammer, do you have some sort of moral objection to them deriving income from the increased productivity that would create for them? Because I would suggest that the only thing that matters there is whether I had a legitimate ownership claim to the hammer in the first place.

Right; the point is that land and capital are very different. People can legitimately own hammers, which are the work of human hands (yes, access to the means of production could be a factor, but if we assume that production of hammers is now widespread then it's irrelevant). Claims of ownership of land (or radio spectrum, or so on), if you mean chattel ownership, can't ever be legitimate, because people can't make land, only seize it.


> People can legitimately own hammers, which are the work of human hands

> Claims of ownership of land (or radio spectrum, or so on), if you mean chattel ownership, can't ever be legitimate, because people can't make land, only seize it.

These two claims aren't logically consistent. As a factor of production, land includes all natural resources. 100% of the input materials used for the production of a hammer are land, and so are 100% of the input materials used for the entire hammer supply chain. If you claim that ownership of land is never legitimate, then how can ownership of a hammer ever be legitimate if it's made of 100% land? Nobody made the iron or the wood in the hammer with their own hands.

I can see that you prefer to invent your own vocabulary, rather than use the long established vocabulary of economics. But that doesn't make the inconsistencies in your arguments dissapear. The only thing you've consistently expressed that a person can have a legitimate ownership claim over is labor (which yet again, takes us back to seizing the means of production).


> As a factor of production, land includes all natural resources. 100% of the input materials used for the production of a hammer are land, and so are 100% of the input materials used for the entire hammer supply chain. If you claim that ownership of land is never legitimate, then how can ownership of a hammer ever be legitimate if it's made of 100% land? Nobody made the iron or the wood in the hammer with their own hands.

No, but the overwhelming majority of the value of the hammer is from human efforts, not from the raw materials. Like yes technically you could say that whoever takes the hammer should have to pay tax on the value of 100g of unrefined iron or whatever, and if we ever reach a point where good iron for the tools that you need for good jobs is so expensive that only the children of rich families are able to hope to own those tools and the rest of us have to rent them at extortionate rates then maybe that would be a policy worth adopting. In theory nothing is 100% land and nothing is 100% product. But in practice you can draw the distinction pretty easily and say which things are scarce enough that taking them out of circulation has an impact on your fellow citizens and which aren't.


>No man is an island; land should be seen as something rented from the people

right but if this is my only piece of land where I live on, I am "the people". I need to live somewhere, I have no choice. It's like asking a prisoner to pay weekly tax for the cell he lives on: He has no choice, he has to live in some cell. Instead tax it intelligently so that I'm exempt for my first and only house on a moderately sized piece of land.


> right but if this is my only piece of land where I live on, I am "the people". I need to live somewhere, I have no choice. It's like asking a prisoner to pay weekly tax for the cell he lives on: He has no choice, he has to live in some cell. Instead tax it intelligently so that I'm exempt for my first and only house on a moderately sized piece of land.

We all need to live somewhere bruh, you're not special. If you pick a piece of land that no-one else wants, you'll be paying zero or very close to it. But if you want your "first and only house" in the middle of Manhattan, either you pay a fair tax to compensate the rest of us for the valuable land you're taking out of public circulation, or you let someone else have their go.


Can you calm down? I didn't say that I was special and I'm not your "bruh". The few super rich people who buy 100 million dollar properties in the middle of a city for personal use as their only home are not the problem. By all means, add a clause so the tax exemption only applies for land values below a threshold. In fact I already thought of this by writing "moderately sized". The solution is never to tax working people even more just because they want to have a home.


> By all means, add a clause so the tax exemption only applies for land values below a threshold. In fact I already thought of this by writing "moderately sized".

That implies a size-based exemption, not a value-based one. And that kind of thing is how you get loopholes that the super-rich exploit. Keeping the tax system simple is the only way to do it. Tax all land in proportion to its value, no exceptions.

> The solution is never to tax working people even more just because they want to have a home.

Part of the point of the idea is to (eventually) move away from taxes on working. It's not like having a home is being treated as a special case, and nor should it be. Again: if you're taking the land out of public use, you pay your fair share of tax, in proportion to the value of the land you're monopolising. Keeping the rules simple ultimately benefits the working poor far more than trying to create special case carve outs.


> The few super rich people who buy 100 million dollar properties in the middle of a city for personal use as their only home are not the problem.

What about all of the billionaires buying ridiculous properties in Manhattan as havens for their ill-gotten gains? If they aren't the problem, who is?

> The solution is never to tax working people even more just because they want to have a home.

Ok, so it's not the rich and it's not the working people. Who is the problem?


When I say rent seeking, I mean something like "gaining profit by owning capital rather than by performing labor". Under that definition, all value extracted from capital would be rent seeking[1]. Strictly speaking, I'm not necessarily opposed to extracting value by owning capital; in many cases someone bought that capital with the profits from their labor, and more broadly the world isn't black and white. However, I do see taxing profit from owning capital as more just than taxing profit from labor.

In that respect, I generally see property taxes as more just than income taxes. However, I am sure that there are exceptions and any tax code would need to be nuanced.

[1] Although owning capital may allow you to do some labor that you couldn't otherwise in which case the profit gained from that labor would not be rent.


That’s a perfectly fine view for a person to have, but is definitely not what the economic concept of rent seeking is. What you’re talking about is essentially what Marx called “seizing the means of production”, and is the fundamental basis of Marxist economics. So if you wanted to be more clear with what you’re trying to say, I’d suggest you adjust your vocabulary a bit.


Thanks for the insight, that's a good point.


> If I earn $100 and pay tax on it, whatever’s left over is mine forever, and I never have to pay tax on that income again.

You know that this is not true in most places?

If you put a hundred dollar bill under your pillow, it will be worth less and less as time goes by thanks to inflation. And if you use that hundred dollar bill to buy an asset that hopefully keeps its real value, you pay capital gains taxes on the nominal increase in value (even if there was no real increase in value).


>If you put a hundred dollar bill under your pillow, it will be worth less and less as time goes by thanks to inflation. And if you use that hundred dollar bill to buy an asset that hopefully keeps its real value, you pay capital gains taxes on the nominal increase in value (even if there was no real increase in value).

That's because capital gains taxes that don't account for inflation (which is most of them) are essentially a stealth wealth tax.


Yes, that's my point. It's already the case that most government indirectly tax wealth. So the proposal isn't some new outrage.


The shortcomings of modern monetary policy and the impact of inflation is a seperate topic. When inflationary systems are well controlled, they do create some positive incentives (primarily to spend money and put capital to productive use). As a tax they’re generally not a problem unless you go full Weimar mode. But you’re right that they can also represent a tax, especially in jurisdictions that have a capital gains tax (which the jurisdiction where I am a tax resident doesn’t incidentally).


My adopted home also doesn't have a capital gains tax. I agree that if you want to have a capital gains tax, it should be inflation adjusted. (You can put in place an explicit wealth tax, if that's what you want.)

> When inflationary systems are well controlled, they do create some positive incentives (primarily to spend money and put capital to productive use).

I find that those incentives are a bit silly. First, the central bank can print enough money to get any level of aggregate nominal spending they fell like. No need for inflation. George Selgin's book 'Less than Zero' even makes a convincing argument in favour of deflation. (He essentially argues for a fixed nominal GDP, and an economy that's growing in real terms would thus see the price of goods decline.)

Inflation is also not an incentive to put capital to good use. That's because money isn't real capital. If I have a factory or a piece of land that sits idle, that's a real cost to the economy. But if I have a hundred dollar bill that's siting idle under my pillow, nothing of value has been lost: hundred dollar bills are essentially free to print.

The central bank can put them in and out of circulation by buying and selling assets. So when I remove my bill from under my pillow to spend it, the central bank can react by selling assets. (They don't need to monitor my pillow. They can just go by statistical measures of spending or inflation.)

In fact, in order for me to have a hundred dollar bill under my pillow, it means I refrained from consuming some real goods earlier. So those real goods are available for investment by the wider economy while my pillow serving as a piggy bank.


You are renting it from society, not from government. Government is administering the rent.


> I’m only buying the right to rent it from the government in perpetuity.

You are paying maintenance in exchange for the right to exploit that land. Streets, power, water, sewage, fire, police, schools and libraries both cost money and increase the value of your land, so it makes sense to link the tax base to the value of the land since they should be strongly correlated.


Much of the lands values comes from public infrastructure and services provided. A piece of land somewhere in the desert is gone be worth very little.

A house in a city has lots of resources deployed there and land value tax pays for those things.

This tax makes better for people who invest locally and hurts people who don't.


I’m not saying it’s necessarily a bad way to run a city specifically, I’m just pointing out the different compromises that are made in regards to property rights with these different forms of taxation.

I would really only object to property taxes (as a concept) in situations where intensified high density infrastructure doesn’t exist (or isn’t required to exist).


If you use your land for something useful it will be providing rental income (or equivalent utility) to you year over year, which wouldn’t be taxed under Georgism.


>> Land Value Taxes just seek to be a more efficient (since they try to target rent seeking rather than profitable labor) and more just

So someone like Musk should pay basically no tax personally because he doesn't own any land?

I think the idea LVT comes from a period of time when land was a good proxy for wealth. These days, I think that's only true for the middle class, who gets crushed by LVT while the true wealthy laugh from their mansions on modest plots of land while spending their summers on billion dollar yachts.


Most of Musk’s money comes from astronomical stock valuations. Most of that stock is bought by hedge funds and the financial sector. That money mostly comes from mortgages and loans, which allow the financial sector to capture the land value that could otherwise belong to the people.

So basically land value (which nobody creates through their own labor- its created by a community and should be owned by the community) is vacuumed up by the financial sector, which they throw at tech.

For more on this process, look into Michael Hudson, who accurately forecasted the 08 financial crisis.


People who don't directly own land will pay rent in one form or another that will go to a landlord that does pay rent.

Also ask a different question if he doesn't benefit from any of the land in the US why is he still there?


"We sit together

The mountain and me

Until only the mountain remains"

-Li Po

Maybe the land isn't really yours to begin with?


When Li Po died, why didn't they recharge him?


He wasn't metal enough, for starters.


That's a lot more romantic until you remember it's just going to the government, not some mystical starscape.


The government owns all the land and gives you a more-or-less yearly subscription to keep your land at a reasonable cost. If you are a landlord then you're just a middle-man who can profit.


Hmm. So in your view landlords are zamindars, there to extract value from the land and to give a little bit of it to their overlord?

I presume in your view, it would be best if governments cut the middle man and seized all land, but alas, they are too incompetent to extract any value from it. So like the EIC of old, they must rely on landlords.

That is an interesting view of private property. It certainly explains a lot about about modern rental problems.


Most leftists see landlords as people who unjustly make money without doing any work by taking money from their renters who do work. It's fairly common for leftists to describe them as parasites.

What they think should be done about that depends on exactly what type of leftist they are. However, most do not think that the land should be seized by the government. Many are fine with private ownership but feel that systems (such as the land value tax in this discussion) should be put into place to help ensure that the land's value is shared by society. On the other hand, anarchists might feel that land should be owned collectively by those living on it and managed by them democratically.

I think that most leftists would agree with you; realizing that landlords didn't actually do any labor to earn the money that they receive opens ones eyes to a lot of the problems in our current system of housing.


If you want to have a government at all, you must finance it somehow. Usage fees can go a long way, but you most likely also need some general taxation. Taxing land value is the least bad thing to tax, because the supply of land is fixed.

Yes, you can see this alternatively as the government renting out the land. And that's a fine view. Landlords pass on the land, but also put buildings on top. What you pay monthly for your apartment is partially for the land (which would go to the government, indirectly) and partially for the building and amenities and maintenance.


Thats one perspective.

Another is that the government is simply a service provider which you pay a yearly subscription to.


If the government owns all the land then the rentiers will get out of the real estate business and into politics.


... implying that they aren't already? At-least speaking US, there are plenty of real-estate focused PACs.


That's certaintly not the view of the current legal system.


In theory a government that serves the people who elected it.


In practice does anyone buy that? I'm not a "government bad" person, I think it's necessary, if messy. I also think the problem with our government isn't that it has access to a lack of money.

Imagine this system was in place in 2000, you watch as trillions are flushed into a pair of 20 year wars. You watch as lax oversight leads to the crash in 2008. And you ask yourself if the piddling sums extracted from your property were well spent, and conclude that it probably wasn't.

If these taxes went into a single payer healthcare system, I'd be a lot more interested, but as just another step in gifting insurance companies another trillion... eh.


Where I live the government is by, of, and for the people.


Thats what I learned growing up, but it seems like time have changed and reversed it.

Now people live by, for, and at the discretion of the government.

There is no personal property, only what the government allows you temporarily posses.


For what it's worth, I see it somewhat differently:

People now live by, for and at the discretion of the corporations. The government is just a tool that the rich use to exert their will upon the people.


I would say the two sentiments are connected.

If the role of the individual is to serve the needs of the government, it is easy to corporations to control the whims and goals of the government. The individual doesnt have to understand whys and wants of the government, just serve it.

However, if the roles are reversed and the purpose of the government is to serve the individual, than each person can judge if their personal interests are being served.

That is to say, I think the idea of people as a servant of the government is instrumental in corporate capture of the institution. The idea of serving a greater good, without voluntary consent, is just an exploit opportunity for capture by corporations or others.

When people view the government as their servant, they just say no, I dont want that policy.


Ostensibly.


I do not see Brazil under the Wikipedia section for implementations of land value tax. I tried to look myself, but did not see a definitive answer. It sounds like there is a property tax, but a property tax is different from a land value tax.

Also, 2% is in a similar range to many existing implementations, and has been shown to be too low to prevent speculation.

Your comment about "it's gone" shows that you do not understand the intent here. I would recommend you watch the following: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=h59se33UCK4

In short, the land is not gone. The profits you made if you rented it out are not gone. However, any hope of increased value through speculation will be diminished based on how long you held the high value asset prior to sale... which is the exact intent of this policy change.


That's only if you derive zero value or income from the land. In which case, perhaps the land is not in the hands of the best steward.


Given that it was never "your" land to begin with (what, did you create it?), that's not an unreasonable approach.


