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I think smartphones, google produced more impact. Chatgpt impact is still unproven. Many cute demos but no much businesses and products created.



But before iPhone there were other smartphones and before google was altavista. We might still be in altavista phase but I think even if ChatGPT won’t be a leader 5 years later, 10 years from now will look back at LLM having the same big impact as smartphones and search engines


> 10 years from now will look back at LLM having the same big impact as smartphones and search engines

that's hypothesis. So far I see high chances of internet to be flooded with junk autogenerated text with hallucinations and code bases be polluted with buggy unmaintainable auto-generated code, and businesses spend significant money on products which goal is to detect autogenerated content.


>Many cute demos but no much businesses and products created.

I can vouch that my department will be running a bit smoother in a few weeks once I get a chance to modernize our testing setup with the help of gpt4.

I can write python but terribly and the need is so sparse that every time I have to go relearn a bunch of shit.

But having a go with GPT4 it seems capable enough to quickly rewrite all our basic procedures that have been done on an ancient computer running a long deprecated program (with the scripts written in a long dead language).

It causes us a lot of headache, but never enough at once that I can justify dropping everything for a week or two and respining it with python (and even adding network monitoring!)




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