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I've been driving 20 years and have never had an accident. I believe I'm the average case. Am I coming out ahead?


Yes, you are, if you can't “afford” the loss. And this does not mean that loosing the car bankrupts you.

It just means that reimbursing you for your loss is worth more to you than the insurance company, because it's harder for you to recover form a (e.g.) $10k loss than for the insurance company.

When priced correctly, and depending on your wealth, on average insurance can be a win-win (i.e. profitable) transaction for both parties. That's why it's economically useful.

See: https://two-wrongs.com/the-misunderstood-kelly-criterion.htm...




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