In the US, people have the right to property (unlike say, places like Canada https://www.albertalandinstitute.ca/resources/property-right...). This is a freedom enshrined in the US Constitution and through the fifth amendment. If the Detroit government pushes too hard and rapidly deprives certain parties of their land, they can expect a constitutional challenge.


I think that you may be missing the point of the argument that you are replying to. As I understand it, what they are getting at is that no one created the land, it was already here. Therefore, it's not valid to say that the person who originally claimed the land had a right to it in the same sense that, for example, a farmer has a right to what they grow because of the labor they put into growing it.

In effect, the argument is that since land was not created by anyone then no one has any more right to it than anyone else. So the land's value should be shared among all of society; which is precisely what a Land Value Tax seeks to do.


Well, in the US at least, the one who first claimed the land is the one who built a cabin there, often broke the land to the plow, and then held it against anyone who tried to take it from them. It wasn't just "claiming" the land. They had to work to improve it.


Conveniently ignoring the people who might have lived there before for millennia?

Or even just the Mexicans from whom large parts of the US where conquered? (How Mexico got the land is another story.)


So LVT separates the value created by your labor (building the cabin, plowing, etc) from the value you did not create. I think its more just than taxing, i.e. cabins or crops.


This isn't quite as trivial as "but people have a right to property", because the government has rights too. The US has long had property taxes, and they are entirely legal.

I advise reading the 14th amendment as well: "nor shall any State deprive any person of life, liberty, or property, without due process of law"

For an extra twist: There's the fact that land-as-property is not enshrined in the constitution - that's the land ordinance of 1785. Which would make a constitutional challenge interesting.

And of course, none of all that obviates the original point: Nobody worked to create land, so from a moral standpoint, "land ownership" is a very interesting concept.


That device you used to post that comment, what, did you create it? Those clothes you are wearing, did you create them? The car you drive, did you create it?

I’m not saying anything pro/con the LVT. But measuring ownership by whether you created it or not is a pretty terrible measure. You wouldn’t own _anything_ worth any value in the modern world.


The difference is that someone created the products that I own and I payed them for it. However, no one (at least no one human depending on your religious beliefs) created the land.


Someone created the improvements on it, though. Which is most of what you're paying for when you buy or rent a place to live.

This isn't going to change much about landlords. If anything, it will increase the amount of housing rented through landlords, because the land value tax will make it uneconomical for more people to own their own homes. In a high value area, the only people who would be able to do so are the very rich.


A land value tax seeks to only tax the value of the land itself, not the improvements. Of course that's not always easy to assess, but neither are property values for normal property taxes.

Even setting that aside, if the land value taxes on the land that someone owns dramatically increase then that means the value of their property has dramatically increased, and they can sell the land for a dramatic profit. Certainly it sucks that someone might have to sell; however, don't think that someone who becomes rich due to their home value appreciating is really much of a victim in the grand scheme of things.


The land value in absence of human activity is zero.

All value stems from improvements made by people, either on the land, or nearby.


Exactly. And that's why taxing the land itself—and therefore access to all those improvements and amenities—is a good way to allocate it.

If somebody is sitting on a prime seat in the hot tub, and they don't really care very much about it, and there's a line of 20 people waiting to get in, we have a wasted resource. Revealing true preferences by having people put some skin in the game means that more people are happy, more people are productive, and society works better.


That is a great argument for never building a hot tub, or participating in a project to build one.

Why bother making a tub, a neighborhood, or a community if it can simply be taken from you.

Id rather burn mine to the ground than have it taken away just because someone else wants it more. They might not even want it more, but they just have more money.


> That is a great argument for never building a hot tub, or participating in a project to build one.

The hot tub is the land in this metaphor, no-one builds it, someone just put their butt on it first.

> Why bother making a tub, a neighborhood, or a community if it can simply be taken from you.

Something the younger generation has been asking itself for decades, since things are set up so none of us ever gets to "own" a place to live.

> Id rather burn mine to the ground

That explains so much about how the older generation has been acting politically.


I don't think you understand, it can't be taken from you, at least no more than now. Nearly every single person will pay less tax on their home under LVT than a property tax, too.


>Nearly every single person will pay less tax on their home under LVT than a property tax, too.

How could that possibly be true. The lvt would have to be high enough to replace revenue from all current income taxes, sales taxes, corporate taxes, and current property taxes.

It would also be based on land used, so Warren be buffet and someone working at Walmart would have the same tax bill if they both own houses in the same neighborhood.

It is incredibly regressive.

Elon Musk can live out of his small undesirable home in boca chia, so his total taxes would be close to zero


> It would also be based on land used, so Warren be buffet and someone working at Walmart would have the same tax bill if they both own houses in the same neighborhood.

If they both live in the same size house in the same neighbourhood, sure. If a billionaire really wants to live in a closet to spite the taxman, that's fine, although I don't know why they'd bother having the billion. They aren't imposing on the community, they apparently made their billion without using any space (because it's not just homes, the whole point is that it applies to every kind of land use, good for them.

> It is incredibly regressive.

It's the opposite. Land ownership is the biggest thing separating the upper and lower classes.

> Elon Musk can live out of his small undesirable home in boca chia, so his total taxes would be close to zero

He'd still have to pay LVT on his giant factory and fashionable city-centre showrooms, so skimping on his home is not going to make a lot of difference.


The point is that money can buy you a lot more than land. A Picasso takes no land. Elons giga factory would pay no land tax because the land vale is zero. It is in the middle of the desert surrounded by employ land that nobody wants.


> A Picasso takes no land.

Buying stuff that people make enriches those people and spreads the wealth around. It's good to encourage doing that rather than hoarding land. (While you can hoard individual old paintings, if you drive up the price of paintings then new and innovative painters - like Picasso - emerge, and produce new paintings to meet that demand).

> Elons giga factory would pay no land tax because the land vale is zero. It is in the middle of the desert surrounded by employ land that nobody wants.

Which is exactly where we want giant factories being built.


Lvt is of course a good way for making sure land gets used for its most financially lucrative purpose. I never denied that.

My point is that it's a terrible way to fund a government. The vast majority of economic value created does not require land and would go un taxed. The vast majority of value comes not from land or the raw materials derived from land, but from Human labor used to convert the raw material into Goods, or pure services.

It's also much more regressive than the current system. People like Elon Musk make a million times more than your average person, but they don't use a million times more land or eat a million times more hamburgers. Most of what the rich purchase is labor and human compute.


> The vast majority of economic value created does not require land and would go un taxed. The vast majority of value comes not from land or the raw materials derived from land, but from Human labor used to convert the raw material into Goods, or pure services.

The value gets created by human labour but it ends up captured by landowners. I believe there's an economic theorem to that effect, but it's also pretty clear in Silicon Valley: some new innovation increases productivity, workers and investors get paid more, rents go up and all the gains end up in the pockets of San Francisco landlords.

> It's also much more regressive than the current system. People like Elon Musk make a million times more than your average person, but they don't use a million times more land or eat a million times more hamburgers. Most of what the rich purchase is labor and human compute.

In theory I take the point. Do those people actually pay a million times more tax under the current system though?


> All value stems from improvements made by people, either on the land, or nearby.

Sure. Most of the value comes from the efforts of people who have nothing in particular to do with the "owner" of the land though.


> This isn't going to change much about landlords. If anything, it will increase the amount of housing rented through landlords, because the land value tax will make it uneconomical for more people to own their own homes. In a high value area, the only people who would be able to do so are the very rich.

No. A land value tax doesn't make any difference at all to the ongoing cost of owning a given piece of land.

That's because land value taxes decrease the price of a piece of land (via market mechanisms), so that the sum of tax plus ongoing capital cost is the as before.

A simplified example: without LVT you might be able to buy a piece of land with a mortgage that costs $1000 per month. Afterwards, you can buy the same piece of land with a smaller mortgage of $200 dollar a month, but you are paying $800 in LVT.

If you own the land outright, you still have opportunity costs of capital. But it's easier to explain with a mortgage. Also, if you already own land then the introduction of an LVT will definitely put a one-off hit on your finances. (Unless the government compensates you.) But there's no long running impact.


The problem is exactly that the improvements are not most of what you're paying for, at least in many locales where this sort of policy would make a difference.


In high value land areas, the only people who own their own homes are those who are either very rich, or who were very lucky in the past and who are now very rich due to having bought a home in the past.


I appreciate the sentiment, but that's not really true.

If you can afford the rent for your home, you can afford to own it via a mortgage. (Assuming functioning capital markets and assuming low enough transaction costs.)

Something like this has to be true, because that's how landlords pay for their cost of capital and maintenance etc. If rent couldn't cover that, but for some reason home prices still stayed high, and sane land lord would sell the property and put the proceeds in some investment that does cover its cost of capital.


> If you can afford the rent for your home, you can afford to own it via a mortgage.

This does not follow. It assumes the landlord has the same cost basis and cashflow requirements as the person with the mortgage, which is almost never the case. Your mortgage interest payments alone can be higher than a rent that allows a landlord to make a profit. This is not uncommon. Rents in Seattle, for example, are far lower than the equivalent mortgage if you bought the place.


Why does anyone in Seattle buy then?


Because most people don’t live their life by min-maxing their finances. They have other non-financial objectives that take priority over being efficient with money. You might as well ask why people buy nice cars, eat out at restaurants, etc. If people optimized for financial efficiency then the world would look very different, and the median household in the US has a lot of cash leftover to burn even after accounting for ordinary lifestyle expenses (~$12,000 per year, per the US BLS). Seattle, of course, is much wealthier and higher income than the US median so there is more money to burn.

That said, most people struggle with financial and investment math generally, even when they sincerely attempt to make prudent financial decisions. I can’t really blame people for not knowing how to build and reason about financial models, it isn’t a skill you ordinarily pick up in day-to-day life.


And in fact your mortgage would almost certainly be less than the rent for the same property, since the landlord will be using commercial financing which costs more, and will be paying taxes as a non-resident owner, which are higher. The landlord will also need to buy commercial property and liability insurance, which costs more.

Your residential mortgage will be at a lower rate and you will have property tax exemptions if the property is your primary residence and your insurance will be cheaper.


Why do you assume the landlord has a significant mortgage or any mortgage at all? Most landlords have owned the properties for decades. I know quite a few that bought the properties with cash and never had a mortgage.

If you buy a place for $1,000,000 at 7%, you can’t compete with someone that owes $100,000 at 2.5% on the same place, which is often the reality.


Whether your landlord owns outright or has a mortgage doesn't make much of a difference for this analysis. That's because even if you own outright, you have opportunity costs of capital.

> If you buy a place for $1,000,000 at 7%, you can’t compete with someone that owes $100,000 at 2.5% on the same place, which is often the reality.

Where does that 2.5% come from?

If mortgages cost more than the rental yield, then your landlord should sell the place and use the proceeds to get into the mortgage business. (If not, your landlord is doing the landlording as a charity, because they are leaving money on the table.)


Yes.

Well, in the hypothetical system we are discussing there would presumably be no tax exemption for primary residences or other tax differences.


>If anything, it will increase the amount of housing rented through landlords, because the land value tax will make it uneconomical for more people to own their own homes.

You do realize condominiums exist, right? You don't need to own an entire parcel of land to own your own home.


Do you think condominiums are more or less common than apartments for rent?


>> You wouldn’t own _anything_ worth any value in the modern world.

That seems to be the goal. If everyone rents everything that would increase dollars flowing in the economy right? We are all here to work for the man, and rent the air when we inhale.


The difference is that they are making more phones, more cars, more clothes, etc. They are not finite.

As the saying goes, they aren't making more land. With a constrained resource that nobody created, the least efficient way to allocate it is to just let whoever got there first have it. A far better way would be to have competitive bidding so whoever thinks they can do a better job gets a shot at it.


The people you're paying taxes to didn't create it either.


In theory (and ideally), the people the taxes go to includes yourself.


The government didn't create it either. The only reasonable recipient of the 2%/year tax is God.


At the core of it, land ownership is really about who has the resources to defend it.

Since you are relying on the government and surrounding society to defend the land, it’s up to society to define how that ownership works.


As someone who is kept off of that land by somebody else's ownership of it, I am personally the reasonable recipient of a share of that 2%. As is everyone else, including the owner of the land.

That share could come as government services, or it could come as a paycheck. But in either case that 2% belongs to all of us equally.


The government is meant to represent the commons.

God doesn’t need money. Money is a human concept!


What do you mean by "gone"? You still own it.


If they don’t then you are taking it away from other people by owning it.


And then they are taking it away from you with guns because no one can fund public safety.


People are perfectly capable of protecting their own land when it's not illegal for them to do so, as demonstrated in the early history of the US. You're much less safe in somewhere like Chicago with "well funded" public safety than you were anywhere in the US in the 1800s.


It's the same in Australia. It seems like a pretty sensible way to encourage the best use of high value land.


Only some parts of Australia, isn't it?

They also have silly things like stamp duty, which is a sin tax on giving land to someone who has a better use for it.


Land tax is a state level tax, so I'm not sure if it's everywhere. Stamp duty is ridiculous though, I agree.


But who gets to decide the best use? It seems like everyone but the owner.


The market does by pricing the land at a certain value


Yes the owner. Who else? They own it.

Edit: Was the stress on "decides" or "best"?


It is only the owner who gets to decide the best use, whatever they want! But the land value is determined by what others are willing to pay to no longer be excluded from the area, or to be given a spot in the area.


The market.


The government is not the market.


The government doesn't set the lands market value


For those looking for a primer on Land Value Tax / Georgism:

https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/does-georgism-work-is-land-...


It’s basically a monthly occurrence that someone bulldozes and old building in Detroit to build a parking lot. The center of downtown is a crater of surface lots.

The idea is that people would be more incentivized to build with the land, because it would impact taxes as much, but at the same time they would pay a higher base rate if they underutilize it.


ACX primer on Land Value Tax:

* Original book review: https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/your-book-review-progress-a...

* Follow-up part 1: https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/does-georgism-work-is-land-...

* Part 2: https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/does-georgism-work-part-2-c...

* Part 3: https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/does-georgism-work-part-3-c...

The first review is very much worth a read--well written, entertaining, and informative.


Strangely, I am in europe and here there is separate property and land tax and as far as i know it always was like that. Land is based on size and property based on purchasing price. Although some politicians want to change the land tax(so people pay more).


Out of interest, whereabouts in Europe is that?


