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The op-ed is by a former regional Fed President who doesn't work or speak for the Fed now. However, his argument is that the wealth effect of high asset prices is a key driver of higher spending and rising consumer prices.


Is there any evidence that is true? The majority of Americans don't even participate in the stock market outside of a 401k at best.


>>The majority of Americans don't even participate in the stock market outside of a 401k at best.

It seems that stock market household participation has inched up over the past 4 decades driven by a variety of factors and is likely a (slight) majority participation rate at this point[1][2] although as one might expect heavily skewed towards higher-income households.

[1] https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2020/03/25/more-than-h...

[2] https://www.usnews.com/news/national-news/articles/2021-03-1...


It is not Starbucks barista or some amazon warehouse worker, who is bidding up for two homes, but those with fat 401ks and cushy jobs are.

Even 10% of people can push the inflation.


High asset prices will make rent go up, but why would it affect anything else like food, energy or durable goods?


As just one example, a tech employee whose unvested RSUs are sitting at the 2021 highs might be more willing to splash out on all kinds of things -- vacations, restaurants, a nicer fridge, primary or investment residential properties, etc -- than they would if the share price was a lot lower.


Middle America's 401k gets hammered (pushing retirement off x-years) and small set of tech workers can't buy as much? Seems more harmful than good. fwiw, I don't have 401k/and I own a tiny amount of stock.


As rents go up, these rents eat up most of the wages, thereby increasing wages. Increasing wages cause inflation, and it is called "cost-push inflation", as both cost of goods, cost of services include wages.




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