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> An awful lot of postmortems I've been a part of have come down to "It didn't occur to us that could happen."

Would that not be an unknown unknown?




Usually there's a tacit assumption of how the system works, how the users are using the system, or something else about the system or the environment that causes that - it's not that the answer wasn't known, it's that it was assumed to be something it wasn't and nobody realized that was an assumption and not a fact.


That's just an unknown unknown masquerading as a known known.




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