I'm a big proponent of Land Value Tax. In theory it is one of the healthiest forms of taxation since supply is fixed. It encourages efficient use of land and discourages owners from squatting on undeveloped land just to reap value from its location.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Land_value_tax


I’ve heard economists champion the idea, but I’ve heard little talk about what the tradeoffs are. What are the downsides?


(I'm a big proponent of LVT)

The two downsides I'm aware of are difficulty in transitioning to an LVT and difficulty in valuing the land.

Transitioning to an LVT means that landowners no longer capture land rents for themselves, which is a massive overnight loss in the value they hold. The solutions there typically tax only the difference in land value versus a baseline assessment. So if a lot is worth $100 before LVT and $105 after, the tax is calculated only on the $5 difference.

Valuing the land is tricky because the whole point of LVT is to tax only the location itself. So the value of any structures should be excluded from taxation, and even improvements in soil quality (e.g. on a farm) should be excluded. This is problematic because the market for bare land is significant less liquid than improved land, especially in suburbs and cities. So there isn't always good data on comparable land, and there isn't a way to hold a straightforward auction to value a given lot. Of course, most present systems of property taxation are subject to the exact same issue.


- There are deeper problems with valuing land. Land values in cities are directly related to approved zoning (i.e. what you are allowed to build), so the city government can rezone neighborhoods and unilaterally alter the land values the residents pay tax on. This may not agree with everyone's view of fairness.

- LVT encourages building tall and is hostile to lowrise development and unbuilt/green spaces. Those policy preferences may not be shared by everyone.

>> Of course, most present systems of property taxation are subject to the exact same issue.

This is not really true. There are constant sales of building+land in cities and estimating building+land values can reasonably be done.

In a city bare land almost never trades.So you have to extract land values from building+land sales, which is much much harder and possibly impossible to do fairly.


> - There are deeper problems with valuing land. Land values in cities are directly related to approved zoning (i.e. what you are allowed to build), so the city government can rezone neighborhoods and unilaterally alter the land values the residents pay tax on. This may not agree with everyone's view of fairness.

That's actually a feature, especially if you make sure that the authority who can do the zoning also gets the revenue (or at least shares in it). That way aligns incentives.

> - LVT encourages building tall and is hostile to lowrise development and unbuilt/green spaces. Those policy preferences may not be shared by everyone.

LVT doesn't do anything like that. The whole point of LVT is that it has no influence on land use choices: you literally pay the same LVT no matter how you use the land. It doesn't encourage or discourage anything. That's why it is economically efficient.

(However, alternative taxation schemes like income tax or capital gains tax or taxes on improvements do discourage building tall. And if you lower those taxes, people will build taller.

Btw, I think that for all its faults a conventional property tax that doesn't distinguish between land and improvements is still miles better than income tax or capital gains tax or sales tax etc.)

> In a city bare land almost never trades.So you have to extract land values from building+land sales, which is much much harder and possibly impossible to do fairly.

Often land changes hands and the new owner tears down the structure and build a new one. You can reasonably assume that the old building was valued at zero, or even negative because tearing down costs money and time. So that gives a lower limit on the price of the bare land.


>> That's actually a feature, especially if you make sure that the authority who can do the zoning also gets the revenue (or at least shares in it). That way aligns incentives.

This is only a positive if your goal is to upzone everything. If you think cities should be a mix of zoning and zoning shouldn't be driven by tax considerations, then this is very negative, since the land management department has an incentive to increase zoning and taxes.

>> LVT doesn't do anything like that. The whole point of LVT is that it has no influence on land use choices: you literally pay the same LVT no matter how you use the land.

I don't agree that's how the incentives work.

If you don't tax structures you absolutely incentivize building structures, because they earn money but pay no tax.

In a land+building tax structure, there is less incentive to build a structure because they pay tax.

If I have a lot of green space and few structures, and we convert to LVT, I will be taxed proportionally higher than before, or than my neighbor with less land and more structures. By taxing me more you are dis-incentivising my approach.


Well, I think zoning is mostly silly, and people should mostly be able to decide what they want to do with their property.

(Before zoning was a thing there were already nuisance laws that forbade opening heavy industry next to a Kindergarten. No zoning required.)

In any case, people don't build high rises in the middle of nowhere right now. They won't start (or at least not much more than under the status quo) if someone drops taxes on structures a bit.

Also keep in mind that people don't get spontaneously generated. If people cluster together to form a high density area, some other parts of the country will see lower density. Ie if you let all the people who bunch up together, bunch up together, there's more space left over for the people who prefer lower density.

> If I have a lot of green space and few structures, and we convert to LVT, I will be taxed proportionally higher than before, or than my neighbor with less land and more structures. By taxing me more you are dis-incentivising my approach.

What you are describing is purely an effect of whether you tax structures or not. It's completely independent of whether you tax the land value.


> Land values in cities are directly related to approved zoning (i.e. what you are allowed to build), so the city government can rezone neighborhoods and unilaterally alter the land values the residents pay tax on.

Cities were already able to rezone neighbourhoods and unilaterally alter the values of residents' land (also just through everyday building - if they build a transit station in one neighbourhood and a sewage treatment plant in another, that alters everyone's property values), and this was already a very corruptible process. In theory LVT should improve it a little since now the city has an incentive to increase everyone's land value as much as possible.

> LVT encourages building tall and is hostile to lowrise development and unbuilt/green spaces.

Yes and no - it encourages making valuable use of expensive land, and moving less valuable uses onto cheap land, but it's agnostic about what that "valuable" is. If people prefer - that is, will pay more to use - lowrise buildings or green spaces, then that's what LVT will deliver.


That does seem difficult to do.


> difficulty in valuing the land.

It's rather easy to value the land: Have the owner decide what it's worth, then they pay a tax as a percentage of that valuation.

Now, obviously given that system everyone's going to value their land at $0.

To adjust for that land owners must be obligated to sell their land to anyone willing to buy it at the declared valuation.

Such a mechanism doesn't only keep the current owners honest, but leads to more accurate price discovery, as the land might have a higher "real" valuation than the current owner is aware of.


I don't love this idea, and I suspect many others wouldn't either. If you raised your family in a house and have lived there for decades, it has intangible value to you, but not others. Yet because of this value, you must pay potentially much much more than your neighbor, who objectively speaking may have a lot of equal value.

What's more, even if you pay more than you ought to, you'll never feel secure in your home, knowing that at any time you may be forced to sell.


You can pull on those heartstrings in either direction, as it were.

In economic terms what you're arguing is that investment efficiency should always outweigh allocative efficiency.

> pay [...] much more than your neighbor, who objectively speaking may have a lot of equal value.

All land is unique, so I don't think adjacent land of equal value exists. The difference may be trivial, or it may be substantial.

But yes, it's all a tradeoff. Some might prefer a centralized government authority decreeing a given value, others might prefer market-based price discovery.

I'm not trying to convince you or anyone else either way, just pointing out that fair price discovery for a self-assessment LVT isn't an unsolved problem.


> All land is unique, so I don't think adjacent land of equal value exists. The difference may be trivial, or it may be substantial.

I don't understand how this relates. My point would stand even if the neighboring lots were slightly different in value.

> just pointing out that fair price discovery for a self-assessment LVT isn't an unsolved problem.

Yeah okay I'll give you that. It's just that we can't ignore how tax policy must match a society's values in a democratic society, else it'll be voted out. I'm saying this probably wouldn't work out since voters put value on the idea that at least some people will be able to get a good enough job to afford to bring up their kids in a stable home.


> I don't understand how this relates.

I'm agreeing with you (along with the "heartstrings" comment) that all land is going to have both objective and intangible value, e.g. the view, and that someone grew up in that house.

But I think you're imagining that any intangible interests in the land are going to favor the incumbent.

I think for residential lots that's probably more true than not on average.

But we can easily come up with examples where a prospective buyer has a stronger intangible interest.

E.g. maybe you own it, and don't really care about the land or house per-se, but it saves you 1 minute on your commute v.s. the next lot.

Whereas I used to live there, and was forced to sell the house during the last recession. I've got a deep emotional connection to the lot and house, and my dog's buried in the backyard.

I'd like to buy the house back. You don't want to sell.

Does my interest outweigh yours? Maybe, maybe not.

All I'm saying is that a self-assessed LVT with an auction mechanism (see https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=37909570) will enable both of us to set a price on those intangibles.

I agree that probably nobody's willing to try this out any time soon, for what it's worth the authors of "Radical Markets" suggest phasing in such a system by starting with commercial lots (and perhaps it would never go beyond that).


lots of discussion about the topic in Radical markets if you're interested. I forget how exactly they address that concern, but they do talk about it.

https://press.princeton.edu/books/hardcover/9780691177502/ra...


> What's more, even if you pay more than you ought to, you'll never feel secure in your home, knowing that at any time you may be forced to sell.

That can already happen right now with conventional property taxes..


Indeed, and the mechanism for adjusting any unfairness in assessment you encounter there is always going to be more byzantine than a fair self-assessment, and probably impossible in practice.

E.g. let's say you live in a neighborhood where everyone's paying a premium for fanatic views. Except your house is the only one that doesn't have that view.

Even in such an obviously unfair scenario the government is likely to stick to some assessment that's going to be unfair, e.g. some mean sale value of the N lots adjacent to yours.


Also with land value tax without the proposed land valuation method. The difference is how in one case you're never secure in your home even if you can afford your theoretically fairly assigned tax bill. There is always someone out there rich enough to uproot a family from their home, even if you're otherwise financially secure.


Your weird scenario can happen with most other assessment scenarios either.

If Warren Buffett wants to increase the value of my land, he can bid up all the surrounding plots, and make bids for my land. Any sane assessment method will see that the value of my land has increased, and will increase my property tax or LVT, and I'll have to pay or face the consequences.

(In the self-assessment case, you can give people the right to refuse to sell, if they are willing to eg back-pay the difference of LVT to the higher price for the last year or so. So people can opt to pay the tax instead of moving out.

To be extra fancy, give the would-be-buyer 1% of the extra tax take to incentivise people hunting for undervalued homes and to compensate for the buyer having had to secure funding.)


I don't see that as a fair comparison. The number of people who are rich enough to buy a particular home for more than the hypothetical actual value is orders of magnitude greater than the number of people who can afford to buy up all the lots around a home at a premium and affect its property value. As a result, the perceived threat to the homeowner is substantially different. I also think you're ignoring the psychological costs of this. It doesn't actually have to happen, just the potential that it could happen would be a real fear for many people. Moving is one of the most stressful events in people's lives, much less unplanned moving. There's also empirical data showing negative outcomes for children.


If that kind of fear is a problem for people, it will just be reflected in lower market prices for land.

Someone who has more of a fear for can put up her self-declared land value. They'll pay a bit more in recurring tax, but would get a significant windfall, if their fear were to come to pass: Yes, there might be some psychological downsides to moving, but getting a extra few million dollars (or whatever) has psychological upsides, too.


I'm from the younger generation who's been economically forced to move every couple of years because the older generation made it too hard to build houses. So I'll shed few tears for boomers being forced to move once after 20 or 30 years.


House prices don't change at the drop of a hat. If gentle changes in taxation are too much for a person, they might just have purchased a house they couldn't afford in the first place.


The point was that with the parent poster's method, every generation is potentially forced to move at all times.


Given the friction (inconvenience) in having to move house/business etc, that hardly seems fair. It also defeats the object of land ownership if you can be kicked off it at any time.


You can trivially structure such a tax in such a way that going through a "forced sale" is going to be very lucrative (edit: elaborated in a sibling comment: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=37909570).

> It also defeats the object of land ownership[...]

So no, most people could keep land they'd like to keep in practice.

The entire notion of any sort of property tax is also predicated on the idea that individual land ownership is a tradeoff between the interest of the individual and society at large.


> The entire notion of any sort of property tax is also predicated on the idea that individual land ownership is a tradeoff between the interest of the individual and society at large.

Indeed, and I like this concept, I don't think we should ever "own" land in the same way as I own, say, my phone. All we ever do is borrow it from society (or even nature).

However, some aspects of land ownership are a net positive for society at large. In particular, the incentive to look after it better if it's really yours until you sell it or you die. With this in mind I like some proposals I've heard whereby unpaid land value tax can be accrued to be paid at death or on sale. That way the stewardship aspect of ownership is reinforced without the freeloading on land value increases.

Returning to the valuation question. I think you're assuming an efficient market when it clearly isn't one. It would be like having to reapply for your own job, except it's rebidding for your own house. Not a kind thing to do to anyone.


Well, you can also use whatever mechanism is currently in use for people who don't pay their property taxes.


So you want people to bid for their own homes? Glad you're not dictator mate


This does not pass basic scrutiny unless the plan is to ruin average homeowners that valued their assets at fair market value.

Essentially, you want to force asset owners to write an at-the-money call option against their assets, and then adding insult to injury by not paying them an offsetting risk premium. I don't know how any moral person could be a proponent of the kinds of abuse and profitable exploitation of average people this proposal would trivially enable.


You are being overly dramatic.

Yes, you would be forcing people to write a call option. It doesn't have to be at-the-money. Owners just pick a price that they'd be happy to sell at. Not some mystical 'fair market value' that would ruin them.

Of course, land owners would want to keep their tax bill low, so picking the right price to declare is a trade-off.

> [...] and then adding insult to injury by not paying them an offsetting risk premium.

Please be more careful in your reasoning! You are right that the call option is worth a premium. But that obligation to write the call option comes with ownership of the land, so we can just treat it as another (small) tax on the land. The market price of the land adjusts so that the yearly benefit from owning the land is pretty close to the yearly cost of capital plus sum of all taxes.

To simplify: the option premium is automatically offset by lower LVT payments.

> I don't know how any moral person could be a proponent of the kinds of abuse and profitable exploitation of average people this proposal would trivially enable.

Please elaborate. But please refrain from assuming that landowners are morons.


I'm not proposing anything novel, just describing the Harberger Tax (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Harberger_Tax), or a variant thereof.

In particular the book by Glen Weyl mentioned in that article describes how it could work in more detail, and in a way that address the concerns you have.

