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Obama's Secret Weapon In The South is 129 Million Years Old (npr.org)
461 points by weinzierl on Nov 8, 2012 | hide | past | favorite | 301 comments



Considering that Obama was trounced in those states and thus won no votes in the Electorial College, it is hardly a "secret weapon." Were it one, the consistency of its Democratic lean in previous elections, would call into question that it was his.

The article just promotes an ignorant sort of racial understanding while missing the really curious relationship between agriculture and his campaigns.

Obama's secret weapon has been Iowa.


Or money+incumbency

Roosevelt,Truman,Eisenhower,Johnson,Nixon,Reagan,Clinton,BushII all had plenty of time to plan for 2nd term.

Of course so did Ford, Carter and Bush I.

There may not be enough samples to get a good p-value, but more often than not the recipe of "just don't mess up too bad" gets a another term for a sitting President.


Iowa is where Obama upset the presumptive nominee, Hillary Clinton four years ago. It is overwhelmingly made up of a constituencies which tend to vote Republican. Not only did he win the caucuses, he flipped the state in the general election and carried it by a substantial margin in his reelection.

If you ever go to Iowa, you won't see many people likely to vote for Obama on the basis of racial affinity.


I can't help but reply to this thread.

I grew up in L.A., came to Iowa for college and stayed. Am now in my late 30's. Was not affiliated with any party when I caucused for Obama the first go 'round.

Iowa is an interesting political crossroads for the nation. We have a large percentage of the population above 65 - 15% (http://www.census.gov/prod/cen2010/briefs/c2010br-09.pdf) - and still rural - 36% as of 2010 (http://www.iowadatacenter.org/quickfacts). We are somewhat socially liberal - gay rights are making headway here - and fiscally conservative - our state sales tax is 6%.

Our racial makeup is predominantly caucasian, but we have been welcoming minorities and they are on the increase. Hispanic, Vietnamese, Cambodians, Serbians, Chinese, Ethiopians, etc continue to migrate here and are well represented at my children's school.

Where am I going with this? Iowans as a whole are hardworking people who are very giving of their time and want what's best for the country. We are accepting of others opinions and able to hold rational political discussions. And I think most of us are sick of gridlock in Washington and can see through the political BS (for example, all the posturing during the last round of federal budgeting). The older registered Republicans I've talked with over the last couple of years have told me they can see that Obama has been trying to work with Republican politicians, and it's not his fault things aren't getting done. That's why we re-elected him.

I think Iowa does a good job of being at the center of the U.S., both geographically and politically.


My in-laws are from Kossuth County and I've been there several times. Being of largely homogenous ethnic backgrounds, the indigenous divisions are largely religious and between townships, i.e. one will hear talk about (Roman) Catholic towns and Lutheran towns and how one traditionally drives Chevys and the other Fords (or vice versa).


> We are somewhat socially liberal - gay rights are making headway here - and fiscally conservative - our state sales tax is 6%.

Based on this everything else you mentioned about Iowa, it seems like it would be a great state for third party candidates to try to upset the two party balance.


I agree that Iowa would be a good place for third party candidates to make a run, but the problem they have is visibility. There's no national visibility, and there's no local coverage. We have strong local media though, and I would actually call them balanced, so I've no idea why the visibility is lacking.


Neighboring Minnesota elected Jesse Ventura Governor in 1998. He ran as part of Ross Perot's Reform Party.



Not overwhelmingly. The rural areas in the northwest of the state are hard-red, but the rest of the rural areas vary from mostly-red to evenly split. Des Moines is mostly split, but the SE and E areas are fairly blue. My federal house district includes the heart of downtown Des Moines and almost exactly split down the middle, which is partially why our last house race was so contentious. The state just happened to barely go for GWB in 2004 because of John Kerry's weak campaign.


Paul Graham wrote an essay on this. The most charismatic candidate is elected, every time: http://www.paulgraham.com/charisma.html


The theory does accord with the last several general elections, but it doesn't seem to accord with primaries. For example, Herman Cain, Howard Dean, and Mike Huckabee all lost out to less charismatic candidates. Since primaries are now decided on a similar basis to general elections--debate performance, fundraising, retail politics--it seems like these data points ought to be included.


I suspect taking office makes a candidate seem more charismatic in retrospect, an example of a choice-supportive bias:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Choice-supportive_bias


If true worth noting that while this may not be unique to the US, it's certainly not universal.

Hollande beating Sarckozy in France recently would be a pretty solid counter example, similarly John Major winning in the UK in 1992 (Kinnock was no Kennedy but next to Major anyone looks charismatic).


"Of course your president is an actor, he's got to look good on TV!"

-Emmett "Doc" Brown


Thanks, I hadn't seen this. Certainly the case in the last 4 or 5 elections. It's why Obama killed Romney with young voters.

That awkward kiss between Al and Tipper also comes to mind.


Trounced? He only lost South Carolina by 10 points, and Georgia by only 8. Some of these states are not as deep-red as were once thought.


Well he does say himself in the article that the headline is nothing more than linkbait, not to be taken seriously.


Obama's secret weapon is the Ellsworth Toohey effect :-D Basically it isn't his weapon.


I think this is a great answer to people who ask why we still need things like affirmative action. Here you have a continuing demographic phenomenon that can be traced directly back to slave ownership patterns hundreds of years ago. It should be noted also that the black belt is also a terribly poor stretch of the country.

Unfortunately, it appears that socioeconomic patterns are imprinted more deeply than anyone would want, and more deeply than a lot of people would like to admit.


The problem with affirmative action is that it is based on race. It is racist. In fact it isn't just based on race, it is based on skin colour - since some mixed black-white people with white skin can be discriminated against.

America needs to put race on the sidelines and start thinking in terms of class. You should help the disadvantaged or poor regardless of their great great grandparent's struggles.

Affirmative action should exist; but it should be entirely based on parental income, growing up in a poor area, or other disadvantaged indicators. Not race, not ethnicity, and not gender. These things don't prove you're poor or disadvantaged.


The justification and rationale for race-based affirmative action is somewhat different from anything favoring people of low socioeconomic class generally. It has to do with correcting specific and massive historical wrongs in which our government was complicit, not lifting up disadvantaged people generally. Conflating the two is a little silly. If I destroy your house, you're not going to be happy if I make amends through a general program of urban renewal in your neighborhood.

A lot of people don't believe that Americans of today should be liable for the actions of Americans then. But none of us today were alive at the time America consented to the Constitution, just as none of us today were alive at the time America imported millions of blacks into slavery. Yet we are nonetheless bound by the agreement our forefathers made in 1789! The document attesting to that agreement is also the document that protected and enshrined slavery in America for several more generations. I believe we are bound by that too. I believe the government created in that document, which still exists today, is bound by the obligation created by its sanctioning of slavery just as it is bound by treaties entered into at the time or treasury bonds issued at the time.

It is of course impossible to try to remedy all the mistakes of the past. But that doesn't mean it is pointless to try and remedy any mistakes of the past. And this is a big one that still has lasting and major effects today.


Let's accept that rational; but that does leave one question: when does this end? If we have no way to measure the damage then how do we measure the resolution of the damage? Do we continue this for 5, 10, 50, 100, 500 years? Or do we simply never end it?

Do we try to "correct" it so there are literally no poor people of a particular ethnicity? How realistic is that?


How about until there no longer is any significant racism that systematically disadvantages black people?


Instead we have a system that systematically disadvantages non black people. Just stop discriminating. Either way. No reason to have one or the other have an advantage.

We just had a black man elected to his second term as president, so I think that's a pretty good sign we aren't that racist. This wouldn't have happened a few decades ago.


> We just had a black man elected to his second term as president, so I think that's a pretty good sign we aren't that racist.

Sir, I say this with as much respect as I can muster: Absent significant study, it is absolutely not the place of someone who is a member of the racial majority to declare the extent or impact of racism. You simply have no idea what you're talking about.

A mixed race man was, indeed, elected to high office. He was elected over the objections of people who claimed him to be, among other things:

- A Kenyan

- A secret muslim

- A liar inelegible for the presidency under the terms of Section I, Article II of the United States constitution

These claims have been made and repeated for over four years. They are made, in part, because Barack Obama looks different from the men who have previously run the country. They are repeated because that fact scares the absolute shit out of a certain subset of the country.

Racism – far from vanquished – has proven to be a politically expedient tool. (Though, thankfully, one with toxic side effects.)

Have we made progress since the civil war and the civil rights movement? Yeah.

But racism is an ugly, nasty force that persists in both overt and subtle ways. It's not over. And for the people who must still grapple with its effects, it's a big problem.


White guy here. I grew up in rural Georgia and got out as fast as I could. I still visit every Xmas. While we've come a long way since Jim Crow, I still hear the n-word all the time. Not just from rednecks, but from educated people who are respected leaders in their community.

I think we're at least another generation away from that word being expunged from common discourse.


> Absent significant study, it is absolutely not the place of someone who is a member of the racial majority to declare the extent or impact of racism. You simply have no idea what you're talking about.

The opposite is also true: "Absent significant study, it is absolutely not the place of someone who is a member of the racial minority to declare the extent or impact of racism." Why not say simply it is not the place of someone to declare the extent or impact of racism without study?

Also I believe you are assuming the race of the parent. For all you know they could be a member of a racial minority.

More to the point what is our goal WRT racism? To eliminate associating traits with a person purely based on their race that are not backed up by a correlation? If that's the case affirmative actively works against that goal.


> Also I believe you are assuming the race of the parent. For all you know they could be a member of a racial minority.

You believe incorrectly. I did my homework.

http://geekpolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/12/derekclar...

But the rest of silliness about white people having it harder than minorities was the giveaway.

> The opposite is also true: "Absent significant study, it is absolutely not the place of someone who is a member of the racial minority to declare the extent or impact of racism." Why not say simply it is not the place of someone to declare the extent or impact of racism without study?

Being a minority can be a graduate level course on the extent and impact of racism. In America, most blacks and hispanics have had ample time to study up, sadly. And if you're from anywhere in the vicinity of the Middle East, god help you.


> You believe incorrectly. I did my homework.

My apologizes you did your fact checking.

> Being a minority can be a graduate level course on the extent and impact of racism. In America, most blacks and hispanics have had ample time to study up, sadly. And if you're from anywhere in the vicinity of the Middle East, god help you.

That could all be correct however the person would still lack perspective and sample size. Without studying it on a large scale you could never be sure.

You also ignored my question of what is the goal in the end. My personal end goal is to have no one look at a person and label/judge them based on characteristic without facts to back it up and I think affirmative action takes us away from that.


>> But the rest of silliness about white people having it harder than minorities was the giveaway.

I grew up poor, light skin (white?) part Scottish descent small part Native American Indian. I trained myself to get into the profession I love, buying my own books and writing code in several languages for a dozen years on the side while maintaining a full time job and family, before I started writing code for pay.

No one person in America deserves more than any one else based on the color of their skin.


Right, but you're light skinned. Imagine that, in addition to all the hardships you probably had to overcome, you also had to deal with systemic racism because you had dark skin.


The opposite is also true: "Absent significant study, it is absolutely not the place of someone who is a member of the racial minority to declare the extent or impact of racism."

People of marginalized groups are often much more familiar with racism and what is and isn't racist than people of privileged groups. It's like talking about sports with a sports fanatic and someone not that into sports. One person is going to know a lot more than the other.


Even as a white person I notice anti-black racism quite frequently, and am not sure I'd believe that "we aren't that racist", although granted it's certainly better than 20 years ago. I've since moved away from Georgia, but I was often shocked at how much worse my black friends there were treated than I am, in a whole range of circumstances, ranging from employment, to interactions with police, to interactions with shop owners. Afaict, there is still quite strong and systematic racism in many parts of American society (worse in parts of the south than elsewhere, but not exclusively located there).


I grew up in Georgia, about an hour south of Atlanta, and this describes my experience as well.


Uhm, that's not how it works.

