My experience is the need for programmers rapidly increases under those conditions because
1) New capabilities and demonstrations of capabilities mean its easier to make the new thing a business requirement, now implemented and supported by IT.
2) Labor required to do something vs skill level in programming scales way beyond linear, maybe exponential. So pay a genius 10 hours of labor at 3x pay, your average grunt "real programmer" 50 hours at 2x pay, or front line sorcerers apprentice doesn't even have programmer in his job title 250 hours at 1x pay to do it in a spreadsheet.
3) Sorcerers apprentices have no idea how to use tools making them incredibly inefficient both in calculating results and the immense labor they expend for their result. The most expensive way to get a result is to pay people who have no idea what they're doing.
How do you see this dynamic playing out with SaaS services vs. IT? In theory, an external SaaS provider could create economies of scale in usable software for apprentices. Would custom enteprise apps reincorporate those learnings? Or would the enterprise pay a cost to integrate the output of SaaS services (possibly with apprentice errors) into corporate systems?
1) New capabilities and demonstrations of capabilities mean its easier to make the new thing a business requirement, now implemented and supported by IT.
2) Labor required to do something vs skill level in programming scales way beyond linear, maybe exponential. So pay a genius 10 hours of labor at 3x pay, your average grunt "real programmer" 50 hours at 2x pay, or front line sorcerers apprentice doesn't even have programmer in his job title 250 hours at 1x pay to do it in a spreadsheet.
3) Sorcerers apprentices have no idea how to use tools making them incredibly inefficient both in calculating results and the immense labor they expend for their result. The most expensive way to get a result is to pay people who have no idea what they're doing.