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Unfortunately, it is not even consistent:

• In January 2021 he said end of 2021 [2]. • In May 2022 he said May 2023 [1].

So he moved from around 2 years to 1 year.

Looking at the rate of progress from Tesla FSD videos on YouTube, I wouldn't bet on 2023.

Whenever people talk about Tesla FSD, I always like to point to Cruise who just got a permit to carry paying riders in California [3]. Honestly, their software looks significantly smarter than Tesla's -- Highly recommend their 'Cruise Under the Hood 2021' video for anyone interested in self-driving![4]

[1] https://electrek.co/2022/05/22/elon-musk-tesla-self-driving-...

[2] https://www.cnet.com/roadshow/news/elon-musk-full-self-drivi...

[3] https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/self-d...

[4] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uJWN0K26NxQ




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