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There's a lot of truth in this article, and it reminds me on what Tom DeMarco writes in this book "Waltzing With Bears" (ISBN 9780932633606):

DeMarco argues that having detailed, quantified information about your risks enables you to make more courageous decisions. But in order to be able to quantify your risks, your company's culture must allow for critical and "negative" thinking.

Otherwise, you won't be able to perform even the first basic step: identifying your risks. Without having properly identified all your risks, quantifying those becomes a farce, and essentially boils down to missing one or two elephants in the room.




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