> Irregular food, regardless of bombings = many millions might die or be severely impacted in the long-term
That's speculation that depends very much on the precise details. The ancestor comment said:
>>>>> In 2010 Russia stopped exporting wheat due to wildfires burning their fields (most likely caused by climate change). This caused a hike in food prices which helped trigger the Arab revolutions in 2011.
Did "many millions ... die" in 2011?
Also wheat is fungible, and Russia is still growing grain and will still be able to export it, just maybe not to the usual places. So maybe China buys more Russian wheat and less American, and the American wheat goes to Europe or Africa instead of China. There can be disruptions with things continuing to more or less balance out.
Russia messed with grain supply in Ukraine in the 30’s and kept exporting while many millions of Ukrainians starved. I’m not sure any part of your comment would be reassuring to Ukrainian.
That's speculation that depends very much on the precise details. The ancestor comment said:
>>>>> In 2010 Russia stopped exporting wheat due to wildfires burning their fields (most likely caused by climate change). This caused a hike in food prices which helped trigger the Arab revolutions in 2011.
Did "many millions ... die" in 2011?
Also wheat is fungible, and Russia is still growing grain and will still be able to export it, just maybe not to the usual places. So maybe China buys more Russian wheat and less American, and the American wheat goes to Europe or Africa instead of China. There can be disruptions with things continuing to more or less balance out.