If you are white the odds are massively stacked in your favor. That doesn't mean you can't lose, but it's less likely. All AA does is fudge the odds a bit in the other direction. No more.

Just stopping to discriminate would do nothing – because that's for the most part not the reason why the odds are stacked against minorities. Structural racism is the reason. Society is constructed in a way that leaves minorities with less opportunities, that decreases their odds. Individuals changing their behavior cannot address that problem.


Note the comment below. People in poverty in America by race ~24 mil white ~11 mil black ~14 mil hispanic I cannot and will not believe that in 2012 we have structural racism in America, the day after a black man named Barack Hussein Obama got elected to his second term as President of the United States. Is their racism? Yes. Is it structural and 100% pervasive? No.

The reason they have less opportunities is a structural problem, but it is not because of racism. Maybe it grew out of that, and it probably did, but at some point when they stopped you have to change yourself. The problem is lack of a family structure. The stats of black single mothers living in poverty vs. other races is unbelievable. We have to get fathers back to change this dynamic. I suspect racism and the things that caused along the way contributed to this, but now it is just that way because it's been that way. If you can turn this around, you can turn around a lot of communities, get rid of a lot of poverty, and provide as many opportunities as anyone could want for the black community.


Do you accept that black people are two and a half times more likely to live poverty? From that, wouldn't if follow that a black person is two and a half more times likely to reap some sort of benefit from affirmative action, even if it wasn't based on race? What if affirmative action was based purely on the statistic of being part of a single parent family in poverty?

Do you accept that the median salary if you are black is less that 2/3 of that if you are white?

You comment on the stats of single mothers in poverty, say we need to turn it around, then and pretend it's an easy problem to solve when these communities don't have the money to fund programs at a local level (since they, you know, live in poverty), coupled with a history of racism and neglect at the state level, and you just say "well it's not really a problem because more white people are poor and we should end affirmative action"

Affirmative action seems pretty targeted to me. Sure white people don't really get affirmative action (that's not really true because there's all sorts of advantages you for just being poor), but life's not always exactly fair.


Oh here we go. White man's troubles and all that. The problem with those minorities is they're just lazy and need to pull themselves up by their bootstraps!

Thanks for at least refraining from using the N word.


You are completely ridiculous. It’s pointless even talking to people like you. Bye.


> Instead we have a system that systematically disadvantages non black people.

This is patently false. If you're white, you're at a huge advantage from birth. It's trivial to find data supporting this.


I'm not saying in general, I'm talking specifically about AA. With affirmative action and applying to something like grad school, a minority that is "qualified" can and will get a spot over a non-minority, that is "slightly more qualified."

In general, averaging across all of America, I'm certain it's an advantage to be white. I'm also certain it's an advantage to grow up to rich parents. I'm also certain it's an advantage to grow up in a good school district. It's also and advantage to grow up in a 2 parent household. It's an advantage to not grow up in the ghetto, white or black.

Life isn't fair, but at the end of the day at some point you have to be accountable for your decisions and all you can do is your best. Picking a winner based on skin color is not the right answer. We should always be picking the absolutely most qualified person for everything. That is something that clearly doesn't happen enough.


Yes, but the absolutely most qualified person for a whole bunch of things is disproportionately often white and male. And even if we as a society wake up tomorrow magically not racist or sexist at all, that will be the case for the foreseeable future simply because white men have disproportionate amounts of money and connections.

Hiring through AA is _intentionally_ suboptimal. The whole point is to give members of disadvantaged communities access to opportunities they are less qualified for in the hope that they, and by extensions their communities, will over time become _less_ _disadvantaged_.

There are more important things in this universe than efficiency.


Instead we discriminate against the poor white guy from the ghetto growing up with a single mom? Brilliant. That guy had none of the supposed white male advantages. Hire/accept people based on their merits. If you want to take into account overcoming adversity that's fine with me. But picking someone based on the color of their skin, be it white, black, or other, is wrong, and it's racist.


> That guy had none of the supposed white male advantages.

Merely looking like those who hold power is, in fact, a huge advantage.


I'm that white guy from the ghetto with a single mom. I'm an executive now, and I'm sure it was easier for me than a black kid from my old neighborhood.

Let me change the subject slightly, people who are tall and good looking have more opportunity and success than those that aren't. No one, even you, are making purely rational decisions based on merit. All of us make decisions that are influenced by things we aren't aware of.


Let's argue based on aggregate statistics instead of individual situations. I don't see why otherwise rational/scientific people feel the need to debase themselves by talking about edge-case individual examples when it comes to things like this.


I don't think poor, white people are an edge case. As of 2007, 9.9% of the white, non-hispanic population lived in poverty (compared to 27.6% of black people and 26.6% of hispanics). The numbers are lower, but they are far from edge cases. The source of adversity in the human experience is not solely rooted in race.


Just curious, but what do you get if you multiply those percentages by the size of those groups?


~24 mil white ~11 mil black ~14 mil hispanic

Imagine that. All kinds of people leaving in poverty and having disadvantaged lives.


African Americans constitute 15% of America.

White Americans constitute 74% of America.

Thus African Americans are more than twice as likely to live under the poverty line. Those are not I odds I would like to gamble with had I been born black.

You won a lottery when you were born.


Merely being born American made us winners in that lottery, if you get down to it.

Is anyone really against the idea that all 49 million need help?


You mean being born a first world country. But there are other first world countries that have better average quality of life than the US.


There will always be some people who have it better than others. I would prefer that we make sure that those who have it the worst comparatively don't have it that bad on an absolute scale.


Individual situations are important in this case. It is as much about fairness for the white guy/girl with poor parents who is being discriminated against by his or her government as it is about the African American who is being discriminated against by employers, schools etc.

This is obviously a tough issue, but edge cases are important. There is too much noise in the statistics.


> But picking someone based on the color of their skin, be it white, black, or other, is wrong

In these circumstances, some of us disagree with you.


90% of American CEOs are taller than the average American; 30% of CEOs are 6'2" or taller, compared to 4% of the American population. CEOs are taller on average than actors, a job where appearance should matter.

Humans are shallow creatures.


that's a pretty good sign we aren't that racist

Yes the level of racism is probably going down. However that doesn't mean it's at zero now.


> Instead we have a system that systematically disadvantages non black people.

Can't tell if I'm getting trolled here...


Nah, you're just on HN.


There's always going to be significant racism against any demographic that is legally put above or below others.


How do you measure that?


I think it's fair to say that it was a necessary phenomenon to kick-start a perception-shift among all Americans that all kinds of people could be in all kinds of roles. We're probably at the inflection point now: a black president means Americans have now come to see as "normal" the possibility of a person of color in the highest office in the land. Thus it's probably the right time to begin moving toward class-based aid instead of race.


It ends when it is politically expedient to do so. However, apart from demographic data indicating black people are no longer disadvantaged with respect to white people, I don't see what could drive such a change.


Slavery lasted for 400yrs(+).


Slavery when, where, and how? The term is surprisingly broad, when you actually look into details, and can easily span all of remembered human existence.


And still exists today, to a very large extent.


A lot of people don't believe that Americans of today should be liable for the actions of Americans then

Another way to think about it: Wealth (and power) is often passed down through generations, through families, from parents to children. Most people are fine with this. Hence people now who are advantaged might be likely to have benefited from slavery in the past, when it was passed down. Why is the wealth allowed to be passed down, but not the responsibility?


If the US government wants to atone for its immoral actions in the past it should pay reparations not institute a system of race based discrimination.

If, on the other hand, the US government wants to help disadvantaged people gain a level economic footing with the rest of the population they should use a much better predictor of disadvantage than skin color.


Well, in that case, we should start first with the American Indians. First off, we'll give reparations for all those who never saw a white man but died of smallpox - I think giving them back California, New York, Florida, Ohio, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Iowa, and New Hampshire might start to make up for that.

Then we could get to the indians who actually _met_ someone of European descent and were harmed as a result.

By the time we're finished with the indians we can give what's left to other less disadvantaged groups.


> If the US government wants to atone for its immoral actions in the past it should pay reparations not institute a system of race based discrimination.

How much money do you think a few generations' of slavery is worth?

> If, on the other hand, the US government wants to help disadvantaged people gain a level economic footing with the rest of the population they should use a much better predictor of disadvantage than skin color.

Would you like to suggest one?


    How much money do you think a few generations' of slavery is worth?
I don't know. How many years of race based discrimination is it worth?

    Would you like to suggest one?
As many others in this thread have suggested: actual economic disadvantages, such as poverty, single parent household, etc...


So my grandfather on my mom's side was a doctor and a lawyer. My mom's siblings include a couple of doctors, a military officer, a business executive, etc. My mom was herself a journalist, and of her sons I'm a lawyer and my brother is a banker. This is not a coincidence. Privilege is passed down from generation to generation, not just in money, but in social status, connections, values, culture, insight, motivation, outlook, etc.

At the time my grandfather was getting his medical degree and building his law library (in the 1930's and 1940's--he had my mom at a late age), blacks in this country were systematically oppressed. They were prevented from voting, they were prevented from going to school, they were prevented from holding anything more than menial jobs. At the time my grandfather was building a social inheritance to pass down to his children and grandchildren and great grandchildren, blacks were being attacked with firehoses by the government for daring to fight for the barest of equal rights.

My grandfather has been dead for more than 20 years, but his legacy is going to reach out to at least another generation. When my little girl asks why she should do her homework, I will tell her about her great grandfather, her grand uncles and aunts, and how she should study hard so she can be a doctor like them. So too does the legacy of institutional discrimination reach out over the generations.

A poor white person and a poor black person (assuming they can trace their history back to the slaves) are not in the same boat. One is in his plight because of the vagracies of the economy, the luck of the draw, etc. For the other, at least part of his socioeconomic situation, some identifiable component, can be traced back to the systematic discrimination and oppression suffered by his ancestors at the hands of the still-extant state and federal governments.

So no, just basing efforts on socioeconomics generally is not enough. It's not the same.


So you paint this great picture about the history of an affluent white family with success built upon previous generations' success.

But then you talk about a poor white person and compare him to a poor black person saying they're not in the same boat. What does this poor white person have to do with your successful white family? That whole story is not relevant to this person as an individual.

We can see that on a historic scale the entire group of people that can trace back to slavery was more hard done by than others. But that means nothing to this poor white person. In fact, he may have suffered oppression by government in some other form. He may have just shown up during slavery fleeing a war-torn country, or political or religious imprisonment. Or this government may have falsely imprisoned his grandfather years ago. On a large scale it's nothing like the systemic oppression of slavery, but the point is, he doesn't feel responsible for any of the other guy's issues.

It is well known that the government in the past was in the wrong. But when it comes down to individuals, it's going to be difficult for someone to accept that a guy living next door scraping by on food stamps gets a boon from the government every month, and they don't, simply because they are white. I see your point, that the white person's problems are less attributable to the government than the black person's. But I don't think that this is the way to stamp out racism or even make people feel any better about the past. I think this is the wrong way to go about fixing things.

I think it would be better to make a big deal about government racism and punish it going forward in a very serious way. I think people will appreciate ongoing work to punish current and future offenders much more than a handout for wrongs past.

Also, helping those who are economically challenged based on their economic situation makes more sense than trying to correctly and accurately attribute their economic situation to their race and offenses from decades past. The government is going to end up helping some poor white people in this case along with helping some poor black people. I don't think that's a bad thing.

Unfortunately, in this scenario some black people aren't going to be helped. In fact, even some black people who can directly trace their history back to slaves aren't going to get help because they aren't sufficiently poor today. That's not ideal, but hopefully they would appreciate that going forward, racism is being discouraged and at least some attempts are being made to assist the less fortunate.

Obviously there is no silver bullet here, and there will never be complete agreement on how to deal with this. But I absolutely do not think that continuing to make decisions and policy based on race is the way to show that racism is not okay. It's a completely toxic way of thinking that needs to be eliminated - especially from government.


