That is just fallacious. How many times something has been suggested wrongly by other people regarding other products in the past has no bearing at all on whether Farhad Manjo is right or wrong regarding the iPad.
If you want to make a point you will have to counter the arguments laid forth in the article, and show why it is likely the iPad will go the same way as Netscape. It will contribute to the discussion much more than just spouting dates.
It's not fallacious; it's not even an argument. It's just a shortcut. It seems hard to make any definitive claim about Apple's future so soon after the loss of Jobs's leadership and influence.
If you want to make a point you will have to counter the arguments laid forth in the article, and show why it is likely the iPad will go the same way as Netscape. It will contribute to the discussion much more than just spouting dates.