I don’t think NVDA will have anything like a real moat, and more like whatever the difference was between iOS and Android. The gist of it is, the big bang of AI has happened and that universe is rapidly expanding, just like it once did for smart phones. There is the Apple of AI which is NVDA, and then there is Android (AMD). Moats are irrelevant here because the universe has just started rapidly expanding for them.
Apple didn’t really “win” out against Android, and it would be a very wrong way of measuring what actually happened. Yet, Apple could have been seen as more premium during various points of that timeline. The truth of the matter was, it was never a swimming race at any point in that smartphone timeline. It was simply a flood that you could convince yourself was an orderly race.
I believe the same is happening now, and it’s in Nvidias interest to maintain the narrative that there is a race and they are winning it. Believing something like this during the smartphone era would have been foolish.
Apple didn’t really “win” out against Android, and it would be a very wrong way of measuring what actually happened. Yet, Apple could have been seen as more premium during various points of that timeline. The truth of the matter was, it was never a swimming race at any point in that smartphone timeline. It was simply a flood that you could convince yourself was an orderly race.
I believe the same is happening now, and it’s in Nvidias interest to maintain the narrative that there is a race and they are winning it. Believing something like this during the smartphone era would have been foolish.