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Apple opening up these technologies would open the field for hundreds or thousands of startups


It's very unlikely that's true. Why are there basically no such startups that are Android-only?


I would honestly like to read a treatise on why investment comes with Apple platforms first even though other platforms were there first, but we see it time and time again. Vision Pro is probably the first time that has faltered.

My guess would be it's a combination of Apple users spend more money, some chauvinism among investors (they all use Apple platforms), and that it's the largest single development target (android fragmentation is still real when it comes to messier stuff like hardware access and background tasks)


Apple Watch was at least as much as a platform failure as Vision Pro, though much of the story for the latter is yet to be written.

I think there have been many small, successful hardware products. It's just that they look like relative failures or accessories to mobile phones in comparison because iPhone (and to a lesser degree smartphones in general) is just a colossal success and uniquely able to absorb so much new functionality.


Explain how.


Lots of opportunity in third-party AirPlay support. Smartwatch - we just saw the Pebble announcement. NFC emulation opens up for lots of payment scenarios. Background execution opens up access to all kinds of services that do not support APNS or need long-lived connections, and services like sync that had to rely on unreliable hacks like geofencing that get randomly denied by App Store approval. etc etc


Did you mean that hundreds or thousands of start ups would use these features?

I don’t see how these changes will be the deciding factor for whether a start up could exist or not. To use your own example with pebble - it does exist despite the changes not being available.




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