Hacker News new | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submit login

> We’re not becoming 10x developers with AI.

Of course not. The ultimate goal of AI is to get rid of the developers altogether and reduce costs (more profits!). You think BigTech are spending hundreds of billions just to make developers more productive while retaining them? That's not a profitable strategy.

The copy/paste with LLM interactive stage is just a transitional stage as the LLM improves. We'll be past that in 5 years time.

No, AIs won't replace all developers -- you still need people doing the systems designs that the AI can implement code for. But it could easily reduce their numbers by some large percentage (50%? 80%?).

Edit: I would no longer advise my kids to get a degree in Computer Science.






> you still need people doing the systems designs that the AI can implement code for

Given the rate of improvement up to that point, how much longer do you think this would be the case?


I think that will get chipped away at incrementally, but you're right, eventually all you'll need is a list of requirements. I'd put that 30-50 years away, but some people might say sooner.

For using requirements, much sooner. See Genatron.



Consider applying for YC's Spring batch! Applications are open till Feb 11.

Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: