Carlsen has a huge plus score against him though, I'd expect the match to be extremely one sided. Something in Nakamura's style doesn't work against Magnus.
Of course, but Carlsen - Nakamura is 14 - 1, and 26 draws*. That's a huge winning percentage at top level, other top GMs may have a minus score but not like that.
Not just Carlson.. any of the candidates are capable of beating him … most have higher elo and that elo is well deserved and stupendously hard won at that level. Wesley So beat him in the Grand Prix, he was in trouble once against Esipenko. I don’t think he’ll have as hard of a time against eg Ian Nepomniatchi ( Nepo likes speed which is Hikarus superpower ), But Ding Liren ( depending on Karjakins dq and Lirens play ofc ) Caruana, or Wesley So will beat him easily…
He probably will be wiped. However, this comment would make more sense if he didn't literally beat a lot of good players in classical chess, winning FIDE Grand Prix 2022.
And is currently 16 and has been dropping over the last 8 years. Kasparov also used to be number 1. That's just how it goes. He's a much stronger bullet/blitz player and this isn't news to anyone. There's a reason people are surprised he qualified.
He's 11th in classical currently and there isn't much separation from 4th to 20th. He has a pretty good record against all of his opponents in classical. He's never lost to Rapport, Liren, Duda, or Radjabov. He is 3-2-5 against Nepo, 6-7-33 against Caruana, and he's never played Firouzja.
He's headed to the candidates where I hope he takes it. It will be amazing for chess to see him compete for world championship.