> There is an inverse relationship between the age of a futurist and the amount of time they think it will take for their predictions to become true.

That's not true. The so-called Maes-Garreau law or effect does not replicate in actual surveys, as opposed to a few cherrypicked futurist examples.

> There is an inverse relationship between the age of a futurist and the amount of time they think it will take for their predictions to become true.

I think calling Carmack a Futurist is pretty insulting.

Why? Because he also wrote some game engines?

Because he's an extremely analytical person and is extremely data driven. He isn't trying to sell some Ted talk

There's all sorts of accomplished people on this list: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_futurologists