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> Anyone know how credible this is?

AFAIK the previous models that all assumed that Type 1a supernovae were not affected by the age of the progenitor stars had no actual analysis to back that up; it was just the simplest assumption. This research is now actually doing the analysis.



> AFAIK the previous models that all assumed that Type 1a supernovae were not affected by the age of the progenitor stars had no actual analysis to back that up; it was just the simplest assumption.

Why would you assume this? It's not correct.

Type 1a supernovae aren't even assumed to be "standard candles" as is often claimed: rather, they're standardizable, i.e. with cross-checks and statistical analysis, they can be used as an important part of a cosmological distance ladder.

A great deal of analysis has gone into the development of that distance ladder, with cross-checks being used wherever it's possible to use them.

They look at surface brightness fluctuations in the same galaxies, Tully-Fisher distances[1], tip of the red giant branch distances[2], and even baryon acoustic oscillations[3]

Is it possible that this one single paper has upended all that? Theoretically. Is it likely? No.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tully%E2%80%93Fisher_relation

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tip_of_the_red-giant_branch

[3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baryon_acoustic_oscillations


> Why would you assume this? It's not correct.

None of your references contradict it, as far as I can see. I'm well aware that Type 1a supernovae are only part of the overall picture, but that observation doesn't contradict what I said.




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