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"This guy had something interesting to say" is not a good heuristic for finding people who you can trust on multiple subjects.

A little bit better heuristic is if the person can publicly admit they have been wrong about something and change their mind.

I have been more and more disappointed by analytical analysis, in other words "wiseacring" of all kinds of intellectuals, so I have started to believe the problem is more in the analytical approach itself, and less in the person doing the analysis.

I am gravitating towards people who talk from experience, not from analysis. I expect them also to not appear to be reactive, talking from fear. An example of a person talking from fear would be a kind of junior developer who can never admit they are wrong, and who tries to cover up their mistakes.




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