> But then you talk about a poor white person and compare him to a poor black person saying they're not in the same boat. What does this poor white person have to do with your successful white family? That whole story is not relevant to this person as an individual.

My point is that, but for the actions of our society in the 1930's an 1940's, there would be many more black Americans who could tell the same story as me. But systematic denial of privilege is passed down from generation to generation just as privilege is passed down from generation to generation, and that denial is the inheritance of every black American who can trace his ancestry back to those times.

Your attempt to create equivalencies between poor blacks and poor whites misses one crucial fact: our government did not systematically oppress and deny opportunity to the ancestors of poor whites. If the government burns down my house, then my neighborhood suffers flooding because of a hurricane, I am not made whole by the government addressing the flood damage. I am not satisfied with the government's attempts to "forget the past" and treat my case as no more important than that of every other person affected by the flooding. That makes no sense.


> I don't know.

Oh, come on. Think a little. Let's say your entire family was enslaved and made to work on a plantation for a few generations. How much money would you want for that? Why offer the alternative if you can't come up with a number?


Because there is no number. The premise is flawed. This is just such a nonproductive outlook to have. How far back do any of us have to go before we find our ancestors living in tyranny or serfdom or slavery. For many of us, not too many generations I bet. What does it have to do with our lives, today? If you go looking for a reason to be a victim, to find justifications for your problems, you'll never get past them.

Let's say I discovered that my great great grandfather was a slave. Let's say I somehow got paid $250,000 for that. What could I do with that money? If I'm careful, I could live on it for four or five years, maybe a few more, likely a lot less, then it's gone, and where am I? Right where I was to begin with.


>> How far back do any of us have to go before we find our ancestors living in tyranny or serfdom or slavery.

Nice way of trying to distract from the main issue. We are talking about a very specific case. Blacks right now are still suffering from systematic oppression against them for hundreds of year. To ignore that and pretend that it is no big deal because it has happened before doesn't mean that we should not try to fix the problem. Frankly is disgusting the way you are dismissive of the current state of black people which is a direct consequence of hundreds of years of oppression which was not even that long ago.

>>Because there is no number

Sure there is, to claim otherwise is moronic. People are simply unwilling to pay. Affirmative action is a small price and still prcks like you think it is too much. Racist prck.


The "how for do we have to go back" false equivalency is utterly ridiculous. We're not talking about the oppression of the Britons by the Romans here. We're talking about systematic oppression and viscious discrimination that was committed by the still-existing state and federal governments within the lifetime of people still living. Rosa Parks died in 2005. George H. W. Bush, who is still alive and kicking, is about 5 years older than MLK would have been today. Many TV shows I watched on Nick-at-Nite growing up (Dyk Van Dyke, Get Smart) were contemporaneous with violent school desegregation. The young people that were the subject of the showdown at the University of Alabama between the National Guard and Governor Wallace were just 7 years older than my dad.


> The premise is flawed.

That was my point, yes.

> then it's gone, and where am I? Right where I was to begin with.

Much better to, say, send you to college and make sure you get employed so that it's easier for you to maintain a life of your own choosing, isn't it?


they should use a much better predictor of disadvantage than skin color

What would you suggest? All methods of trying to measure "disadvantage-ness" will be flawed (including race/ethnicity ones). I mentioned this in this comment http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=4758649


Yes, they will all be flawed, but not all of them will be as flawed as skin color. Just because something is hard, doesn't mean it's OK to do something easy and bad.


What makes you think skin colour is the worst possible method? Surely flipping a coin is much worse? Or requiring that applications are written in joined-up-writing/cursive?

There are plenty of worse methods.


I never said it was the worst. I just said there are others that are better. Please.


We absolutely need affirmative action, based on race, based on gender, and based on ANY disenfranchised group.

Corporations and colleges are still biased against race, because the demographics of corporations do not reflect the population as a whole, and if they were hiring correctly, they would.

On other words - if 20% of the general population of 300 million people is a certain race, it stands to reason that corporations and colleges should mirror that. But they do not. The applicant ration is the same, but the actual hiring ratio is much, much smaller. Where do work? In an office? Stand up and look around and tell me if 20% of your coworkers are black. It should be pretty close.

It isn't.

No engineer or mathematician would argue this - if everyone hired entirely based on qualifications your workforce would directly represent the population at large.

Law of averages in a perfectly unbiased hiring world would make this so.


Saying that the demographics of colleges/corporations don't match those of colleges directly is evidence of racism is a logical leap that is completely false. Right now colleges already practice affirmative action. Yet African Americans are still underrepresented.

Why? African-Americans on average have lower incomes and thus lower high school educational attainment.

You should be treating the root cause (low-income) instead of implementing a plan that benefits the children of well-off African-Americans and the children of African immigrants to a greater degree than it benefits the children of low-income African-Americans (because those kinds of African-Americans are more likely to meet the minimum qualifications and benefit from the extra boost of affirmative action), a system that also detracts from the opportunities of poor whites and Asian-Americans, as affirmative action is inherently a zero-sum game.


15% of the animal biomass on earth is ants, but I can look in the ocean and find thousands of fish yet very few ants.

There are women-only universities, historically black universities, universities that focus on arts and universities that focus on music. Why should the employee demographics of a coal mine be the same as the demographics of a hospice?


Nationally only 69% of students earn their high school diplomas. Are you suggesting that only 69% of incoming corporate hires should have a high school or higher education in the name of fairness? Where does ability, talent, and motivation come in, or is that not allowed to be considered?


People are willing to wash their hands off their ancestors' sins but without realizing the booty they keep enjoying from the same ancestors. How fair is that a guy shackled for years is freed suddenly and asked to participated in a race as an equal?


So we should shackle the other guy for a few years to compensate? Two wrongs don't make a right.


No, but ignoring prior wrongs also don't make them right. The goal should be to try to make the shackled man whole again, not just free. To give him what he needs to participate in society as if he had never been shackled. It doesn't take much statistical or anecdotal evidence to see that we are a long way off from that ideal scenario.


Many people disagree with you about what the goal should be.

You can't turn back time and undo abuse. Trying to do so is just a waste of resources. In the race metaphor, the solution would be to just make sure everyone starts on a even footing in the next heat. In real life, I would say that means making sure all children have equal access to healthcare and education, regardless of their parents' income or circumstances. I don't see why race-based policies are necessary to achieve this.


>>You can't turn back time and undo abuse

Sure you can. The ancestors of those slaves are still suffering from that abuse. Your willful blindness is disgusting. The truth is that you are a racist. Only a racist would ignore all logic and pretend that the blacks of today are not a product of the slavery of yesterday. That the reason that they are poor and disadvantage compared to whites is because of the systematic oppression against them for hundreds of years. And the fact that many people agree with your comments shows that we are still infected with racism. Not as bad as before, but still going. You are proof of it.

And yes I'm angry, angry that racists people like you pretend that they are not racists.


I didn't say that blacks today aren't affected by a history of racism, only that a race-based policy is not necessary to correct this.

If you define anyone who disagrees with you as a racist, I agree, the world will never be rid of racism.


The fact that YOU want to discriminate based on skin color today means you are the only racist. Multiple races have faced systematic oppression eg. Chinese/Japanese/Jewish and are now some of the most successful in society. They didn't need affirmative action to get there.


>making sure all children have equal access to healthcare and education, regardless of their parents' income or circumstances.

So instead of affirmative action, radical income and property redistribution? I've never heard communism put forth as an alternative to affirmative action, but I'm all for it.


A lot of people don't believe that Americans of today should be liable for the actions of Americans then.

It seems like there's two lines of discussion around this topic. One, as you've pointed out, is whether people should be liable for the actions of past Americans (ie, whether something like affirmative action should exist in the first place). The second is whether affirmative action is the best way to remedy the mistakes of the past. It seems (to me) like a lot of people disagree more on the second point.


Unfortunately you can't just 'fix' something like that by handing out grants to people with dark skin.

Baring some large redistribution of wealth the most effective thing we can do is to remove all the barriers that we can and encourage improvement.

There are many people who are direct descendants of slaves who don't qualify for affirmative action and there are people who's families moved here in the 70s who do qualify.

We need to stimulate the black belt, the effects of racism are highly geographical.


It doesn't help that through affirmative action reparations, you are effectively trying to right the sins of long dead people on other long dead people.

I like the two supers up poster on this. Target lower socioeconomic individuals born into poor areas with intellectually hostile circumstances. Don't discriminate on that.

The circumstances that brought the current crop of humanity to populate the Earth were beyond our collective wills. We just need to deal with what we were dealt to the best of our ability. That doesn't include trying to right racism and discrimination for 300 - 5000 years by doing the inverse.


The question isn't if we should fix the mistakes of the past, but how. Helping all disadvantaged people, without regard to their skin color, will disproportionately help whoever has been disadvantaged the most in the past. That's a good thing.


This has to be the most thoughtful comment I've read on the subject of affirmative action. It's definitively gonna be food for thoughts. Thanks!


The problem with affirmative action is that it is based on race. It is racist.

There are several definitions of racism, one is essentially "making references to someone's race and implying everyone in that group is the same (in some attribute)", or more simply "anything based on race". Lots of people like this definition because it's a nice, simple and objective defintion and it means black people in the USA can be racist to white people, or that affirmative action is racist. I think this is the definition you're using.

There's another definition, which is that racist actions are actions that's designed to maintain & reinforce the institutionalised power structure among races. Right now, if modern USA life was a video game, "white male" would be an easier difficulty level than "black male". There are statistically less problems for the "white male" group. Racist actions is talk that re-enforced that imbalance, and attempts to undo the power imbalance is not racist. This definition is harder for some people to accept because it means that you need to look at yourself and think about what power imbalances you might be benefiting from, and it means that affirmative action is not racist, and attempts to stop is could be construed as racist (since stopping affirmative action can re-enforce power imbalances). This is the definition I use.

So no, affirmative action isn't racist.

America needs to put race on the sidelines and start thinking in terms of class.

Totally agree. Classism is a real and big problem.


The issue here is that affirmative action conflates two separate things. One element of affirmative action is correction for economic disenfranchisement. You're right that maybe we should look at this more broadly and attempt a more race-neutral approach.

However, the second horn seeks to correct for prejudice and descrimination, not poverty. This is not necessarily heavy-handed correction, like quotas, either. For example, one of the most effective instances is the enforcement of blind auditions for orchestras. Almost immediately after the rule was instituted, the demographics of major US orchestras shifted hugely. The point is to correct for latent, perhaps even unconcious, descrimination.

To understand how even unconcious descrimination can be self-reinforcing, consider someone hiring a new software developer. If they have a team of middle-class white male software developers and a middle class white male software developer applies, they have to give almost no thought to how they will integrate with the team. Sure, there are your corner cases, but we all share a lot of the same cultural background. With vulnerable groups, it's not the same. It requires some thought. Since we all don't like to expend mental energy on something we're not really thrilled about doing in the first place (reading resumes, interviewing, hiring), it's just so much easier to pick the white male and be done with it. By putting counterbalances in place we don't have to actually favor anybody, we just have to reduce the forcing function in the system that pushes us towards the status quo.


I don't think there is a greater aversion to blacks or Indians than there is to Asians. Should Asians be advantaged? For college admissions, they are actually considered more privileged than whites because they score so highly on tests.

As others have pointed out, and as I agree with, affirmative action is for recompensing past wrongs against Blacks and Indians, who suffered slavery and Genocide, respectively.

But what about Hispanics? The affirmative action for them is entirely economic (they are poorer in general).


Sorry, a small off-topic question: why did you again and again misspell 'discrimination'? You sound too educated to make the mistake -- and I'm not aware of any alternative spellings of the word. So, why did you spell it that way? I'm just genuinely curious.


Haven't noticed that I often do -- every once in a while I will misspell a word because the correct spelling "looks wrong." I've noticed that it often feels like the effects of semantic satiation[1] -- perhaps the two are cognitively related? Usually I will catch it when I have a spell checker on hand, but I didn't when I was writing that comment.

