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Are there any decent estimates for how much one bitcoin will be worth if it ends up being a generally used currency for international transfers?

i.e. if it becomes the new Paypal, how much would one bitcoin need to be worth?



paypal claim to have done $44 billion of trade in Q3 2013(1). so lets assume paypal do $4x44 billion of trade for the year.

there will only ever be 21 million BTC in existence* , there are much less than that right now (12 million ish).

4x44,000,000,000/21,000,000 = $8380/BTC

this assumes of course, that Bitcoin totally replaces paypal and nothing else (which is already not true).

* - this ignores the fact that there are already thousands, if not millions of BTC that have been lost due to lost wallets, forgotten coins, invalid transactions, etc.

(1) - https://www.paypal-media.com/about





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