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early stringent covid responses(such as in China) probably saved millions of lives in the responsive countries, but i guess post-covid will be litigated with vibes not numbers



We have enough cross-sectional variation in response and results that disprove your claim. So, no!


> cross-sectional variation in response and results that disprove your claim

What do you mean? The spread was low enough during the period where it was high mortality that in China, we can lower bound at 1 million even with best case assumptions about mortality compared to the US that likely wouldn't have been true in a still developing country.




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