A data backed assumption is still better than a wild guess. The sun will rise to... | Hacker News

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Koiwai on Sept 9, 2021 | parent | context | favorite | on: Silanano launches the first new commercial battery...

A data backed assumption is still better than a wild guess.

The sun will rise tomorrow, this is a prediction of the future, I'd say it will turn out to be pretty accurate.

AussieWog93 on Sept 9, 2021 [–]

When it comes to predicting something like the impact of a new technology or the success of a startup, I'd argue it's worse.

At least a wild guess doesn't pretend to be anything more than hope and speculation.

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