Hacker News new | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submit login

Actual bad decisions you made in the past are a valid reason not to risk underwriting a large loan to you. There are valid criticisms of the credit agencies, but that doesn't seem like one of them.

If you want a mortgage and you feel you have a convincing reason a bank should risk entrusting you with their money despite a bad credit history, try an in-person appointment with a lender at a local credit union. Be prepared to show your bank statements, several years of tax returns, and if you're self-employed, a signed letter from your business's accountant about the health of your cash flow. You'll definitely need enough cash on hand for a downpayment of at least 30% the house's value; good strategy even if it weren't required.

If you really want to look credit-worthy, use that six figure income to pay off those student loans before you take on an even larger debt obligation.




I don't disagree with you–but it can be frustrating to know you've improved both your responsibility and your earning power yet only be judged by the past.

For example, I've paid cash for the last 5 cars our family has purchased over the last 6 years. Why doesn't my ability to do that apply to my credit-worthiness? Small things like that annoy me about the agencies/system.

Also, the median home price where we live is $500-600K (depending on the city/neighborhood). 30% of that is quite a down-payment.


> For example, I've paid cash for the last 5 cars our family has purchased over the last 6 years. Why doesn't my ability to do that apply to my credit-worthiness?

Because paying cash once for something is the opposite of proving credit-worthiness. You haven't proven an ability to uphold your end of a long-term agreement.

If you want to improve your credit, finance those cars. Make payments for about 6 months and then pay them off. You pay a little extra in interest, but you get another credit entry which is in good standing.

On an unrelated note, you can almost always negotiate a better price on your car (in the US) if you finance and then pay the loan off.


There are better (less expensive) ways to build credit than car loans.

While I don't remember the name, my wife and I built credit getting some sort of secured loan from our local credit union. The process was something along the lines of making an account with them, putting $X into the account, and then getting a 6 or 12 month loan from them for the same $X dollars at a really low interest rate. Overall I think we paid $30 to $50 dollars over that period in interest.


>Because paying cash once for something is the opposite of proving credit-worthiness. You haven't proven an ability to uphold your end of a long-term agreement.

This is absolutely true under the current system. But, I think the parent is actually questioning the rationale behind the current system.

I agree to some extent. Accruing, then using significant cash-on-hand to make multiple large purchases should speak more than it currently does to the customer's financial responsibility and/or wherewithal. It's also potentially evidence of his/her earning ability. All of these should contribute more to the determination of a person's "credit-worthiness".

The current system is punitive for those who generally don't like debt, but recognize its necessity for large purchases (i.e. especially for homes). Debt elimination/avoidance is a sound and oft-recommended personal financial practice, which should show sound financial judgement. Why is there a penalty for subscribing to it?

Of course the credit-reporting bureaus profit tremendously by upholding the current system as it is. Their biggest customers as well as their source of information/power are the creditors themselves.


Of course the credit-reporting bureaus profit tremendously by upholding the current system as it is.

This doesn't seem to follow. The credit bureau has incorrectly identified a responsible person and denied them a loan. No loan = no interest payments. How do they or the bank profit? People who deal solely in cash are the worst kind of (non) customer for the financial industry. Wouldn't the banks prefer (and pay for) accurate ratings over inaccurate ratings?


If that denied person then goes off to build a credit profile by engaging in a series of other credit transactions, then the value of that customer grows tremendously for the credit bureau. Each debt becomes a part of his/her profile that can then be sold and re-sold. And each transaction generates revenue for the bureau as prospective new creditors pull the customer's credit. It's a self-serving system that benefits both the creditors and the bureaus. From the bureau's perspective, this is far more profitable than taking into consideration other factors to get just one loan decision "right".

And, this is the how we've been trained to "build credit", as evidenced by the grandparent's standard advice to improve credit by financing cars and paying them off over the months vs. paying in cash. This is how things work currently, and most people understand and follow that program, which suits the bureaus quite well.

>Wouldn't the banks prefer (and pay for) accurate ratings over inaccurate ratings?

This is not to say that the current approach is wholly inaccurate. It certainly can be one way to measure worthiness. I'm just saying that there are other approaches that are overlooked and, as it happens, the credit bureaus don't have much incentive to pursue those other approaches.


You're assuming that "credit-worthiness" == "financial responsibility", but they're not the same thing, because "credit" as it's used in our current economy is not the same as "credit" as you would think of it just using ordinary common sense.

When you get a loan for a car or a house or pretty much anything else, the bank is lending you money it doesn't actually have. (This is called "fractional-reserve banking" in order to confuse the uninitiated into thinking it is something abstruse, when it's actually very simple: I've just defined it in one sentence.) The cash that gets paid to the seller when you close on the loan is created on the spot (ultimately it comes from the Federal Reserve, at least in the US, which can print money on demand--actually it doesn't even have to "print" it since it's just electronic entries in accounting databases); it doesn't come from the bank's vaults.

So the bank doesn't really care whether or not you can pay back the loan; it makes its money on the "processing fees" at closing. The loan payments you make are going to third parties (in many cases, the bank sells your loan to a third party almost as soon as it's created), who are spreading the risk of default much more widely. (If you ask, "what happens when that risk isn't spread widely enough?", the answer is that you get an economic meltdown such as the one that happened in 2008.) But since the primary lender is making money on fees, it considers people "credit worthy" who generate fees: i.e., who take on debt. It does not like people who pay cash because that creates no debt and hence no fees.


>You're assuming that "credit-worthiness" == "financial responsibility"

No. I am saying that it doesn't, but should to a larger degree.

>This is called "fractional-reserve banking"

Yeah, I'm pretty well familiar with our banking system. No need for the Dr. Evil-style "laser" air quotes. It's not germane to this discussion in any event, as defaulted loans aren't good for the bank.

>So the bank doesn't really care whether or not you can pay back the loan;

Not true. Many banks/lenders actually service most of their non-real estate loans vs. selling them. Also, to the extent that they do sell loans, they care about credit-worthiness because higher quality loans fetch a higher price.

>(If you ask, "what happens when that risk isn't spread widely enough?", the answer is that you get an economic meltdown such as the one that happened in 2008.)

This is incorrect. In some ways, the problem was that they "spread the risk" too much. That is, the same loans were re-packaged and sold multiple times, creating insane leverage through exotic instruments (derivatives, CDOs, etc.) of little-to-no-intrinsic value. Had we simply seen a series of defaults, the systemic threat would have been greatly reduced. It was the leverage that created the real crisis.


I am saying that it doesn't, but should to a larger degree.

Ok, fair enough. I agree that it should; but then again I don't think fractional reserve banking is as good an idea as most economists appear to think it is.

It's not germane to this discussion in any event

I think it is, because the fact that making loans causes money to be created on the spot means that loans are cheaper (in some cases, much cheaper) than they would otherwise be. That greatly reduces the incentive to increase one's financial responsibility. Also see below.

defaulted loans aren't good for the bank

They aren't if the bank still owns them and if the bank was booking them at an inflated value, yes.

Many banks/lenders actually service most of their non-real estate loans vs. selling them.

Yes, I should have drawn a distinction between real estate loans and other loans.

to the extent that they do sell loans, they care about credit-worthiness because higher quality loans fetch a higher price.

They care about creditworthiness in the sense of ratings, yes; but I thought we agreed that that's not the same as actual financial responsibility, i.e., as whether the borrower can actually pay back the loan. See below.

In some ways, the problem was that they "spread the risk" too much.

They thought they were spreading the risk by re-packaging loans in all these creative ways, when they actually weren't. (This may be what you were referring to by putting "spread the risk" in scare-quotes. Note that I did not do that in my previous post.) Spreading risk means the risk of any one loan defaulting is independent of the risk of other loans defaulting. That turned out not to be true, because real estate was in a bubble, created by low interest rates and consequent cheap mortgages (and the fact that the money for the loans was being created out of thin air), and when the bubble popped, lots of loan defaults happened that were correlated, not independent.