[1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Semantic_satiation


I think you were maybe drawing some parallels with the word "decriminalization" in your mind -- which makes sense, because the word is being used a lot (with news of marijuana regulation and such).


You do realize that race and class are heavily intersectional, right? That rates of poverty are higher for non-whites, right? Also, helping people who are affected by institutional racism is not racist, it is an attempt to correct for existing racism.


Even if everything you say is true (that some races are poorer than other races) how does that counter what I said?

The strategy I'm talking about gives to poor and disadvantaged people regardless of their race, so if a ton of blacks are poor then they will receive the majority of the benefits.

But as an additional benefit middle and upper class minorities won't get advantages they don't need. You also won't require people to "prove" their ethnicity to be granted these benefits (or discriminated against because they aren't for example "black enough").

Here is a fun question: Exactly how black do you have to be to get affirmative action right now? Do they have like a colour wheel? How does that even work?


You missed the part of his comment that did counter some of what you said.

You said: "Affirmative action should exist; but it should be entirely based on parental income, growing up in a poor area, or other disadvantaged indicators. Not race, not ethnicity, and not gender. These things don't prove you're poor or disadvantaged." which seems quite reasonable.

He said: "Also, helping people who are affected by institutional racism is not racist, it is an attempt to correct for existing racism."

Your statement doesn't seem to acknowledge things in society contributing to future problems.

So he is saying that you have to counter current institutional *isms which still exists today. Otherwise the current biases of today will just contribute to the population of disadvantaged people of tomorrow. I think you need both approaches. Kind of a PID controller kind of solution to the problem.


Countering institutional racism is reactive. It isn't passive like affirmative action is. I think he is describing facilitating courts to allow the discriminated to sue the discriminators, and given sufficient evidence charge them with racial discrimination.

I do agree with him though, you don't repay racisms of the past and present with more racism in the opposite direction.


I'm not really sure how affirmative would be a passive policy vs. a reactive one, would you be able to elaborate on that?

Also, use of the legal system to remedy institutional and societal problems has really only been effective to introduce marginal change in the face of existing problems, so its not an overall solution to the problem, just a small part.

> I do agree with him though, you don't repay racisms of the past and present with more racism in the opposite direction.

This would of course assume that it is possible to be institutionally racist against the predominant white culture in the US, which is not possible. In that sense, a policy such as affirmative action is not racist and instead is a policy that combats racism.


> I'm not really sure how affirmative would be a passive policy vs. a reactive one, would you be able to elaborate on that?

Having a quota of minorities is passive because it's a fire and forget rule that must be met. That is still being racist, because you are discriminating applicants success based on ethnicity.

Reactive laws is really just judicial. You can't write a fire and forget rule of law and have it be anything but a passive manipulator of public policy, it doesn't have reactionary change based on circumstances like courts do.

> Also, use of the legal system to remedy institutional and societal problems has really only been effective to introduce marginal change in the face of existing problems, so its not an overall solution to the problem, just a small part.

You don't solve the hostile behaviors of cultures and groups by being racist. You solve it by criminalizing their racism and punishing those who are bigoted.

> This would of course assume that it is possible to be institutionally racist against the predominant white culture in the US, which is not possible. In that sense, a policy such as affirmative action is not racist and instead is a policy that combats racism.

I'd argue the MLB is institutionally racist against white people. There is a tremendous cultural racism thinking it requires high melanin skin content (not even necessarily African heritage) to be good in basketball. And that is a permeating cultural force that a lot of people don't argue against, they just "assume black people are better at basketball". Or how Asians are better at math because they are Asian, and not because they had strict parents who lauded over their studies.

There is plenty of institutional anti-white racism. White people can't be "street" or ideas like "white people can't dance". They are institutional, not of white culture, but other cultures. It doesn't mean it isn't racist if the majority population isn't in the culture that purports it.

I'm not saying there isn't tremendous institutional racism and sexism in the US. I'm just saying inverse bigotry that replaces merit with skin color, ethnicity, or gender is inherently wrong. When ethnic minorities and women experience less math, science, and intellectual learning, you go where they aren't getting that and give it to them, you don't take what is inherently not racial and make it so.


It is racist by the fact that it is based on race. Worse, it continues to reinforce thinking along racial lines rather than circumstancial ones thus perpetuating the idea that we should classify based on race. It would be much better to stop saying "you get this because you are this colour" and start saying "you get this because it looks like you could use a hand."

Racism exists, but trying to fight it with more racism is not going to help reduce the focus on race, and until people stop identifying race as a good way to classify a human, racism won't go away.


> It is racist by the fact that it is based on race.

Your definition is too simplistic. Racism isn't just prejudice based on race. Racism requires a power imbalance. Acting to counteract an institutional imbalance caused by racism is not "just anotehr kind of racism."


Oppression requires a power imbalance. Racism only requires using race as a classification upon which you base your actions. Choosing who you hang out with simply based on race is racism even though ut is not a power imbalance.

And you can act to counteract an institutional imbalance caused by racism without furthering racism. Focus on something else. Race is being reinforced as an accepted means to classify people and that is the root cause of the problem.


> Racism only requires using race as a classification upon which you base your actions.

This completely flies in the face of the history of racism and racism systems in the US. The most raw and visceral forms of slavery and de-facto slavery in the US are most certainly based on power imbalance. Being disproportionately affected by laws and economic policy drafted by mostly white political bodies is a power imbalance. Direct, physical actions by police forces and governments against communities of color is a power imbalance. All of these things are institutional problems regarding race the US faces today and all come back to fundamental power imbalance.

> And you can act to counteract an institutional imbalance caused by racism without furthering racism.

Absolutely true, and policies such as affirmative action do not further racism but rather attempt to fix a small aspect of it.

> Focus on something else.

This is a total derailment. Institutional oppressions are highly linked to racism, to ignore it is to dismiss the criticisms and voices of people of color point this power imbalance out.


"This completely flies in the face of the history of racism and racism systems in the US. The most raw and visceral forms of slavery and de-facto slavery in the US are most certainly based on power imbalance"

I didn't say racism can't exist with power imbalance, I said it doesn't require it. Obviously racism, combined with a power imbalance is worse than racism without the power imbalance. But choosing who you hang out with based solely on skin color is also racist - no power imbalance.

"policies such as affirmative action do not further racism..."

Yes they do, by encouraging people to think that making decisions based on race is acceptable and in fact encouraged by the government.

"This is a total derailment. Institutional oppressions are highly linked to racism, to ignore it is to dismiss the criticisms and voices of people of color point this power imbalance out."

I didn't say it should be ignored. I said it shouldn't be the focus. You can acknowledge that racism and oppression is a problem. You can punish those who make decisions based on race, and you can show that making race an issue in your decisions is wrong - by not continuing to do it.


Your definition of racism is incorrect.

"Racism is usually defined as views, practices and actions reflecting the belief that humanity is divided into distinct biological groups called races and that members of a certain race share certain attributes which make that group as a whole less desirable, more desirable, inferior or superior."

Wikipedia.


What I said racism is: "using race as a classification upon which you base your actions"

What your quote says: "...practices and actions reflecting the belief that humanity is divided into groups called races."

I don't see how my definition is all that far off.


"and that members of a certain race share certain attributes which make that group as a whole less desirable, more desirable, inferior or superior."

That's the important part. "Using race as a classification upon which you base your actions" is not by definition racism. Just as using sex as a classification upon which to base actions is not sexism. There is a requirement that those classifications must be used to discriminate or suggest that another group is superior in order for it to be racism or sexism.

Thus your definition is wrong because you selectively ignored a key part of the actual definition.


The focus on race in racism is, in part, due to people acknowledging race as a thing. There is nothing more significant about skin color than hair color but we don't have programs to help out blondes and we don't talk about 'the blonde vote'.


You are not helping people because of their race, so why use that to select who gets help? There are rich black people as well as there are poor white people.


Think of this mathematically. We did something very wrong at time T = 0. It is a matter of fact that economic wrongs are self-perpetuating and long-lived. Thus, at time T = 450, you can isolate, statistically, some economic disadvantage in any black person who can trace their lineage back as being affected by that original wrong at T = 0. It doesn't matter how rich they are--they would be incrementally richer had that wrong not occurred.

At the same time, the poor white person benefited from that original wrong, and you can isolate, statistically, some economic advantage to him tracing back to that original wrong. It doesn't matter how poor he is, he would be incrementally poorer had that wrong not occurred.


The harms and benefits you are talking about are not quantifiable in a commonly-agreed-upon way. I think that's a prerequisite for the kind of analysis you want to do.


This is a common flaw in reasoning--just because harms or benefits are not easily quantifiable does not mean that they should be assumed to be zero.


What percentage of the US population is descended from people who primarily immigrated after 1865?


While I'm just a layperson on the subject, to me, there is far more to the question of affirmative action than giving opportunities to the "poor or disadvantaged." It's a way for our system to actively acknowledge and combat any (possibly subliminal) biases towards the previously privileged group of white males. As they say, old habits die hard, and it's naive to think that hiring and admissions processes are now completely blind to everything but parental income. Surely, strict quotas are an overreaction to this, but there is some middle ground between quotas and complete deregulation.


No, counteracting racism (which has to happen based on race, any other way doesn't make sense) is most certainly not racist.

AA is not reparations, it tries to correct for existing racism.


"...has to happen based on race..."

That is racism.

And there are other ways. You punish people who are racist and you acknowledge that as the reason for their punishment, but you help people based on their situation. If they happened to be in that situation because of previous racism, that in no way has to be taken into account in how they are treated going forward to help their current situation.

Sorry, but as soon as you use race as a means to classify another person for a decision you need to make, whether your intentions are good or not, you are being racist, and you are perpetuating the line of thought that is at the root of the problem.


Ok, if you want to play semantic games then let's play semantic games. If you think any policy based on race is racism I will for the sake of the argument accept that weird definition and say that the racist AA policy is super awesome and that I full-heartedly support that racism. I'm a racist for AA!


Obviously not every policy based on race is racist, but affirmative action does advance a particular set of races. Call it whatever you want, but I think what the above poster has said is that to advance one race is to handicap another.


I'd like to point out that affirmative action directly leads to more racism. I've heard many racists assume that affirmative action is the sole reason someone (is in college|has that government job|got that scholarship).


Agreed. This is the Achilles Heel of affirmative action. It actually undermines the achievements of the favored group. For instance, many people believe that Obama would not be president if he were not half black. How accurate that belief is is certainly open to question, but it's not racist to think so.

In any case, according to this research, Obama's first term didn't improve racist attitudes in America.

Prejudice has risen since 2008 Obama victory:

https://bostonglobe.com/news/nation/2012/10/27/poll-majority...

Remember, the road to Hell is paved with good intentions.


Actually, I am saying exactly that - although I realize it may be unpopular. I don't believe that there is "good racism" be it AA or any other program. Just because you think you are helping people out based on the color of their skin, doesn't mean you are. In fact I think you are causing more harm than good by perpetuating this line of thinking that race is something to be considered as a means to discriminate.

Ideally I'd just like to see a society where race is hardly ever even talked about. It should be as significant as hair color (as another commenter mentioned). We won't get to that point if decisions are made based on race. As soon as you do that, then others will do it. And race will never cease to be a discriminating factor in human relations.


I hope you realise that not all black people are decendents from slaves and that not all white people are decendents of slave owners. And a hint: there are also other races beside whites and blacks.


You said the C word (class) and you weren't downvoted into oblivion. Thank you, Hacker News readers, for not voting purely on political biases.

Class mobility is essential for a healthy society. When everyone who starts life at one income level and almost always finishes life at that same income level you have an unbalance, neo-feudal society.