A relevant except from that book (which I've got a Kindle copy of):

> For any tax rate below the turnover rate, the possessor will always set a price above the amount she is willing to accept[43]. When the tax rate is zero, the possessor is free to set any price she wishes at no cost and thus would set the monopoly price. When the tax rate equals the turnover rate, she has to reveal her true value. For intermediate tax rates, she will still be discouraged by the tax from setting a very high price, but she will not have a full incentive to report her exact value. Instead, she will set a price intermediate between her true value and the monopoly price that she expects a buyer to be willing to pay. As the tax rises from zero to the turnover rate, the price she quotes will gradually fall from the monopoly price to her true value.

That 43rd footnote in particular further addresses your exact concern (the mentioned "COST" stands for "common ownership self-assessed tax"):

> 43.: This fact helps allay two potential objections to a COST: that possessors may wish to “sabotage” the appeal of their goods to others to avoid their interest in taking the good, and that predatory outsiders may maliciously take goods just to harm a possessor. Notice that neither of these are possible if possessors always set prices above the minimum they would be willing to accept, because in this case the possessor is happy when her possessions are taken: she still profits, just not as much as if she set a monopoly price. Thus “predation” will be nearly as welcome as would be the “predation” of someone offering you out of the blue an extravagant sum for your home and you would never wish to sabotage your possessions as this would reduce the chance of such an exceptional opportunity. Only individuals who fraudulently report extremely low values and try to dramatically sabotage their goods would be open to predation, but so they should, and such individuals are likely to be caught by others before too much sabotage is possible.


That’s a horrible idea - that means you value is only what you can afford to pay in taxes - effectively meaning the poor would be required to sell to the rich at below market rates if they can’t afford the taxes


Are you suggesting the rich people form a cartel? Otherwise, if there's more than one rich person they would outbid each other until market rates are reached. That's basically how market rates are defined.

Btw, none of the problems here are specific to LVT. You see exactly the same problems in conventional property taxes: if your land is suddenly worth a lot more, your tax bill goes up.


To me, the biggest downside is that the government is running this.

If the government turns on an LVT, do you trust them to turn off other forms of funding? Or do you think they're just going to decide that their income went up?

I kind of trust them, but I don't have very high confidence that they won't decide that they "need" the extra money, maybe just for some "emergency" situation...


The nice thing is that lowering other taxes automatically increases the LVT tax take via higher property prices.

You can see that dynamic on the border between Switzerland and Germany: Swiss income taxes are a lot lower, so their property prices are higher. (You can probably see similar things happening on some borders between American states?)

Without an LVT, those higher property prices only benefit the land owner. With an LVT, the government gets some incentive to lower those taxes.

> If the government turns on an LVT, do you trust them to turn off other forms of funding? Or do you think they're just going to decide that their income went up?

I guess it depends. Governments have an incentive to get themselves more budget, but taxes also aren't just ratcheting up all the time. Eg the US still has lower income taxes than most of Europe. And tax rates also change over time.


> difficulty in valuing the land

This seems by _far_ the biggest difficulty, and I find it strange that this rarely comes up in LVT discussions. Even for nominally 'liquid' land it's not clear who values it or how.


Lots of countries value land and improvements separately (e.g. New Zealand, Australia, Denmark) for council rates (property tax essentially). Here in New Zealand, there are several companies that provide valuation services to local councils (and private individuals if you want to value your property). You can dispute the valuation if you think you're being unfairly valued (usually because you want to pay less property tax).


It doesn't seem that different from what normally is done for property tax. Property tax is already generally based on land and structure (Just look at property taxes on the million dollar tiny houses on prime real estate). LVT is just removing the structure portion.


Is it? I can tell you now, I have no difficulty asserting that the value is near zero for the depreciating, crumbling houses on top of most of the land in the Mission in San Francisco. All the appreciation, which means nearly all of the sales price, of a typical home here, is the land.

BuT rEnNoVaTiOnS. Listen, I’m not trying to give you a comprehensive answer. I’m just trying to show that it’s not by far the biggest difficulty, not in the places LVT is most impactful, such as cities with extremely high vacancies like San Francisco.


The problem you're glossing over is what value should be assigned to the land.

If some land developer wants to build a new arena next to your plot of land - boom you're value just skyrocketed.

If the same land developer backs out of the deal - boom your land is worth less (or is actually worthless).

Your taxes depend on exactly when the assessment was made... and even professionals cannot agree on valuation (as we're seeing in some high profile cases right now).

Even for the same plot of land two people can value it radically differently.

> extremely high vacancies like San Francisco

This is a relatively new phenomenon.


Wouldn't that apply to existing property tax systems or any tax where the value it is based on is only assessed periodically?


Yes, and it's been long bemoaned about how people game that system and how unfair it has a tendency of being. Which was one of the points I was raising.

There is no objective valuation for anything really... particularly when it comes to more-or-less unique, speculative properties such as land and/or improvements.

The only reason everyone mostly agrees on, say a car's value is there's a lot of cars exactly like it that have been sold recently in whatever area you are in. Yet, every plot of land is mostly unique and has a tremendous amount of potential, debatable factors when it comes to value.


> [...] and I find it strange that this rarely comes up in LVT discussions.

That's almost the most common discussion point in my experience..


Gentrification, which displaces renters (rents become too expensive for existing tenants so they need to leave the area), will start displacing some land owners as well. LVT would increase due to land value increasing, and the current land owners may not be able to afford the increased tax.

If you don't allow deferment of the tax, pensioners might have to move unwillingly (low income that may not cover the tax). Most proposals allow deferment for retirees until sale of the property, though, so it's kinda a non-issue.

In general, if your circumstances change unexpectedly then you might be unable to pay the tax and thus lose ownership of your property. This already is the case for renters, but it does mean a somewhat reduced sense of security for home owners too. Mind you, this is already the case for any existing property tax or council rates, which exist in many/most places, so it's also kinda a non-issue.


Yes, that's exactly the idea. In Chicago, where I live, there are surface parking lots in the middle of the downtown surrounded by skyscrapers. In a logical system, the owner of those parking lots would have to pay just as much in land taxes as the skyscraper owners next to them -- and since they couldn't possibly afford to do so, they'd be forced to sell to someone who would develop the land and put it to more productive use. Under the current system, though, the parking lot owner pays peanuts while the skyscraper owner is effectively penalized for putting the land to use.

The gentrification situation is similar: if someone is living in a single-family home in an area that is filling up with apartments, they're using the land much less efficiently than a replacement structure would. As land values slowly increase, the owner would be prompted to eventually sell to someone who would put it to higher value use. You could have some speed bumps in the policy to make sure this doesn't happen too fast, but if you stop it entirely you're just giving up on productive land use.

It's worth noting that property taxes have the same dynamic, since they also incorporate land value in them. The difference though is that _property taxes discourage development_, which contributes to higher rents. Land value taxes do not have this problem; a world where we suddenly swap to LVTs is a world with many more buildings and much lower average rents.


You realize all those parking lots are owned by big developers who want to develop the land, but are waiting for the right conditions…


And right now they can afford to wait forever! But with an LVT they have a big incentive to either develop it immediately or sell to someone else who will.

It's no coincidence that people who support LVTs are typically YIMBYs -- we want to reform urban planning and land use to make it easier to build things.


> But with an LVT they have a big incentive to either develop it immediately or sell to someone else who will.

An LVT gives no such incentives. LVT is explicitly agnostic about how the land is being used. You pay the same, no matter how the land is being used. That's why it's economically efficient.

However, a conventional property tax (and also income tax and capital gains tax etc) disincentivise developing. An LVT can help raise enough revenue to be able to lower or eliminate those other taxes, and thus indirectly help remove disincentives to developing.


I think you might be missing the context. The scenario we're discussing is a parking lot surrounded by skyscrapers in the middle of a major city. Under a property tax regime, the owner pays little taxes because the structures on the lot are not valuable. Under an LVT, the owner pays the same (high) taxes as the skyscrapers next to it, which would be obvious uneconomical.

So under property taxes, the parking lot owner can afford to wait and have the lot sit empty; under an LVT, they have an incentive to develop.


Yes, a property tax system disincentivises developing compared to not having a property tax.

The LVT has no influence on building.

If you draw a two-by-two matrix where the columns are property tax yes/no and the rows are LVT yes/no, you will find that the rows have no influence at all, and it's all about which column you are in.


> Gentrification, which displaces renters (rents become too expensive for existing tenants so they need to leave the area), will start displacing some land owners as well

maybe this would encourage them to actually pay attention to the plight of their neighbors instead of the "fuck you, I've got mine" NIMBY attitudes they so regularly take.


Yes, gentrification replaces some existing tenants. But the new tenants might be renters as well?

> If you don't allow deferment of the tax, pensioners might have to move unwillingly (low income that may not cover the tax). Most proposals allow deferment for retirees until sale of the property, though, so it's kinda a non-issue.

Otherwise, banks can do that kind of deferral for you with something called a reverse mortgage.


> Most proposals allow deferment for retirees until sale of the property, though, so it's kinda a non-issue.

Ah more carve outs for boomers. I knew it had to be in there somewhere.


You realize that democratic government requires compromise, right? Scoff all you want, but this is the sort of measure which is required to get people to accept policies which directly cost them (but benefit everyone else).


I think deferment is reasonable. Especially if it makes the difference in getting real LVT over the line, politically.


My grandmother (greatest generation) built her house in the 50s and lives on a fixed income. Should she be forced to sell (assuming she couldn’t afford LVT) for an investment she took all the risk to develop?

We’re so addicted to spending that anything that leads to generational wealth is fair game for governments to loot?


> My grandmother (greatest generation) built her house in the 50s

I'd love to build my own house, but it's practically impossible for my generation because of the policies those older generations have voted for.

> and lives on a fixed income. Should she be forced to sell (assuming she couldn’t afford LVT)

Yes. There aren't enough places for the rest of us to live, at least not anywhere where there's work, so those of us who are doing something productive (i.e. not lucky enough to be paid a "fixed income" out of other people's taxes) should get priority. If the older generation doesn't like it, they should make it legal to build more housing so that there's enough for everyone.

> for an investment she took all the risk to develop?

Part of the point of LVT is that it mitigates the risk. If the place where she built it becomes popular, she doesn't just get to trouser all the gains. But if the place where she built it becomes unpopular, her taxes drop.


The responses here are all assuming your grandmothers taxes would go up. But bear in mind LVTs are intend to replace the existing property tax regime (at least in the US). If your grandmother lives in a quiet suburb or rural area, it's likely that her taxes would decrease under an LVT if the LVT was trying to extract roughly the same amount of overall money as a property taxes regime.

If she lives in the middle of a city, then yes her taxes may increase.


Does she not already pay property tax on her home? And sales tax on her purchases?


Where did the value of your grandmother's "generational wealth" come from?

It came from renters and first time home owners putting money into the housing market.

Your grandma is doing the looting.


She (and my grandfather) invested in building in an undeveloped area with their own money. They earned it by working and paying for their house and land.

Now public spenders think she owes them what she spent her life building.


The only world in which grandma cannot afford her LVT is if the value of her land has grown so high that she can make a disproportionately large gain by selling the house. This is very unlikely. And if it is the case, it’s not like the government is stealing her house, they’re just saying she has to realize some of her enormous unrealized gains.


I think that it's less about being addicted to spending and more about people being able to meet their basic needs. With the gap between those with and without wealth growing and income falling behind cost of living, the only way to address people's desire to meet their basic needs is with plans like this.

A much better option would be to target the wealth inequality that is driving a lot of these problems (e.g. by ensuring basic needs like medical care, encouraging unionization, etc.). However, there isn't the political will to do that.


A deferment should be allowed for anyone on one primary residence. Then it isn't a carve out just for boomers. Also, the deferment doesn't mean the taxes don't get paid- they just don't have to be paid until the person moves out or transfers the property (or dies, which triggers a transfer).


A deferment isn't necessary. Banks are happy to do that kind of financial transformation for you via a reverse mortgage.

(However, it might still be a vote winner. Voters aren't exactly the brightest.)


Reverse mortgages are generally only available in the US after you reach a certain age.


Interesting. Is that due to federal or state regulation? Or a choice by the banks?


I am not sure, it seems to be a combination. The FHA requires the homeowner to be 62 or older for an FHA reverse mortgage. I have never seen a private reverse mortgage advertised, but apparently they exist and from what I have read online, are offereed to those as young as 55- but apparently are marketed to those with fairly expensive homes.


Most people I know who are younger than Boomers plan to someday retire, and so they too will benefit when that time comes.


The main downside is that you end up essentially kicking people out if their land gets too valuable.

You can always provide an exception though, for a primary residence where the increase in taxes would be burdensome on the owner's income.


So you would like to give tax breaks for those who put their home on especially valuable plots of land? The more valuable, the more of a break they get. If they manage to reduce their assessed income more, they get more of a break, too.

Sounds a bit silly.

You could give people a UBI equivalent to the median's persons LVT tax take (or first quartile from the bottom etc). That way the poorer people get a net payment from the LVT system. And you don't need to sniff in people's personal lives to determine which residence is their primary residence (if any) nor what would be burdensome.


Doesn't that happen already at the margins, albeit not quite as fast if someone's "land rich"?

On the flipside, I bet there are locales where the buildings have a lot of improvements with multi-story dwellings and the land tax could be worse.

The article goes into detail about why this tentatively works for Detroit where the majority of tax bills will decrease.


the exceptions essentially nullify the point of the land value tax though.

the whole point of an LVT is to aknowledge that land is a valuable resource to the community at large, and using it ineffectively is a harm to the community and should be discouraged through taxation. every exception you make not only removes the incentive, but then creates an incentive to not change the usage of that land to something more beneficial, because the people who've received the exception don't want to give it up.


It reduces the impact of the land tax, it doesn't nullify it, because it would apply only to a minority of the land owning population -- likely a small minority.


> the exceptions essentially nullify the point of the land value tax though

Or they just time shift it until the person receiving the exception moves away and the property goes to someone without the exception.


why are homeowners special in that regard? Why not guarantee renters a certain rent level? are they too poor?


One concern I have is that once an area is built up, it's not clear that there will ever be transactions of unimproved land in the area, so I don't know how we keep "unimproved value" from being anything but a fiction.


As housing fads change, some styles will go out of favor. Great rooms replace lots of small rooms.

Technology changes, too, will make some houses obsolete; older roof technology, plumbing, HVAC, inefficient systems, too little insulation and no space for more.

