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> So, how will the war begin? Who will begin it?

China will start it when they invade our ally Taiwan.

It would also, almost certainly involve a pre-emptive strike from china onto american forces. This would be because China knows that the only way to have even a chance of success is to strike first against the USA.

Maybe a politician will be elected in Taiwan that China really doesn't like. Maybe the decades long, existing trends will continue towards the Taiwanese people no longer thinking themselves as having any sort of chinese identity. Or maybe Xi will simply try to distract the population from problems at home with a foolish hopeless war. There are a lot of possibilities!

> How long has the US or its allies been planning

They aren't planning on starting a war. If China doesn't invade Taiwan, there will be no war.

But yes, the USA would absolutely defend Taiwan from an invasion, and already gives Taiwan weapons to do so.

I hope that some of the politicians in china will eventually learn how foolish such an invasion will be. Or, perhaps, China will simply saber rattle and do nothing like it has been sabre rattling for decades.

China has enough problems as it is, but there is still a chance that they will go off the deep end and invade our allies.

If that happens though, the USA will absolutely defend against such an invasion though.




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