We live in a world where if a child's parents don't have the income or education to take them to a doctor when they get a simple inner ear infection they can be permanently disadvantaged (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Otitis_media). This kind of class lock-in is what was so terrible about earlier human models of cooperation and what the Enlightenment apparently fixed. Any argument against class-based discrimination is void while poor children are going deaf and ending up with speech development problems from a curable condition that very rarely causes serious long term consequences for a child of wealthier parents.


It's based on history. It's a tangential detail that that history victimized people of certain skin colors.


The catch is that it's a feedback loop: the fact that a minority is disproportionately poor leads to stereotypes (conscious or not, and the unconscious biases can be quite substantial) about that minority. Those stereotypes throw additional obstacles in the path of that minority.

So even absent any idea of the government "owing" a group for historical wrongs, there's (to me ) a convincing argument that affirmative action is needed. It helps break the feedback cycle.

Completely eliminating class distinctions would also break the cycle pretty quickly, but that seems staggeringly unlikely any time soon. :(


It is not racist. It would be racist if it argued or presented itself in such a way to express that one race was inferior or superior. It does not.


How do you get from "more black people live in areas where there were more productive plantations" to "we need affirmative action"?

(The answer is, you don't.)


> (The answer is, you don't.)

You do realize that putting words in other people's mouths like this pretty much destroys any chance of having a productive and useful conversation?

What is the point of even asking a question that you're sure you already know the answer to?


I would be putting words in someone's mouth if I wrote, "You said X..." when they did not say X, but rather something that I think (rightly or wrongly) implies X.

What I did is something different, but I agree that it's not obvious how this is conducive to productive and useful conversation. I know, it looks like I'm just trying to "score points." So, let me explain myself.

This kind of dialogue actually is productive and useful.

People reading my comment who were taken by a logical fallacy (including the person who wrote it) get to see that and learn something.

The person who wrote my comment (me) gets to practice writing clearly and concisely, and will get instant feedback if there was a failure or mistake. (Either in exposition or logic - and I readily admit I make logical mistakes all the time.)

As further evidence that what I said is useful, I submit that I have a double digit number of upvotes.

I wish there had been a way to indicate I wasn't just being snarky/trying to score points, but it's hard to convey that online, short of saying "BTW, I'm not just being snarky here, I actually think this is important." Maybe I should have done that. I'm open to suggestions here.


You could have conveyed the non-snark by just omitting your parenthetical. Everything before that is totally valid, but the parenthetical invites the kind of reply that doesn't actually move the conversation in the way I think you intended.

(Edit, adding): Also, when you use "", it's much better if you are actually quoting. If not, you are putting words in their mouth.


Thanks. This is useful. It got me thinking.

If I had just not put the parenthetical, it would make it look like I was "really asking" the question. That would treat the derivation in question as potentially legitimate (it's really not), and also invite serious but non-useful responses.

So that leads me to conclude that I just shouldn't have phrased my point as a question in the first place. I could have just stated my point as a statement, not a question.


That's pretty much what I was trying to say with, "What is the point of even asking a question that you're sure you already know the answer to?"

I guess you were trying for a rhetorical question, but I think that requires either:

1. The answer to be obvious to everybody, both asker and audience. E.g. "Do we really want to destroy all life?"

2. The question to be a lead-in to a discussion or argument. E.g. "Is it better to have more blue cars available for consumers to buy? I think so, and here's why."

You didn't do #2, so it looked like #1, but in context that's horribly dismissive.


I'm tired of people misusing the concept of a strawman (or other equivalent concepts). Just because someone pointed out something weird or bad about an argument doesn't make it a strawman.

The OP comment was not misrepresented. He started from "black people historically lived in greater proportion where soil was good for cotton." He ended with "affirmative action is still needed". Yes, the OP said more than that, but those statements as given are correct.


I don't know where you're getting any of this. My objection was to asking the question and then assuming that it could not be answered before even giving the other guy a chance to respond.


That wasn't what he said, and the comment itself was a response to such an attempt, but whatever.


That wasn't what he said? How do you figure? He asked a question of the other guy, then answered it rather abruptly in the next sentence.


You started from the wrong conclusion.

The proper way is "patterns ingrained tens, hundreds, thousands of years ago can show tangible effects even in 2012" to "the concept of affirmative action is sound".


The historic chinatowns of San Francisco, New York, and LA are still predominantly populated with ethnic Chinese. At a bigger scale: China is still predominantly populated with ethnic Chinese.

I'm not sure what conclusions you can reasonably draw from this, especially WRT affirmative action.


Ethnic Chinese in China were not subject to systematic oppression like blacks in the USA not even a century ago. That is a pattern, and it has far reaching effects.


Odd that you didn't mention the systematic oppression of Chinese in the USA. However, that's beside the point.

My point is that whatever the far-reaching effects of slavery, it's not clear that this specific geographic distribution is one of them - many cultures tend to clump together naturally even without systematic oppression (see: american expat communities around the world). Slavery may have chosen the original location, but isn't necessarily what's keeping people there.


He mentioned that ethnic Chinese in China were not subject to systematic oppression (which is debatable, especially depending on your definition of "ethnic Chinese", it's a big country).

I think the point he's making is that the same areas which were populated by black slaves under systematic oppression 150 years ago were populated by poor blacks under systematic discrimination 50 years ago and are populated by poor blacks today. To me that's a clear pattern that deserves to be corrected.


To me that's a clear pattern that deserves to be corrected.

While there is a damnable travesty present, it's not clear to anyone what the pattern is or how to correct it. Many other poor places have gotten rich; many ethnic enclaves thrive. It's an absurd stretch to look at this chart and draw any conclusion whatsoever about the merit of Affirmative Action.


Thank you, that's exactly what I was going for here.


That's effectively the same as what I stated.

It's also still not a valid conclusion.

For example, you haven't addressed whether it's worth trying to undo bad things that happened long ago with other injustices, as opposed to simply being just from here on out.

For another example, you haven't addressed whether it actually works or not.

(Those two examples actually are related, because theory and practice actually are related, but I digress :) )


> undo bad things that happened long ago with other injustices

First, you are implying that affirmative action is unjust, which it is not. Affirmative action does not mean that an unqualified worker replaces a qualified worker because of race. Affirmative action means that equally qualified workers are then selected to be as representative of the population as possible. This has the added benefit of making sure civil servants (ie our government) are more accurately representing the dynamics of the population as a whole.

Whether it actually works is a difficult question, and I've only done a little bit of reading on the issue (I have friends who are activists and explained the details to me, but I wasn't able to commit a lot of the specific details and studies to memory). A summary: it's complicated, there's pros and cons, but the pros can outweigh the cons depending on implementation. A quick Google search reveals a few interesting things. A study from Princeton indicated that ending affirmative action would result in a sharp decline in minority students, but it wouldn't actually raise the acceptance rate for non-minority students significantly. But there are also some studies that indicate the opposite (an analysis of law schools, for example, revealed that there would potentially be more black lawyers if affirmative action was not in place).

As always, make the evaluation for yourself, but asking someone to validate affirmative action on HN is quite a task, isn't it? But to reframe the discussion a little bit: it's not a question of whether it's just or fair -- it's a question of whether it's an effective approach to inequality. The idea of "reverse racism" is baloney, and I can explain that opinion further if necessary.


"Affirmative action means that equally qualified workers are then selected to be as representative of the population as possible."

Maybe this is what Affirmative Action means to you, but not to everyone. In fact, the University of Texas is currently at court regarding this very issue, where the university intentionally admitted minority students at the expense of white students who were otherwise better qualified in order to meet vague race quotas.

The case is currently being argued: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fisher_v._University_of_Texas


This is certainly tricky, and obviously a judge is the one to make the final decision for the US, but I'll stick by my interpretation of the Civil Rights Act for now :-)

Obviously, there is always the problem of having a profession where the demand hasn't been met by the supply of skilled workers (like programming!) which takes time before it balances a bit more, and this is where the idea of racial quotas breaks down considerably.


>The idea of "reverse racism" is baloney, and I can explain that opinion further if necessary.

I'd be interested in that explanation. Combatting discrimination by allowing discrimination by or for minorities seems like pushing the pendulum too far back in the other direction.

Isn't the idea equality? Having everyone playing by the same rules regardless of race?

Example (in my own home state, no less) For jobs offered on native lands, the advertisements are allowed to say "Indian preference applies" - which means exactly what it sounds like. Isn't this wrong on a number of levels?


You cannot create institutional and systemic racism against white people. White is the cultural norm in the US: everything is default to white perspective and whiteness is considered the most desireable state. Even if a minority treats an individual white person badly, that white person can typically walk away from that encounter without being affected, nor have that sentiment compounded by society at large every day of their life. Furthermore, policies like affirmative action recognize how badly minorities have been treated both historically and today, so the policy attempts to make a (small) correction for that imbalance.

> Isn't the idea equality? Having everyone playing by the same rules regardless of race?

Yes, but the rules are not evenly applied. People of color are disproportionately affected by the economic and political systems of the US. We live in a state of unfair treatment for people of color right now, eliminating things like affirmative action will not change that reality.

> Example (in my own home state, no less) For jobs offered on native lands, the advertisements are allowed to say "Indian preference applies" - which means exactly what it sounds like. Isn't this wrong on a number of levels?

The only thing wrong here is your sentiment. It is really clear you have no idea how badly native peoples in the US are treated. Native people are much more often victims of violent crime. Most native populations have been wiped out by colonial settlers, and those that survived have been forced from their homelands. Native territories are forbidden from prosecuting criminals under their own laws, leaving them unable to provide legal protection against violent crimes. Racist attitudes towards native peoples are extremely prevalent and popular culture constantly attempts to assimilate native culture as a perpetuation of the colonial settler genocide of native peoples. Giving a native person a job is the least US society could do, when it should be doing things like returning stolen lands and providing permanent economic support for those native nations that still exist.


>..that white person can typically walk away from that encounter without being affected

Meaning, what? I'm not "affected" because I have to deal with someone who, say, hates white people?

>Yes, but the rules are not evenly applied.

Aha. Sounds like the problem is here. The laws we have need to be applied correctly, instead of inventing new and questionable ones.

>The only thing wrong here is your sentiment.

Any "sentiment" you see is purely of your own invention. I mentioned a fact (namely an ad in a newspaper), and asked how that is not wrong. Discrimination is wrong, regardless of the race of the person doing it.

Put another way, the cure to discrimination is not more discrimination, and it's frankly idiotic to assume that it is.

I'm beginning to think race discussions are becoming the new religious discussions. People are incapable of discussing it without moralizing, preaching, or talking down.


> Meaning, what? I'm not "affected" because I have to deal with someone who, say, hates white people?

The problem is mainly that a white person only needs to deal with racism on a personal level, and this racism is easy to ignore and "walk away" from.

A black person or latino has to not only deal with racism from individual people, but also inequities that are the result of our society. What are these inequities?

Here's a list of some: - lower representation in government - stereotyping in movies and popular culture - lower representation in institutions of higher education - lower representation in the workforce - more difficulty growing and getting promoted once hired - assumption that he or she might be residing illegally (this applies mainly to latinos)

Now you might say, "but what if blacks and latinos just aren't suitable for our government, educational institutions, workforce, and popular culture?" Or "what if they just don't want to participate?"

So now the real question becomes, "so how do you encourage them to participate? Or would you prefer to be a society that deliberately ignores a portion of its population?"

And this isn't even mentioning the fact that children don't get to chose where they grow up, who their parents are, and what the color of their skin is. I'm very happy that I didn't grow up black in Compton, and I'm sure you would also feel the same.

We are a byproduct of our surroundings, and until we can eliminate the gang violence, substance abuse, etc. etc. that surrounds a lot of children (predominantly minorities), it seems that the best we can do is lower the barrier to entry for "a different life." Which part of that is racist against white people?


>Now you might say, "but what if blacks and latinos just aren't suitable for our government, educational institutions, workforce, and popular culture?"

Except I wouldn't say that, because first, it doesn't make any damn sense, and second, it's the kind of ignorant tripe you'd expect to hear a white supremacist say.


Ah, my bad -- the sentence was phrased a bit poorly. By "suitable" I meant "good for the job" -- ie there may not be a large enough pool of talent available to fill necessary roles appropriately. There's a common argument that, "maybe they just don't want the jobs" adequately explains and justifies the situation. I didn't mean it personally in any way, nor did I mean that your position automatically includes that kind of an opinion :-)


Ok great, thanks for clarifying ^^


shantanubala did a good job talking about some of your points, so I don't have any thing particular to add. However, the fact that you see something wrong with providing help in finding employment for native people speaks volumes about how you feel about native peoples with regard to how they interact in US society. You call decisions that include race as a factor as discrimination, but that ignores the long legacy and reality of discriminatory policies and social norms in the US as they relate to people of color.

> I'm beginning to think race discussions are becoming the new religious discussions. People are incapable of discussing it without moralizing, preaching, or talking down.

That you yourself took a position to defend normative ideas that actively perpetuate real, actual violence and harm is a sign you yourself, whether you realize it or not, have taken a position of talking down and over the actual experiences of people of color. The reason why people take race discussion seriously is because for people of color these things are not just discussions, but the real existence they face every single day.


>However, the fact that you see something wrong with providing help in finding employment for native people

I didn't say this. I said that stating a racial preference in an employment advertisement is wrong and discriminatory regardless of the noble aims of the reasons those ads exist.

>That you yourself took a position to defend normative ideas that actively perpetuate real, actual violence and harm

What the actual fuck are you talking about?! Saying that all discrimination is wrong perpetuates violence and harm?? Explain yourself, please. I don't appreciate being tarred with the racist brush for trying to comprehend this.


Well, you directly said you found racial preference for native people in job ads is "wrong on a number of levels" (originally phrased as a rhetorical question). But we know that native people suffer in a systemic way in US society, so they do need targeted help and policies on the basis of race in order to allow them to have the equal participation in society they deserve (and to help them not be disproportionately affected by violent crimes).

Institutional racism isn't just about discrimination, but rather prejudice combined with power. This isn't just about attitudes alone, as we are talking about real policies and incidents that are a direct reflection of racist attitudes. This instance of a job ad with a stated preference for native peoples is discriminatory, yes, but that is wholly acceptable given the state the US and its policies have put native peoples in.

The notion that affirmative action is racist or unfairly discriminatory is a perpetuation of the current racist institutions in the US. It supposes that the experience of people of color is not valid, and that their experiences and lives do not need nor deserve any consideration, ignoring the institutional oppressions that effect them. In the absence of targeted programs to help people affected by institutional racism, that kind of structural oppression thrives.

> Saying that all discrimination is wrong perpetuates violence and harm??

Your message isn't just that all discrimination is wrong. You quite clearly took aim at the behavior of and policies directed towards minorities as wrong or unjust. This ignores the main point: the behavior and policies of the majority have been wrong and unjust, and small programs and policies to help start to correct this are totally and wholly appropriate. This isn't about treating the majority (read: white) population unfairly, but looking at the numbers, seeing how the policies, laws, and enforcement of laws supported by that majority have negatively affected people of color at rates much higher than whites, and taking action to begin to address that.

You scoff at a job ad mentioning they give a preference native applicants, but are thinking about the long history of blood and violence that has occurred and continues to occur to those people? Of course they deserve a better shot at a job (not too mention they deserve much more). The notion of unfair discrimination towards whites as a result of affirmative action policies for jobs and education is a false equivalence.


>This instance of a job ad with a stated preference for native peoples is discriminatory, yes, but that is wholly acceptable given the state the US and its policies have put native peoples in.

You agree that it's discrimination. Finally.

So discrimination is okay in certain circumstances.

.. I find that hard to accept. Again, you're proposing that the answer for discrimination is more discrimination. What does violent crime and equal participation in society that you keep bringing up have to do with allowing one group to do something we don't allow any other group to do?

What does allowing this accomplish that enforcing the existing equality laws does not? (Referring to EEO and EEH acts, if they are applied like they should be?) Legally, how does this not fall afoul of the equal protection laws as defined in the constitution?

On a more practical level, wouldn't it be more beneficial for everyone involved (the employeer, the employee, society at large) for someone hiring for a position to choose the most qualified person for the job rather than selecting explictly for racial background?

>Your message isn't just that all discrimination is wrong. You quite clearly took aim at the behavior of and policies directed towards minorities as wrong or unjust.

That is my message, and whatever other subtext you choose to read into it is entirely between you and your keyboard. Knock it off.

I don't feel particularly discriminated against here, so I hardly have a dog in this hunt. I don't like how I'm not allowed to question a discriminatory law without being presumed racist. Basically pointing and asking "WTF?" is what I'm doing here.


> So discrimination is okay in certain circumstances.

Yes absolutely, we discriminate all the time and discrimination is a morally neutral thing. I think you are mostly speaking about racial discrimination, because most people most certainly support discrimination for, say, a choice between skilled and unskilled people when hiring for a particular job role.

> What does violent crime and equal participation in society that you keep bringing up have to do with allowing one group to do something we don't allow any other group to do?

Well, as a society we DO allow some groups to do things that other groups do not. A lot of basic human rights revolve around letting people do things that some group of others do not, for example attending particular religious service. Again, I think you are getting at that we as a society do not allow racist discrimination in our society due to the harms that come from racism.

> What does allowing this accomplish that enforcing the existing equality laws does not? (Referring to EEO and EEH acts, if they are applied like they should be?) Legally, how does this not fall afoul of the equal protection laws as defined in the constitution?

I do not know much about the EEO and EEH programs you mention, so I can't really comment on those specific things. However, there is a great body of evidence that shows right now, in our current legal framework, there are racial injustices and disparities. For new legislation and policies, then question then becomes can this inequality be addressed through the law, and if so how. How any given program or policy interacts with equal protection under the law isn't an answering question without more specific questions about policy, as in the US the legal system and Supreme Court have both accepted and rejected laws and programs that do seek to fix racial inequality. To date, though, affirmative action programs have been found to be valid within certain criteria, so the allowed existence of such programs is not in question here.

> On a more practical level, wouldn't it be more beneficial for everyone involved (the employeer, the employee, society at large) for someone hiring for a position to choose the most qualified person for the job rather than selecting explictly for racial background?

It is a common misconception that affirmative action programs mean that unqualified people will be hired or admitted to an educational institution. Generally such programs include race as a factor when comparing alike, qualified candidates. How exactly these processes work will depend on specific programs, some of which have been found to not be legal in the US and were struck down (but affirmative action itself remains legal and valid). Further, there is a large cost to societies that keep populations based on race, age, disability, and economic class suppressed or excluded from education, jobs, equal legal protection, and personal integrity (among other things), so policies that can address those societal problems do have a measurable benefit.

Lastly, I meant to say that you were presenting the notion that policies that benefit minorities were wrong and unjust by questioning the need for those policies: that says to me that you either aren't familiar with the data about this or that you are familiar with that data and still don't believe it and would prefer a world without policies that help addressed our most fundamental inequalities as a society. This is my last post on this, if you would like to learn more, there are far better sources than I a Google search away.


>that says to me that you either aren't familiar with the data about this.

Pretty much this. Thank you for being helpful :)


> Isn't the idea equality?

You weren't asking me, but the idea should be equality under the law, not equality.


But how the law is applied is just as important as its text. A just law applied in a discriminatory way is discriminatory.


> First, you are implying that affirmative action is unjust, which it is not. Affirmative action does not mean that an unqualified worker replaces a qualified worker because of race. Affirmative action means that equally qualified workers are then selected to be as representative of the population as possible.

I've never heard of that idea (which means it's interesting, not wrong). But, I also think it's wrong. For example, at my university, where a pretty small proportion of applicants actually get in (it's highly competitive), you can't get a sizeable proportion of blacks using the method you suggest. You have to use the method that you don't suggest, which is what they do.

I appreciate your referencing actual reasearch. I think there are tangible but non-quantifiable effects that are not measured by that kind of thing, though.

For example, people know that affirmative action (as I have seen it practiced) is ubiquitous and unfair, and that in itself makes it harder for prejudices to be dissolved.

This even applies to the people who are supposed to directly benefit from affirmative action.


> For example, you haven't addressed whether it's worth trying to undo bad things that happened long ago...

Um, I hate to break it to you, but racism didn't magically end "long ago", but is alive and well today and is both personal and systemic in western society.

>...with other injustices

Providing help in getting people of color who are actively prohibited from accessing higher education is not an injustice.


Although I agree with you, I get the impression that someone who doesn't think affirmative action should exist even after learning about the gang violence, intense poverty, substance abuse, neglect, and trauma that surrounds children growing up in housing projects and "bad neighborhoods" -- even after all of that, if someone still says no, then you could probably trace this back to the Big Bang and they'll still say no.


Why can't we just try to remedy those ills directly? Why does there need to be an association with race?

I'm not denying that these are a result of the U.S's past action, and that we have a responsibility to fix them, but I have doubts that associating them with race is necessary or helpful in any way.


OK, what's your solution? Affirmative action is a bandaid, and its effects are at best poorly distributed. But it actually works to reduce ethnic imbalance, and most people (I assume you too) agree that's a good thing.

You have an alternative to suggest that doesn't have equivalent problems?

Just recognize that (I'm going to go out on a limb here and assume) that, because you are a middle class white man, probably 90% of the reason you oppose "affirmative action" is because it negatively impacts your own demographic group. Well, sorry. We're in a priviledged group; get over it.


Just recognize that (I'm going to go out on a limb here and assume) that, because you are a middle class white man, probably 90% of the reason you oppose "affirmative action" is because it negatively impacts your own demographic group.

Arguments for or against AA aside, this line of reasoning, where you invalidate somebody's argument based on what demographic group they belong to (white middle class males in this case), really seems like a simple ad hominem argument. You're no longer addressing what is said - only who is saying it.


Sigh... First: that's not a logical argument, it's a message directly to the poster (and anyone like-minded, probably including you) intended to provoke introspection. Read it again, I don't claim anything in those words says anything about AA.

Second: you seriously think it's inappropriate to point out that people tend to have opinions which advantage their own station? Really? You're not simply saying that this is incorrect, you're actually saying that I'm not allowed to make the argument that white people might not like AA because it disadvantages white people. That's insane, sorry.


I agree that affirmative action is a good thing, but I thought it was a quite interesting discussion we were having.

Let's go back to the original topic at hand and refrain from derailing the discussion with personal messages directly to the poster and those like-minded.

A good argument is not solely made up of logical arguments, but it does not sacrifice logic for pathos. If your argument is sound you should be able to defend it both logically and emotionally.


As I have said, the alternative is affirmative action for the poor in general.

Medicaid, Food Stamps, and other social programs don't discriminate based on race, but certainly have that effect where there is larger poverty among African-Americans. What would be the advantage of basing them on race?

I'm questioning the best way to achieve the economic effect that we agree on, reducing racial inequality, in the same way that I question if Carbon credits are the best way to reduce emissions (simply taxing fossil fuels, I believe.


It sounds like you simply don't understand what affirmative action is. It's not welfare. You're seriously saying we should give out slots on boards of directors to people on food stamps?

AA doesn't correct for immediate need, it corrects for the fact that people growing up in unpriviledged environments lack advantages. So they have to work a job instead of going to a test prep class. They go to schools with high teacher turnover and poor class selection. They live in social environments with high crime. So they don't get into the "right" colleges, and they don't get the great jobs.

At what spot on that chain would your "make AA like food stamps" idea actually work? You're not even addressing the problem.


> AA doesn't correct for immediate need, it corrects for the fact that people growing up in unpriviledged environments lack advantages.

So poor white folks never grow up in unpriviledged environments?

You're providing no justification for why AA is race based instead of socio-economic based.


