I have degrees and several years of experience in both fields, and I can tell you that both are creative professions where output is unbounded and the measure of success is subjective; these are the fields that will be safe for a while. IMO it's fields such as aircraft pilots who should be most worried.
Pilots are not there to fly the aircraft, the autopilot already does that. They are there to command the aircraft, in a pair in case one is incapacitated, making the best decisions for the people on board, and to troubleshoot issues when the worst happens.
No AI or remote pilot is going to help when say... the aircraft loses all power. Or the airport has been taken over in a coup attempt and the pilot has to decide whether to escape or stay https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=NcztK6VWadQ
You can bet on major flights having two commercial pilots right up until the day we all get turned into paperclips.
>You can bet on major flights having two commercial pilots right up until the day we all get turned into paperclips.
Yes, this is the sane approach, since a jet represents an enormous amount of energy that can be directed anywhere in the world (just about). But that said, there seems to be enormous pressure to allow driverless vehicles, which also direct large amounts of energy directed anywhere in your city. IOW it seems like a matter of time before we say, collectively, screw it, let the computers fly the plane and if loss of power is a catastrophe, so be it.
It's not as safe as you believe it to be, in the case of total electrical power failure in a fly by wire airliner, and the corresponding loss of hydraulic pressure there's very little that a pilot can do with that point.
As far as the extremely unlikely hostage situation goes, if it were AI controlled that would be even less likely attempts from people to hijack an airplane in the first place since there wouldn't be a human element a.k.a. a pilot that they could appeal to their emotion.
I would agree that a bit more is required of Pilots, but similar to truck drivers, the skill required and hence the salary provided, will go down as the AI gets better and better.
I can easily imagine that at some point, pilots are replaced with technicians who are just there to fix redundant AI systems in case of failure.
You’re describing the world we already live in. “technicians who are just there to fix redundant AI systems in case of failure” is one of the jobs of a modern pilot. It turns out that troubleshooting the redundant systems of a modern aircraft while it is in flight is also the hardest part of being a pilot, as it requires knowing every system inside and out, hence why no amount of automation will threaten their jobs.
Interesting. Right now these ML models seem like essentially ideal sources of "hotel art" particularly because it's so subjective... you only need a human (the buyer!) to just briefly filter some candidates, which they would have been doing with an artist in the loop in any case.
For things like aircraft pilots, it's both realtime-- which means 'reviewer' per output-- you haven't taken a highly trained pilot out of the loop, even if you relegated them to supervising the computer-- and life critical so merely "so/so" isn't good enough.
