The mistake isn't thinking 'scaling is the solution to AGI'.
And the mistake isn't thinking more generally about 'the solution to AGI'.
The mistake is thinking about 'AGI'.
There will never be an artificial general intelligence. There will never artificial intelligence, full stop.
It's a fun concept in science fiction (and earlier parallel concepts in fantasy literature and folk tales). It's not and will never be reality. If you think it can be then either you are suffering from 'science fiction brain' or you are a fraud (Sam Altman) or you are both (possibly Sam Altman again).
And the mistake isn't thinking more generally about 'the solution to AGI'.
The mistake is thinking about 'AGI'.
There will never be an artificial general intelligence. There will never artificial intelligence, full stop.
It's a fun concept in science fiction (and earlier parallel concepts in fantasy literature and folk tales). It's not and will never be reality. If you think it can be then either you are suffering from 'science fiction brain' or you are a fraud (Sam Altman) or you are both (possibly Sam Altman again).