Houses that are obsolete for their location will sell as teardowns. In that situation, the land value is measured by the selling price plus the cost of removing the old house from the site. Assessors can work with those figures very well. Connect the dots from one to the next to the next, and the land value map shapes up.


Maybe? I'm not going to firmly claim it can't work, but I remain concerned.


Sometimes people want to sit on underdeveloped-for-the-location land not because it's a low-effort way to ride capital gains but for non-economic reasons.

Examples include conservation projects and urban farms, but the big one is empty-nesters ageing in place (while the city has grown around them).

If you've seen the start of the movie Up you'll recall that Mr. Carl Fredrickson owns a detached home which now has apartment towers going up on all sides. As a widower his house holds extreme sentimental value to him; he isn't selling. Under an optimal land tax regime, he'd be paying quite a bit of land tax reflecting the increased desirability of his location, and would potentially be forced to sell up as a result.


That sounds sad!

Until you realize the reality writ large: The current tax scheme enables drives supply down and value endlessly up. So much so that most homeowners end up selling for more than the total lifetime cost of ownership. So the old man from 'Up' would be able to sell and recoup a lifetime of housing costs. Personal homeownership is just abstract landlording in that way.

We have a myth in the western world that we own our homes. You can argue it's a natural right, but that won't matter to the government if you don't pay your taxes. So ownership is a social construct, just like copyright; we've decided as a society that it's most beneficial to let people "own" land. But the current system has, by destroying housing supply, increased housing costs by double (in HCOL areas) over what they would be if supply met demand. So renters and first time homeowners are subsidizing homeowners in a huge way. As a result, people are putting off having kids, or not having them at all, and taking a job they hate just to exist. It's abstract, but it's still feudalism; land owners extracting value from land merely from holding the social contract to it.

So no, my empathy does not extend to sympathy for Mr. Carl Fredrickson. I'll save it for the people laboring to pay his fair share.


It's been a while since I saw Up, but isn't the moral of that movie that Carl is holding onto the past too tightly and that doing so has separated him from the outside world and the people around him and colored his perception of them? The emotional climax of the film is Carl throwing away all of his antique furniture that is metaphorically and literally weighing him down, and then the film ends by Carl dropping his house off of a blimp.

I do have sympathy, it's a understandable position for someone to be in, but I'm not sure that Up in specific is the best analogy?


Yes, I think that's a fair interpretation of the moral. Note that Carl changes his mind about what's important to him over the course of the movie. First he lets go of the land (literally, by taking flight) and then later the house.


Other people value the land too, if he values it more than them he should pay for it, right?


1) it increases the likelihood of forced sales by owners (think a pensioner having to sell their long time home because property taxes have increased unaffordably due to the gentrification of their neighborhood 2) best use of land in this scheme is solely based on economic productiveness, it doesn’t take into consideration environmental and quality of life factors (to name a few) - think of all the local institutions that wouldn’t be around under this scheme, or the reduction of green space


Those owners may still be living in the homes in which they raised a number of children, near schools they no longer need, near jobs they long ago retired from, with more house than they can afford to heat, cool, clean, maintain, and steps that no longer suit them.

The increase in land value over 30 or 40 years has gifted them with lots of home equity (far more than their principle payments on their mortgage). That's enough funds to downsize from 3 or 4 bedrooms on a 10,000 or 20,000 sf lot to a very fine single-level apartment or condo in a building close to the center of things, a home they can take care of, feel safe in, and perhaps even have services to cater to their current needs, just as the nearness to schools and jobs catered to their needs 30 or 40 years ago.

Meanwhile, young families, particularly those with only one earner, must drive further and further to qualify for a mortgage. They drive not just on their home-hunting trip, but twice a day to commute to jobs close to those family-size homes and well established schools.

And if they do manage to afford a home in those older more central locations, they are paying (in California) multiples of what their neighbors are paying in property tax. Those neighbors raised their kids in a time when people of all ages were contributing to the costs of the schools. Today, the young families pay lots, while the comfortable older ones play little.

And from an environmental POV, having those workers commuting 30 or 40 miles each way each days isn't such a great deal for the environment, or for their quality of life, or for the time they can spend with their children.


About (1): that's no different from existing property taxes, isn't it? How does an LVT increase the likelihood here?

About (2): LVT has no incentives or disincentives for how you use your land. It's entirely up to you, your tax is the same no matter what you do with the land. That's why an LVT is economically efficient: it doesn't mess with market allocation or land use.

Why would green space be reduced? If green space is the best use of a given plot of land right now, an LVT doesn't change any of the incentives nor opportunity costs at all. (Also keep in mind that many green spaces are zoned exclusively as such. LVT doesn't influence zoning.)


Conventional property taxes already cause tax foreclosures on homes. This was a big problem in Detroit, where structures were systematically overvalued, forcing a lot of people out of their homes. Land-only assessments are arguably much easier to pull off than land-plus-house assessments.

LVT concentrates development efficiently. It would actually increase green space, since people wouldn’t have to develop sprawling exurbs to escape high rents (too little housing) in the city center. So no, LVT would produce significant quality of life improvements over what we have now.


>> It would actually increase green space

Not in valuable parts of cities it wouldn't. The direct effect of LVT is higher cost of land and lower cost of buildings, thus incentivising more building and less bare land/green space.


> Residents interested in adding vacant lots or side lots to their properties objected that those additions would have increased their tax bills as if there were a house on the added land, even if it was just an empty lot.

From https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/the-short-life-of-pennsyl....


That's an upside, not a downside.


Yes, LOL.

It's a "local" downside, but if you subscribe to the land tax idea, it's part of the process. These same people could just build "up" on their property, instead. But they want to cut grass.

FTA:

> The bigger immediate benefit, though, comes from reducing taxes on most [Detroit] residents. The city argues that 97% of homeowners will get a tax cut. Lower tax rates on improvements ought to encourage people to invest in properties


In practice it’s a huge windfall for the very wealthy mansion owning class, as the tax on the improvements of their land (ie. Their mansion) fall to zero.

In order to compensate, tax on land is increased, so the relatively poorer homeowner who owns land with a relatively worthless house sees little benefit but in fact a tax increase, as the taxes that we’re previously being paid by the mansion owners fall onto them.


Whenever something is taxed, less of it is produced. In the case of LVT, the tax is on land that is in a desirable location with lots of nearby amenities. LVT encourages urban sprawl by punishing retail, industrial, and residential concerns that choose to agglomerate with higher taxes. LVT means less walkable cities and more LA style sprawl.


> LVT encourages urban sprawl by punishing retail, industrial, and residential concerns that choose to agglomerate with higher taxes.

Can you explain more? I don't see it.

If a place already has high property taxes, and they are currently assessed on the land and the improvements then improved land in an area will receive a relative "tax reduction" compared to a full encompasing property tax. This means it is beneficial to improve land (the opposite of urban sprawl). The more the improvements the more the gains. Or thought another way improvements are "tax free" so it's easier to gain profit from improvements and is incentiviced.

If the location has low or no property taxes, then LVT will introduce a tax to the area and usually the plan is for this this tax is replace / offset other forms of tax (ex sales taxes). So enterprise would be taxed less and the land would be taxed instead. So again doing more commercial activity compared to a similarly sized lot doing less would be rewarded.

I'm not seeing any method that benefits sprawl for LVT compared to property taxes.


First order effects are usually stronger than second order effects.

Imagine you are considering to start a small manufactory, say for artisanal socks. You can purchase land anywhere, since the bank will lend to you at a cheap rate backed by the land as collateral. You consider two options; option 1 is in a dense urban area, close to your workers and walkable with lots of public transit. The land is expensive due to nearby amenities. Option 2 is some exurbian land that is accessible via commute. The land is cheap. Assume without LVT that option 1 is preferred because it provides a better lifestyle for your workers. Now add LVT; the tax rate on the urban land is set based on rents, so the fact that a bank would lend cheaply against good collateral no longer matters; you cannot afford the land because local rents are too high.

It’s just a thought experiment to demonstrate a simple principle; society gets less of whatever is taxed.


First, most places in the US at least already have a form of property tax. So you should be comparing LVT to property tax, not LVT to no tax. So most the above doesn't apply.

But even if you did use your example above. Imagine as well there is someone else trying to open a fancy large bookstore containing as well hangouts like cafe, a bar and lecture halls for reading and book discussion. Their main draw is foot traffic and to be a neighborhood lounge where people will stroll by and stop in to pass some time about a subject they like.

They also want use of the same land, and for them the downtown location will also benefit their employees but critically it is also extremely important for their expected customers. For them, they would profit more from their location downtown and wouldn't likely be able to stay in business in the exurban location. So they would be willing to pay more for that dense urban location because it largely benefits the greater economic activity and better use of the locaiton - they would correctly outbid the manufacturer who can open a manufacturing plant just about anywhere and only marginally benefits from being in the dense urban location.

So in result if the LVT means less manufacturing in downtown (where it really isn't needed), and more businesses can operate where they benefit from the density then that's a plus for society and LVT working as is should.

And even all of tht said, neither of these are really the main examples to show the true benefit of LVT.


Remember when reviewing the impacts of a new policy, they are always at the margin. So the appropriate situation to imagine for your bookstore is one where the benefits of land in the core are slightly greater than benefits from land in the periphery. Since LVT makes land in the core more expensive due to taxes, on the margin all businesses and residences would migrate towards the periphery.

Property tax creates its own distortions, just like all taxes. But it is less distortive since going back to the example of a manufactury or a bookstore, no matter where they locate the property tax changes less than a land value tax, meaning the decision on where to locate is based on efficiency rather than taxes.


You're still muddling two distinct concepts together. Let's start with a simpler case where it is easier for people to reason about.

There is a single lot in the urban core. There are two proposed businesses vying for the lot. The first is an empty parking lot, the second is a two story parking garage. Under a property tax, the second group would be taxed for the improvements of building the above ground garage they would be taxed on economic activity - that is a bad disincentive for society. Under an LVT they would not be taxed for improving the property, there would be 0 marginal tax on economic improvement of the land. Now where it may not have been profitable previously to add the garage it now is. That is what you want. You have a market for this property, and it is now beneficial to be sold to the buyer with plans for the best economic use of the property.

A second example. Imaging a single city block split into lots. The city changes from a property tax to a LVT. The amount of money they collect from this block stays the same - but to change they will reduce the taxes on improved lots and raise the taxes on unimproved lots. Now those who improve their lots are no longer subsidising the free riders who are sitting on unimproved lots. Again you are supporting beneficial economic improvements and their activty instead of penalizing it via a property tax.

The case you are thinking of, you are using the phrase "marginal" but you are not applying marginal reasoning. Marginal implies a small change with all else being equal. You cannot apply marginal analysis to land as land is not substitutible - there is not "margin" between being in a dense urban center and in the exurbs.

There can be more buyers for a single plot of land. Enough buyers that they can be though of as substitutible. There are not more sellers for a single plot of land - you can't create more land, or produce more land with those characteristics of that dense urban center. Marginal analysis from the perspective of the buyer fails here and that's the mistake.

> no matter where they locate the property tax changes less than a land value tax, meaning the decision on where to locate is based on efficiency rather than taxes.

Again this is thinking that second order effects are first order. The first order effect here is the price of the property. The price of the property in the urban center will at least 2x-3x the price of that same property in the exurbs. It will dwarf any differnece in method of taxes. Even if LVT were 3x the property tax most property taxes are roughly 1% of the purchase price per year. Price not tax is the dominant factor and the reason why that comparison you made isn't valid. Within a price band yes tax will impact decision making, across price bands price obviously dominates. And tax dominating within a priceband is a good thing because we have now changed the policy to no longer tax economic improvements to land - so the tax policy is actually better. It's improving behavior at the margin.


> land is not substitutable

Then why do realtors do showings for multiple locations? It’s because the locations are substitutable, with buyers balancing price and amenities. Land is substitutable.

> confusing second and first order

Prices are a second order effect, not a first order effect (unless there’s price fixing). LVT makes land with amenities relatively less attractive, which lowers demand. Lower demand then moves the price, but the quantity demanded will still be lower since the demand curve has shifted down. This causes an exodus from urban centers to the periphery.

>property taxes disincentivize development

True. Assuming constant revenue, a move from property to land value tax would create a relative migration from city cores to a highly developed exurbia. If the LVT was high enough, we’d get single plot high rises with multistory garages only accessible by freeway surrounded by untouched nature reserves.


> Aassuming constant revenue, a move from property to land value tax would create a relative migration from city cores to a highly developed exurbia

At this point it appears you're just ignoring basic economics price sensitivity. Lowering overall taxes on a lot will not cause a migration from that lot.

I mean you can just keep repeating that phrase, but it doesn't then make it true. If you continue your argument that eliminating a tax on economic activity in an area will reduce the amount of activity in that area then there likely is little left for us to discuss.


If you are a prospective shop owner deciding where you want to locate your shop, LVT makes no difference at all. If you move to an agglomeration to make it bigger, you might raise other people's LVT slightly. 'Tragedy of the Commons' style.

Perhaps if all the shop owners got together as a cartel they would face the incentives you talk about. But not for individual owners.

Also, LVT does not change the total yearly cost of some land. It obviously doesn't change rents; and even for land owners it doesn't change the recurring costs: the sum of cost of capital for the value of the land plus all taxes is the same with LVT or without. (Basically, the market will prince the LVT burden into market prices of land. Imagine a city where some plots of land have to pay LVT and some don't: the total cost of ownership for comparable plots would be the same independent of whether they are LVT plots or not. Same for renting plots.)


The idea is to not tax amenities so that you get more of them!


This only happens if zoning limits housing supply.

As urban demand goes up, builders are incentivized to keep building denser ...... until equilibrium is reached.

LVT's main benefit is that it helps remove zoning confusion. It makes houses, parking, offices and factories compete on comparable financial ground. And promotes a minimum level of upzoning based on the value of the land. (Usually corresponding to demand for said land)


High levels of displacement and instability.

The proponents of this I have met are generally wanting to use it force seniors with paid off homes out of them so they can live in them instead (or often build on them, as they are property developers).

It also assumes that NIMBYism remains at the same level, which is challenging, as every new build or development nearby increases your own taxes. It would also encourage the childless to fight things like schools, as they would pay extra tax having them nearby.


I don't think it's been shown to actually increase displacement and instability, in municipalities with a land value tax. It's theoretically the case, because now everyone is renting from either a landlord or the city/government, and if rents rise you might not be able to afford them.

In practice, land value taxes increase home ownership, so the actual displacement rate of a population might be the same or even less with LVT implemented.

> It would also encourage the childless to fight things like schools, as they would pay extra tax having them nearby.

Note that any existing property tax or council rates regime already theoretically has this effect too, but I don't really see this behaviour. It's a theoretical strategy that certain demographics could utilise, but not one that plays out in practice in any city I've ever seen.


> It also assumes that NIMBYism remains at the same level, which is challenging, as every new build or development nearby increases your own taxes. It would also encourage the childless to fight things like schools, as they would pay extra tax having them nearby.

This is the same as the existing tax system, where tax is proportional to (land value + buildings' value).

> High levels of displacement and instability.

Taxes would rise on undeveloped or underdeveloped properties, and fall on developed properties. The net effect would be an increase in total housing stock, as the relative cost of building and owning more units goes down.

> The proponents of this I have met are generally wanting to use it force seniors with paid off homes out of them so they can live in them instead (or often build on them, as they are property developers).

An LVT wouldn't have to work this way. The transition could be something like, set the LVT for each property the same as its current tax under the old system. But any future change in the value of buildings on the property don't affect its tax. This would mean seniors could continue paying the same tax they used to, while developers wouldn't get penalized for building more housing.


The Current system has property tax as one revenue stream of many. Income tax brings in by far the most funds, and there are sales taxes ect.

If you retire, or loose income, people currently pay less income taxes. You can also live frugally to cut down on sales taxes.

With LVT, taxes are detached from income and spending. Your taxes are also based on the whims of others. If your neighborhood gets trendy, you tax bill might double.


Well, your LVT only goes up if your property becomes more valuable. So that's your compensation right there.


Do you have examples of LVT causing displacement & instability that's greater than what you get with astronomical housing costs in our normal property tax regime?


An LVT is good, but conventional property taxes are still much better than most other forms of taxation. Conventional property taxes don't cause astronomical housing costs.

California for example is partially so dysfunctional because they don't have enough conventional property taxes.

Yes, conventional property taxes disincentise building, but not more than capital gains taxes or income taxes do. And in large parts of eg California houses only cost a small fraction of the land they sit on at the moment.


> as every new build or development nearby increases your own taxes.

The opposite should be true because as density goes up the cost of services go down.

What's the alternative? Letting SFH leach off the current system paying less in taxes than the government spends to service them?


It is based on 1800's economics where primary production (using raw materials) was the primary source of value creation.

It doesn't make much sense for a modern service based economy. Your typical service sector worker, programmers, doctors, CEOs, would have essentially no taxes as long as they have a small geographic footprint.

Of course it sounds good to tech b


How does this interact with the fact that housing is maybe the biggest economic issue that America is currently dealing with? That suggests to me that land is still pretty important.

This doesn't apply to what Detroit is doing, but you could probably also take the underlying logic of land taxes (rent seeking should not be protected from taxation) and apply it to other more modern forms of property.


The housing shortage is the result of under-building over the past fifteen years, exacerbated by labor shortages in the construction industry and trades. On the land side of the equation, the problem is zoning not bad tax incentives. LVTs could move the housing supply needle in some locales but if you want to increase the supply of housing there are bigger dragons to slay.


Under building is caused by NIMBYISM which exists without opposition because we don't value and tax land fairly.

Stop letting low tax paying SFHing leech off the system, and we will be incentivized to build more.


Lvt would just make nimbyism worse, it doesn't punish it. Up zoning and public infrastructure increases property value.

The best way to keep your land value tax low is to ensure that zoning restricts its use and Light Rail never gets built.


Under the existing system you are incentivized for your own land to be zoned as highly as possible while your neighbors land is restricted as possible to keep supply low. Since everyone votes against you and you vote against everyone, zoning is low just about everywhere.

Under a land value tax this flips, and the majority vote would go to up-zoning.


No, I think it is the opposite. The more options available for your land and that of your neighbors, the higher your land is valued.

This means you want the maximum restrictions to keep the value low, for both you and your neighbors.


And what is your take on when Minneapolis voted to allow multi-family units[0] and rents dropped[1] relative to other cities? Shouldn't those new units have brought higher land values, and with it higher rents?

[0]: https://archive.ph/7oCO6

[1]: https://archive.ph/lO8xY


rents =/= land value.

you can put a duplex or quad-plex on a parcel and have much lower rent, but higher parcel land value.

If you are a homeowner who wants lower land value tax, you should fight tooth and nail to prevent higher density zoning,


You would want higher density zoning in all the other neighbourhoods across town, I guess?


If the land of Joe's neighbours has no restrictions at all, it will be valuable. But if Joe's land has a weird zoning that says 'can only be used by Joe' that land would be nearly worthless on the market, but good for Joe.

Less extreme, if you have a neighbourhood with plots that allow unlimited building and a few plots that only allow single family homes, the latter would be a lot cheaper.


Exactly what I am saying.


It would make housing far less accessible.

It would be like a flat tax (in dollars, not percent) on every homeowner. Currently the top 5% of income earners pay 65% of taxes, and the bottom %50 pay %2.

Instead of this, every homeowner would pay basically the same. Bezos and Musk would pay more, but they don't own a million houses each, so it wouldn't be much more.


It isn't the size of their geographical footprint. Rather, it is the location. Actually, locations, for the individual practitioner: their business and their home. They want to be in a good school district that educates all its students well and sends them to good colleges? They pay for the privilege.

They want to be close to high-paying jobs? They want to be close to highly-paid homeowners? They want to be close to their own workplace? Location, location, location!

But instead of paying the previous owner, who didn't create the land value, they pay the community, year in and year out, for those services.

Makes sense to me.


So Elon musk works remote out of his 50k shack in boca chia, paying no tax. Tech employees live in some beautiful remote locations and pay no tax.

Meanwhile, blue collar workers tied to living in urban centers pick up the bill.

Lvt would completely decouple income from tax burden


You can’t just buy a house young and live there forever. It requires successful people in real real estate investing to develop in order to maintain property, which could piss off neighbors.


Why is it one of the "healthiest" forms of taxation? And, why does the fixed supply make it healthy? That sounds completely unrelated. Can you explain?


When you tax something, you get less of it. By reducing the supply of a good, taxes deter otherwise mutually beneficial transactions from happening; the loss of mutual benefit from a tax (or other policy) is called "deadweight loss".

Land value taxes have a special property in that land owners cannot respond to the tax by producing less land; the supply of land is fixed. This means LVTs do not generate deadweight loss, which makes them very efficient: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Land_value_tax#Efficiency


So if your neighborhood gets popular you get kicked out? Sounds like a healthy policy. Have you ever thought more than 2 minutes about it?


That is already how property tax works, except in California. I think most people agree that the California system is a disaster.


>> That is already how property tax works, except in California.

Not in Michigan (where Detroir is). The rate of increase on property taxes is capped, so if prices go up quickly your tax doesn't. It gets reset to market if you sell.

The most valuable thing you can have for retirement is a home free and clear. Incentives to disrupt that in favor of what others think is a "better use" are very un-American IMHO.


The main reason the California system is a disaster is that long-time owners are grandfathered and pay very little tax, meaning there's no incentive for these people to support more housing.

In other words, if California actually did kick out homeowners for their neighborhood getting too popular, it would have been much less of a disaster.


Kicking out long term residents sounds kinda sick doesn't it? Think about it. You're just gonna have homeless old people.


Why would old people be homeless? The cause of them being forced out is that they own an immensely valuable asset but live on relatively little income. That asset would then presumably be sold for cash. Any house expensive enough to create this situation would also give them enough hard cash to live out the rest of their lives in relative comfort.

This is essentially a relatively benign form of eminent domain, which has the same consequences without the implication of a good financial outcome.


They wouldn't be homeless if they already owned property. Even before Proposition 13 the median house price-median income ratio was higher in California than elsewhere, around 4 while the rest of the country was at 3. So they could do what many people do in old age, they sell their house for a large sum and move somewhere cheaper.

It was true that before Proposition 13 many older homeowners who could not keep up with rising taxes were forced to sell. But taxes were rising because house prices were rising, so they were able to sell at a nice gain.


I think most people agree that the California system is a disaster.

Prop 15, a modest modification to Prop 13 that wouldn't have affected homeowners, just commercial property, failed. Removing Prop 13 protections for homeowners would be much less popular.

Maybe people in California do think the system is a disaster, but they like it and don't seem to want to change it.


It doesn't work that way in almost all jurisdictions.

Either current residents are protected from property tax increases, or property taxes can be deferred until sale or death and the estate pays them (common in many jurisdictions).


>> I think most people agree that the California system is a disaster.

And yet it is immensely popular. Why do you think that is?

I believe it's because rather than thinking home owners are evil rent seeking capitalists, most are hard working people who bought a house and think it's fair that the government not tax them out of it.


Sounds like a way to convert single family homes into multiplexes as population rises so everyone can be closer to amenities. I’m very for that, especially if the former owner could find a guaranteed way to get one of the units on their land so they can stay.


I always thought this sounded like a good idea too (let the original owner stay, just in a new apartment-amongst-many) but (at least in the US) this doesn't seem reasonable.

Besides any legal hiccups (how common are such contracts? Is this well-understood law or are we trailblazing this?) there's the practical concern that if I sell my place and it takes a year or two to build the housing complex, well, I still need a place to live while it's under constructions.

I think the best that current American society could do is "...if the former owner could be guaranteed enough money from the sale to move someplace else nearby".

Still - if anyone has ideas about how to sell one's current residence so that more dense housing could be built, and then one could move into an apartment/condo in that new, denser, housing I'd be really curious to hear them.

(Depending on how life goes, it might be relevant to myself in the next 5-10 years)


While it isn't exactly analogous, property developers that build residential high-rises often have as part of their contract an option for a desirable unit in the building on very generous terms. Builder occupied units in new buildings are not that uncommon. There is no reason you could not extend such terms to the landowner.


You’d want to give up your land-valuable, single-family residence for the opportunity to move into a unit in a multi-tenant building on the same land? If I were a developer, I’d gladly take that deal.

If there are more people like you, maybe I’ll become a developer.


These redevelopment plans are fairly common in Urban Asian countries.

Single family homes are redeveloped into 7-8 floor condos and 4-5plexes are frequently redeveloped into 12-15 floor condos. The residents are paid handsomely in rent for a few years and the new apartment is usually more luxurious and larger.

It's a win win


"Don't worry, the law guarantees that after taxes on the land and home you spent decades paying for are so high you can't afford them you can get one of the pieces after we take it away and chop it up" is one of the most dystopian things I've ever heard.


When you say "...home you spent decades paying for..." it comes across like you are implying that the money you spent is somehow disappearing or being stolen. However, if the land value taxes have dramatically increased, then that means that the value of your property has dramatically increased, so you can sell for a dramatic profit.

It would still suck to have to sell, but it's not nearly as dark as you seem to be suggesting.


Why should you have to do anything? My binder of pokémon cards is worth thousands of times what I paid for it but nobody has the right to levy an unending amount of taxes on it until I can't afford to not sell it.


if


It’s better than what we have now, even without that caveat


Unfortunately that tends to already happen. Gentrification pushes populations out as rent and property taxes increase. I'm honestly not sure how this is different and it seems like this may, as you pointed out, make gentrification worse.


You could easily incentivize the behavior you want:

- a delay or cap on taxes for first time/single home owners; to make it not so punishing if you're just buying it to live there

- a number of properties below which the tax isn't applied or is reduced; to allow people to build equity in their house and maybe a vacation home or two, but stops someone from owning 5+ homes and locking up all the supply

- a tax that applies more heavily to corporate owners of residential homes; to keep the Blackrock's of the world from snapping up significant amounts of residential homes for padding their portfolios. Could even apply to LLCs of a certain size.

We just need to get creative!


I have thought about this for years. If your land value increases dramatically over a short period of time, _theoretically_ you should be able to use this as an opportunity to take advantage of that increase by constructing more housing or office/retail space.

In reality, individuals and businesses like to make long term plans. This expectation makes it incredibly unreasonable for a recently constructed home, office, or retail space which has an expected useful lifetime of decades. They shouldn't be expected to replace it all only after a few years.

This is why I think a reasonable compromise is to have a type of limited "rent control" for land value tax where it is only allowed to increase by no more than 1 percent more than the rate of inflation. This limit comes into affect when a building is constructed and lasts for the duration of the expected lifetime of the building, perhaps 55 to 65 years. That's at least 2 full depreciation cycles (if you're familiar with that). It resets to market value if the property is sold but the limit is not extended any further into the future.


For anyone who think "oh this is just California's Proposition 13 but with a time limit"... not exactly. The tax rate in California is 1% of assessed value where assessed value can't grow more than 2% or the rate of inflation (whichever is lower). In this alternative system the base tax rate would be significantly higher. Ideally, high enough to capture the majority of the land's rental value at first. It also sets inflation as a floor while prop 13 has it or 2% as a ceiling.


The hold-out resident can just sell the land to a developer who will build something denser than a single family home. Then as a condition of the sale, the resident will own a unit in the new building.

I see it all the time. There is some office building with a weird looking residential unit on the top floor. The resident gets residual rent income together with the developer. New residents take advantage of increased supply of housing and commercial space. It is a win-win-win.


You could provide exceptions for a primary residence where the increased taxes would be sufficiently burdensome on the owner's income. Doesn't have to be all or nothing.

Just don't do what Prop 13 did in California where they applied the property tax limit even to commercial property for some reason.


You could also do what they do in Texas which is to allow anyone over 65 to defer any increased property tax amount (with interest) until sale or the death of the owner.

The California approach is to let the owner get massive appreciation, which they receive at sale, but never pay tax on any of it.


Does that ever lead to old people getting stuck? E.g., you've been getting deferrals for 25 years and now finally want to sell and move to be nearer family, but paying back the 25 deferred years and interest will not leave you with enough after the sale to afford a new place. And so you just have to stay until you die.


California also has the deferment policy.


Michigan, for better or worse, does both. There's a major property tax break for your primary residence.

There's a Prop 13 style cap on property tax increases. It's the lesser of 5% or inflation. I'm not a fan of it, but it's not nearly as bad as Prop 13's low cap.


