Hacker News new | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submit | nuclearnice1's comments login

polyptoton?



Epanalepsis?

Chiasmus?

Why are all rhetorical devices given such arcane names?


> arcane names

That's why they're magic! If people used these words every day they'd end up starting fires or summoning demons.


Rhetoric was invented in Greece


I think they're just Greek because we got them from the Greeks.


Camorepticus?

Scremaèlitude?

We're just making up words at this point, right?


A slight over simplification, for example s&p was negative 1% per year from Jan 2000 to Dec 2009. Plus the cost of your leverage.

But the general point that US equity returns have been good and leverage would have increased them stands.

For some reason, Americans are “told” to get 4x leveraged to the real estate market but to pay for their equities with 100% cash.


Because if your house goes underwater, you keep living in it for years until it recovers and grows. With leverage on equity you get margin called during drops that kill your investment and give you no capture of future recoveries.


> A slight over simplification, for example s&p was negative 1% per year from Jan 2000 to Dec 2009. Plus the cost of your leverage.

For the 2000s, a US-only investor would only have been saved from the S&P500 by having at least 20% bonds and rebalancing:

* https://www.forbes.com/sites/advisor/2010/09/13/its-not-real...

Of course if you were not US-only, but rather internationally diversified (and rebalanced), you would also have been fine. Diversification is important, even for Americans (cited sources in the description):

* https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1FXuMs6YRCY


Thanks for the great video on international diversification.

I noticed he has another on the related topic of bias toward investing in one’s home country.

https://youtu.be/qYedjI03Q0g?si=-wOqSA96cmScFInq


> For some reason, Americans are “told” to get 4x leveraged to the real estate market but to pay for their equities with 100% cash.

Your mortgage is fixed for 15-30 years (depending on mortgage product), and your real estate cannot be margin called (unlike securities which are constantly fluctuating in price).

Edit: Over leveraging on margin to buy equities? Not great. Borrowing against real estate equity to invest in equities, with rent comfortably covering the debt servicing? Potentially not as bad. TLDR Manage your risk exposure appropriately.


This reply cannot be understated. Those who are strong advocates for highly leveraged equity positions who use real estate to justify either have yet to experience a true market decline, or are simply really green to investing.

If I could leverage 4:1 on the total market index using a fixed 30 year loan without the ability to force a sale I would in a heartbeat. Unfortunately, that’s just not how it works.

And anything claiming to be the solution to that (like a leveraged ETF such as UPRO), suffers from volatility decay that causes it to underperform or eventually go to zero in horizontal markets (e.g. lost decades).


Yup. You cant get margin called on a mortgage, but theres clearly an optimal S&P leverage ratio, and its far above 1. Wild how repulsed americans are by this, when they really could retire much younger


Where do you recommend we can read more about this?


Interesting. I did not know about this case.

We had a similar thing in Pakistan. In fact, same font.

https://gulfnews.com/world/asia/pakistan/how-calibri-font-br...


Be sure to read that link with showdead.

thedrake’s victorious final comment “ SOLVED!!!!!! I spent several hours looking for an axe or a hatchet or an Ubåt…” is dead.

Possibly because of a heuristic aimed at killing spam posts with too many links.


Thanks! it's https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=14673626 and I've unkilled it now.

(It was killed because of the lmgtfy link btw)


I still don't get it. That comment just says they searched google images for axe pics. In Chinese, for some reason. They don't even address the letter Y mystery.


in china because there's 80% chance that ball was made there


is there a way to show [flagged] and [delayed] ?


[flagged] shows on comments when flags significantly outweigh downvotes.

[delayed] shows when a comment isn't being displayed yet because it's still less than N minutes old, where N is the 'delay' setting in the commenter's profile (about which, see https://news.ycombinator.com/newsfaq.html).

Does that answer your question?


it answered it for [delayed], thanks :) so there is no way to show [flagged] ?


We have different mental models here; in mine, that question isn't well-formed, so I need to know what you mean by it :)


[flagged]


I hesitate to engage, but I'm curious. What, in your opinion, is "HN Worthy" exactly?


[flagged]


c'mon, man, that's not an answer. I'm asking for details!

The value I can see in this post, as relates to what I think merits HN:

- there's a deep dive into researching a supply chain

- the research in question is an outstanding example of OSINT

- great reading over a cup of coffee

- I didn't have to read about freaking NFTs or anybody's politics


[flagged]


Or they used a link which triggered an automated anti-spam mechanism.

But no, it's definitely a political censorship issue.


