Buy btc when it's low, buy things with btc when it's high :) If you're trying to invest in it like a forex trader without adding liquidity to the market (e.g., buy-n-hold), you're part of what drives these bubbles in the first place..
I treat these bubbles as periodic shopping sprees. I bought a bunch of e-cigarette stuff and a few christmas presents during this bubble. (and I still have more $us worth of btc than what I spent on the original btc).
When the hype gets loud enough that local papers and your tech-unsavvy parents are talking about, it's high. Sell then. For me that would have been mid November - I would have missed the $1000 peak but still would have made out like a bandit.
EDIT: If you think you've found a sure-fire way to beat the market, you are probably wrong. That or you are doing insider trading or high-frequency trading (arbitrage).
Ah, except I'm not trading for cash. I'm trading for something that means more to me than cash (which I would have used cash to purchase anyway) :) What the merchant does with it afterwards, on the other hand.
And I'm not in it to make a fast buck. I'm just using it for occasional vanity purchases. I don't like treating a volatile commodity as a forex investment.. just doesn't seem wise. If it crashes to <$1/btc, I'll be out like, a hundred bucks. So what?
How do merchants even price things to sell using bitcoin when it has volatility like this?
Do they dynamically change the price of goods based on the bitcoin/$ exchange rate? Or do they actually sell the same goods for 1$ one day, $3 the next and $2 the third?
If they use a service like coinbase, they price in USD and then payout almost immediately. It's a deferred sell, to be sure, but it adds more economic activity than just an exchange transaction.
I don't think I've found a sure-fire way to beat the market, not one bit. I understand that it's risky-brisky. But I do think that non-investment activity will add more legitimacy to the btc economy itself, which is why I opt to spend instead of sell.
I treat these bubbles as periodic shopping sprees. I bought a bunch of e-cigarette stuff and a few christmas presents during this bubble. (and I still have more $us worth of btc than what I spent on the original btc).