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>> the intention of the flight was to test the vehicle at max Q, then the rest of the plan is almost a contingency.

We don't know what the intention or internal expectation was. What we have are public statements, which are generally more conservative in order that every success be an amazing surprise, every failure an expected event. What SpaceX was internally hoping for, what they were aiming for, and the details of what actually happened will remain a mystery for a while.



I don't need to know the internal - it's pretty obvious. When you are test launching a rocket, MaxQ is the moment to test (aside from ignition, which you can test with static fire, so not really "test launching a rocket"). So SpaceX wants to test the booster launch; they have tested everything else on the ground that they realistically can at this point. That means ignition, get off the pad, MaxQ. Everything after that point is gravy.

Of course there are plenty of systems after maxq they want to test, but not to sound like a software project manager, but "is the juice worth the squeeze?" Everything past maxq may not happen if the rocket goes RUD before or at that point, so how many points do you really want to be putting into stage separation, boostback, reentry, when those engineers could be triple checking Stage 0, fueling, start sequence, and liftoff?

Was it supposed to tumble and explode? Of course not. How many weeks of delay of booster launch is "don't tumble during stage separation" worth? SpaceX says on the order of zero, save it for the next unit in the heckin rocket assembly line (that is wild to say out loud but that's what it is).


Great post. I think a huge number of points were also put into the 10 seconds directly after liftoff.

I.e, if the ship is going to fly, ensure it doesn't need termination in range of the tower. Anything to ensure the next test article in the pipe can be ready to fly in minimum time.


Apart from surviving ignition, surviving maxQ, the other tricky bits will be surviving re-entry and landing.

I think if most people had to pick the most likely failure mode it would have been either blowing up on the pad, or burning up on re-entry.


They’re also testing the GSE and let’s say the pad failed today’s test scenario


I don't think they wanted it to blow up.

I was told for something I was working on "if it works perfectly the first time, you may have spent to much time on it. "

But they designed it to fly and it did for a while. I'm fairly certain they didn't design it to tumble and explode. If it had flown better and not exploded one would have to say it was more successful.

It was a partial success and partial failure.




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