It's completely wrong, because it ignores both time and risk. It's worth real value to me to have money now rather than later. It's worth real value to me to give you some money, and you take some risk off my hands. And on the other hand, if you think my risk is lower than I think it is, and if you have money to spare, let's make a deal.
Remember, if both parties aren't better off, why would the trade even happen?
> Remember, if both parties aren't better off, why would the trade even happen?
That certainly is true for goods and services, but it just seems awfully abstract from, say, high frequency trading as a profession. How much value is that adding to the world, compared with, say, going out and creating something? I'm not saying it should be banned or anything along those lines, just that I'm not convinced that it's adding much to the world. Even things like games or movies make people happy, even if they're not 'productive'.
Well, party A says "I will be hurt if the price of this asset falls" and party B says "Well, I don't think it will, so if you pay me a smaller fee upfront, I'll cover any losses you make for the next T time". Multiply by thousands of assets (which a big mutual fund may well hold) and thousands of updates a second as everyone else in the market trades to their own ends, and you have the essence of HFT.
The material facts that stock values are supposedly based on do not change 1000's of times a second, though - it seems like it's trading for the sake of trading, rather than trading to best distribute goods and services to where they're desired and will be most effectively used.
One thing is deciding that IBM has a brilliant future and that the stock is a steal at the current price, and trading with someone who feels the opposite, another entirely to have thousands of transactions a second. Even the former transaction seems a bit zero-sum in that one of the people involved has the wrong idea and is going to either lose money or lose potential money.
That said, maybe I'm missing something - I don't know that much about HFT and stocks/finance in general, so I don't claim to have everything figured out.
It's not clear to me that the financial system as an enabler of liquidity/commerce/trades/etc. would be significantly worse if the granularity were slightly reduced, though. Say, run exchanges in a discrete-time world of 100ms timesteps. Are there real-world use cases where this would make the finance system unable to facilitate the economy?
If there are ways to make profit by trading at sub-100ms resolution, but a 1ms-resolution exchange is not any better at facilitating the outside-finance economy than a 100ms-resolution one would be, then it seems like HFT is solving problems of the exchange's own creation. It could even genuinely be solving those problems, but if they're problems that only arise in the context of extremely-high-granularity exchanges, and there is no practical benefit to such high time resolution, then why not just axe the problems?
Remember, if both parties aren't better off, why would the trade even happen?