> I am constantly agonising over choices I'm about to make
You cannot predict the future. It is impossible know which choice will result in better outcomes. Whatever you choose has probably about equal chance of success or failure. So just make a choice, with a general idea of what you will do when the choice fails. Most choices are not make-or-break, so you should really not be agonizing over most choices.
> It is impossible know which choice will result in better outcomes. Whatever you choose has probably about equal chance of success or failure.
It's a common fallacy to assign 50/50 probability to unknown distributions. Furthermore, many choices are not binary, or may not be as simple as right/wrong in hindsight.
But I agree with the idea of amortizing your perspective over many choices.
You cannot predict the future. It is impossible know which choice will result in better outcomes. Whatever you choose has probably about equal chance of success or failure. So just make a choice, with a general idea of what you will do when the choice fails. Most choices are not make-or-break, so you should really not be agonizing over most choices.