^ this. In Queensland, Australia, your family home (principal place of residence) is exempt and any other property gets no land tax up to a certain personal land holding value ($600k?). Once you go over the threshold, it's a percentage of value.


This is the case for renters everywhere.


If you want an in depth on why this is a bad idea look up Charlie LeDuff's videos on his No BS News Hour show on YouTube. No one covers both Detroit and Michigan politics any better. He has done several hour long shows on this tax scheme. In short the only big city to ever try it was Pittsburgh and they abandoned it after a few short years.

https://www.youtube.com/@NoBSNewshour


Financial Times: The case for a land value tax is overwhelming https://archive.ph/bkS21


Oh man, I was hoping that this would be one of those things where they tax land to encourage new building, but it's just another city hurting for revenue looking to squeeze it's population a little more.

Not that it won't spur development. It will. But not as much as anyone hopes. They have to eliminate taxes on all improvements to the land and tax the land itself only. Also remove code and zoning restrictions on it. They could rebuild the city if they got serious about it.


> the city’s property tax will be reduced from 2% for every $1 of assessed value (which is less than market value) to 0.6%. To make up for the revenues lost, land will be taxed at a new rate of 11.8%

This sounds like it's revenue neutral, so it doesn't seem like they're squeezing more. Also, they didn't eliminate all taxes on improvements, but cutting them by two thirds is still pretty good.

If the city is to be believed, most of Detroit's residents and business will actually be unsqueezed.[0]

> The city estimates that the LVT plan would reduce property taxes for 97 percent of Detroit homeowners and 70 percent of small businesses

[0]https://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxvox/detroit-considers-shi...


It only encourages new building for people who can afford to develop the land. It would likely discourage small time investors and further the concentration of corporate owned real estate.


Yep, if I own something I'd better own it. I shouldn't have to pay rent for owning land, or pay rent for owning a house.

I'll just keep renting, I guess, since it makes no difference.


>I shouldn't have to pay rent for owning land

That land is provided ongoing services, security, and utilities which cost money each year to maintain. Ownership is not some fundamental law of physics. It's a made up concept which is defined however the society you live in wants to define it.


> That land is provided ongoing services, security, and utilities which cost money each year to maintain

Yeah, and I already pay PG&E, Comcrap, and whoever else is maintaining those services, I don't need to pay it again to the IRS. The IRS wouldn't do jack shit on land I own.


The IRS has nothing to do with property taxes. Property taxes mainly go to your town and some to your state. They mainly fund your local schools, streets, parks, maintenance, etc.

Do you think all these things just magically exist?


Same thing, it's a bunch of inefficient brats taking my money and not giving me that amount of value in return. I could do things much more efficiently with the same amount of money.

Hence, owning property isn't attractive to me at all right now unless they can stop taxing it.


Except the people who are renting you the place you live in are probably doing so for a profit which accounts for the property taxes and thus you are still effectively paying a property tax regardless of whether you buy or rent a place to live.


You sound like a great community member!

Where I live we see tremendous value in the property taxes we pay. The kids get a quality education, the parks are well maintained, the streets are good and the walkways are clean. It’s not cheap but it’s all accounted for in a public ledger. And if you don’t like it you’re able to run for office to change it.

Look - I’m with you when it comes to government inefficiency, corruption, etc. the further from home the worse it is. At least property taxes go into my community and we directly benefit. It makes a place desirable.


You see where I live, cars get smashed all the time, and the police does nothing about it. They just sit on their lazy asses. Property taxes where I live are also some of the highest in the state.


Ahh yeah, I understand your frustration there. It’s sad how some communities choose to spend their taxes and I empathize with you. It’s sad when corrupt and incompetent government pisses away tax revenue instead of making the locality a better place to live with safe streets, good schools, and nice, clean parks.


Good news, the IRS doesn’t levy property taxes.


If the Federal government builds a highway that increases your land value, why should you get the windfall from any capital gains?

In this case the IRS collecting LVT is just recouping the investment they have made improving your land for you.


> I'll just keep renting, I guess, since it makes no difference.

There’s no way that the tax burden offsets the equity you would build by owning property vs renting.

95% of my mortgage payment goes toward paying down principal on the loan, which is essentially value I get to keep. Not to mention that my housing costs are much more fixed compared to rent.

Paying rent provides zero value retention in the long run, its only real benefit is flexibility.


This stance is predicated on interest rates. Taking out a mortgage is currently not the clear cut “right choice.” It might be the optimal choice, but consider, for a loan issued today at over 6%, twice as much money over the lifetime of the loan will be go towards interest as will go toward principle.


True, but you always have opportunity to refinance once rates come back down.


How has property managed to get you to defend such an extreme version of it without also tempting you with a slice of the pie?

This is like saying:

> Harry Potter is the best story ever written and I have no interest in ever reading it.

Property rights are made of consensus, so I'd recommend you stop consenting to the short end of the stick.


Reading the article and the threads below, I have to wonder if there's something unique to Detroit or other areas of the country exploring this land value taxation concept... for example, in my (WA) residential tax statement, there's already a breakdown of the value of the land from its enhancements (IE: my house). Similarly, an alfalfa field (bare land) is going to be taxed at a different rate than that same field having been rezoned as residential and ready for the construction of 200 new homes. That same lot, zoned commercial in the middle of our little town, would have still another tax rate. The state of Oregon is even so kind as to tell you both the value at which they are taxing your property, plus what they believe the market value for the property. So... does Michigan and/or the county and city do something different here? Really trying to understand whether there is an actual tax policy / structure problem, or as the quote at the bottom of the article indicates "We currently have an assessment division that’s not doing its job".


While I love this in general. It should also be mentioned that there are systematic falures in how land valuation works in the US currently. While in general taxing land value makes much more sense, with a proper system of land value valuation this is still far from optimal.

There is a real question on how utilities and services should be paid for. There are places where water is really cheap to provide and then subburbs that require multible expensive pump stations yet they pay the same amount for water.

This incurages building in the wrong places and a land value tax by itself does not fix these things.

In addition the city also needs to strongly evaluate how it uses its land, specially things like on street parking.

Check out some of the work by Urban3 on land value, tax income and so on. Thy have fantastic visualisation that have changed my view on some things.

So yeah, land value tax, go for it, much better system. It allignes insentives better, but there are many otjer distorting effects. Its one piece of a much larger puzzle in terms of how to make great cities with great urbanism.


OK, I’ve been cooking this idea for a while, curious to get others thoughts.

What if we applied a nominal real estate tax, but applied a differential rate to real estate that’s used for rent seeking?

i.e. if you rented your property for N/60 of the previous 60 months, you’re taxed progressively and exponentially.

I know this would depress real estate prices and reduce the volume of housing available for rent. This is the goal: I want property to be owned by local residents and affordable to local residents, because I think it makes better communities and citizens.

Can you all help me poke him in this idea?


Assessment is the bugbear of any property tax system. The assessors are employed by the entity that will be harmed if the assessments go down, so they're obviously invented to keep assessments high.

That said, it's good that Detroit understands its goals and is thinking of what levers are available.

The problem is that you need structures. A city full of vacant lots isn't worth anything, and if you force people to build they won't. Why build when your building will never be worth anything?


Seattle (and maybe Washington state) has been changing the formulas to tax land more and improvements. So given my townhome on a small parcel of land, my property taxes have actually been falling for the last few years. It is a bit weird, but I guess this encourages improvements over hoarding land. I bet that my tax break is being paid by WFHs on larger parcels.

Nothing as drastic as Detroit, of course, and I don't think Seattle is alone in moving the bar gradually to taxing land more and improvements less.


Since Detroit's population has been declining, from 1.5 million to under 700k, revenue will keep falling. What would they do if they lost more people? Increase taxes?


The city sets a budget first, then calculates the value of all land being managed, and sets a tax per land value dollar that matches their budget. The actual value of the land doesn’t matter at all, only the relative value between properties.


It seems to me the idea is sound but the specific implementation very difficult to get exactly right. Tax it too much and no one will want the land. But unless you tax it enough to really spur development it won't have an effect. Finding that sweet spot is the key, but is also going to be a moving target.


I think the specific implementation isn't that hard. The main idea is to provide an incentive to build by not taxing structure value. If you're taxing a territory that is currently half structure value and half land value you can set the land tax that replaces the property tax to double the current rates. Then your city revenue is unchanged. If plenty of land is blighted or empty then the average increased tax on land should be less than the tax of a reasonable structure (SFH for example). Townhouses and condos save by having less land per unit.


This is great news. LVT is the best. In the current economic and political climate I think it is probably our best chance for a major policy improvement. Both the left and the right and economists in general are in favor of it because it increases productivity and disincentivizes speculation.


Do you see the cat: https://www.henrygeorge.org/catsup.htm

I mostly agree with the goal of Georgism: I've seen the wasteland that occurs when everyone is an investor waiting for the area to take off (New Brighton, Christchurch which has been slowly rotting over many decades because of investors IMHO).

However an 11% tax on land value is completely whacko.

There is already a holding cost for undeveloped land: either a mortgage or the opportunity cost (of not investing in say the stock market). (Albeit balanced somewhat by the benefits of using land as collateral for loans when interest rates are low).

The clichéd story of Georgism is an undeveloped plot amidst developed land. I suspect that situation is not common: developers usually will develop if land is surrounded by valuable property! How much of central New York is blank property?

Detroit: what happens when a whole area is blighted? The tax is just a way to steal the land value over time from the owners. 11% less CPI means devaluing at say 6% per annum so property has zero value after a couple of decades. That is definitely not capitslism and is not so far distant from communism (state owns private property over time, it just takes longer than a revolution to do so).


One approach to assessing land value is to have the property owner self declare.

But then that self declaration gets published in an official register, and anyone offering 1.5x that declared value gets to buy the land without the owners ability to refuse.


…what?

I get the idea, but having money shouldn’t mean you should be able to just choose someone’s land and decide its yours.


With enough money you can already do this. You just propose a road building scheme through your enemies garden, sponsor the scheme so it looks like a great deal to local government, and the government will compulsory purchase the garden.


So my house is worth 500k, someone looking for house in range 500k-700k, really really likes my house and just kicks me out for 750k? Sounds like terrible idea.


If you really don't like the idea of that happening, you can always self-declare a higher value. Then, not only is it less likley someone chooses your land to buy, but also if it does happen you get more compensation. But then you'll also have to pay matching higher property taxes.


That sounds a bit extreme. What if your land suddenly appreciates without you knowing?

I think this is not a very fair system and would cause lot of middle class people lose their home to large owners.


When will people learn that more taxes make things more expensive?

It's like people actually want to have world of obscenely rich and obscenely poor people... with nothing in the middle.


Land Value Taxes are different. Nobody produces land so taxing it doesn't add to production costs and there is no deadweight loss. The economic burden of the tax falls only upon the land owner (in their role as a land owner) and cannot effectively be passed onto tenants. Land value is an economic rent which is arguably what we should tax more of and reduce taxes on consumption and income.


Can you explain how the landlord will be prevented from passing on the land tax to the tenant?


Taxing primary homes is regressive and counterproductive. Tax empty lots and commercial / industrial zones to encourage better uses. Tax personal income, not property.


Detroit is an interesting example of a North American disposable city. Conditions changed and everyone left. Could this even happen somewhere like Europe where land is more scarce?


Saying "conditions changed and everyone left" is extremely reductive.


Yes!! The system works... eventually!! Let's go, Georgism!


Great idea, hopefully this will cause people to no hold on to land for years without any development. Detroit has a huge problem with this.


It's so weird to me that with our income tax laws we to try and make sure they are fair and taxing people according to their means. You make more income, you pay more taxes, you make less income, you pay less taxes. But then we layer on property/land taxes that absolutely do not follow that principle. Retired Grandma living off social security has land that she bought 50 years ago is now worth 50 times what it was? Too bad Grandma, gotta pay up or sell it and move!


While I share your reservations, I do prefer this to imminent domain (a practice I am not a fan of). I think it's more likely for the seller to get the best value for their property, and incentivizes the seller to make good use of the property.


Is imminent domain when the government's in a real hurry to grab your land? :-)


Yes


Are those the only two options?


I'm not saying they are. I am just saying that imminent domain is what we have now, and that land-value tax is something that might be better.

I'd rather the government not force people out of homes they paid for, but I don't think that's an option right now.


There are already laws that are written referencing primary residence. It’s not hard to imagine exempting that and just making sure grandma only pays for her 8 vacation homes.


Why does she need to pay more taxes because she owns vacation homes? If they are generating income for her then income tax would make sure she's paying her fair share. Certainly whatever income she used to buy those homes was also taxed.


Because land use is an externality, and plenty of people own land without generating much income as a way to store wealth and for asset speculation.


in short, this is just squeezing the proverbial balloon...it moves the issue to a different area...over time, taxes have been high jacked and twisted into being used as incentives for influencing behaviors...the problem with that is that you need different behaviors at different times in development and there's an assumption that all parties will behave/think/execute in the same way given the same incentives...while more densely populated areas are more efficient and effective economically for some towns and municipalities, it's not necessarily the best use case for all scenario and all cases...at the end of the day, the goal for most municipalities is to cover the cost of goods and services (schools, infrastructure, fire & safety, parks & recreation, etc.)...if that's the goal, then we can quantify how much it costs per person/family/household to support these goods and services and that should serve as the baseline for the "tax"...your level of good and services should not depend on the market value of your land/property/house...in a recession or downturn with depressed property values, you still need the same level of goods and services if not more...


Since people can barely afford land and homes as it is, I’d love to hear how this will help make land more affordable or available.


The subtitle is pretty instructive:

> If you tax blight, will you get less of it?

I think the theory is that it will prevent “hoarding” by forcing land owners to make efficient use of their property, or sell it, thereby lowering the overall price. It creates a less favorable risk profile for speculative real estate. You buy land to do something useful with it, not to wait for the next market boom before you sell.

I think the problem it aims to solve stems from the fact that once you own enough of the land you essentially can charge whatever you want.


Switching from a property tax to a land tax could easily result in no change in total tax revenue.

And since land taxes incentivize more efficient use of land, yes, you may get more total housing supply.


It would tend to pressure owners of land that is undeveloped or undeveloped (parking lots) to either build or sell to someone who will.


More available because increasing the holding cost of underutilized land means owners would be marginally pressured to sell.