The first sentence is just bad statistics. Obviously all that's required is that "more" poor black kids grow up in unpriviledged environemnts (something that I assume you agree with) to have a problem worth correcting. You can't disprove a correlation with a single counterexample.

And why must I "justify" that it be "race based"? There's a problem. It's a solution. It works, if imperfectly. I'd like to see a better option too. (Not least because one of it's biggest problems is that it pisses off entitled white kids like you and starts pointless internet flames like this.)

So I repeat what I said earlier: if you have another solution that works better, then propose it and advocate for it. Right now all you're doing is whining.

(edit to avoid prolonging thread: both replies have ignored the issue mentioned upthread, namely that AA corrects for disadvantage in the past, not currently. You can't give executive jobs to unqualified poor people, you need to start farther upstream. So if that's your suggestion, come up with a new one -- you're essentially saying "eliminate poverty", which is dumb.)


> (Not least because one of it's biggest problems is that it pisses off entitled white kids like you and starts pointless internet flames like this.)

> Right now all you're doing is whining.

Stop the nonsense.

I'm going to specifically look at college admissions since it's a pretty interesting area. Specifically, I want to point out a passage from here (the article itself is worth reading): http://www.tnr.com/book/review/disadvantages

> Moreover, some universities have been successful in maintaining racial diversity despite a ban on using race in admissions. At UT Austin, which was forbidden by a lower court from considering race between 1997 and 2003, a class-based affirmative action plan, combined with a plan to automatically admit students in the top 10 percent of their high school class, resulted in a net increase in racial diversity. In 1996, prior to the ban on race, African Americans and Latinos made up 18.8 percent of the freshman class. In 2004, under the socioeconomic and top 10 percent plan, the combined representation had risen to 21.4 percent.

Not only is such policy less racist, but it is more effective!


If a policy benefits poor people in general and more black people are poor it would stand to reason that it would help more black people. I think that the problem with AA is that it attempts to treat the entire country. A better solution would be to concentrate efforts on the poorest communities with the largest percentage of black population. Once those cities start to succeed it would help turn around institutional bias. I don't thank that AA has helped reduce bias, it seems like it has served more as a cosmetic measure. I could be wrong.


You must justify it because you are advocating for race based discrimination.

We have already proposed an alternative: economics based discrimination. It is better because it captures the group of people that deserve help more accurately.

We are not whining, we are having a discussion.


It came about when the disparity was more substantial. That it's less obvious now is a sign that it's working. Institutional underrepresentation of poor white people is already dealt with separately by the lack of historical institutional discrimination against them.


Affirmative action is about dealing with the discrimination in education that often leads to unequal opportunity. How do you deal with the opportunity gap without acknowledging the impacted groups?


It seems like privilege is more transparent the more you have.


Why can't we just try to remedy those ills directly? Why does there need to be an association with race?

Because targeting based on race is a simple and effective way to target these ills. Race is often strongly correlated with these problems.


Yes but not all African American's are disadvantaged. But all disadvantaged people are disadvantaged.

Why not make laws to simply help the disadvantaged? Why does race have to be the indicator, even if its a pretty good one? Why cant income be the indicator? It seems like it would be at least as accurate, if not more so... and no need to bring race into it.


How do you define & measure disadvantage?

You suggest income, but then that ignores:

(a) debt

(b) medical costs (Joe & Jim have the same income, but Joe has cancer and has to pay $LOTS per month, has less energy etc. Who's more disadvantaged?)

(c) where one lives (Joe & Jim have same income, but Joe lives near where possible jobs are, Jim needs a 2 hour bus journey)

(d) existing assets (Jim has a new car and partner has a second hand car, Joe has a crappy car that could break, who is more advantaged)

(e) family support/obligations, both financial & emotional (Joe has to care for his mother, Jim's mother can pay for her own nursing home. Joe knows he can rely on his parents to bail him out, Joe can't). etc.

All systems have flaws. This stuff is hard and complicated, and you'll have mistakes, false positives and false negatives with all methods (yes including race/ethnicity). There'll also be costs to each method: Cost for the applicant to have to find & submit paperwork, cost for staff to process and review it, opportunities for fraud (e.g. asset-based-measurement means you can fake it by moving assets to a family member/close friend for a year).

Race/ethnicity has several advantages as a "disadvantage metric":

(a) easy to apply (hard to fake), yes there are problems with people of many ethnicities

(b) cheap and quick to decide, no calculations or hours of staff time checking that the payslip from 2007 is legit, or try to figure out if the person really is a single parent or is the partner still living there, etc.

(c) applicants don't have to find old information & forms & letters

(d) strongly statistically correlated with disadvantage

However some people just react negatively about race being mentioned at all, thinking that "racism = any reference to race" and "racism = bad" ergo "any reference to race = bad". Sometimes conversations about this can be like talking about evolution to a creationist, ask yourself if there is any evidence you'd accept that would convince you that it's OK to have affirmative action, if not, you might be being dogmatic.


Assuming that poverty alleviation programs are consolidated, than using the shorthand of race for disadvantages on only the education portion does not actually reduce paperwork/costs.

The strong and convincing argument for affirmative action is that African Americans and Indians have been severely wronged in the past and should be recompensed.

But what about would Hispanics, more recently immigrants who never suffered from Genocide or Slavery.

Or what about Asian Americans, who actually suffer reverse AA (need higher scores than whites) for no reason other than being smart. They're aware of this and don't mark Asian on applications if it can be avoided.

Racial discrimination does cause problems. Personally, I really do feel that Blacks and Indians need to be compensated for past ills. I'm not sure how the best way to do that is, however.


Assuming that poverty alleviation programs are consolidated, than using the shorthand of race for disadvantages on only the education portion does not actually reduce paperwork/costs.

Oh? Care to elaborate?

When I said "reduce paperwork", I mean it's less paperwork to evalulate and classify people based on race (since looking at a photo for 30 seconds will get you the answer 95% of the time (or some other high percentage)), vs. if you looked at income. To classify people based on income you have to look at lots of different forms and letters and statements etc.


We just had an election and almost 50% of the country said No we don't want "big goverment" which is what it takes to remedy those ills. If you want to solve the ills it's going to take years of hard work and a lot of money.

Also, a part of why we don't have the political will is latent racism.


If you really want to take this line, then you should take action. I am from one of these counties originally, and there is a much larger percentage of the black population working side by side with whites than anywhere you'll find in Silicon Valley. In fact, if this is the mentality that presides, then why aren't there more blacks working at startups in SV or anywhere for that matter?

Edit: It should also be noted that Alabama has no comprehensive fair employment law or specific affirmative action requirements covering public or private employers.


The problems you mention were not problems until after affirmative action was implemented.


I don't believe your chronology is correct: affirmative action was first implemented in the U.S. in 1961, with widespread implementation not until the late 1960s, but there were already many poverty-ridden black ghettoes in the 1950s.

(And the areas talked about in this article have been full of grinding poverty for their entire existence, with most of their inhabitants being slaves prior to the 1860s, and then desperately poor from the 1860s to today.)


Maybe I'm leaning too much on the 'benefit of the doubt' side, but I parsed the prior post to mean that all those things existed, but they weren't considered problems by, say, white people, or people in power, prior to the 1960s.

The alternative is that some (presumably intelligent) poster on HN stating something completely at odds with the facts, and perhaps even informally suggesting that affirmative action was likely to have caused black people to live in poor, squalid, crime-filled ghettoes.


"even informally suggesting that affirmative action was likely to have caused black people to live in poor, squalid, crime-filled ghettoes."

That is what I am suggesting.


> completely at odds with the facts

Asserted without evidence.

The argument makes perfect sense to me. What part of it do you think is false?


Isn't the person making a very strong causal claim the one in need of evidence? If someone's claiming that affirmative action caused black poverty, then I would expect some good data to back up that claim. Merely asserting it is not an "argument".


Why not put it back on the poster who asserted without evidence that affirmative action will cure "gang violence, intense poverty, substance abuse, neglect, and trauma"?

I will allow that it could. But we've had this deal in place for fifty years.

If you've got a program running, and the problems keep getting worse .. maybe it's time to check one's assumptions.

At any rate - I'll go grubbing around for the facts. Later tonight. Now I've got lunch to eat and work to be done. I've got a tax bill to pay.


"there were already many poverty-ridden black ghettoes in the 1950s."

There is poverty. And then there is

"gang violence, intense poverty, substance abuse, neglect, and trauma"

I am asserting that these became systematic problems after the introduction of affirmative action.


You're seriously suggesting affirmative action leads to social ills?

I'd also suggest you avoid hospitals because they cause cancer.


Was it the flight of money, mostly in the hands of white people, out of the cities and into the suburbs around the time institutional segregation started to crumble, or was it affirmative action? I'm not leaning toward the latter.


"I'm not leaning toward the latter."

Are you basing this leaning on study and contemplation of the facts, or because it makes you feel better?


What are you basing your assertion on? I indicated an inclination. It's inherently an opinion. You made an assertion of fact.


Data. And you?


I believe it's common courtesy to actually provide some citations when you claim you have data.


I made no assertion, so I have nothing to support.


You mean there was no extreme poverty amoung marginalized groups before affirmative action?


The poster I was replying to said

"gang violence, intense poverty, substance abuse, neglect, and trauma"

These, by and large, were not systemic problems before the introduction of affirmative action.


gang violence The gangs were white, but the contours of the violence would probably be familiar to contemporary observers.

intense poverty Sociocultural hurdles that limited property ownership, the inability to meaningfully advocate for fair wages, and the lack of the suffrage required to change this reality meant that intense poverty was the status quo.

substance abuse http://www.utexas.edu/utpress/books/jamdoi.html

"William Henry James and Stephen Lloyd Johnson document the role of alcohol and other drugs in traditional African cultures, among African slaves before the American Civil War, and in contemporary African American society, which has experienced the epidemics of marijuana, heroin, crack cocaine, and gangs since the beginning of this century. The authors zero in on the interplay of addiction and race to uncover the social and psychological factors that underlie addiction."

neglect see:http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Redlining#History; see also: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:JimCrowCar2.jpg

trauma Subjective, based on who you ask, but I'd say yes.


Well, sure, since affirmative action doesn't help those people nearly as much as it helps upper-middle class kids from the suburbs.

That's the problem with it - whatever its intentions, it just doesn't help the people it truly needs to.


Yet, today more blacks live in New York state than any other, so this pattern isn't unbreakable. The southern black belt's problems can be addressed through regional policy rather than more government racism.


And a lot of people of Dutch descent are still farming in New York.


The point of affirmative action is not to get people out of the farming business. My grandmother took a cruise ship across the atlantic once, but I wouldn't compare that to the second passage.


That strikes me as terrible reasoning. People living in these communities (as well as others in the deep south) have generally lived in these communities for generations and will likely continue to do so even no matter how much affirmative action you enact. That slavery is the original reason that they are where they are is irrelevant because it hasn't been the reason for generations.


Affirmative action doesn't make any sense. The economist Thomas Sowell has written extensively on it.

The Other Side of Affirmative Action http://www.jewishworldreview.com/cols/sowell060899.asp

The book "Black Rednecks & White Liberals" goes further into this: http://www.jewishworldreview.com/cols/sowell050505.asp


We just had an African American man elected to his second term as president. We don't need aa anymore. Just stop discriminating. Don't put skin color on applications at all.


I live in Birmingham AL and the existence of the black belt is common knowledge here. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_Belt_(U.S._region)

As a kid, I assumed it was called the black belt because of the black people, not knowing it's because the soil is black.


A neighboring town's motto was, "The blackest soil and the whitest people."

Despite people's assurances that "white" in this case simply means "good", I always had mixed feelings about it.


OMG me too. That also explains the large black population also along that belt. I always assumed it was a mildly racist thing. Now I feel kind of silly actually...


I've been fascinated with geology ever since I realised that it is really history on an epic scale (living in Edinburgh also helps) - one book that really opened my eyes to the subject is Richard Fortey's The Earth: An Intimate History:

http://www.amazon.com/Earth-Intimate-History-Richard-Fortey/...


