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Is there data in 2021 that would have led you to think Russia would attempt an outright invasion of Ukraine?

Is it really so outlandish to think that Russian irredentism[0] will continue?

Food for thought from 2014(!): https://youtu.be/HLAzeHnNgR8

[0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_irredentism



People were claiming the Russian military buildup and troop massing did not mean they would invade right up until the day they did.


People claimed that Russians were stripping stolen washing machines for chips, that sanctions would have collapsed their economy, etc. Lots of people claim lots of things, sometime they are right.


They were just training, surely nothing to be concerned about.


Most of those people were Russian propagandists, though.




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