If someone says they're not informed on an issue, do you think they're eager to make thousand dollar bets one way or the other?

I am just an opportunistic user. He commented without being informed so maybe he will take a bet without being informed either.

I'm surprised there isn't a speculative crypto market on stuff like this with an oracle to courtlistener or something.

There was a site I saw submitted to HN some years ago that did something like this I believe. Unfortunately can’t remember much of it though.