> Approval ratings are stupid. The 27% on a ~65% turnout roughly corresponds to the % who voted for them
That’s the point! Labour can win the election under the UK’s rules but at the end of the day the Labour government is immediately unpopular it doesn’t have the support of anything close to a majority of voters.
“Coalitions” exist in politics regardless of the election rules. In the U.S., parties have to form internal coalitions. In Germany, parties need to form coalitions between multiple parties. In the UK and Canada, a party can win a majority of seats without anything approaching a majority of voters, but that’s not sustainable. Nationalism eviscerated the traditional Labour base, which is why they lost in a landslide in 2019. In the long run, a party can’t government with a sub-30% approval rating. What’ll likely happen is that you’ll get a game of ping pong where Labour just gets voted out in the next election.
And that's assuming these ratings last to the election and aren't a reflection on one thing, the budget. If the real economy improves then his approval rating will too.
Labour aren't impotent due to the 'excellent' nature of our system, they have all of the power.
And as much as Musk blathers, there won't be an election for several years.
And Labour aren't a coalition, it's one party. It's the right that would be fragile if it decided to coalesce.
Reform took from Labour as well, there's no guarantee that an extremely fragile Tory-Reform coalition would work.
Plus Reform have almost no seats, they'd need something way more formal than an a coalition - they'd need to agree not to stand in the same seats.
If the voting priorities changed then not only would Reform get more seats, but so would the actual left wing parties.
In short, you haven't got a damn clue what you're talking about.