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aswanson
on Sept 24, 2007
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NASA predicted human caused 'ice age' in 1971...
It doesn't mean that it can immediately be dismissed, but you can certainly take into account prior or perceived behaviour of a party when making a claim, especially if they have strong economic motive to deceive you.
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=691641
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http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=691641