no the bet is lost on every count

1 it's not fully autonomous, there's a remote operator

2 not a wide enough service area as defined in the bet

3 it's a pilot program, also excluded in the bet

4 it's also a year late and the bet is very much still lost

lol but we're going to have self driving cars by 2015 guys!

This specific bet is very targeted, but we do absolutely have commerciallly available self-driving cars in 2025 in several cities, and the list of cities is rapidly expanding.

An 8-10 year delay from expectations is not too bad all things considered.

Is the remote operator actually driving under normal conditions, or do they just step in during an exigent circumstance?

The latter, there's an article about this particularly [1]

[1] https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/09/03/technology/zo...

The latter.