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20w for 20 years to answer questions slowly and error-prone at the level of a 30B model. An additional 10 years with highly trained supervision and the brain might start contributing original work.


Multiply that by billion, because only very few individuals of entire populations can contribute original work.


And yet that 20w brain can make me a sandwich and bring it to me, while state of the art AI models will fail that task.

Until we get major advances in robotics and models designed to control them, true AGI will be nowhere near.


> Until we get major advances in robotics and models designed to control them, true AGI will be nowhere near.

AGI has nothing to do with robotics, if AGI is achieved it will help push robotics and every single scientific field further with progression never seen before, imagine a million AGIs running in parallel focused on a single field.


We already have that. It's called civilization.

Maybe you mean quadrillions of AGIs?




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