- twitter already has a huge community -> check
- twitter is known to normal people -> check
- integrated into traditional media -> check
- there are no alternatives with a comparable amount of members -> check
- All of your points don't matter for normal users -> check
What competitors are there to twitter?
- App.net: Probably too expensive for the majority to todays twitter users
- Google+: No good clients, too hard user discovery (no way to find users via convenient handles), real-name focussed.
- Facebook: Privacy Nightmare, real-name focussed, insisting on a limited amount of mutual friendships instead of breadcasting
- identi.ca/status.net: Would be perfect, but nobody seem to be using it
Considering all this, I would assume twitter is going to stay.
It pains me to watch something like that though...
- twitter already has a huge community -> check
- twitter is known to normal people -> check
- integrated into traditional media -> check
- there are no alternatives with a comparable amount of members -> check
- All of your points don't matter for normal users -> check
What competitors are there to twitter?
- App.net: Probably too expensive for the majority to todays twitter users
- Google+: No good clients, too hard user discovery (no way to find users via convenient handles), real-name focussed.
- Facebook: Privacy Nightmare, real-name focussed, insisting on a limited amount of mutual friendships instead of breadcasting
- identi.ca/status.net: Would be perfect, but nobody seem to be using it
Considering all this, I would assume twitter is going to stay.