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I worry about the rising tides of nationalism/anti-globalism both in the US and in Europe. I view things like this as accelerating the trend, not 'resist'ing it.


War is already here and expanding. The US will probably switch sides and align with Russia.

It wouldn’t surprise me if NATO is replaced with something that excludes the US and includes Ukraine, Greenland, Canada and Mexico.


If 'US switch sides' means US giving military or financial support to Russia in the war, I strongly doubt it. If it means Trump giving rhetorical support to Russia, sure.

I'm willing to bet against both the military support for Russia & the NATO dissolution at 4:1 odds before end of this year and 2:1 before end of next year.

I don't think anyone serious actually thinks either of those things are going to happen so I doubt anyone would take me up on that offer.


I think the US will pull out of Ukraine and then focus on maintaining martial law and territorial expansion.

If you think I’m making the latter part up, look at the budget package the senate voted for yesterday.


maintaining martial law?


The US will get closer to Russia in order to pull Putin away from China. Isolating China is a higher priority than saving Ukraine.




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