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Seems complicated, land neighbor would be only Malaysia right? By water, Indonesia?

Vietnam is close but already under heavy growth, not sure they have any reasonable landmass or supply of electricity. Not as familiar with Thailand but would be surprised.

All of those above players could be wild cards. Australia is massive and I am making this up but like 95% of it is empty. Perhaps solar could be so incredible cheap that the transmission cost is bearable.




Australia is risky because as a member of AUKUS they are likely to be a combatant in the anticipated war between America/Taiwan aligned countries and China. This puts Singapore's power supply in the crosshairs.


Eh, Singapore is a bridge country for China to western markets. And is 80% ethnic Chinese.

At the point random power plants in the Australian Outback are being bombed to get to Singapore, Singapore has gotten so fucked already they can’t stand.


> power plants in the Australian Outback are being bombed

More likely for the cable to be cut. It's easier and has plausible deniability.


Fair point - I’d expect the US would do it before China, Australia, Russia, etc. in this case though.


If the xenophobic Tom Cotton crowd get the upper hand, sure.

O/wise, not so much.


Then who would you expect would do it?


The question assumes I expect someone to cut a power cable between Australia and Singapore.

I don't.

In the event of Chinese move on Taiwan then if Tom Cotton & Co. have decision making power then it's possible but unlikely they'd be dumb enough to think perturbing grid power in Singapore might exert pressure on China .. but honestly, who'd actually be that silly?


It doesn't have to be the expected outcome to be a threat worth considering. Russian Roulette won't kill you five times out of six but that's still considered an extremely high risk.


I think we both agree then.



Your point is?




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