> For example, Gryta and Mann report that GE would sometimes artificially boost quarterly profits by selling an asset (e.g., a diesel train) to a friendly bank, knowing that it could then buy back the asset at a time of GE’s choosing.

So fraud?


If you want to see another example, look into how airlines buy and lease aircrafts or how refrigeration systems of grocery stores are accounted for on accounting statements. Review accounting statements and quarterly/annual reports of large US public companies, you will find all sort of financial engineering. You will find a lot of such financial engineering cases discussed in any MBA Financial Reporting and Accounting classes.


I'd be interested in reading the book to get more detail on that. Sale and leasebacks (which often include buyback options) are a fairly common capital management measurement in the asset finance sector.[0] GE could have been committing fraud or this could be sensationalist reporting of a mundane financial management technique.

0: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leaseback


Great points. It depends on how confident you are in the claim that the primary purpose was “artificially boost quarterly profits.” No particular evidence presented in the excerpt.


So fraud?


No, it changes the risk profile.

It’s not much different to selling your house to someone and then renting it back.


Claiming the sales as a profit in the above situation is dubious. When I leaseback an asset I previously owned, I am taking a long term liability which is larger than the profit. This is totally fine in the case of something like an office building - a company probably won’t be around or be fit for the lifetime of the building - but dubious for core company assets.


For a car? A car will definitely not outlast most viable companies. What if it's cars for a car rental company? I believe the car would be a core company asset then. But if you don't label it as revenue, what DO you label it as? I'm not an accountant, only have rudimentary accounting knowledge, but don't see any options other than revenue there.


Even I sold and leased back my own car.


It's fraud, but it's legal in the same way insider trading is legal so long as you're a member of congress.


Remember Lehman CFO did the same at month/quarter end using repos - not ethical, but legal


It is fraud when you don't tell that openly and pad books by it, but it is an okay tactic as a hedging risk as long as you are open about it.


Meaning as long as you mentioned it in the fine print on page 497 of your financial statement?


You got a better way to explain the transactions? If you're saying the transactions should be illegal, there are plenty of scenarios where these transactions wouldn't be weird or horrible. How to differentiate which are OK and which aren't?


Gaming.


You did a beautiful job and you should be proud of it. Both the information and the aesthetics are a treat.

Can I ask what technology stack you used? For the images, the animations, and the voice over?

I’d like to be able to do something like this.


Thank you so much! It's all done in After Effects, with some Photoshop work for more complex graphics. The voice over was kindly provided by my wife.


Excellent work, the animation is top notch. The voice was so good I also assumed it was generated.


What a world where someone would sooner believe a good human voice is from a computer before a human!


When machines started making perfect rugs, humans began valuing those rugs with imperfections.


That would have been really impressive in 2016!


Exactly. Almost as much fun as when Garry wanted to take our money to keep him rich: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35118988


His (and others) comments and social media behavior during the SBV thing really opened my eyes.


What does this have to do with SVB?


Interesting point. There are obvious connections from the Yamas to the eight-fold path of Buddhism: Right View, Right Resolve, Right Speech, Right Action, Right Livelihood, Right Effort, Right Mindfulness, and Right Concentration.

I’m not aware of an explicit ordering. But the other seven steps complement and deepen the meditation.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Noble_Eightfold_Path



You may be interested in Terry Tao’s polymath collaborations.

https://terrytao.wordpress.com/2018/01/24/polymath-proposal-...

> As for upper bounds, de Bruijn showed back in 1950 that {\Lambda \leq 1/2}. The only progress since then has been the work of Ki, Kim and Lee in 2009, who improved this slightly to {\Lambda < 1/2}. The primary proposed aim of this Polymath project is to obtain further explicit improvements to the upper bound of {\Lambda}. Of course, if we could lower the upper bound all the way to zero, this would solve the Riemann hypothesis, but I do not view this as a realistic outcome of this project

To your point, there was some excitement and progress in the beginning, but it remains an unusual approach to mathematics.


Generally, if you find a simplification that makes the problem trivial you’re interpreting it wrong and should reconsider.


It’s funny because that’s the opposite of what you’d want in a new hire: you want the engineer to pick a trivial solution rather than over-designing everything, so they can solve more problems for your company.


Ha. Right. I guess it’s just one more way in which the interview is an anti pattern for the behavior we want in a coworker.

Can I Google this? Sorry no.

ChapGPT? Pretend it’s not available.

Use a library? No no no.

Ask for help? Thanks for coming in.


Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: