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The real problem will be when supply normalizes, used cars return to their sub-20k wholesale price, and a bunch of people are underwater on bad loans for (once again) depreciating assets.

Have fun with that everyone!




Presumably, people know about this possibility, and it's reflected in prices already?

For many people a car is a productive asset. As in, they need it to do their jobs. Even if it's just to commute to work.

So 'overpaying' for a car now might still be the right thing to do, even if you know full well that it's gonna lose a lot of value in a year or less.


I wonder what gap insurance is like these days. I can't imagine that it hasn't gone up in price significantly.


Probably the opposite. If the car is worth more than you owe you shouldn’t need gap insurance.


You're thinking too short-term.

If you accept the thesis we're in a bubble that will deflate, soon cars will be worth even less than they were during the run-up, so the difference will go from positive to deeply negative in a hurry.




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