Had we simply seen a series of defaults, the systemic threat would have been greatly reduced. It was the leverage that created the real crisis.

I agree that leverage greatly exacerbated the problem; but note that the leverage doesn't just come from the derivatives. It comes from fractional-reserve banking in general, i.e., from giving out more loans (up to 10 times as many with the current reserve requirement of 10%) than the actual supply of real savings justifies. That's going to create a bubble in whatever the loan vehicle du jour is, even if no other leveraging is present.


> Also, the median home price where we live is $500-600K (depending on the city/neighborhood). 30% of that is quite a down-payment.

You're talking about being entrusted with half a million dollars of someone else's money. That's a huge bet to make on you; it goes both ways. If you can't afford the down payment, then you can't afford to live in that neighborhood.

30% isn't an unusual downpayment, especially if you don't have perfect credit. With a smaller downpayment, the bank is in a position where you could default on the mortgage, they repossess the house, and because it's depreciated in value at all, get less money when they sell it than they paid the person who sold the house to "you" (to the bank, really) after foreclosure and closing costs.


Why is the house "depreciated in value at all" ? I don't understand that part.


You just lived through a recession in which tens of millions of homes depreciated in value during the terms of their loans. Depreciated means it lost value; the house is worth less than before. That, combined with a small downpayment, can result in a bank holding a foreclosed home which is worth less than the value of the mortgage on it.


Ah, I see. I thought your explanation was more general, not specific to the current economic situation. And since I learned as a kid that a house normally only get more value over time (I live in western europe) that was confusing me. Thanks for the clarification.


> I learned as a kid that a house normally only get more value over time

I think this is one of the reasons we got into this mess. People bought more house than they could afford thinking they would be able to sell it if they needed to and at least break even. Nobody was prepared for underwater mortgages because we all assumed houses only appreciate.


all structures depreciate, eventually it will fall down. It requires maintenance to keep the same value. This is one reason most people will tell you to never buy a condo. Land is finite and does not depreciate.


> Land is finite and does not depreciate.

The value of land can definitely depreciate. Perhaps not in [sub]urban areas so much, but in rural areas the value of land can be tied to things like timber, water, or mining. If I buy some acreage and extract timber/sand/gravel/etc, that land is going to have a lower resale value.

Or maybe I buy prime farmland and then crop the soil until it is dead.

Or instead of extracting stuff, I leave bad stuff behind (persistent pollution -- lead, mercury, etc).

For something more [sub]urban, consider the case where a new highway is built to route traffic around a city instead of through it, and a previously viable commercial location becomes worthless because the traffic count drops to near-zero.


If a 20-30% downpayment seems completely unrealistic, then you are probably not in area that you can afford. A home is like a car, in that nobody forces you to buy the Porsche, and you can always buy something in a cheaper area. A location with a median home value of 600k is definitely in the "Porsche" category of locations. Go find yourself a Camry.


Never said it was unrealistic–just meant it wouldn't happen immediately. By the time I have it available (2-3 years), my credit score will be improved too.

Also, our rent is very low here ($2K for a 4bd home on 1/3 acre in a great neighborhood). We just happen to be in an area where buying vs. renting is out of balance.

And your car analogy breaks down real fast. There are many more factors which can/do prevent people from moving to other cities.


20% - 30% used to be the standard down payment for a mortgage. I'm not sure exactly when the %5%, 2%, and even no-money-down mortgages started, but they are a big part of why housing has been in such a mess the past decade. They sort of set the general expectation that you could buy a house with no personal sacrifice or investment, and thus made it easy for people to rationalize walking away when the payments became difficult to manage.


So you pay cash for everything, and somehow that demonstrates your ability to responsibly use credit?

Do you also assume that Mormons are experts on responsible social drinking?




Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: