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That's an incomplete analysis.

A more complete one would look at what each engineer had contributed. If the one with the foul-up has and does contribute significant value, and doesn't repeat the same mistakes, it's a good call.

If the careful worker both avoids errors (and costly mistakes) and exceeds other engineers in contributing value, there's a strong argument for keeping them.

There are people who simply foul things up. And there are those who avoid mistakes by simply never taking risks. You almost certainly want to discard the first. The second's value depends on the value your organization gains from innovation.




I would not call it an "analysis" - an moderately insightful joke perhaps, or a heuristic.




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