yeah this isnt close. Sam Altman is on record saying its single digit cents per query and then took a massively dilutive $10b investment from microsoft. Even if gpt4 is 8 models in a trenchcoat they wouldnt raise it on themselves by 4 orders of magnitude like that
Single digit cents per query (let's say 2) is A LOT. Let's say the service runs at 10krps (made up, we can discuss about this) it means the service costs 200$ a second i.e 20M$ a day (oversimplifying a day with 100k seconds, but this might be ok to get us in the ballpark), which means that running the model for a year (400 days, sorry simplifying) is around 8B$, so too run 10krps we are in the order of billions per year. We can discuss some of the assumptions but I think that of we are in the ballpark of cents per query the infrastructure costs are significant.