The other issues compounding this is that to make all this work, as the police grow they grow asymmetrically on the administrative side. So every dollar spent is slowly but surely less effective at performing basic police functions.
>Managing police by statistics
Thats the crux of the whole problem isnt it? The cops in the UK face the same issue as any tech business that cant scale. They are spending more effort measuring statistics and less effort on the business. To the point that, they gamified policing to ensure statistics are collected.
>If you treat them as permanently unsolved crimes, you'll turn them into pointless counterproductive arrests/charges.
Ok but the administrative detections skewed things away from serious crimes. Why detect 1 murder when you can detect 42 drug crimes across 3 people? And then the administrative overhead of recording the 42 drug crimes takes that guy off the beat for the rest of the day. And because they spent all their money on the people who will process and analyze that paperwork, they don't have another guy to replace him.
Like the general thought the guy presents is that, 42 drug infractions letting you bust some kids balls and shake him down, but then removing you from the act of physical deterrence for the rest of the day is the fail state. If he wasnt incentivised to shake those kids down, he could have deterred some incalculable other crime. Perhaps those kids seeing the cop would have moderated their behavior, but now they are up on charges and the next group of kids on the same street corner are able to act without the cops watching (And this is when we leave the book and start talking about how many damn cameras the UK installs)
I disagree with him but I understand the impulse to admire something constructed like a Sheriffs department in the US thats fairly divorced from a huge hierarchy.
I wonder if he has similar complaints about policing in canada.
Right. So changing the details of the mechanism won't fix anything. And while I suspect the author would like to return to "let the police do what they like, and trust their judgement", that also has problems.
> Ok but the administrative detections skewed things away from serious crimes. Why detect 1 murder when you can detect 42 drug crimes across 3 people? And then the administrative overhead of recording the 42 drug crimes takes that guy off the beat for the rest of the day.
But it's not the administrative detection that's the issue there. If you make those arrests/charges you have exactly the same problem. The problem is deciding it's more important to solve 42/43 crimes than solve the murder, and that decision is happening outside of the police power structure.
(It's also not entirely clear that it's wrong - reasonable people from all around the political spectrum have argued that preventing small crimes ultimately has a high long-term impact, in the same way that doctors save more lives by telling patients to lose weight than by everything else they do put together)
> Right. So changing the details of the mechanism won't fix anything. And while I suspect the author would like to return to "let the police do what they like, and trust their judgement", that also has problems.
Yes but I feel this is largely resolved with his desire to remove police powers. If police, or at least the majority of, have no powers to abuse, then the potential for abuse is significantly lower.
>But it's not the administrative detection that's the issue there. If you make those arrests/charges you have exactly the same problem. The problem is deciding it's more important to solve 42/43 crimes than solve the murder, and that decision is happening outside of the police power structure.
You miss
>And then the administrative overhead of recording the 42 drug crimes takes that guy off the beat for the rest of the day.
The issue isnt with the goal, like you suggest people want these crimes solved. I dont want to pretend laws on the book exactly match community expectations but that is the idea. The issue is that the scheme as described doesnt just require the high manpower option but incentivises it.
His whole shtick is that you lose the intangibles. The parts of policing that cannot be measured. The crimes that are deterred by that beat cop not spending 4 hours after every interaction writing paperwork that needs to be analysed and reviewed by other people.
You take that guy off the street, and then a new crime occurs, another cop has to be dispatched, he needs to follow those leads, file more paperwork etc etc ad nauseum.
Its like, taking vaccines off the shelf because you need statistics about diseases.
Heck your own analogy "doctors save more lives by telling patients to lose weight than by everything else they do put together" is much like the authors assertion that cops preventing more crime just by being a visible presence than all their other work put together.
>Managing police by statistics
Thats the crux of the whole problem isnt it? The cops in the UK face the same issue as any tech business that cant scale. They are spending more effort measuring statistics and less effort on the business. To the point that, they gamified policing to ensure statistics are collected.
>If you treat them as permanently unsolved crimes, you'll turn them into pointless counterproductive arrests/charges.
Ok but the administrative detections skewed things away from serious crimes. Why detect 1 murder when you can detect 42 drug crimes across 3 people? And then the administrative overhead of recording the 42 drug crimes takes that guy off the beat for the rest of the day. And because they spent all their money on the people who will process and analyze that paperwork, they don't have another guy to replace him.
Like the general thought the guy presents is that, 42 drug infractions letting you bust some kids balls and shake him down, but then removing you from the act of physical deterrence for the rest of the day is the fail state. If he wasnt incentivised to shake those kids down, he could have deterred some incalculable other crime. Perhaps those kids seeing the cop would have moderated their behavior, but now they are up on charges and the next group of kids on the same street corner are able to act without the cops watching (And this is when we leave the book and start talking about how many damn cameras the UK installs)
I disagree with him but I understand the impulse to admire something constructed like a Sheriffs department in the US thats fairly divorced from a huge hierarchy.
I wonder if he has similar complaints about policing in canada.