I absolutely agree that predicting the future has nothing to do with IQ - not directly. I'm not suggest that I have a formula or specific process that reveals to me what will happen - actually, it's the opposite.
It's an intuitive process. Almost always the most likely things that can will be what happens - the top 3 most likely outcomes of whatever will almost always contain the thing that does happen but that list must be generated adequately, factoring in the system, players and rules of whatever it is - for example: "at work" , "co-workers" , "who gets a promotion" - the most deserving person only might get the promotion, what the Boss wants is the actual key factor for predicting that outcome.
I rarely reply to replies - to make myself even more conceited, I'm not suggesting that you should feel special or anything, I'm noting this bc you've hit a button of mine - as knowing what will happen before it does is both one of my favorite things to do and an almost natural function of my experience at this point. Not everything can be predicted and I'm not talking like "on x date x will happen exactly" - not typically, there are exceptions. I've never been able to adequately explain this but I will attempt bc I think everyone can do this to some extent.
IQ factors in bc I'm able to do this bc I have an encyclopedia in my head that I am constantly updating as much as I am able - all the time, everyday constantly adding data to a "hard drive" that has so many files I honestly don't even kno what's all there at this point - I don't even try.
Almost everything I've ever read, almost every concept I've actually thought about (highdeas or altered state ponderings included) and everything I've written out by hand is still inside my head rn and I can retrieve if I need it - I unlock it with passion of all things, for example were we to have a heated debate about the Roman Empire during the course of our conversation everything I've ever learned about Rome would come back to me - to the point I could quote professor's lectures verbatim or quote off encyclopedia entries that support my argument exactly from the copy that exists inside my head. I have to be into it for it to work.
Anyways, back to the future ;)
If your correctly identify the parameters of any given situation and you can account for what people want - the intent behind their actions, what motivates them, you will see that their desires, the chain of causation and what is actually possible incredibly narrows down the actual possibilities from the "anything can happen" point of view to one where the next event in the chain is rather obvious.
So, your right - I can't do it Fr and I literally make assumptions, inferences and operate off of hypothetical data often - and more often than not I am able to predict what will happen with high accuracy.
That works bc all people are essentially the same and we all have the same underlying motivations regardless of all demographic factors.
Meh, this could be a book.
To another point of yours - I've made others an incredible amount of money in the stock market and cryptocurrency. I've never been very motivated by money. I think your Buffets, Musks and Bezos have mental disorders and I don't envy their obsession in the slightest.
It's an intuitive process. Almost always the most likely things that can will be what happens - the top 3 most likely outcomes of whatever will almost always contain the thing that does happen but that list must be generated adequately, factoring in the system, players and rules of whatever it is - for example: "at work" , "co-workers" , "who gets a promotion" - the most deserving person only might get the promotion, what the Boss wants is the actual key factor for predicting that outcome.
I rarely reply to replies - to make myself even more conceited, I'm not suggesting that you should feel special or anything, I'm noting this bc you've hit a button of mine - as knowing what will happen before it does is both one of my favorite things to do and an almost natural function of my experience at this point. Not everything can be predicted and I'm not talking like "on x date x will happen exactly" - not typically, there are exceptions. I've never been able to adequately explain this but I will attempt bc I think everyone can do this to some extent.
IQ factors in bc I'm able to do this bc I have an encyclopedia in my head that I am constantly updating as much as I am able - all the time, everyday constantly adding data to a "hard drive" that has so many files I honestly don't even kno what's all there at this point - I don't even try.
Almost everything I've ever read, almost every concept I've actually thought about (highdeas or altered state ponderings included) and everything I've written out by hand is still inside my head rn and I can retrieve if I need it - I unlock it with passion of all things, for example were we to have a heated debate about the Roman Empire during the course of our conversation everything I've ever learned about Rome would come back to me - to the point I could quote professor's lectures verbatim or quote off encyclopedia entries that support my argument exactly from the copy that exists inside my head. I have to be into it for it to work.
Anyways, back to the future ;)
If your correctly identify the parameters of any given situation and you can account for what people want - the intent behind their actions, what motivates them, you will see that their desires, the chain of causation and what is actually possible incredibly narrows down the actual possibilities from the "anything can happen" point of view to one where the next event in the chain is rather obvious.
So, your right - I can't do it Fr and I literally make assumptions, inferences and operate off of hypothetical data often - and more often than not I am able to predict what will happen with high accuracy.
That works bc all people are essentially the same and we all have the same underlying motivations regardless of all demographic factors.
Meh, this could be a book.
To another point of yours - I've made others an incredible amount of money in the stock market and cryptocurrency. I've never been very motivated by money. I think your Buffets, Musks and Bezos have mental disorders and I don't envy their obsession in the slightest.
This was fun :)
Have an awesome day!