There is a book that connects large-scale geology with the human-scale history by arguing how the former affects the later. It's http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Guns,_Germs,_and_Steel "Guns, Germs and Steel" by Jared Diamond.


This is a great book. It's fascinating to consider how much of world history has been influenced by where wheat was first cultivated.


For the lazy, the BBC did a television adaption of it that was quite good


I found "Supercontinent: Ten Billion Years in the Life of Our Planet" by Ted Nield absolutely fascinating. He presented historical theory's as well as modern ones to give the reader a better idea about how drift theory came to be.

http://www.amazon.com/gp/aw/d/0674026594


Another great book is _Annals of the Former World_ by John McPhee (at least regarding US geology):

http://www.amazon.com/Annals-Former-World-John-McPhee/dp/037...


I enjoyed "The Map That Changed The World", which is the story of how the study of geology developed during the Industrial period of England. It's the story of William Smith, one of the first people to identify strata formations in coal mines and canal trenches and use them to predict patterns elsewhere.

http://amzn.com/0061767905

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_Smith_(geologist)


In South Carolina, that line is called the Orangeburg Scarp. It is where the coastline used to be millions of years ago. Driving westward from the coast, you'll encounter a series of steep hills these days as you gain elevation.

If the Garner-Edisto fault line ever lets go in a major way, you want to be on the western side of it, to avoid the anticipated Tsunami.


I agree, for me it's most fascinating that we are not only able to learn about things that happened so long ago, but also that they can still affect us today.


The past is not dead. In fact, it's not even past.

  --Faulkner


This article is nothing more than blog spam. Yeah, it provides a link back to the original post, but that's about it. Even most of the images are lifted.


"blog spam" aka packaging and reporting a story from elsewhere, a basic part of journalism. People around here really try too hard to be indignant.


A part which made more sense in the days when you could only read your local newspaper, so you didn't have easy access to the original story.

When the original story is just a click away, a repackager only adds value if he/she expands on the original in some material way -- coming at the story from a different perspective, say, or adding facts or background information that were not present in the original.

This post does none of that. It's a straight-up rewrite of the original, with no new contributions to the story. It makes the same points and even uses the same illustrations as the original. It does cite the original and link to it, but there's nothing in the new piece that would make it a more authoritative version of the story than the old one.

I generally don't oppose people posting links to blogs, but in this case it really does seem like sending people straight to the original post would have been the classier thing to do.


> but in this case it really does seem like sending people straight to the original post would have been the classier thing to do.

I think the poster has said it was an oversight; that the links to the original article were missed.

In this case it would have been nice to post to the original article, but as you say they're pretty similar.

I think it's much worse when some document is released, and then eight different tech blogs have a minimal but opinionated write up which each get posted to HN, and then people don't reply in the threads but on their own blogs, and then the tech blogs pick up each other's coverage.


I don't think people realize how common a practice it is for one site to ask another for permission to republish an article. I would happily accept a republishing request from NPR.


Are you the author of the original article? I found it not only highly interesting but also very well written. I'm sorry I didn't realize the link I posted wasn't the original. I totally did miss the link back to the original in the footer and (unfortunately) I guess most other people will.


I'm not the original author. And in my experience, that link at the bottom will send plenty of people back to the original who otherwise never would have heard of the blog.



Title: How presidential elections are impacted by a 100 million year old coastline

-- Much better title.


Nothing was lifted. The article was published on a different website with a larger audience. (That’s how people found it and posted it here, so don’t you dare question the value of republishing something.) I assume that NPR asked the author for permission to republish.

Why are HN readers trying so hard to be assholes about stuff like this?


so don’t you dare question...XYZ

-- This is not really needed. the tone is ~petulant.


If everyone only submits the original article to HN, all discussion is consolidated into one thread. If ten people each submit a different republication of the same article, discussion is fragmented. It's not a value judgment, it just makes using the site easier.


Good catch, I'm sorry I missed the link to the original in the footer. I guess it isn't possible to change a link after it has been posted?


I think its quite cool. I had no idea this blue band in the south existed. The history behind the fertile land and slavery migration I found particularly interesting.

It does make an unwritten assumption that more black people = more democrat votes. But I guess that is probably a fair assumption to make.


In recent US politics, it is a fair assumption. More than fifty years ago, it was not. Historically, the Republicans were "the party of Lincoln" and the Democrats were the party of the segregated South(1).

One might attribute the beginning of the polar reversal to Truman's integration of the military services, but by the time of the Kennedy administration sent paratrooper's to Oxford the seeds from which the Dixiecrats grew were clearly sown.

(1) The popular image of a segregated South is of course correct, but segregation was a national policy (e.g. the military). It enjoyed popularity in the North as well (e.g. at the time Jackie Robinson came to the Dodgers there were no Major League teams in the former Confederacy and the only Southern city with a team was Washington D.C. Despite not being subject to any state law and home to the Federal government, it was a bastion of Jim Crow.


Having lived in the North for most of my life (or at least above the Mason-Dixon) and having lived an extensive stint in the South, nowadays the Northern cities seem far more segregated. It probably has a lot to do with the fact that there was not forced integration there in the 60's. Look at a city like Chicago or New York where some of the largest population areas are almost entirely black. Check out Kozol's book Savage Inequalities, it's pretty shocking if you didn't grow up in a large northern city. If you did, then well, you know all about what I'm talking about.

There's a lot of elitism from the Northern states still about how they are so progressive but I saw way less racial hostility and more interracial interaction on a daily basis in New Orleans or Atlanta than I do in cities like Chicago or even Saint Louis, a lower midwest town where you can cut the racial tension with a knife.


Missouri was a focal point of the political tensions created by slavery in the 19th century. The Missiouri Compromise led to its admission to the Union as a slave state, and during the Civil War substantial numbers of its citizens, like those of other border states served in both armies.


No need to assume:

  * 93% of black voters voted for Obama
  * 73% of Asian voters voted for Obama
  * 71% of Latino voters voted for Obama
  * 39% of white voters voted for Obama
http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/11/07/14993875-first...


It is very interesting, but it comes up every election cycle now:

http://www.uwgb.edu/dutchs/Research/Elec2000/GeolElec2000.HT...


I'm glad it does. I only found out about it in 2007.


And if it didn't, I'd have never known about it. I just learned this today.


It's also at least the third submission of the article.


NPR is blog spam now!?


How is this Obama's 'secret weapon'? There is an electoral college, and he lost these states by a landslide.


The Republican Party (also called the GOP, for "Grand Old Party") is one of the two major contemporary political parties in the United States, along with the Democratic Party. Founded by anti-slavery activists in 1854, it dominated politics nationally for most of the period from 1860 to 1932.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Republican_Party_(United_States...


I would like to see the red-blue county map compared with a map of how populous those counties are.

Focusing on just the geography of which counties are which color can be very misleading when some counties have a million residents and some have thousands. The focus on county as a unit makes it easy to mistake size of county, and the resulting size of each color, as indicative of the overall vote total.


Wow, fascinating. I was about to stop reading when you said it's because of plankton... I'm glad I didn't!


How exactly is this a "secret weapon"? Obama did not carry any of the states in this region except perhaps Florida (it's still being counted), which is not even among the states with these swatches of ancient plankton deposits.

Also, if you look at the map it's clear the blue patches are clustered around major highways and rivers, which is where the population centers will obviously be. As we've seen before, the Democratic / Republican divide is very strongly along the lines of urban vs. rural. There doesn't seem to be any mention in the article of how that factors into this. Obviously there is a bit of chicken & egg thing going on with population and highways, but you would think there could at least have been some discussion of this.


Plausible, but it turns out to be mistaken.

Look at this map of results in South Carolina:

http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/S...

County population is negatively correlated with voting for Obama.


Obama didn't win any of those states, so how is it a secret weapon?


I find it pretty funny that it sounds like the author's implying black people will vote for Obama.

Then again, he did win somewhere from 90% to 98% of their vote [1], so the assumption is based in truth somewhere.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2229225/Presidential...


Summary: a lot of black people voted for Obama, giving him the edge in certain states.


Actually, he didn't win any of the states discussed in the article.

He did however get a huge majority of the black vote which probably propelled him to win in the swing states of NC and OH.


Interesting how this got no attention when it was posted 9 days ago, and takes off this time: http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=4714274


This is more about slavery than plankton.

Fertile land does not equal Obama votes.


Fertile land in the south did definitely correlate with Obama votes, as the article made clear.


Yeah, just like slabs of thick bedrock in lower New York correlate with Obama votes, since it enabled large highrises to be constructed in a small, densely populated area. How far back are we willing to go to draw these correlations?


IT was more than a correlation. He traced the connection. What has bedrock to do with New York voters? I'd be interested to hear that story.


Exactly, it's a story at best. The article claims that Plankton -> Soil -> Slaves -> Black People don't move -> Obama support. The first 2 connections are obvious, but the second two do not necessarily connect in any rational way. It's like saying Bedrock -> Highrises -> ???? -> Obama. The first connection works, but the other two would be pure speculation at best.


You read it as more than a storey. Ok.

What's mysterious about people staying in the same place for generations? My people have been in Iowa since the Civil War too.


Indeed, most people don't move. I won't be able to put my finger on it now, but several years ago, I read a statistic that a huge percentage of people are born, live, and die within a 20 to 30 mile radius. College attendance, military service, sightseeing vacations and travel for work all bring us out of that circle for a time, but we tend to return to it afterward.

My brother has his radius whittled down to about 10 miles. I, on the other hand, live about 800 miles from where I was born and grew up, and have no expectation of returning, but then, I always was the black sheep of the family.


Well, it not only implies that black people don't move, but white people DO move. Either that or it assumes that the ratio of black to white was much greater than it likely was. It also assumes a lot of other things.


Was it Samuel Clemens that observer, what a harvest of speculation you get from a little statistics?


Check an electoral map. Urban centers are democratic strongholds. In fact they are the only part of the map that matters for dems. The black belt has no impact on the presidential election. I have no idea why the author is calling sparsely populated, poor minority counties a "secret weapon."

I guess nancy pelosi has the formation of gold in northern California to thank for her success?


The problem with affirmative action is that it is based on race

The problem with the need for affirmative action is that it was the outcrop of slavery,which was based on race.


More supporters living in some areas doesn't change the number of supporters. So not sure how this is a secret weapon.


Obama's secret weapon this Tuesday was Mitt Romney.

John Huntsman, had he have won the primaries, would have won the election.


i don't know about this. this band basically traces the southern coastline. to me the simplest explanation is that coastlines (because they are richer) are largely white, so that inland populations in the south will be more black.


Reminds me of "Connections" TV show.


The butterfly effect in full effect!


this is great!


Pseudoscience


I guess the conservatives get to reap what their racist, pro-slavery ancestors sowed.


This an ignorant comment plain and simple. You are implying that because someone is conservative in the south, their ancestors owned slaves? And even if they did, that their views should be discounted because of the fact someone they had positively no effect on made a mistake 150 years ago? I find this highly offensive.


Wasn't it the Republican party that ended slavery, and the Democratic party that supported it?


The Republican and Democratic parties have shifted their ideals greatly over a few centuries. The founders of the republican party would not recognize (and would likely be repulsed by) the platform and behavior of the modern Republican party. I'd wager the same is true for Democrats.


I wasn't making a serious point, just highlighting how fatuous the parent comment was.


It's a mistake to compare political parties across 150 years of history and assume that nothing has changed in their makeup or beliefs since then. The only thing the parties of 1863 and 2012 have in common is their names.


Yes.


After an election there are so many stories like this explaining why certain voting patterns were pre-determined, or at least extremely likely.

Strangely, people don't write so certainly _before_ the election.

I'd be far more impressed with this type of story if it was published before the election.


October 10, 201212:49 PM

A month before the election.


It was published before the election.




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