More affordable because the tax increases the holding cost of land which is factored into a buyer's purchase budget, much like how mortgage interest rates factor into a buyer's budget.

First let's assume the supply of land for sale is fixed. Of course land is in fixed quantity but I'm talking only about sales inventory – what is actively on the market to purchase. Say I can afford $4,000 per month. If property tax is $1,000 per month and interest rate is 6% maybe I say my purchase budget is $500,000. If interest rate decreases to 3% maybe I say my purchase budget is $700,000. Now consider if the property tax increased to $2,000 per month. Now if interest is 6% my purchase budget becomes $330,000 and if 3% then $475,000. In either case I still pay $4000 total per month. The economic incidence of the tax falls completely on the seller (the previous owner).

Now let's remove our prior assumption about the quantity of land for sale. we earlier established that land would be more available under a higher land value tax because of the increased holding cost incentivizing more sales. That increase in supply (of land for sale) should reduce the market price for land. I can either get the same land for less purchase price or more/higher quality land for the same.


The idea is that it penalizes speculators for just holding onto property without putting it to work. I am not an economist so I don't know which of the pressures would win out.


In theory by encouraging more efficient use of land, i.e. denser building. So you make land more affordable by using less of it per person for apartments.


So tax incentives for land lords?

We have more housing units per capita than any time in US history. Why do you think we need more?


Far fewer people are partnered, so that alone doesn't mean there is sufficient housing. Divorce/not marrying probably means we need 30% more bedrooms than previously required.


The average household size has not decreased significantly in the last 40 years (from 2.75 to 2.5), but units per capita has increased (currently around 0.425 units per person). We went from around 1.5% unit surplus to 6% unit surplus during that time.

You do bring up a good point, however. Nuclear families use housing much more efficiently than singles. For the good of the planet and others, perhaps people should consider the benefits of committed relationships.


The article says that they expect it to lower tax for 97% of residents.


Can you legally relinquish ownership of a parcel to no longer have the tax burden of the empty land in a dying city?


Interesting question.

I think in this scenario there'd be a couple of options:

1. The land is worth a lot. If that is the case, you should be able to sell it reasonably easily.

2. The land is worth very little. In that case the tax would be insignificant because the land has so little value.


The problem is if the state doesn't see eye to eye with you on the value.

This can happen for all sorts of reasons, they might be using a simple algorithm that takes into account nearby values / recent sales as comparables. Those lots might have subtle features which makes them much more valuable than yours. Etc.

You get hit twice if over-assessed, first of all because you have to pay more, secondly because the high taxes act as a drag on what you can sell it for.

In theory this can result in "negative value", ie, the land generates less income under any plausible use than the property taxes cost.

Then you're stuck! What idiot will buy your white elephant now? How can you stop paying the taxes if no one will buy it? Which is why any fair lvt proposal needs at least an out where landowners can hand stuff back to the state.


I'm trying to imagine the context where there is a property in an area with high sales pushing the price of land tax up but this property isn't worth a similar amount for being in the same area.

If people are buying in an area and that drives up prices because it shows the area is valuable, in what conditions would your land not be worth a similar (ish) value?


You might have a heritage building, you might have some kind of natural feature that needs to be preserved, you might have some kind of issue like site contamination, there are lots of ways. If you're lucky the tax ratings might take them into account, if you're not, they won't.


The proposal by Detroit here is to increase taxes on abandoned land. It's not binary, I'm sure some speculated parcels will not be viable to hold any longer if the taxes rise to the same price for built and unbuilt land.


Yes, you can abandon land if you no longer want it. You can do this for most property.


Are you sure? What is the actual process in Detroit where you give up the land and are no longer responsible for the taxes?


I figured it was like regular property but after doing brief research, you’re right. It’s more difficult than just walking away as the local government can continue to tax you.

But after some time I guess it could be found to be abandon and then sold at auction. But until then you’re liable for it. And I think it makes a difference if you own outright or if you have a mortgage.

It’s an interesting question though since so much property in Detroit has been abandoned.


It feels like very few people read the article, just the headline, and are arguing about that.


If a person's primary residence isn't given an exception this will guarantee that people get kicked out of their homes once the land value increases too much.

Similarly, if the tax on a rental property becomes too great the rent will rise to meet it. And again, people will be priced out of their homes.


> people get kicked out of their homes once the land value increases too much

This is already possible with property taxes.

FTA the city claims that 97% of homeowners will see a reduction in taxes. Typically, LVT is highest in areas more central to the city (think downtown) and lowers as you move outwards.

This means that, for example, a multitenant strip mall neighboring an Arby’s on a plot of the same size will pay similar amounts of tax. With property tax, the strip mall would be paying significantly more in taxes even though it is a more productive use of land because the development has more value to its owner.


I have the exact same belief about property taxes. I believe they are perverse at the core. If you own something you should not then have to also pay "rent" to avoid having it seized and auctioned off (at a discount, no less) to those who are already more fortunate than you.


Right. If this is aimed squarely at blighted and/or unused lots I fully and completely support it. If this applies to retired people living in family homes it can fuck off.


The history of property tax involves quite a bit of taxing "intangible property" such as corporate stock. It has obviously evolved dramatically from its original purpose.

Similarly, the income tax in the US was started to pay for the Civil War. It wasn't until the early 1900s that income (both corporate and individual) got federally instituted.

In essence, the tax history of the US reads "At first there were only excise/consumption taxes, and then the government granted itself powers it never gave back. And now here we are."

As such, my expectation is that the notoriously-super-high-integrity government of Detroit won't do anything that isn't in the best interest of the people. Surely.


So Detroit will be offering refunds given the dismal state of real-estate there


I like this. It's like "use it or lose it".


Because living in your home isn't a good enough use?


I think it's more like: "Hey vacant property owner downtown, we'd like this vacant property to be developed into apartments, shops, cafés, business, etc. But, you have no intention of improving this land or maybe you're waiting for a grant you'll never get. You're welcome to keep this land, but we're going to tax you at a rate that we as a municipality think this land should be worth"

I don't about increasing taxes on home owners, but more so disincentivizing siting on vacant property that could otherwise be used better.

You're welcome to sit on that property, but you're incentivized to get it rented instead of not developing it.


This also fixes an issue that property owners in my own locale express, which is that they are nervous to improve a property in fear of its tax assessment increasing.


This really seems like a poor-and-generational-wealth tax


I'm confused. How will this make things better? Does that mean a Detroit house-owners will suddenly have to pay more taxes? Isn't Detroit barely breathing?


I've spent 5 minutes reading about this, but the key difference between this and regular property tax that most of us are used to (in the US anyway) is that it taxes the value of the land, irrespective of any buildings on it. So it encourages land owners to maximize the utility of land they own, vs. leaving it underdeveloped.

Right now, there's less incentive to improve or repair buildings on existing land if taxes are high, since those improvements would make taxes go even higher. By tying it to the land value irrespective of improvement, the thinking is that it should encourage development.

As a homeowner, this sort of thing does concern me, though. I live in a low density, single-family area. A taxing authority might decide that my area is worth more - e.g. politically if there was a push for higher density housing - and proceed to value the land higher and my taxes would go up. This might make it unappealing to own and live in the house, and I would have to leave. Of course, this is seen as the correct outcome by a lot of people.


No. The way taxes work is first you work out how much taxes need to collect, then you work out how much weight everyone has afterwards and split it all up according to that weight. This plan plans to reduce the weight of property and more than double the weight for land.

The city forecasts[0] that the average Detroit homeowner will get a 17% permanent property tax cut in 2025. 97% of all Detroit homeowners will get a tax cut.

[0]: https://detroitmi.gov/departments/office-chief-financial-off...


Ok, this is rebalancing. Thanks for the explanation. This shift in 'weight' may potentially deter large developers or businesses from investing in land within the city, especially if they're looking at larger parcels for development.


Discouraging "investing in land" is the point. Detroit struggles with stasis imposed by property speculation. Encouraging speculators to sell their assets to those who wish to develop is the goal.


If I were a resident of Detroit I would figure out how to fire literally everyone that runs the local government and return assets to the people.


Virtually every effective hedge against inflation is taxed heavily. There is no respite from dilution.

When you look at it from that perspective you see a systematic attack against any safe harbor.


Which, from some points of view, is the point. The government wants money to be going toward investments (real, productive kinds), not sitting around as an inflation hedge.


Real estate is the most durable investment. A plurality of wealthy people became so via real estate.

It is also reasonably resilient to inflationary dilution.

I'm fortunate to be still earning. You could spend your life building a small nest egg and paying off a home to retire in and have it just litigated right out from under you.

Your argument is "time marches on" but then what value in saving and accruing capital? It's all short sighted transactional consumerism or bust. That's no way to live.


It's not the governments job to care about that.


It’s the governments job to do literally whatever the voters want it to do.

Turns out the majority of voters are not all that interested in defending the piles of unproductive wealth.


Surprising since the lower wealth masses depend much more on unproductive wealth as their store of value (such as cash) vs the extremely wealthy that depend more on near monopoly of productive capital.

Maybe it's the minority who have tricked the majority to vote for their bidding.


At risk of Godwin's law, Hitler was elected right?

Or Ben Franklin, "Democracy is two wolves and a lamb voting on what to have for lunch"

Mob rule doesn't imply ethical or moral.


It very much is the government's job to deal with tragedy of the commons situations. It's arguably it's only job, outside of contract enforcement and national defense.


> It's arguably it's only job, outside of contract enforcement and national defense.

Which funnily enough are both just other forms of tragedy of the commons.


Yep you've found the debate point between minarchism and anarchism.


Municipal bonds?


Munis pay lower rates than taxable bonds so tax free status is a wash.


Munis stink compared to even moderately well managed REITs, especially in inflationary times.


You will own nothing and be happy


By George! this sure sounds like a good idea!


Is that a pun on Georgism?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georgism


By George, I think it is.


I thought Detroit has been in decline for decades. If anything, you’d think they’d want to attract people back with _less_ taxes.


A land value tax, in theory, discourages the mere holding of unproductive land. Encouraging the land to go into the hands of people who will actually use it could, in theory, have some regenerative value to a declining city.


Where does the land go when no one buys it or pays taxes?


Presumably to the government, who might use it -- or sell it -- later.


Under the US system, I could see this having issues if the State, Federal, or County/Municipality holds it. What if the current entity doesn't do what the other wants performed with it?


Less taxes are good, but if the taxes are there to help remove negative externalities from the market it will be a net win. I wouldn't mind paying a bit more property taxes if it meant property values weren't sky high and it discouraged land hoarding.

Land tax is good in that it still rewards developers for creating value, but not speculators or people who buy land and don't actually provide value.


This is not a problem Detroit has


40% of all land parcels in downtown are _parking lots_.

Tell me more about how nobody's hoarding land.


Have you tried to park downtown? If you want fewer lots it's gonna need structures.


This is exactly what LVT is supposed to incentivize.


>>> Have you tried to park downtown? If you want fewer lots it's gonna need structures.

>> This is exactly what LVT is supposed to incentivize.

How? If people don't think building a parking structure is going to be more profitable than keeping a parking lot, how is raising their cost going to change their mind?

I suppose some of the lots might be sold as unprofitable which might lead to less parking and higher prices, which might lead to someone building a structure. Is that the logic? It seems pretty flimsy, but I don't otherwise see how LVT would incentivize building parking structures.


If you (where "you" may be a group of businesses) need X parking spaces, and land becomes more expensive, your tradeoffs shift on how you get those spaces. You are incentivized to use less land, so you are more likely to build a parking structure rather than a sprawling parking lot.

I'm not an LVT advocate, but as I understand it, that's the theory.


It rewards people who use land in a way that produces commercial value. If you wanted to speculate on some land while operating it as a private park or a free parking lot you may be out of luck.


They're increasing taxes on land but decreasing taxes on buildings.

So most homeowners will pay less in total property taxes than they do today.


If it replaces property tax wouldn't this be lowering taxes for people who actually develop on their land?


Depends on the rates.


Kansas showed how poorly that economic theorem pans out

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kansas_experiment


That wikipedia article is a dumpster fire.


How to ensure no one wants to live in your city 101.


Google image search: Detroit abandoned neighbourhoods

A city run completely by Democrats.

Every policy they have is destructive.


So if Detroit's economic collapse is the fault of local Democrats (and not, say, the death of large parts of the US auto industry), then does that mean we also have to credit local Democrats for Detroit's rapid economic recovery[0][1][2] over the past decade or so?

[0]https://detroitmi.gov/news/u-m-economic-forecast-shows-detro...

[1]https://www.detroitnews.com/story/business/2023/02/08/michig...

[2]https://www.chicagofed.org/publications/chicago-fed-letter/2...


You should read the materials you linked. They literally fabricated a new economic indicators index to provide a better score than the one previously used.


Where does it say that? Among the metrics they use are unemployment, job openings, and GDP growth. Seems pretty standard to me. The Fed article that discusses a new index isn't 'fabricating' a new index; they developed a way to separate the performance of the metropolitan area from the city proper so good performance for the overall metro area wouldn't give an I correctly rosy picture of the city proper. If you're gonna tell me to read my links, maybe you should make sure you read them first.

Please do quote me exactly where it says this new Detroit-only metric shows the city doing better than the metro-inclusive metric. I'm particularly curious to see where it says that since the article explicitly points out that the Detroit-only index performed worse than the metro-inclusive index.

> Moreover, the city’s economic growth more frequently dropped back into negative territory than the MSA’s:


Georgism has always felt like a big step in the wrong direction to me. It moves us away from what little concept of personal ownership we have left to more of a collective ownership.


France does this.

End result is that french people go to great lengths to make their house look un-valuable.

For example, they never paint anything and never do repairs. Some even have holes in the roof so they can claim buildings are worthless when in fact there is some 2nd roof underneath keeping the inside dry.


This is a land value tax, not a building value tax. So essentially the exact opposite of what you say. It would solve the french problem.

With an LVT they would be taxed identically regardless of if their building is in pristine shape or falling to shambles. Meaning there is now no longer any incentive to let the building rot.


That doesn't make sense. The building's value wouldn't affect the land tax.


Go ahead and reread what a land value tax is


This is called Georgism, https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georgism.

It was proposed over 100 years ago and apparently has been endorsed by most economists as the least distorting tax.




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