If you have $1b in high margin revs and are still doubling annually, you are easily worth $10-20b.

Or an understanding of exponential growth rates.

I also notice that you created your account just now, presumably to comment on this post. Who do you work for?

The one thing I know about exponential growth rates is that inevitably they turn into S-curves.

Yes, companies grow exponentially indefinitely regardless of addressable market size.

I must work for an Airbnb competitor, or a large hotel chain. Because everybody knows that astroturfing on HN is the best way to stop a company dead in its tracks.

How large is the market for short term housing, and how close is airbnb to saturating it?

I didn't say you were astroturfing, but I am curious what motivates you to create an account for the purpose of commenting on this story.

A huge chunk of the short term housing market is corporate. You're talking about stays of 30+ days and you need to book multiple rooms regularly with a single phone call. That's not Airbnb's sweet spot. The pricing in this market is also pretty competitive. I know because the investment bank I used to work at used corporate housing and the rates we negotiated for rooms in Manhattan were much better than what you can get on Airbnb for Manhattan.

If you want a publicly traded comp for short term housing, look at Extended Stay. $1.2bn in revenue. About $500m in EBITDA. $4bn market cap. And it offers a 3% dividend yield.

As for my motivation, you want the truth? It's Friday night and my wife is out of town. I had a long week and instead of sleeping with one of her boring girlfriends like I usually do I'm trolling you on HN.

"the rates we negotiated for rooms in Manhattan were much better than what you can get on Airbnb"

Which is why AirBnB's business is much better.