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>And the problem with just being okay with our wrongness is that it doesn’t match up with our ability to predict and rely on the science to complete complex engineering projects.

But a theory can be false while still being predictively accurate.

Classical mechanics predicts that quantum tunneling should be impossible. But as it turns out, quantum tunneling is possible. So classical mechanics is false - or at least partially false. But classical mechanics is still predictively successful in a wide range of scenarios. So, a theory can be both false and predictively successful.

The most natural way to explain this is to say that classical mechanics is an approximation of a deeper, more accurate theory. Similarly, our current best theories could be approximations of as yet unknown theories - theories that allow for certain phenomena that are currently thought to be impossible.




Around the margins yes, but directionally no, a theory isn’t this kind of wrong.

There is likely an LK-99 sized gap in scientific knowledge, there is not likely an “aliens land on earth and want to hang out” sized gap.




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