What we have here is a unique, unprecedented, real life experiment in Game Theory.
Possible outcomes:
- Uber could pull out from the Netherlands
- Drivers in the Netherlands could organize themselves, but they will need a structure similar to Uber
- Other countries will follow the Netherlands ruling
We could see the implosion of the gig economy (doubt it) or - most probably - some places like the Netherlands will be gig-economy-free zones; and we'll see the impact on their economies.
Uber could pull out from NL, and not be missed, as the country is not super car dependent to start with.
Taxi's (or uber like services) are rarely used here.
People mostly walk, bike or take public transport.
As for the implosion of the gig economy, I doubt it too. We've had a neo-liberal gov for the last 12 years, and they've pushed the gig economy (successfully) within the boundaries of north western EU social democracy (Dutch: ZZP).
What we are witnessing here is the courts pushing back on companies abusing the system. They can't have it both ways; wanting flexible workers with those kinds of wages, with demanding 'contracts' akin to employee contracts.
I think the competitive advantages of Uber will weaken with all these legal challenges. In NYC, as Uber prices increased dramatically after the pandemic began to wane, folks just starting catching cabs again. The cabs use ride hailing apps. I no longer care about the rating system or any of that. It is fine.
And Gett is dependent on the taxi cartel, its excessive price, the black market of taxi medallions, etc. It's a nonsensical market and we're overdue a shared transport option. Good luck getting around on Saturday.
All because it's illegal to take money to transport someone from A to B without an exorbitant license for no specific reason.
When the city of Austin, TX added some minor regulations around ride share companies, Uber and Lyft left the city. About 24 hours later, ten new services started up. Shortly after that, Uber and Lyft came back.
Or Uber could start actually offering the service they claim to offer: providing a marketplace where independent freelance drivers can offer rides and people needing rides can buy them.
Possible outcomes:
- Uber could pull out from the Netherlands
- Drivers in the Netherlands could organize themselves, but they will need a structure similar to Uber
- Other countries will follow the Netherlands ruling
We could see the implosion of the gig economy (doubt it) or - most probably - some places like the Netherlands will be gig-economy-free zones; and we'll see the impact on their economies.