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> There's a reason the term "deflation" exists, and it's not simply a theoretical concept.

Yeah. The last time deflation happened in Europe, it resulted in Hitler coming to power.

Not kidding, Hitler came to power after a period of _deflation_ in Germany.



Citation? I have no dog in the fight—I am not emotionally invested in some particular version of the history of the Weimar Republic—but I thought it was the opposite.


Here you go: https://www.gabriel-zucman.eu/files/capitalisback/T271

Years from 1929 to 1932. Deflation was 12% in 1932, in particular.


Thanks!


Are you sure you know what deflation is?



See my other comment, but unless I'm taking crazy pills, you have that completely backward. Weimar Germany was notoriously _hyper-inflationary_.


And it was followed by a deflationist policy in the years preceding the Nazi takeover : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heinrich_Br%C3%BCning#Historic...


I don't think moderate deflation after a period of hyper-inflation is much of an argument. It's just a weird little gotcha that someone who doesn't want to abandon their priors will whip out. Not compelling at all. It's like claiming a failed medical intervention is the cause of a death because it had some negative effects that might have even made things worse, but the patient was already sick and dying. Many cancer patients die from the effects of chemotherapy before the cancer itself gets them, it doesn't mean cancer is actually good.


> It's just a weird little gotcha that someone who doesn't want to abandon their priors will whip out.

Do you want a mirror?

And why that episode was minor?


Minor by comparison to the hyperinflation experienced? Yeah. No I don't need a mirror, I can see myself clearly.

This whole thing is just a distraction that I didn't even bring up though, it has nothing to do with my original points. I wouldn't want to experience prolonged deflation at that rate either, markets rely on a certain level of stability and predictability to function well, everybody benefits from that and I would not argue otherwise.




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